Short UJ Entry: 15M entry 4H targetsI'm taking a short position on USD/JPY, looking for continuation towards the recent 4-hour swing lows. The pair has shown consistent bearish momentum, and I'm anticipating that this trend will extend further. The entry is positioned to target 1:3, with a focus on the price moving towards the previous (HTF) swing lows.
Trade
Gold (20/8) sets new ATH around 2520Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices extended their bullish momentum with a new high just set around 2520. Traders now appear reluctant and want to wait for further signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate cut roadmap before positioning for the next step of a directional move. Therefore, the focus will remain on the release of the July FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday.
The risk of further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the protracted war between Russia and Ukraine will continue to support XAU/USD. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bearish traders.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the price action within the range has broken out of the bullish consolidation phase, After breaking out around the $2,509-2,510 area to set a new ATH, gold is now stabilizing around 2,520. Our SELL entries are focused on the round port areas and the best Fibonacci resistance around 2,533
On the other hand, the horizontal resistance of $2,472-2,470 now looks to protect the immediate downside. Any further declines could attract new buyers and remain limited to the $2,448-2,446 area.
Resistance 2533 2540
Support: 2494 - 2488 - 2481 - 2475
SELL price zone 2533 - 2535 stoploss 2539
BUY price zone 2477 - 2375 stoploss 2471
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8.18.2024 Weekly Pre-Market Analysis S&PThis is my Weekly Pre-Market Analysis on the S&P>
Right now we are going to wait for market structure to form.
We saw lower highs and higher lows form on Friday after the last bullish move up. So we do not have a clear direction as to which way if may head.
We have a plan for a SHORT position as well as a plan for a LONG position.
We just need to watch the LOWS & HIGHS form on the 15 minute chart, before we even think of getting into a trade.
8.18.2024 Gold Extended To ATHsGold has extended to all time highs. It has broken through out top zone, so we no longer have a top zone as resistance.
Drew a channel on the chart that it may turn at. We will need to see a change in structure (Lower Highs/Lows) in order to short it, back to out previous zone it had broken.
Long Position on 1000SHIBUSDT / (Volume Projection)BINANCE:1000SHIBUSDT.P
PHEMEX:1000SHIBUSDT.P
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
⚡️TP:
0.013409
0.013570
0.013720
0.013830
0.013990
0.014190(In Optimistic Scenario)
➡️SL:
0.01268
0.01237
🧐The Alternate scenario:
🔴If the price stabilizes below the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
Gold drops below $2,50 after CPIA break below $2,455 on a closing basis would help confirm the start of a fresh down leg within the range, thereby extending the sideways trend. If so, the price will probably move down to $2,400 or perhaps the range floor in the $2,390s. Due to the fact the range is tapering slightly, it might also be a triangle pattern in the final stages of development.
A decisive break above the range ceiling, however, would indicate the development of a more bullish trend. Such a breakout would probably follow through higher to at least $2,550, calculated by taking the 0.618 Fibonacci ratio of the range’s height and extrapolating it higher.
A decisive break would be one characterized by a long green candle that pierced clearly through the level and closed near its high, or three green candles in a row that breached the level.
GBP/AUD Short, NZD/JPY Short, USD/CAD Short and EUR/CAD ShortGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If area of value tapped into, risk entry after a 1 hour rejection from it.
NZD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Trade Setup: Long Position from Fibonacci Golden PocketI've entered a long position on USD/CAD, using the Fibonacci retracement for my setup. The entry is based on the golden pocket level, a key area between the 61.8% and 65% retracement levels, which often acts as strong support.
Although I've been underwater on this trade for a while, I'm still confident in the strength of the golden pocket.
My stop loss is strategically placed below this level at 1.37115 to protect against further downside. I'm targeting the 0.382 Fibonacci level for my final take-profit at 1.38110.
I'm also considering adding to my position if we get a four-hour close above the EMA on the 4-hour chart, which would further confirm the bullish setup.
I'll keep you posted as the trade develops.
Gold Trade Setup: Short Position on Ascending TriangleI've identified an ascending triangle on the gold chart and have taken a short position from the top of the range. My entry is at 2,443.506 with a stop loss placed just above the triangle at 2,446.460.
Ascending triangles typically signal a bullish breakout, but I've positioned for a potential pullback or false breakout. My stop loss is set conservatively above the triangle to protect against any upside breakout. I'm aiming for a favorable risk/reward ratio by shorting at resistance, with plans to take profits at the 15-minute EMA level, which is currently at 2,436.7.
I'll update as the trade progresses.
GBP/AUD Short, USD/CAD Short, NZD/USD Long and GBP/CHF ShortGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If area of value tapped into, risk entry after a 1 hour rejection from it.
USD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SPECUSDT.P-Bull flag Specusdt.p Bullish Setup: Bull Flag Breakout
The SPECUSDT.P pair has formed a classic bull flag pattern, and we've just seen a breakout above the structure at 6.008. While this is a promising sign, I’m waiting for a 4-hour candle close above the flag to confirm the breakout before entering a long position.
Entry: Watching for confirmation above 6.008.
Stop-Loss (SL): Below the EMA at 5.879.
Take-Profit (TP): Targeting 6.749.
This setup offers a good risk-to-reward ratio, with a well-defined SL and TP.
Always manage your risk accordingly.