Trade Management
GoldToday price headed up wonderfully, and it may do so next opening but I'm expecting a retracement before new highs are formed watch the Sibi shown and the inversion. GOOODTRADING YALL. $£
BTC is going finally to 100k?Hey guys!
We finishing this week with nice news?
So quick update about bitcoin situation. We have here bull MA crossing oon 4H TF, so we can potentially see some long movement on the weekends. Another bull sign can be a Thannksgiving Day, so markets can react positive.
On the other hand we have descending volumes and not really active movement.
Don't forget to use SL and follow risk management!
What's your thoughts about the short market condition?
Understanding Trends and Waves in TradingIntroduction
In trading education, recognising price movements is crucial. Prices move in trends, and these trends move in waves. Understanding these waves is essential for successful trading.
The Two Types of Waves
Impulsive/Primary Trend
Comprises a minimum of five waves.
Dictates the overall direction of price movement.
Corrective/Secondary Trend
Comprises a maximum of three waves.
Provides insights into the ongoing trend.
This phase is the most critical for traders to master.
Conclusion
To trade successfully in a trending market, it’s vital to learn how to accurately count waves. Mastering this skill can significantly enhance your trading decisions. Best wishes for your trading success!
Gold Price Analysis November 28Gold is trading near the resistance zone of 2650, this zone becomes the key zone for today's trading day. If before the US session, gold cannot break this zone, the gold trend will continue to fall to important support zones. Pay attention to the support zones of 2638, 2621-2613, 2605 to have the best trading strategies when the price falls to that zone. In the opposite direction, the 2650 zone is broken, gold will return to the uptrend. If gold closes the daily candle above 2658, it is determined that gold is ready to return to the uptrend and head to 2700 soon. Wish you successful trading.
#MANA/USDT#MANA
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel and we are now touching this support at 0.2980
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average
Entry price 0.2988
First target 0.3045
Second target 0.3121
Third target 0.3200
GOLD :- SELL NOWA downtrend in gold is characterized by lower highs and lower lows, supported by moving averages, trend lines, and strong resistance at recent high levels.
Key indicators like RSI and MACD can provide insights into momentum and potential reversal signals.
Support and resistance levels, volume trends, and sentiment indicators give additional context to gauge if the downtrend is likely to continue or if a reversal could be underway.
Gold price analysis November 7Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) extended losses for a second straight session on Thursday. The dollar-denominated precious metal faced downward pressure from a stronger US dollar (USD) following former President Donald Trump’s victory in the US election.
Gold prices are under pressure as safe-haven flows ease amid market optimism and the “Trump trade”. The move was driven by the apparent victory of the president, while the market had previously anticipated a controversial outcome.
The US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy decision will be in focus on Thursday. Markets expect a modest 25 basis point rate cut this week. This could be supportive for Gold as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. The CME FedWatch tool shows a 98.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points in November.
Technical Analysis
After yesterday's sharp decline, Gold is being adjusted slightly higher at the beginning of today's Asian trading session. Pay attention to the 2677 port area for SELL strategies in the Asian and European sessions. The 2625 and 2603 support areas become key support levels and also become TP zones for SELL signals. The psychological port breakout zone of 2700 becomes an important resistance zone at the moment when Gold prices have some retests.
Calm before the storm. Waiting for the rockets to launchI've covered many topics in this video
The difference between myself and others is that I speak from real world experience whilst others keep trying the 'sell the dream'
bullsh*t baffles brains, and that's not what I'm about
So if you are a student of the markets I hope you are taking notes of these golden nuggests
Slight Correction Needed?Alhamdulillah, as mentioned on 27-09-2024 that
index may touch 87000 with slight corrections, it
touched the mentioned level.
Index is Still Bullish.
It has the potential to touch 100,000 - 100,350
It may take some correction of 2000 - 3000 points.
S1 is around 88500 - 88700
S2 is around 87000 - 87200
There is no harm in the Bullish Momentum as
long as it stays above 84500.
In worst case scenario, it may touch 82000 which
seems unlikely so far.
XAUUSD: Watch for a Sharp Decline Soon!XAUUSD MARKET ANALYSIS
Today, we are focusing on key intraday levels that could influence trading decisions:
Support Level: 2734-30
Resistance Level: 2748-50
Upcoming Market Events:
This Friday, we have the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which historically tends to create significant volatility in the market. The data released can lead to quick price movements, offering potential trading opportunities.
