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LLY: Entry Volume, Target, StopEntry: > 972.53 Volume: > 3.184M Target: 1,117.98 area (this is an area, no guarantees, you should be selling on the way up) Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; Based on an entry of 972.53, 899.93 gets you 2/1 Reward to Risk Ratio. This LONG swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not enter a trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
NYSE:LLYLong
by tradepatiently
1
Airbnb (ABNB): Holding the line, but for how long?!After charting Airbnb one month ago, we’ve seen another slight dip, and one of our members rightly pointed out that Airbnb has reacted well to the $113.60 price level. This level has acted as support for the fourth time now, and it seems like it could hold. However, t here’s a big BUT —we’re not placing an entry just yet. Trying to catch the exact bottom of Wave 1 can be risky and extremely difficult. Instead, we are more focused on waiting for a possible short opportunity if Airbnb rises again. Airbnb continues to struggle, and we don't want to catch this falling knife too early, risking unnecessary losses. We’ll keep monitoring the situation closely, and if we gain more confidence that this is indeed the end of Wave 1, we’ll let you know. 🫡
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Trading Signals September 20Fundamental Analysis Bullish gold extended gains after recording losses on Wednesday following the Fed decision. Officials sided with the larger of the two cuts expected by Wall Street, justifying their decision by pointing to inflation progressing steadily toward the Fed’s 2% target. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed that the Fed could maintain labor strength by adjusting policy. Meanwhile, US employment data is in focus after Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, in which he shifted focus to achieving the maximum employment mandate. On Thursday, the US Department of Labor revealed that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits was lower than expected, indicating strength in the labor market. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields followed in Gold’s footsteps, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yielding 3.74%, up three and a half basis points. However, this did not support the greenback, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell 0.31% to 100.62. Technical Analysis The price zone to watch in today's European session is 2610 new ATH peak. If the price fails to break this zone in the middle of the European session, Gold can be sold to the breakout zone when the European session is 2600-2595. When the US session fails to break the 2595 zone, BUY again and continue to hold long-term combined with the old BUY signals in the 254x 247x zone of the previous days, we have a long-term BUY signal up to 27xx Trading signal Breakout upper boundary: 2593 - 2600 -2605 - 2615 Upper resistance: 2593 - 2600 -2605 - 2615 Breakout lower boundary: 2580 - 2572 - 2565 - 2557 - 2550 Support: 2580 - 2572 - 2565 - 2557 - 2550 SELL 2613 - 2615. Stoploss 2619 BUY 2580 - 2578. Stoploss 2574 BUY 2567 - 2565. Stoploss 2561
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action. 1. Diverging Central Bank Policies One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). - Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards. - Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY. 2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment. - US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum. - Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate. 3. Japanese Economic Conditions Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation. Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path. 4. US Bond Yields US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY. 5. Technical Indicators Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum. - Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher. Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by: - Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ. - Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields. - Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits. - Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen. Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week. --- Keywords: - USDJPY forecast - USDJPY bullish bias - USDJPY analysis September 2024 - USDJPY technical analysis - USDJPY key drivers - USDJPY trading strategy - USDJPY and Federal Reserve policy - USDJPY support and resistance levels - USDJPY risk sentiment - USDJPY bond yields impact
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
Short idea on $BTC In the local setup, I see a good opportunity for execution, with a risk/reward ratio of 1 to 5, which is very favorable. However, the risks here are quite high, so I will enter with a small portion. Reasons for entry. Based on the structure, it’s clear that we are retracing to 0.382 or 0.618 and then heading down. You can check this yourself. Since my portfolio is long, I won’t have any significant losses. If we drop, I’ll reinvest part of it.Reasons for entry. Based on the structure, it’s clear that we are retracing to 0.382 or 0.618 and then heading down. You can check this yourself. Since my portfolio is long, I won’t have any significant losses. If we drop, I’ll reinvest part of it.
