NZD/USD Short, AUD/USD Short and NZD/CAD ShortNZD/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Short
• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Trade
EUR/USD Short and NZD/CAD ShortEUR/USD Short
• If price corrects and a larger three touch one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Bitcoin Buy the Flags NFA This is what ill be doing. Not to say that i have not also been buying these lower/smaller/more shallow dips as well and especially with mining stocks flipping them intraday.
But in the bigger picture this is more of what you should be looking to swing trade.
I'll be buying more aggressively as we touch into these marked areas.
Global liquidity TRUMPS price actionA week ago I had a little exchange with someone on Reddit who was claiming that Bitcoin would be shooting up. The analysis was purely technical, using pitchforks and trends, and I was surprised by their level of conviction in the prediction. Here's a snippet of my response:
I find it interesting when I see trade ideas based on price movement. Market structures can tell you where certain levels are, but it doesn't tell you much about the propensity of a move until it's well underway, no?
This is the point I'm repeating to others while I drill it into my own head. In the rock, paper, scissors game of trading, liquidity beats technical analysis. TA can give you the shape of the river, but it does not tell you how much water is flowing through it.
Last week, I pointed out that even though we had an overall bullish flow signal, that a the countertrend dip signal should be heeded.
Countertrend dips and bounces turn into liquidity trend changes if they persist. When those show up, it's a time to start taking profits. If it is indeed a short-term move, then TA and subsequently Flow will point this out, at which point leaning into the overall trend makes sense.
While the last move was waiting for the countertrend dip to play out (or short it down to the seasonal current ), now the trade is waiting to see what is happening with liquidity. A green bounce suggests a run up to $35K, while a red ebb might call for a fall to $22.5K.
EUR/USD Short, GBP/AUD Long, NZD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortEUR/USD Short
• If price corrects and a larger one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/AUD Short
• If price corrects and a larger one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/CAD Short
• If price corrects and a larger one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Short
• If price corrects and a larger one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPUSD Long Buyers to retain controlTargets
1.35
1.39.
1.48
See the chart above
GBP/USD entered a consolidative phase in a holiday-shortened week.
Eyes on United States inflation data, UK jobs report and BoE’s Bailey in the week ahead.
Risks remain skewed to the upside whilst above 1.2600, with a bullish RSI.
The Pound Sterling held onto recovery gains against the United States Dollar (USD) this week following a brief correction from 14-month highs. GBP/USD, however, traded in a narrow range, with the upside capped by resurgent US Dollar demand on hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) signals and growing recession fears. Traders repositioned ahead of next week’s top-tier United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the United Kingdom’s employment data.
Market expectations signaling more tightening by the Federal Reserve later this year drove the US Dollar valuations, while the Pound Sterling drew support from the hawkish pricing of the Bank of England (BoE) terminal rate beyond 6.0%. Against this backdrop, the GBP/USD pair witnessed a tug-of-war, but Pound Sterling bulls eventually held the upper hand following a mixed set of United States economic data in the second half of the week.
At the start of the week, the top-tier US ISM Manufacturing PMI data unexpectedly showed that contraction in the manufacturing sector deepened further. The US Dollar came under renewed selling pressure in an immediate reaction to the downbeat data but quickly regained its footing as the data also rekindled recession fears. Renewed US-China trade tensions also underpinned the safe-haven demand for the Greenback, keeping the upside attempts in check for GBP/USD near the 1.2740 region.
Hawkish signals from the Minutes of the Fed meeting in June also kept the buoyant tone intact around the American Dollar. The Minutes showed that almost all Fed officials indicated that further tightening is likely. US Treasury bond yields extended their upsurge on the hawkish Fed outlook, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond yields hitting their highest level in four months above the key 4.0%.
In the latter part of the week, US Dollar sellers returned on mixed US JOLTS Job Openings data and the ISM Services PMI. Job Openings fell to 9.82 million at the end of May, dropping from an upwardly revised 10.3 million in April, according to the BLS’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report. Markets had expected openings to fall to 9.935 million in May. The June US ISM Services purchasing managers' index (PMI) came in at 53.9, which was above the 51.0 forecast. Despite the upbeat headline number, the ISM Services components were mixed, which failed to impress US Dollar bulls.
GBP/USD briefly took a flight to 1.2800 but lost the bullish momentum as Pound Sterling traders turned on the sidelines ahead of Friday’s highly-anticipated US NFP data release. The pair resumed its advance and flirts with the 1.28 figure, as the US added just 209K new jobs in June, missing expectations, while the Unemployment Rate declined to 3.6% as expected. The USD initially fell, although higher-than-anticipated wages limited optimism. Average Hourly Earnings rose 0.4% MoM and 4.4% YoY, reflecting remaining pressures in the inflation front and therefore, leaving the door open for additional monetary tightening.
