Gold price analysis September 16Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices edged lower from fresh record highs around the $2,589-$2,590 region hit on Monday. The intraday decline could be attributed to some profit-taking amid generally positive risk sentiment, which tends to weigh on the safe-haven precious metal. However, any meaningful declines appear to be limited amid expectations of a more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) easing.
In fact, markets have begun to price in an over-the-top 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this week after data released last week provided further evidence of subdued US inflation. This has kept US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) near 2024 lows, which in turn will continue to act as a driver of non-yielding gold prices. Traders may also refrain from placing heavy bets ahead of the FOMC’s two-day policy meeting starting on Tuesday.
This is followed by monetary policy updates from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Thursday and Friday, respectively, which could inject some volatility into the markets and provide fresh impetus to Gold prices. Hence, any meaningful corrective pullback could still be seen as a buying opportunity.
Technical Analysis
Gold is at an all-time high, so any bullish momentum will only be met with resistance at the psychological levels of 2600 and 2610.
Support areas to place confidence in further buying are around 2570-2545. In today's European session, if gold breaks 2590, it is possible to execute SELL signals around 2600 and 2690. In case it does not break until the middle of the European session, SELL gold to 2570 before the US. If it breaks 2570 before the US session, hold until 2560-2545.
Resistance: 2590 - 2600 - 2608 - 2612 - 2626 - 2645
Support: 2580 - 2571 - 2560 - 2545
SELL 2599 - 2601 Stoploss 2605
BUY 2567 - 2565. Stoploss 2561
BUY 2555 - 2553. Stoploss 2549
Trade
CAD/CHF Trade, NATGAS Short, A/N Short, G/U Long and E/U LongNATGAS/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
Gold Price Analysis September 13Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices maintained modest intraday gains heading into the European session on Friday and are currently hovering near the $2,565-2,570 region, or record highs. A softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report released on Thursday provided further evidence of easing inflation and raised expectations of a larger rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week. This was reinforced by a fresh drop in US Treasury yields, which dragged the US dollar (USD) to its lowest in more than a week and continued to act as a bullish driver for the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, persistent geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the protracted war between Russia and Ukraine also provided additional support for safe-haven gold. This, in turn, confirms the overnight breakout through a multi-week trading range and supports the outlook for a short-term bullish move.
Technical Analysis
Profit-taking by some investors at the end of the Asian session pushed the price to 2563 and continued to push it up when the European session entered. Today's scenario is that gold retreats to the 2560 zone and does not break this zone until the middle of the European session, so we can buy back to the target zone of 2574-2580. In the direction of breaking through the 2560 zone, we will not sell retest but wait for the BUY zones of 2555 and 2545. BUY signals can hold TP far away at the present time because gold can completely create ATH in the near future
Price zones to pay attention to according to the scenario: 2555-2545-2560-2575-2580.
DoorDash, Inc. (DASH) Trade IdeaDASH is approaching a critical breakout point at $132. The recommended trading strategy includes exiting 25% at T1 ($137) with the stop loss moved to breakeven, exiting 50% at T2 ($143) with the stop loss moved to T1, and exiting the remaining 25% at T3 ($150). The stop loss is initially set at $124 to limit potential downside. It is important to monitor the volume closely for confirmation of a breakout above $132, as increased volume could signify a stronger breakout move.
EURPLN Short Trade SetupAfter conducting an analysis on EURPLN, we are excited to present our trade setup.
This opportunity boasts a favorable risk/reward ratio, although it does require patience due to a longer waiting period.
Nevertheless, swing traders may find this setup intriguing and worth considering.
AUD/USD Weakens Toward 0.6745 and Rising USDThe AUD/USD pair is losing further ground, trading around 0.6745 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Australian Dollar is under pressure due to a widening Current Account deficit in the second quarter, which has dampened sentiment. This economic backdrop, coupled with a modest uptick in the US Dollar and a broader decline in risk appetite, is weighing on the pair.
Market Focus Shifts to US Economic Data
As the market shifts its focus to upcoming top-tier US economic data, the AUD/USD pair is likely to remain volatile. Investors are closely watching these releases for further clues on the direction of the US Dollar, which has been showing signs of strength.
Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Align
From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair has recently rebounded from a key Supply area, suggesting that the upward momentum may be stalling. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report adds another layer to the bearish outlook, showing that retail traders are predominantly bullish on the AUD, a contrarian signal that often suggests potential downside.
Additionally, the presence of divergence and a seasonal bearish pattern further supports the case for continued weakness in the AUD/USD pair. These factors combined indicate that the pair may continue to struggle in the near term.
Trading Strategy: Scalping with a 1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio
Given the current market conditions and the technical setup, a scalp entry with a 1:1 risk-reward ratio could be a prudent approach. While the ideal entry point higher up may have been missed, the ongoing bearish signals provide an opportunity for a short-term trade. Traders looking to capitalize on the continued weakness of the AUD/USD pair might consider this strategy, especially as the pair hovers near key support levels.
Conclusion: Bearish Outlook Amid Economic and Technical Headwinds
The AUD/USD pair faces several headwinds, including a widening Australian Current Account deficit, a stronger US Dollar, and unfavorable technical signals. As the pair continues to lose ground, traders should remain cautious and look for opportunities to capitalize on the bearish trend, particularly in light of upcoming US economic data that could further influence the pair’s direction.
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CRYPTO COIN - ATOM = LONG As I wrote in previous posts, many coins are currently forming a descending wedge. It can be noted that the ATOM coin was heavily sold off with large impulses. It's also clear that the coin bounced off the support zone, and in my opinion, it may now be breaking out of the wedge into play. The project itself is very promising and has many applications in cryptocurrency, which could increase buyer interest in purchasing it.
