Tradeplan
ETH BROADER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND TRADE PLANPrice Movement
The chart shows that Ethereum (ETH) has been moving within a descending trading channel after an earlier uptrend. The channel is well-defined by a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The descending channel extends from around early 2024 and continues through the current period. The price seems to be consolidating after bouncing from the lower boundary of the channel.
Current Price Action
Ethereum is currently trading at $2,582.26, down by 1.50% at the time the chart was captured.
The recent movement shows a potential double bottom near the lower channel support, signaling a possible end of the downtrend.
The price is at a critical juncture, as it appears to be breaking out of the short-term resistance within the channel, hinting at a possible reversal or continued sideways movement.
Descending Channel Structure
The chart highlights a descending trading channel where price has respected the upper resistance and lower support levels multiple times, indicating the reliability of this structure.
The channel also shows that while Ethereum is in a corrective phase, it still holds the potential for a significant bullish breakout if the current trend continues.
Technical Indicators:
Waveform Cipher shows a potential bullish divergence at recent price lows, which indicates momentum for a potential upward move.
ASL (Advanced Stochastic Line) and HMA Histogram show mixed signals, but the overall sentiment from these indicators points toward a bullish setup in the coming days.
Stochastic RSI suggests that Ethereum is currently in an oversold condition, increasing the likelihood of a rebound.
The technical setup with momentum indicators and divergences indicates a potential for a price breakout upward, possibly leading toward the top of the channel.
Price Targets:
Immediate Resistance: The next resistance level is located around $2,750 - $3,000, near the mid-point of the channel.
Upper Channel Boundary: The top of the channel is situated near $4,000, a key psychological and technical resistance level.
If ETH breaks above this channel, the next major target would be $4,250 - $4,500, indicating a full recovery of the downtrend and a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Support Levels:
$2,400 is acting as immediate support, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
If Ethereum breaks below this level, the next major support lies near $2,200 - $2,000, which is a strong historical support zone.
Trading Plan for Ethereum (ETH)
Current Market Position:
Given the technical analysis, Ethereum appears to be at a critical level within the descending trading channel, with the potential for a bullish breakout. The recent consolidation near the support line suggests an opportunity for a medium-term bullish trade.
Entry Strategy:
Buy Zone: Enter a long position between $2,550 - $2,600, once confirmation of a bullish reversal or breakout is evident (preferably on increased volume or further confirmation from momentum indicators like RSI/Stoch).
Risk Management: Place a stop-loss at $2,400, which is slightly below the channel support and key psychological level. This mitigates downside risk in case of a bearish breakdown.
Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $2,750 - $3,000 – This is the mid-point resistance of the channel. Partial profits should be taken here, securing gains while allowing the remaining position to run.
Second Target: $3,500 - $3,750 – Full break of the channel with increased momentum can take ETH to this level. This is a key level to exit most of the position or lock in more profits.
Stretch Target: $4,000 - $4,200 – Ultimate price target based on the potential bullish reversal. If price approaches this level, full profit-taking is advisable as it would hit the channel’s upper boundary and a significant resistance area.
Alternative Plan (If Breakdown Occurs):
Short Position: If Ethereum breaks below $2,400, consider shorting ETH with a target toward $2,200 - $2,000 as a corrective phase could push ETH lower. In this case, place a stop-loss at $2,500, just above the breakdown level.
Position Sizing:
Risk only a small portion of your capital (e.g., 1-2%) based on the calculated stop-loss level to ensure risk management and preserve capital in case of invalidation.
Ethereum is at a pivotal point within a descending trading channel. Current indicators suggest the possibility of a bullish breakout, but risks remain due to the general downtrend. The trading plan focuses on a conservative entry with clear stop-losses and take-profit levels to manage risk.
DXY Bullish Bias: Price Action & Data AlignmentWhile U.S. economic data hasn't been stellar, it's still holding up well enough to support the dollar. Intra-week price action (8/26/24 - 9-6-24) reflects this, with strong upward movement indicating a continuation of the bullish trend.
Keep an eye on key support levels and potential pullbacks, as this bias could persist heading into the coming weeks.