Monitor Price Action:
If the price approaches the support level (2734-30) and holds, it may provide a buying opportunity, signaling potential upward momentum.
Conversely, if the price breaks through the resistance level (2748-50), it could indicate a bullish trend, suggesting traders might consider entering long positions.
Consider Market Sentiment:
Pay attention to pre-NFP sentiment in the market. A strong jobs report could lead to a rally, while a weaker report might trigger a sell-off. Adjust your strategies accordingly.
If you find this analysis valuable, please like the idea. Your support motivates us to continue providing high-quality content!
USDCAD Sell Short (Final)I have been analyzing USDCAD for a while now and I believe this is the time for a double top to be formed and that M formation shall be taking place like the previous W pattern USDCAD has built up. As seen in the chart, USDCAD touched for a double bottom at 1.34213 which I predict that we shall be lead to that level again. USDCAD has far too long rallied and we should all be shorting this very top to make all our profits again. Rinse, repeat, and learn from these lessons in trading. I also wanted point out that in our analysis we have highlighted where previous support and resistances have broke out and lead to new higher highs and now lower lows when we come back down from this entry at 1.38973 I hope you all enjoyed our analysis! We also have included TP and SL in the chart and please follow our page for more signals like these! If you have any questions about this trade please send me a direct message and I will respond swiftly.
Thanks for stopping by!
Mastering the "IF-THEN" Mindset: The Key to Stress-Free TradingIn this video, I’ll share how using IF-THEN statements helps me stay balanced in my trading. It’s simple: IF the price does this, THEN I’ll do that. Having a plan like this keeps me from getting caught up in emotions and helps me react to what’s actually happening in the market – not what I wish would happen.
This mindset keeps things smooth, makes trade management easier, and keeps me consistent. It’s all about staying ready for whatever the market throws your way.
If this vibe clicks with you, drop a comment, like, or follow – I’ve got plenty more insights to share!
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
EUR/JPY: Tight range when other EUR-pairs are weak. HmmmDo you trade
A) Before the breakout for a better price OR
B) After the breakout for confirmation ?
We usually prefer B)
But it helps to think through some scenarios that could happen beforehand
Looking at EUR/JPY - see how it is trading in a tight range?
Well other EUR pairs like EUR/USD have been falling. That shows relative strength .
Or put another way - the yen is relatively weak.
The price could just break straight to the topside - or it could first try to break lower in a fakeout - before breaking to the topisde.
If the latter does happen - it will be one of those occations we could trade before the =breakout ;)
What do you think happens?
Maybe the trend turns lower - and neither scenario above is right - could easily be.
Peter Would be Proud! NEXT LEG UP CONFIRMED?#gold TVC:XAU We have now confirmation on the 12h chart by having a close strong above previous highs.
Entry on any retrace toward the green price range AND PLACE YOUR STOP at the most recent low.
If we do break below this low then we might be in for a bigger retrace... #SADPETER
GBPJPY Sell Trade Activated Oct 10 2024Supply Zone introduced since October 4 2024: this is just a continuation of analysis in gbpjpy using daily supply, 4h supply and 1H supply. Sell limit was activated during Asian session. Aiming for 4:1RR. This was a product of multi-timeframe analysis including lower timeframes. Always looking for validity and not market execution trading.
Intraday may look liked difficult but getting used to charts within 600hrs of discipline will give you an EDGE.
#supplyanddemand
#proprietarytrader.
Gold price analysis October 9Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell sharply on Tuesday following a strong US jobs report and news reports that Hezbollah backed calls for a ceasefire in the conflict between it and Israel. As a result, hints of a possible de-escalation of the Middle East conflict opened the door for traders to take profits. XAU/USD traded at $2,615, down more than 1%.
This prompted a sell-off in XAU/USD, which fell more than $35 to an intraday low of $2,604 before buyers took it to the current spot price. Additionally, rising US Treasury yields weighed on the non-yielding metal. The benchmark US 10-year yield remained unchanged above 4%, but has risen more than six basis points this week following last Friday's September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Against this backdrop, interest rate traders have adjusted their expectations for the next move by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Most Fed speakers have been gradual in their tone toward easing monetary policy. However, some, like St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, only expect one more cut by year-end after backing a 50 bps cut in September.