Pound to Dollar forecast by day
Date Weekday Min Max Rate
10/07 Monday 1.274 1.312 1.293
11/07 Tuesday 1.277 1.315 1.296
12/07 Wednesday 1.276 1.314 1.295
13/07 Thursday 1.278 1.316 1.297
14/07 Friday 1.277 1.315 1.296
17/07 Monday 1.285 1.325 1.305
18/07 Tuesday 1.282 1.322 1.302
19/07 Wednesday 1.272 1.310 1.291
20/07 Thursday 1.276 1.314 1.295
21/07 Friday 1.276 1.314 1.295
24/07 Monday 1.273 1.311 1.292
25/07 Tuesday 1.271 1.309 1.290
26/07 Wednesday 1.271 1.309 1.290
27/07 Thursday 1.268 1.306 1.287
28/07 Friday 1.265 1.303 1.284
31/07 Monday 1.269 1.307 1.288
01/08 Tuesday 1.281 1.320 1.300
02/08 Wednesday 1.285 1.325 1.305
03/08 Thursday 1.295 1.335 1.315
04/08 Friday 1.288 1.328 1.308
07/08 Monday 1.290 1.330 1.310
08/08 Tuesday 1.303 1.343 1.323
09/08 Wednesday 1.304 1.344 1.324
10/08 Thursday 1.303 1.343 1.323
USDJPY Strong Bullish LongUSD/JPY tests new highs as Treasury yields rise. While the market expects that the Fed would stop after an additional 25 bps rate hike in July, BoJ’s ultra-dovish policy puts too much pressure on the Japanese yen.
See also the following related Trading Ideas
USDJPY published apr 2023
USDJPY published may2023
Taking a look at the daily chart, a move above the resistance in the 144.20 – 145.20 range will push USD/JPY towards the next resistance level at 148.35 – 148.75.
Higher Timeframes Showing Lack of Nearby Resistance
From the weekly timeframe, I see the USD/JPY eyeballing a Harmonic Bat pattern’s Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) between ¥149.09 and ¥146.68 (made up of a deep 88.6% Fibonacci retracement ratio , a 1.618% Fibonacci projection and a 200% extension ratio). Given the limited resistance overhead on the weekly chart until the observed PRZ, additional outperformance may be on the table for the currency pair.
Moving down to the daily timeframe, last week retested a recently breached resistance level at ¥141.60 and pencilled in support. You might acknowledge that resistance calls for attention overhead at ¥144.95, with a break north of here unearthing the weekly timeframe’s Harmonic PRZ highlighted above. What is also technically interesting on the daily chart is that just above ¥144.95 resides a pattern profit objective for an ascending triangle pattern (¥137.91/¥129.64) at ¥145.90, which joins up closely with the lower side of the weekly Harmonic PRZ.
H1 Timeframe Working with ¥144 and ¥143
Finally, from the H1 timeframe, we can see that price recently recoiled from ¥143 and is on the verge of approaching resistance from ¥143.90 and the ¥144 psychological handle.
While follow-through upside could be seen, as suggested by the higher timeframes (through a lack of resistance), which may send H1 price above ¥144 and entice breakout buying in the direction of at least daily resistance at ¥144.95, a whipsaw beneath ¥143 could equally still occur. A whipsaw (or stop run) beneath ¥143 might be enough to attract those seeking dip-buying opportunities from H1 support at ¥142.78, targeting a break above ¥144 and continuation moves higher.
Strategy Bullish
Trend
Trend continuation confirmation:Positive
EURUSD LONG while other majors weaker than DollarEuro and Swissi are currently the only majors against US Dollar that are strong.
EUR/USD climbs above 1.0820 after soft US PPI data
EUR/USD shoots to near 1.0820 as US PPI deflated wider than anticipated
UR/USD has jumped strongly to near 1.0820 as US PPI has softened significantly inspired by lower gasoline prices.
US monthly headline PPI has registered deflation while core PPI has maintained its pace at 0.2%.
The ECB is expected to raise interest rates by 25bps to 4% in order to sharpen its quantitative tools in the battle above 6% inflation.
The EUR/USD pair has accelerated dramatically to near 1.0820 after the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) data shows wider-than-expectations deflation. Monthly headline PPI contracted by 0.3% in May while the street was anticipating a 0.1% contraction. Investors should note that the economic data reported a pace of 0.2% in April. Annualized headline PPI has softened to 1.1% vs. the consensus of 1.5% and the prior release of 2.3%.
Contrary to that, US monthly core PPI has maintained its pace at 0.2% as expected by the market participants. The annualized core PPI has decelerated to 2.8% against the expectations of 2.9% and the former release of 3.1%.
The impact of weak oil prices is clearly visible in extremely soft PPI figures. Firms have passed on the impact of the sheer decline in gasoline prices to the end consumers as the street has not recognized any sign of a slowdown in the overall demand yet.