Short
by MyTechNAz
Gold Price Analysis Ahead of FOMC September 18Fundamental Analysis On the day of the Fed's announcement, markets continued to price in a 65% chance of a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut, CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed, reviving selling interest around the US dollar (USD), as US Treasury yields also turned defensive amid cautious markets. As such. Gold prices are attempting to reclaim all-time highs just shy of $2,600, as attention turns to the Fed's decision, Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference and the Dot Plot, all of which will help gauge the US central bank's future policy actions. If the Fed delivers a 25 basis point rate cut later this Wednesday, it could send the US dollar soaring. However, the immediate reaction to the Fed's announcements could be overshadowed by the implications of the Fed's projections and Powell's words. Therefore, gold prices are still subject to strong fluctuations in the Fed event. Conversely, if the Fed acknowledges the potential risks to inflation and maintains a cautious tone, this could bring the hawks back into the game, negatively affecting the non-interest-bearing gold price. Technical analysis Gold is breaking the downside price band and approaching the resistance level around 2575. If it fails to break this zone before the US session, we can SELL and hold to 255x and 2545 when the FOMC announces to BUY back up and hold to 262x. In case of breaking the 2575 zone, we will not SELL and wait for the candle to close above 258x and BUY when the 2575 zone is retested. Hold until the FOMC does not break the new ATH, then we exit the order. Breakout upper limit: 2582 - 2591 - 2603 Upper resistance: 2581 - 2590 - 2600 - 2605 - 2615 - 2626 - 2645 Breakout lower limit: 2570 - 2563 - 2550 - 2538 Support: 2572 - 2564 - 2552 - 2545 - 2539 - 2525 - 2516 Pay attention to the trend zone around 2580 above. Sell the price zone 2603-2605. Stoploss 2609 Watch for BUY 2564 - 2562. Stoploss 2558 Watch for BUY 2545 - 2547. Stoploss 2541
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
NZD/USD Rises Ahead of Fed Decision, Reversal Risk LoomsNZD/USD has appreciated in recent trading sessions, supported by improved global risk sentiment as markets anticipate a potential interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday. However, while the New Zealand dollar has gained momentum, the outlook for the pair remains uncertain, with critical U.S. economic data expected today that could significantly impact all currency pairs trading against the U.S. dollar. Key Market Drivers: Fed and U.S. Economic News The Federal Funds Rate decision and the accompanying FOMC statement later this week are at the center of market attention. The potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve has already fueled a wave of optimism, boosting the New Zealand dollar. However, traders remain cautious as today’s U.S. economic news, including inflation and employment data, may provide critical insights into the strength of the U.S. economy ahead of the rate decision. Any significant surprises in today's economic reports could shift sentiment across all USD pairs, including NZD/USD, potentially creating increased volatility leading up to Wednesday's announcement. Technical Outlook: Overbought Conditions Raise Reversal Risk From a technical perspective, NZD/USD is currently in overbought territory, raising concerns that a reversal may be on the horizon. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a striking divergence between retail traders and institutional players. Retailers remain highly bullish on the pair, indicating optimism for continued gains. On the other hand, "smart money," represented by institutional traders, has adopted a more bearish stance, signaling caution. Given the pair’s overbought conditions and the growing divergence in trader sentiment, we have placed a pending order in anticipation of a potential reversal. This setup aligns with the COT data, where institutional positioning suggests that a pullback could be imminent. What to Watch: Fed’s Statement and Market Reaction As the week unfolds, the Federal Reserve's policy decision and statement will play a decisive role in the future trajectory of NZD/USD. A rate cut could further fuel the pair’s appreciation, but the market will closely scrutinize the Fed's tone regarding future rate cuts or tightening measures. Should the Fed take a more dovish stance, the U.S. dollar may weaken further, providing additional support for NZD/USD. Conversely, a more cautious or hawkish outlook could spark a shift in sentiment, favoring the U.S. dollar and triggering the expected reversal. Conclusion: Caution Ahead of Volatility While NZD/USD has benefited from recent risk-on sentiment, caution is warranted as the pair enters overbought territory. The ongoing divergence between retail traders and institutional investors, combined with the upcoming U.S. economic news and Fed decision, creates a complex landscape for traders. The potential for heightened volatility is high, making it essential to monitor these developments closely as the week progresses. For now, our technical indicators and market analysis suggest that a reversal may be imminent, and we are positioned accordingly with a pending order in place. However, as always, the Federal Reserve’s policy outcome will likely be the deciding factor in the pair’s near-term direction. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Gold price analysis September 17Fundamental Analysis Gold prices steadied at $2,580 on Tuesday, ahead of potentially market-moving US data later in the day and a Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on Wednesday. Gold surges as Fed rate cut expectations rise Gold prices surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $2,589 on Monday after market bets that the Fed will cut interest rates by a further 0.50% at its meeting on Wednesday surged, according to market-based gauges. Expectations of a Fed rate cut are positive for Gold as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal, a non-interest-paying asset, thus making it more attractive to investors. On the other hand, if the Retail Sales misses expectations, this will add to speculation of a half percent cut on Wednesday and positively impact Gold, which could rise to a new high. Technical Analysis Gold prices are close to the all-time high resistance around 2589 combined with important US news released. The scenario for US gold when Gold prices break the all-time high we will BUY fomo. and on the other hand when Gold prices correct, pay attention to the 2560 and 2545 zones for long-term BUY. Breakout upper: 2591 - 2603 Upper resistance: 2578- 2590 - 2600 - 2605 - 2615 - 2626 - 2645 Breakout lower: 2570 - 2564 - 2538 Support: 2572 - 2565 - 2552 - 2545 - 2539 - 2525 - 2516 SELL zone 2600 Stoploss 2606 SELL zone 2610 Stoploss 2615 BUY 2555 - 2553. Stoploss 2550 BUY 2545 - 2547. Stoploss 2541
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
AUD/JPY Short, AUD/NZD Short and NATGAS/USD ShortAUD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. AUD/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Break above area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. NATGAS/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
OANDA:NATGASUSDShort
by StewySongs
Gold price analysis September 16Fundamental Analysis Gold prices edged lower from fresh record highs around the $2,589-$2,590 region hit on Monday. The intraday decline could be attributed to some profit-taking amid generally positive risk sentiment, which tends to weigh on the safe-haven precious metal. However, any meaningful declines appear to be limited amid expectations of a more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) easing. In fact, markets have begun to price in an over-the-top 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this week after data released last week provided further evidence of subdued US inflation. This has kept US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) near 2024 lows, which in turn will continue to act as a driver of non-yielding gold prices. Traders may also refrain from placing heavy bets ahead of the FOMC’s two-day policy meeting starting on Tuesday. This is followed by monetary policy updates from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Thursday and Friday, respectively, which could inject some volatility into the markets and provide fresh impetus to Gold prices. Hence, any meaningful corrective pullback could still be seen as a buying opportunity. Technical Analysis Gold is at an all-time high, so any bullish momentum will only be met with resistance at the psychological levels of 2600 and 2610. Support areas to place confidence in further buying are around 2570-2545. In today's European session, if gold breaks 2590, it is possible to execute SELL signals around 2600 and 2690. In case it does not break until the middle of the European session, SELL gold to 2570 before the US. If it breaks 2570 before the US session, hold until 2560-2545. Resistance: 2590 - 2600 - 2608 - 2612 - 2626 - 2645 Support: 2580 - 2571 - 2560 - 2545 SELL 2599 - 2601 Stoploss 2605 BUY 2567 - 2565. Stoploss 2561 BUY 2555 - 2553. Stoploss 2549
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
CAD/CHF Trade, NATGAS Short, A/N Short, G/U Long and E/U LongNATGAS/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If tight 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. AUD/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/USD Long Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it. EUR/USD Long Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
by StewySongs