Technical Analysis
The Asian session range that we are paying attention to is around 2603 and 2627. The bottom support zone that the US session touched last night is also known as session support. The resistance zone is a breakout retest zone that the market respects. The upper range converges with the 34 EMA for a good trading plan in the Asian session. In the US session, the price range is wider with the price zone of interest around 2592 and the resistance of 2648 is considered a key price zone to hold the price from long declines.
Gold Price Analysis October 4Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some buyers on Friday and rose to $2,668, or the top of its weekly range heading into the European session. The US dollar (USD) eased slightly from a one-month high hit on Thursday and now appears to have stalled this week’s decent recovery from its lowest since July 2023. This, coupled with geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, turned out to be the main factors driving some haven flows into the precious metal.
That said, the diminishing likelihood of a more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) easing policy should help limit any meaningful decline in the USD and limit upside for non-yielding Gold. Traders may also prefer to wait for the closely watched US monthly employment data release before positioning for the next leg of a directional move. However, XAU/USD remains close to the all-time highs reached last week and the fundamental backdrop appears to be tilted heavily towards bullish traders.
Technical Analysis
Gold has responded to technical support on the trendline and is likely to trade within a narrow range pending NFP. 2671 and 2643 remain key areas to watch before price moves towards today’s SELL entry around 2678-2680 and BUY entry around 2635 and 2633. Now if price fails to break the key area like 2670 before mid-European session, we may sell ahead of the NF news and try to hold the position to the support areas.
GBPUSD Sept 25 2024 BUY TRADE ACTIVATEDAs we gain momentum here in gbpusd, I'm only looking for buy trade even though its giving retracements. higher timeframe will always be my bias. If you check DAILY--->4H ---> 1H
you can see HH,HL,HH,HL market structure. The only way for you to go with the move is to look for point of interests.
this trade was activated using buy limit in mt4. I saw BOS in both 30min and 15min TF. After this, I look for my POI which is the IMB or OB. Set my pending buy limit order aiming for 5:1RR.
Patience and clear mind will always be the key to this business.
#smart
#proptrader
#algorithm
Gold price analysis September 24Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell after hitting a fresh all-time high around the $2,640 region on Tuesday and slid to the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session. Rising US Treasury yields helped revive demand for the US Dollar (USD), prompting some profit-taking around the commodity amid a mildly overbought condition on the daily chart.
However, any meaningful corrective decline in Gold prices appears to be limited after the Federal Reserve (Fed) stepped up bets on more aggressive policy easing. Additionally, persistent geopolitical risks, US political uncertainty and a gloomy global economic outlook will support the safe-haven XAU/USD as traders look to Fed Governor Michelle Bowman’s speech for fresh impetus.
Technical Analysis
Gold retreats from the 2640 peak. Technically, wave 5 of the Elliot wave has completed and the ABC correction wave is forming towards 2604. If the 2624 zone where gold is currently located is broken, we will get the 2603 level when the US session jumps in. If the European session price cannot break 2625, we will still wait and prioritize the sell side when retesting the 2640 peak. The 2593-2595 zone is considered a good buy zone.
Upper resistance: 2640 - 2645 - 2650 - 2658
Support: 2615 - 2610 - 2605 - 2600 - 2688 - 2657
Sell 2654 - 2656. Stoploss 2659
Sell 2640-2642. Stoploss 2445
Canh BUY scalp 2615
Canh BUY 2604 - 2606. Stoploss 2600
Canh BUY 2593-2595. Stoploss 2590
Bagging 40 on MNQ and leaving Working on my greed and patience, thankfully this was the right move to make, as I see in hindsight that at 10:59am the market completely reversed on this trade idea and melted lower.
Excited to see where the market is going to end up, I am just happy to end the day profitable, alive and well.
XAUUSD Flag Breakout Mastery – 100 Pips in Just Hours!You executed a fantastic trade on XAUUSD, capturing a solid 100 pips in 3.5 hours. However, there were additional techniques you could have employed to potentially capture more of the overall move:
Higher Time Frame Confluence: Ensuring the overall trend aligns with the smaller time frame breakout can give you confidence to hold for bigger moves.
Trailing Stop Strategy: This could have helped you lock in profits while giving the trade room to continue further.
Recognizing Momentum: The impulsive nature of the move post-breakout was an indication to hold the trade longer. Momentum trading often provides an opportunity for a bigger run.
Extended Targets: using Fibonacci extensions could have encouraged you to hold for additional profit.