Blue ATR is monthly
Purple ATR IS weekly
EUR/USD 4H Chart: Top of the Market? (Part 2)I’m expecting EUR/USD to have a bearish day and possibly continue this trend throughout the week. The 4H chart is showing strong downside pressure, with price struggling to break above key resistance levels. I’m anticipating further declines as this bearish structure continues to unfold. Let’s see how the market plays out!
USD/JPY Long Trade: Building into Next Week's OpportunityGetting ready for next week's USD/JPY setup! 🚀 The market is aligning for a potential big move, and I'm positioning myself for the action. Watch closely as I plan my entries and manage the trade—timing is everything! ⏳
If you're into catching high-probability trades and want to see how I approach the markets, make sure to follow and stay tuned. Let’s ride this wave together! 📈 Don't miss out—like, comment, and share your thoughts below!
EUR/USD 15M Short Trade IdeaI'm watching for a short opportunity on EUR/USD as the market shows signs of weakening around a key resistance zone. Momentum is shifting, and with volatility expected to increase during the New York session, I’m targeting a quick move to the downside. This setup aligns with my strategy for capturing short-term bearish momentum. Let’s see how it plays out!
Why TSLA Could Be Set to Rise: Key News and a Great Entry SetupTesla (TSLA) is in the spotlight right now, and several factors suggest a potential bullish trend in the stock next week:
Strong Delivery Numbers: Tesla recently reported its Q2 2024 delivery figures, which exceeded many analysts' expectations. While the numbers were lower than last year's, they still indicate solid performance in a competitive EV market, with other automakers also experiencing growth.
Upcoming Earnings Report: Tesla is scheduled to announce its Q2 2024 earnings on Tuesday. Analysts are forecasting revenue slightly above last year’s figures, with net income expected around $1.72 billion. Investors will be particularly interested in updates about Tesla's robotaxi plans, which have been postponed to October. This anticipation could drive excitement and boost the stock price.
Market Recovery: Recently, TSLA experienced a drop of about 12.4% due to a global market sell-off. However, the stock has started to recover, and this volatility may present a buying opportunity, especially if the market stabilizes.
High Probability Setup: According to technical analysis, there is a high probability setup that has already formed, indicating a favorable entry point for bullish trades. This technical signal, combined with the positive news and upcoming events, enhances the likelihood of a price increase.
With these factors in play, including strong delivery numbers, an important earnings report, and a favorable technical setup, TSLA could see a bullish trend in the coming week. As always, be sure to conduct your own analysis and manage your risks before entering any trades.
6M:
3M:
1M:
2W:
1W:
3D:
2H: Entry
USD/CAD 1H Chart Analysis: Preparing for a Long Setup Next WeekAs we head into the weekend, my focus is on USD/CAD for next week. The pair has been showing bullish momentum, and with better-than-expected U.S. economic data released this week, the case for a long position is strengthened. Taking some long USD profits off UJ and starting a small UCAD
USDJPY Update: Adding LongsI'm building on a USD/JPY long trade that has already met its initial entry criteria and is performing well.
The market continues to show bullish momentum, and with price action holding above key support levels, I'm confident in adding to this position. The plan is to ride this trend higher, targeting further upside as long as the bullish structure remains intact.
Keep an eye on how the pair reacts to upcoming resistance levels to manage the trade effectively.
How to Develop a Trading MethodYou don’t have to develop your own methods but never just depend on learning somebody else's method as if all you had to do was follow instructions. You need to understand and make it your own. Even if you don’t want to design your methods, approach this as a learning exercise.
Let's structure how to go about developing a method. First start with a bassline and then work your way through the process.
1. Start with a repeatable market structure pattern. You can also use an indicator, trendline or whatever it is you relate to and can see
2. Understand the essence of your pattern and use this as a bassline to develop from
3. Structure objective trade rules around that pattern. How are you going to enter, place a stop, manage trade, and exit
4. Test it and learn.
Shane
Etherium sell side view in 1HR timeframeif there is CHOCH in eth then there is important BOS LEVEL if eth crosses it then we might see a huge down trend
For sell view
1. Chart pattern
2. SUPPORT turned into Resistance
3. Reversal from 50% retracement area
For buy
1. choch then little bos
sellers get trapped then running to 3080
##BTC also showing weakness
NZDUSD | 15m Trade Plan | Intraday15m current market condition : Took entire buy-side liquidity
During killzones:
Plan A : Take a short position after a 15m bearish confirmation.