It looks like in the list of soft inflation, easing labor market conditions, and weak economic activities, decelerated PPI has been added, which would propel the need of skipping interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The US Dollar Index (DXY) has attracted significant offers after softer-than-anticipated and has dropped below the crucial support of 103.00.
On the Eurozone front, investors are awaiting the interest rate decision by the European Central Bank (ECB). ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4% in order to sharpen its quantitative tools in the battle above 6% inflation.
Economists at Danske Bank expect a pause by the Fed could pose near-term upside risks to EUR/USD, but we still maintain a bearish view on the cross towards the second half of CY2023.
The cautious optimism, however, continues as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce their decisions on monetary policy in the next 24 hours. In the upcoming American session, it will be the Fed’s turn, with the central bank also releasing the Summary of Economic Projections, the so-called dot plot- Additionally, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Chairman Jerome Powell will offer a press conference.
Big Picture
EUR BULLISH
Continued Eurozone growth over time, and much slower pace of rate cuts from the ECB relative to the Fed
Policy rates are unlikely to have peaked at 3.00%
Further ECB tightening supporting outlook for medium term strength
ECB will likely stay on the path possibly for a while longer
ECB may have another 150 bps of rates hikes to go to get to a terminal rate of 4%
Growth and monetary policy trends to support Euro
Declining inflation in the US ,reopening of China, and cheaper gas prices to avoid a significant economic slowdown
The rate hikes will continue and that’s positive for the Euro
An improving outlook for the eurozone economy and currency
Buying Euro on every ray of sunlight
Improving investor sentiment in Europe
Euro should show an increasingly solid recovery as the US outlook dims
ECB hawks are waking up
USD BEARISH
The hurdle for raising rates this month is higher, implying fresh US Dollar falls
Dollar weakness will pick up pace during 2024 as market attention turns toward Fed rate cuts
Fed feels more comfortable with receding inflation
US Dollar's position as the primary global reserve currency is being challenged
America on verge of losing petrodollar privilege
Other regions may need to continue their crusade for inflation, reducing spreads of debt securities yields
Combination of lower Fed rate expectations and improved risk sentiment is quintessentially negative
No more Fed hikes, potentially lethal to the US Dollar
US economy to slip into recession, Fed eventually cut rates quicker than peer institutions
Sticky inflation? What is sticky is the downtrend
EUR/USD BEARISH THEMES
EUR BEARISH
Russia is going to get rid of the Euros in their wealth fund
European Commission expects the eurozone economy to decline in Q4 2022 and Q1 2023
Italy’s debt could be a worry for the Eurozone
Inflation risks are to the upside, while growth risks are on the downside
ECB is moving from fighting inflation to worrying about inflation
Europe is in a great stress
Bracing for a tough winter
Underwhelming Eurozone growth should see ECB lag well behind the Fed
Europe is the biggest loser in the Russian-Ukrainian war
Recession seems likely in Germany
Energy crunch could last years
The route of the energy plan could drive to a lengthy, messy and choppy period
The war is still a huge drag on the European economy
USD BULLISH
When the dust settles, the Fed is set to continue raising rates
US to have permanently higher rates than elsewhere
Re-acceleration of inflation and its win over the Fed will continue to catch the market by surprise
The Dollar is higher for longer, alongside the Fed’s narrative
Stagflation to take USD even higher
Hot CPI means the Fed pivot is well beyond the horizon
Ugly inflation promises further flight to safety
US at war means a stronger dollar
Outlook for Fed monetary policy now more hawkish
Powell projects pain, higher rates for longer set to keep the dollar bid
EUR/USD Short, EUR/AUD Short and CAD/JPY ShortEUR/USD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Short
• If price corrects and a larger one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CAD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Short and CAD/JPY ShortEUR/AUD Short
• If price corrects and a larger three touch one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CAD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Gold - XAUUSD, sitting on supportDespite majority of my analysis are in stocks, I am a forex and commodities trader as well. Gold is one of the assets I love trading the most, an asset that has been very good to me in the past.
What am I watching at this moment?
My approach to trading Gold is something like a swing trading approach, with lots of scaling in to a position. I am usually looking for bounces and breaks from support or resistance lines, retests of Fib levels and moving averages.
Currently, Gold is trying to break it's resistance level which was holding good in the past. Level sitting at around $1976.5-1978. I will be waiting for the break of this price level for entry.
What will happen when the break occurs?
I will be long, for sure. When you look at the H4 chart of XAUUSD pair, you can clearly see makings of HigherLow and HigherHigh's, which are pointing that after a big price decline from ATH, Gold price is finally reversing and becoming bullish.
Stop Loss and Take Profits?
My stop loss will be set right below the previous support level, sitting at around $1972 price level. My take profit level will ultimately be the ATH(all time high) price, sitting at around $2066.