Complete Trade Walkthrough
1. Entry Analysis:
Pattern Recognition & Confluence:
Descending Flag (Bullish): You identified and entered at the top of a descending flag, which is a continuation pattern in a bullish market. The breakout from this flag confirmed the upward momentum, making this a high-probability trade.
Confluence Factors:
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke through the descending resistance line, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Zone: The prior lows acted as strong support, providing additional confidence that the price would move higher after the breakout.
This was an excellent, well-timed entry based on price structure. You entered right as the market broke out of the flag, aligning with a momentum-based strategy.
2. Price Action (PA) Analysis:
Impulse and Correction Structure:
Impulse Move: After the breakout, price made an impulsive leg upwards, which you capitalized on. This impulsive move is common following a flag pattern breakout, and the price shot up quickly, reflecting a strong buying pressure.
Correction: You entered just before the impulsive leg, after a period of corrective consolidation, which validated your timing. Once price pushed up, there was a brief consolidation before continuing the uptrend.
Momentum Continuation: Price made higher highs after your exit, indicating that momentum was still intact.
The price action displayed clear continuation signals following the breakout, suggesting that the market was still trending upwards.
3. Trade Management:
Time in the Trade:
You were in this trade for 3.5 hours, which aligns with the short-term nature of this flag breakout. However, the trade ran further, reaching up to 350 pips.
Profit Targeting:
Initial Take Profit (100 pips): You wisely took 100 pips as price approached a prior high. However, the fact that price continued upwards suggests that you might have captured more pips using alternative techniques.
Exit Consideration:
100 Pips Exit: While exiting at a previous high is logical, the lack of signs of reversal (e.g., no strong bearish candles or rejection at key resistance levels) indicated there was still room for the move to extend. The price continuing upward shows that the bullish momentum was strong, and you could have held on for a larger move.
Stop-Loss Placement:
You didn’t mention your stop-loss, but if you placed it below the structure of the flag (and adjusted it accordingly), this would have allowed you to reduce risk and hold for a longer run.
4. Potential Improvements:
Higher Time Frame Analysis (HTF Confluence):
HTF Context: Had you zoomed out to a higher time frame (1H or 4H), you may have seen that the breakout was part of a larger bullish trend, indicating there was potential for the move to continue beyond the 100-pip target.
Price Momentum: The momentum post-breakout on smaller time frames was strong. Checking the HTF would have given more confidence that this wasn’t just a short-term spike, but rather part of a more significant trend.
Trailing Stop Strategy:
Trailing Stops: Once your trade was 100 pips in profit, instead of closing the position entirely, you could have moved your stop-loss up to lock in some profits. This way, you could ride the larger move while managing risk.
Example: After 100 pips, trail your stop just below the previous consolidation or a key structure (e.g., 50 pips back), allowing the trade to breathe and move further in your favor.
Extended Profit Targeting:
Fibonacci Extensions: By using Fibonacci extensions, you could have projected extended profit targets beyond the initial 100 pips. Typically, a flag breakout can lead to an impulse equal to the size of the flagpole, offering more opportunities to scale out of the trade gradually.
Gold price analysis September 17Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices steadied at $2,580 on Tuesday, ahead of potentially market-moving US data later in the day and a Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on Wednesday.
Gold surges as Fed rate cut expectations rise
Gold prices surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $2,589 on Monday after market bets that the Fed will cut interest rates by a further 0.50% at its meeting on Wednesday surged, according to market-based gauges.
Expectations of a Fed rate cut are positive for Gold as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal, a non-interest-paying asset, thus making it more attractive to investors. On the other hand, if the Retail Sales misses expectations, this will add to speculation of a half percent cut on Wednesday and positively impact Gold, which could rise to a new high.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices are close to the all-time high resistance around 2589 combined with important US news released. The scenario for US gold when Gold prices break the all-time high we will BUY fomo. and on the other hand when Gold prices correct, pay attention to the 2560 and 2545 zones for long-term BUY.
Breakout upper: 2591 - 2603
Upper resistance: 2578- 2590 - 2600 - 2605 - 2615 - 2626 - 2645
Breakout lower: 2570 - 2564 - 2538
Support: 2572 - 2565 - 2552 - 2545 - 2539 - 2525 - 2516
SELL zone 2600 Stoploss 2606
SELL zone 2610 Stoploss 2615
BUY 2555 - 2553. Stoploss 2550
BUY 2545 - 2547. Stoploss 2541
