EW Breakdown of USDCHF: Eyeing a Move Toward 0.8620Timeframe: 4h (240 min)
I have analyzed the wave count by examining a consolidation area with significant trading activity following a sharp decline in USDCHF. Observing the slope of the fall, it appears that this congestion area could represent a correction on the 4-hour timeframe. The wave count indicates that wave B has formed a contracting triangle, with wave (e) of wave B completing at 0.8396 .
We are at wave (C), which has can be move forward after breaching a strong resistance of 0.85154 . The currency may have some pullback for the public participation, but it shouldn't exceed the low of wave B. The setup can be formed after the breakout of wave B, for the distance up to 0.8618 .
Fibonacci Calculations are given below:
Wave C = 1.618 of Wave A
Wave C = 0.786 of the previous impulse
Wave C = 1.618 of the previous impulse
Additional information will be provided shortly.
Trade
Bitcoin Drops Dock Workers Strike Key Support Levels to WatchToday marks the start of the dock worker strike, which isn't great news for the stock market, and as a result, we're seeing Bitcoin drop significantly. I don't think the strike will last too long maybe around two weeks or so but we'll have to wait and see. It's important to be cautious in the stock market during this period.
Currently, Bitcoin is finding support at $60,100.00. If it weren’t for the strike, I’d say this is a solid level for a potential bounce, but due to the current situation, I’m a bit more cautious. Let's see if Bitcoin holds this support or breaks through it. If it does break, the next support level is $58,600, though it's not as strong.
Alright, everyone, please hit the like button, and if you have any questions, drop them in the comments below. Have a great day!
Raises gold prices target to hit 2800 read the caption From the all-time high of $2,685 per troy ounce recorded last Thursday, it has lost a good $50. We had pointed out that the last part of the price increase was no longer justified by interest rate expectations. These had also already gone much too far and were therefore scaled back again somewhat in the last few days. This means that Gold currently lacks a key driving force
Gold Market UpdateI’m watching gold closely as it approaches a key resistance cluster at $2649-$2652 📊. We're seeing a slight pullback now, but with rising tensions in the Middle East 🌍 and the fear of escalation, there's potential for an upward push to a new ATH 📈.
👉Key Takeaway: The overall gold trend is still bullish. Patience is the key!
Gold Analysis October 1Fundamental Analysis
Wall Street traded mixed as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the 66th NABE Annual Meeting. Powell ruled out a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate cut at any of the central bank’s remaining policy meetings. Powell said there would be two more 25-bps cuts by 2024 if the economy performs as expected.
The greenback, as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), rose 0.15% to 100.56, a drag on the non-yielding metal. A light economic calendar in the US saw the Chicago PMI improve for a third straight month but remain in recessionary territory.
Geopolitical tensions remained high after Israel attacked Hezbollah headquarters in Lebanon, killing the group’s leader in the attack. While this warrants further gains for gold, bullion has failed to gain traction, analysts say.
Meanwhile, China’s economy remains sluggish, which has prompted a government response. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) is implementing additional economic stimulus measures, which has stimulated money flows into the country’s soaring stock market.
Technical Analysis
A short-term bearish channel is in place, as long as gold remains below the 2643 zone, the downtrend is likely to continue and extend to the 2600 round harbor. Watch for price reaction zones for BUY signals in the 2626-2615-2604 zone. In case of a trend break, the uptrend is limited by the immediate resistance zone 2656.
Trading signals
BUY GOLD zone 2626-2624 Stoploss 2625
BUY GOLD zone 2615-2613 Stoploss 2609
BUY GOLD zone 2604-2602 Stoploss 2599
SELL GOLD zone 2656-2658 Stoploss 2671
SELL GOLD zone 2643-2645 Stoploss 2649
NZD/JPY Short, AUD/JPY Short and CAD/CHF ShortNZD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
Positional Trade Idea:UBLThe chart of United Breweries Ltd (UBL) shows that the stock is testing a key resistance zone around ₹2,180. With consistent higher highs, it suggests a bullish momentum, but a breakout above this resistance is crucial for further gains.
Positional Trade Idea:
Entry: Buy on a breakout above ₹2,200 with volume confirmation.