Plan B : After inducement is taken, take a long position following a 15m bullish confirmation.
Plan C : Wait for the entire sell-side liquidity sweep, then take a long position based on a 15m bullish confirmation.
note : It's more likely that the marked demand zone will not be respected by the upcoming market session(s).
BOJ Raises Interest Rates - Monthly Outlook for USDJPYTaking a look at the monthly timeframe, if you look back in the past, whenever we had a strong bearish engulfing candle, there was usually a second bearish candle afterwards.
I believe there is a great chance that this pair will break below the green ascending trendline and eventually reach 130.
Some key comments made last night from the BoJ's Governor Ueda:
* If possible a US rate cut happens gradually, it could lead to strong a Yen.
* The weak Yen was not necessarily the biggest reason for the rate hike this time.
* Hard to tell when the next rate hike may be
* Does not have 0.50% policy rate in mind as a ceiling
* I don't believe the latest rate hike will trigger a strong brake on the economy.
Later this afternoon we will get the latest US monetary policy decision.
Furthermore, as we all know, the US equity market tends to have an inverted correlation with the Yen. This means if US stocks continue to sell off heading into the elections, we might see some additional strength with the Yen and thus push this pair even lower.
USDJPY - Top Down AnalysisStarting with the weekly timeframe, there's some quite noticable bearish Divergence with price action and RSI leading me to believe prices may continue further south.
Let's take a look at the daily timeframe.
On the daily timeframe, I have 2 bearish targets but first I need to see a bit of a pullback towards the descending level of resistance. Reason I'm looking for a bullish pullback is because RSI is currently in the oversold territory. We also have a BOJ interest rate decision this evening at 11:00pm EST.
Let's take a closer look at the 4 hour timeframe
On the 4 hr timeframe I'm waiting for a breakout of the current consolidating range. I'm hoping for a bullish breakout which will lead into my AOI (area of interest) to look for a shorting opportunity.
Lastly let's take a look at the 1 hour.
On the 1 hour timeframe, it's easier to see how much room to the upside I'm waiting for. If we reach the descending level of resistance, I'll monitor the bullish momentum to ensure I'm not entering a short when bulls are strong.
For that reason I have an alert set in place and now all I need to do is wait!
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
AUDNZD - Bearish Breakout with 1:3 Setup on 4HrTaking a look at the 4h timeframe, we can see price action broke and held below the ascending trendline.
For me this indicates potential topping action. This pair is also heavily overbought on the daily timeframe so a correction at this point shouldn't be too much of a surprise.
Cooper prices also continue to get slammed which may contribute to some Aussie weakness.
Further more, we don't have any further major economic reports on the docket this week for either NZD or AUD which may cause this pair to correct. The Australian dollar does tend to have a correlation as a Risk-On currency with US equities. Today in the US session we saw both the Dow and SPX lose some of it's bullish momentum.
Trade Safe!
GBPUSD - Waiting for price to climb back upOn the daily timeframe, price action printed a strong bearish engulfing pattern and now I'm just waiting for a sniper shot entry. This means prices need to climb back up to my desired entry area for me to consider short selling this pair.
I have alerts in place - now just need to be patient and wait.
Trade Safe
Trade Plan - Start Scaling in ShortsTaking a look at the daily timeframe, RSI is in the overbought territory as we approach a descending level of resistance.
For this reason, the trade strategy here is to "Scale In" on the sell and fade this pair as it climbs here. Whenever using atechnique like this, I prefer not to use a stop loss and scale with little volume.
If you like this trade setup/strategy, be sure to like, comment and share.
Trade Safe
EURGBP Trade Setup following ECB Interest Rate Decision.Taking a look at the daily tf, price action closed above the last candle where we saw strong rejection following a retest of the descending support.
Today the ECB also left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%.
Even though this is a low risk to reward setup, I believe it has a good chance of becoming a winning trade.