Adding to the position?
If the price of Gold keeps rising, I will surely monitor the charts to see where I will be able to add to my positions. The first area is just around the $1983.5 price level.
Second area, will surely be the break of resistance sitting at $2003 price level, and so on.
Of course, every trade I make or position I take is risk adjusted. I never risk more than 1% of my entire account on any position when it comes to Forex or Crypto.
Of course, as always, please do your due diligence when investing and trading.
EUR/USD Short, USD/JPY Short and CAD/JPY ShortEUR/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CAD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EURUSD 4H Pivot Price: 1.12242 EURUSD
stabilizing above 1.12242 will support rising to touch 1.12643 then 1.13076 then 1.13488
stabilizing under 1.12242 will support falling to touch 1.11803 the 1.1139
Pivot Price: 1.12242
Resistance prices: 1.12643 & 1.13076 & 1.13488
Support prices: 1.11803 & 1.1139 & 1.10954
timeframe: 4H
EUR/USD Short, WHEAT/USD and USD/JPY ShortEUR/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WHEAT/USD Short
• If price corrects and a one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EURUSD pullback and bullish moveSo, my last bid on EURUSD was a bust, i was hoping for a increase in interests from the FED, but this seems less and less likely now a days.
SO my new move for the next coming wee/weeks is a minor pullback for EURUSD and then a catalyst move the 27th where ECB will increase interests and the FED will keep interests still.
Good luck!
AUD/JPY Long, EUR/USD Short, WHEAT/USD Short and USD/CAD LongAUD/JPY long
• If price impulses up, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WHEAT/USD Short
• If price pushes up above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Long
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/AUD Short, EUR/AUD Long and NZD/CAD ShortGBP/AUD Short
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/CAD Short
• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
How to avoid the loss of funds in the transaction?Regardless of experience, every trader needs a plan. The key factors that can help the transaction become safer, they are the necessary strategic minimum requirements to ensure stable income and avoid unpredictable losses.
Why Do Traders Fail?
Let's take a look at the top reasons why traders lose money:
Trading is a complex process. Trading strategies require discipline and precision. Even with the best ideas, some traders can forget to act systematically.
Traders can be reckless. They give up doing market analysis, don't bother with stop loss orders, and forget about the rules of risk management. These all lead to mistakes and bad deals.
So how to avoid the loss of funds in the transaction?
1 Don't build positions with huge volume
If you are unsure of market movements, focus on at most one or two trades in a session. In the case of a small order volume, it is more controllable to track and find out various opportunities.
Please note that some factors, such as slippage (the difference between the expected price of the order and the actual execution price of the order), are unsolvable and cannot be considered in advance before the transaction is opened).
2Using Stop Loss and Take Profit
To reduce the risk of losing your money, you can use a stop loss order. They protect you from losing more money than you can afford. As for take profit, the principle is similar -- it will automatically close the order when the price target is reached, thereby locking in the profit. Therefore, taking profit will help you get out of the market immediately when the market price is right, so as to maximize your profits.
3Use reasonable leverage
By setting a wider and reasonable stop loss, smaller leverage will allow each trade to have more breathing room, thereby avoiding higher capital losses. High leverage will blow up your trading account faster when the market trend goes against your expectations, because a larger lot size will make you face higher losses.
4. Pay attention to important news
The market can change its trend at any time due to news or even rumors. Staying informed is key. All traders need to follow up all kinds of news throughout the trading hours. Let's say you realize that a news release will affect the direction of your position, but you're not sure which direction it will be. In such cases, you should provide maximum protection for the position you open (set stop loss, take profit, and in extreme cases, close the position before the release of the expected news).
5 Don’t Trade During Low Liquidity Hours
You need to be aware that illiquid trading instruments tend to have wider bid-ask spreads, higher volatility and, thus, higher risk for the trader. Therefore, trading in a cycle with little liquidity will face the possibility of high capital losses.
6 View multiple metrics
It is best to make your long/short decision based on several technical indicators. Indicators and other tools in technical analysis need to corroborate each other. Combine two or three different types of indicators. Your trading strategy can also rely on candlestick and trend chart patterns, as well as the use of golden section tools. In this way, the system will provide you with signals with a high probability of success. If you use such a strategy, combined with a stop loss and the correct risk/reward ratio, then you can avoid losing money in your trades.
7 Control Your Emotions
The most successful trading comes from confidence and calm. Your fear of losing money, or your desire to make money with your trading instruments in the precarious state of big news, can get in the way. Make sure you keep your emotions in check and use tools like stop loss and take profit orders to make objective trading decisions.
If it helps you, please like and follow.
SOYBN/USD Long and AUD/JPY LongSOYBN/USD Long
• If price completes its middle section and it then impulses down below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/JPY Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.