Short position on SUPERUSDT / Which one is correct?BINANCE:SUPERUSDT
COINBASE:SUPERUSD
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.6712
0.6605
0.6517
0.6408
0.6266
SL:
0.7181
The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes above the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
Gold Analysis September 9☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices witnessed an intraday reversal from an all-time high and fell below the psychological $2,500 level after the release of key US monthly employment data on Friday. The mixed US employment report reduced the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, which prompted some cover in the US dollar (USD) prices and weighed on the precious metal.
That said, concerns about a US recession dampened investors’ appetite for riskier assets and acted as a driver for safe-haven Gold prices. Additionally, the lack of progress in ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas became another factor supporting XAU/USD during the Asian session on Monday. This warrants caution for bearish traders amid the prospect of an impending Fed rate cut cycle.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold is below the 2500 round port level, in fact this port area is no longer strong enough to push gold prices lower. The area of interest in today's European session is around the 2507 Fibonacci 0.5 retracement zone and the 2512 Fibonacci final extension zone. These are two areas of interest for a SELL plan. When 2512 is broken, the downtrend on Friday is reversed. The main candle h4 is broken and ATH comes early this week, the expected level is 255x. The 2331 area is no longer valuable when gold pushes up. In the opposite direction, the 2470-2460 2433 area plays an important support role.
🌸Trading signal
SELL zone 2505 - 2507 Stoploss 2511
BUY zone 2484 - 2482 Stoploss 2479
BUY zone 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
EURUSD week 37 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD gave up intraday gains and slipped below 1.1100 after hitting a fresh weekly high of 1.1150 during Friday's North American session. The broad currency pair's gains were offset by a solid recovery in the US Dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, rose to near 101.40 after reversing intraday losses.
Signs of slowing labour demand have fuelled market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could start cutting interest rates aggressively.
The ECB is widely expected to cut interest rates again at its September meeting. The central bank started the policy easing process in June but left its key lending rate unchanged in July. In the final quarter of the year, traders remained divided on whether the ECB would cut at its November or December meeting, or both.
📊Technical Analysis
The bounce and high of 1.115 has created a new bearish channel for EURUSD. On the 4-hour time frame, the two EMAs have come together, indicating that the bullish momentum is not as strong as last week and that a trend reversal is in order. The narrow price range that the pair formed last week at 1.113 and 1.101 is widening as a break from the narrow range could see the pair reach last month's high around 1.119 and on the upside, the support at 1.095 will keep the pair in the long-term bullish channel.
Support: 1.101-1.095
Resistance: 1.115-1.119
🕯Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.119-1.121 Stoploss 1.123
BUY EURUSD zone 1.095-1.093 Stoploss 1.091
GBPUSD week 37 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
GBPUSD fell sharply after hitting a fresh weekly high above the 1.3200 round-figure resistance against the US Dollar (USD) during Friday's North American session. The GBP/USD pair fell as the US Dollar rebounded strongly following the US (US) Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for August. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the Greenback against six major currencies, recovered strongly to near 101.40 after falling to near 100.60.
The short-term outlook for the British currency remains upbeat recently as investors expect the BoE's policy easing cycle to be shallower than that of other central banks.
The main reason behind the strong speculation of a gradual BoE easing cycle is that the economy is performing better than previously expected and the fact that inflation in the services sector remains high. In the UK economic calendar next week, investors will focus on the Employment data for the quarter ending in July and the monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for July. Both of these figures could be key to determining what the BoE will decide to do with interest rates when it meets later this month.
📊Technical Analysis
The NFP pullback is approaching the 1.308 support zone. The uptrend is still strong with a possible retracement to the 1.0 Fibonacci around the 1.301 zone to bounce back to wave 5 and complete the bullish wave pattern. 1.334 would be a nice Fibonacci resistance zone where we can look at the reaction to execute the SELL signals. In the opposite direction, the Dow breakout of wave 1 formed a strong support level around 1.288. The EMA 34 is gradually decreasing in slope compared to the EMA 89, showing that the market structure is leaning towards the upside but not as strong as last week.
Support: 1.301-1.299
Resistance: 1.322- 1.334
🕯Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD: 1.301-1.299 Stoploss 1.297
BUY GBPUSD: 1.288-1.286 Stoploss 1.284
SELL GBPUSD 1.334-1.336 Stoploss 1.338
Non-Farm Payroll News Release 9.6.2024 BitcoinThis video goes over how Non-Farm Payroll was traded. In this video I go over how to enter the trade and close out partial to get your DAILY PAYCHECK. Then let a few runners go, so you can get a MONTHLY BONUS check every month. The runners get you extra profit on the trade as well as add up over the month.
Thanks for watching. I hope you enjoyed the video. Please, feel free to share it.
- Money Duck - Butch
GBPUSD Trading SignalsGBP/USD consolidates near 1.3200 as focus shifts to NFP
GBP/USD trades in a narrow range slightly below 1.3200 in the European session on Friday. Market participants refrain from taking large positions as focus shifts to August Nonfarm Payrolls data from the US, which could influence the Fed's rate outlook.
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.316-1.314 SL 1.312
NZD/CHF Long and EUR/NZD ShortNZD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CHF Long Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EURGBP ASCENDING TRIANGLE TRADERight then, can see we have come to a major level of significant resistance and we are seeing bearish pressure as a reaction to it (has been of significance for a while so other people will look to trade this level aswell). If i see alot of bearish pressure i will be entering as other traders will do the same and bring down price in favour
EURAUD BUYEuro vs Australia dollar 💵 has made a falling wedge over daily TF and when it broke above that falling wedge it has made a 1H falling wedge to retest the daily broke falling wedge it has also broke 1H wedge an trying to move into bullish direction toward its daily Resistance so we will be waiting for a confirmation and enter into trade