Target: ₹2,400+ on successful breakout.
Stop Loss: Below ₹2,070 (last week's low) to manage risk.
Monitor the stock for a clear breakout, as it could lead to a strong uptrend continuation.
BTCUSD: Key Levels and Projections Based on Elliott WavesBTCUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the daily timeframe, identified as a W-X-Y structure with seven distinct waves. The price found support at the 200 EMA, reaching a low of 49,577 before bouncing back. The sub-waves within this structure are clearly visible, with wave (1) and wave (2) completing at 62,729 and 52,546 respectively.
Currently, BTCUSD is encountering strong resistance at the upper boundary of the corrective channel, posing a significant challenge for bullish momentum. Although wave (3) has managed to rise above wave (1), it has not yet confirmed a strong bullish breakout. To establish a decisive upward move, wave (3) needs to hold above wave B and breach the upper boundary of the channel. The breakout can help the price to get 100% of the whole correction.
Failure to break out of this resistance zone could result in the corrective structure extending into an X-Z formation, leading to a prolonged consolidation phase. This would suggest more time is needed for the pattern to play out, causing frustration for traders looking for a clear bullish trend.
We will provide further updates to our followers soon.
- Trade technique by KP
GBPUSD analysis week 40Fundamental Analysis
According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the market is currently pricing in a more than 75% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by another 50 basis points in November. In addition, weaker US macroeconomic data on Tuesday, coupled with the prevailing risk-on environment, further undermined the safe-haven dollar and confirmed the positive near-term outlook for GBP/USD.
Going forward, there is no market-relevant economic data due out of the UK on Wednesday. However, a scheduled speech by BoE MPC Member Megan Greene could influence GBP and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair. Later in the early North American session, US New Home Sales data could contribute to short-term trading opportunities.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD’s trading range has remained largely unchanged over the past week. With little technical movement we still see the pair in a solid range of 1.323 and 2.349. In the short term we can see that the immediate support zone has been raised after the price reacted strongly at 1.331 and the resistance level forming a triple top around 1.342 has been established. The GBPUSD direction could continue the correction early next week and reach the yearly record around 1.350 in the near term.
Trading signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.349-1.351 Stoploss 1.353
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.323-1.321 Stoploss 1.319
BITCOIN long setup / Bulls or Bears, Tell me in CommentsBINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello Traders
💥Long position on BTC
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
63,900
64,500
65,300
66,150
67,000
🔴SL:
60,100
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes below the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
ETHUSDT Reclaims 200 EMA: Eyes on $2500-$2600 Resistance!Ethereum (ETH) has successfully risen above the 200 EMA on the 4 hour Chart for the first time since July. signaling a potential bullish reversal. This critical indicator often marks a shift in market sentiment, and ETH's current price action suggests we could see significant upward movement.
Currently, ETH is facing a key resistance zone between $2500 and $2600. A breakout above this level could unleash further bullish momentum, with the next target to watch being $3000, which could be within reach as momentum builds. As we monitor this potential breakout, it's important to keep an eye on volume and momentum for confirmation, as a strong push through resistance will strengthen the bullish case.
Always keep stop loss!!
Part 1: Option Selling: A Simple Way to Earn Consistent PremiumsWe’ll explore the top 7 option-selling strategies on the NSE (National Stock Exchange) that could help traders target up to 10% monthly returns per Month on their capital. Option selling is an advanced strategy that can generate consistent income, but it’s important to balance high rewards with the right risk management. Whether you are new to options or an experienced trader, this guide will provide an overview of each strategy, rated based on its risk, reward, and suitability for achieving your financial goals.
Option Selling on NSE: A Simple Way to Earn Consistent Premiums
Introduction
Option selling is a great way to make steady income on the NSE. Instead of waiting for big market moves, you can sell options and collect premium upfront. It’s a strategy that benefits from time decay, meaning the longer the option sits without action, the more money you can make. Let’s break down why it works and why traders love it on the NSE.
What is Option Selling?
When you sell an option, you’re giving someone the right to buy or sell an asset at a specific price. In return, you get paid a premium upfront. As long as the market stays within a certain range, you keep that money.
Selling a Call : You profit if the price stays below a certain level.
Selling a Put : You profit if the price stays above a certain level.
It’s simple – the less the market moves, the more you earn.
Why Traders Choose Option Selling
1. Immediate Income
You get paid right away when you sell an option. No waiting for market moves, just steady income.
2. Time is Your Friend
As time passes, options lose value due to time decay. This works in your favor as a seller, since the option becomes less likely to be exercised.
3. High Win Rate
You don’t need big price moves. As long as the market stays within a range, you win.
4. Control Risk with Spreads
You can limit your risk by using spreads, where you buy another option to protect yourself if the market moves too much.
Why the NSE is Ideal for Option Selling:
High Liquidity: Options like Nifty and Bank Nifty have a lot of buyers and sellers, so trades are easy to make.Low Capital Requirement: You need less money to sell options on the NSE compared to other strategies.Risk Control: With the wide variety of options, you can set up trades that limit your risk.
Conclusion
Option selling on the NSE is a simple and effective way to generate steady income. By collecting premiums and managing risk with spreads, you can create a reliable strategy for consistent earnings. Whether you’re new to trading or experienced, option selling offers an accessible path to profit.
Quick SPX Scenario for Retesting Lower Support zoneBINANCE:SXPUSDT
BINANCE:SXPUSDT
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.2629
0.2596
0.2560
0.2510
🔴SL:
0.2783
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes above the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
VETUSDT 1:1 Long Setup SettingBINANCE:VETUSDT
COINBASE:VETUSD
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.02525
0.02551
0.02581
0.02621
🔴SL:
0.02354
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes below the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
Gold Price Analysis September 27Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some sellers over the weekend and fell further from its all-time high, around the $2,685-$2,686 region hit on Thursday. The decline was financed by some buying of the US Dollar (USD), which tends to weaken demand for the commodity. In addition, the bullish market mood, fueled by China’s new stimulus measures, turned out to be another factor driving outflows from the safe-haven precious metal.
That said, expectations of a more aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) kept the USD confined to a familiar range that has been maintained for about two weeks and within striking distance of the YTD low set last week. This, coupled with the risk of further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, should limit losses for Gold. Traders may also prefer to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.
Technical Analysis
Currently, the trading range of gold is very wide. and Gold can make an ATH at any time during this period. The lower border area is focused on ports 2650 and 2640. The upper area of ATH is focused on the round ports 2690 and 2700. If gold holds above the 2662 hook until the middle of the US session, we can still set up buy orders in this area to the upper resistance areas, and if it breaks 2662, wait for retest and sell to 2650-2640
BUY XAUUSD 2651-2649 Stoploss 2646
BUY XAUUSD 2641-2639 Stoploss 2636
SELL XAUUSD 2688-2690 Stoploss 2693
SELL XAUUSD 2699-2701 Stoploss 2704
CAD/JPY Short and CHF/JPY ShortCAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of inflection.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CHF/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of inflection.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Gold price analysis US session September 26Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices struggled to find a solid intraday direction on Thursday, hovering below the all-time highs reached the previous day. Bets on another aggressive rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) failed to help the US Dollar (USD) capitalize on the previous day’s solid recovery from its YTD lows and support the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, rising tensions in the Middle East and concerns over China’s economic recovery, despite the latest stimulus plans, acted as a catalyst for the safe-haven precious metal.
However, bullish traders appeared reluctant to press ahead, preferring to wait for further signals on the Fed’s rate cut path before placing fresh bets on Gold prices. Therefore, the focus will remain on the speeches of influential FOMC members, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, which will play an important role in influencing the USD price dynamics in the short term. In addition, US macro data - the final Q2 GDP report, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Ordinary Durable Goods Orders - will contribute to creating short-term trading opportunities around XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
The 2689-2691 zone becomes an important resistance zone today to prevent gold from sliding further. we are waiting for SELL signal in that area and retracement of gold price will be expected at 2660 and support level 2640
SELL GOLD 2689-2691 Stoploss 2694
BUY GOLD 2640-2638 Stoploss 2635
BUY GOLD 2660-2658 Stoploss 2655