Where to place your STP LOSS is important & can be misleading Choosing your STP loss determines your risk, and is essential part of executing your trade.
On this trade analysis, we are looking at ticker F (Ford Motors) using the weekly (W) chart as the active chart, the price is selling off & coming into a Demand Zone (DZ). This DZ is also the last higher Low HL of the long-term (M) monthly uptrend.
my trading strategy; makes perfect sense of placing LNG entry, at this level. Order entered & waiting like a snipper in the DZ, surly enough the price penetrates into the DZ & the LNG order is executed at $12.90, now where to place your STP LOSS, meaning at which point do you determine the trade has gone against you & you need to exit & cut your losses short.
There are many strategies for placing your stop loss, some of the common ones, are placing the stop loss below the DZ, some other strategies offer a margin as a buffer, for example if price violates the DZ by lets say 0.50 points, am out & the STP Loss is triggered. the stop loss placement strategy that i used in this trade required a close of a candle stick below the DZ, few days after, once that occurred I executed you my STP loss, and was out at 11.30 points loss, so 1.60 loss per share. that is within my Risk to Reward ratio
Now, the trade was still a loss, yet it was not a bust; simply because I anticipated this risk within expected range of my trade plan. in other words, I followed my trading plan & rules; that really matters. Following a trading plan is how novice traders become trading sharks. Obviously it hurts the ego to witness price rallies to $15 and above; shortly after closing below the DZ & triggering my stop-loss; but thats life, you can't make sense of it all, the best we can do is learn how to navigate it.
*Active Chart (W)
*Long-term chart (M)
*Enter timing chart (D)
Tradeplan
BTCUSD - Trade Plan & Top Down Analysis== Key Takeways ==
* Wait for pullback to enter on 4 hour timeframe
* First target ascending level of resistance
* If we manage to trade back into the previous channel, monitor the 200 SMA on both the daily and weekly for continuation to the upside
* Monitor inflation figures this week with CPI on Tuesday and PPI the following day on Wednesday.
Trade Hunters - BTC TradePlan (21/08/2022)This a trading plan based on the symbol BTC/BUSD - Binance .
TA provided by Shade from Trade Hunters .
All key levels and trading zones are marked in the chart (with all confluences noted in each zone).
*not financial advice.
#SPX - Market Update 7-7-22SPX Broke through the 3870 at open for a nice move and continued to melt up into our 3900 Target by close. This is a bigger momentum level here and top of the double bottom move off 3741. You have to keep in mind the market ran over 160 points now in the last three days and coming into weeks close. If 3900 doesn't hold early on we can see a quicker pullback to 3870. I would keep trades quicker for now until we get a better tell on direction. We have Non Farm Payrolls and Unemployment numbers tomorrow morning which will be a catalyst. With a bad reaction 3838 is possible.
In different types of markets, you have to adjust goals based on current market conditions
In an easy market you can maximize gains - In a hard market you can protect capital - 3. Choppy market you can take quicker wins, build up your account. Learn to change the way you think and you'll be able to trade thru any market
Emotions can be a liability to a trading account. Stay calm and remain objective on each trade otherwise you may fail to see consistency..
Long setup for LUNAUSDT IF LUNA breaks its downtrend and does its retest, it may give a chance for long position. Or downtrend continues..
Risk to Reward ratio is the QUEEN - Number two reason to tradeWhen i want to take a trade, I look for ODD ENHANCERS, the more odd Enhancers I have the more likely the market will turn in my favour.
One of the most important Odd Enhancers is proper Risk to Reward ratio. Rs/Rw means how much am willing to risk if the trade goes against me, divided by how much Reward is trade gives if it is profitable. A properly weighted Rs/Rw ratio yield a factor of 4 to 5.
In this trade on QSR traded on the NASDAQ, am risking a little over a dollar for a reward of four dollars & much more if the new formed downtrend continues.
now, we got the Rs/Rw ratio out of the way of teachings. why would i Enter this trade. If Risk to Reward is the Queen then identifying the Trend is KING.
You must of heard people say, trade the trend, swim with the current not against it & you flow.
- first step Identify the Trend on any longer term chart. (there are many techniques for this)
- Second step trade the trend corrections on the Short term chart (this is the chart I use to identify my ENTR price & my STP losses)
This is it! identify the trend on the bigger picture & look for opportunities to join.
In this Trade. according to my Trend identification technique, I observed the Week (W) long term trend to turn into a downtrend after it broke the last LH of the previous week uptrend. now the trend is down. am looking to short.
I ENT my SHRT at 59.80 with a tight STP above 61.03 my risk is tolerable when compared to my Reward if the downtrend was to continue. well, it is struggling. my trigger STP was triggered & am out. simple as that. I will take my small loss & walk away holding my head high in respect for my trading plan that does not work all the time but works enough that i can make a living doing this.
The trend is your friend, until... The trend is your friend, until it...BREAKS!
What do I mean by this? Well I will produce a video this week explaining what I mean by this and how fixed-income market is something you should be keeping an eye on
Now $GBPAUD - Beautiful bearish movement we've had for a while but now we getting bullish candle! What does this mean?
Sorry to disappoint you or to get you excited - it means absolutely nothing at this current moment of time, we in bearish channel and if we close above out of this channel, then sure bullish movement could come into control for short term and go to next resistance if NOT - guess what, the trend is still your friend, so you take the short side! There is most likely going to be a set up on short term time frame brewing and there was long opportunity this week, a great set-up should be brewing for us to trade next week.
In my personal opinion, I rather be late to the party than early.. All explained in the week ahead video!
Have a great week ahead
TJ
Disclaimer: Not Investment Advice
When a trade is reverses fortune and you wonder what went wrongLets say you have a trade opened & its profitable. all going to plan. then you get greedy. over boastful of your legendary trading skills. you ignore the original trade plan, you devise a better plan to accumulate more profit. you dont respect your previous profit Targets, & you keep the trade running, eventually you becoming forgetful of the market nature & trading. The market turns against you & you are left wondering what went wrong. Has this type of trade ever happened to you? it happened to me
Do we pick a bottom? Trade Plan Falling Wedge 21 JanEnvironment
* Macro: Downtrend (falling wedge, short resistance, look for test of support of wedge.
* Swing: Eyeing daily support for possible bounce. Look for continuation and signs of weakness, we might get a bounce now some leverage is flushed out and whales filled their belly. This could mean the whales that missed out still need a small nudge down and we consolidate for a few days or we go back up. Don't rule out dead-cat bounce to top of falling wedge.
* Day: possible reversal (look for day longs when approaching lower levels on divergence, VPFR & golden ratio, or continuation signs)
* Scalping: bull flags on lower timeframes with MA and vwap 1-12m
Top down analysis: 07:20 UTC+1
* D: Money Flow deep in the red, RSI's low, VWAP down, Stocastic about to cross, volume rising. Divergence possible, but unconfirmed. Bullish outlook, bounce on important daily level and close to macro falling wedge
* 12h: same story as D, Bullish outlook
* 6h: vwap pointing up, after big dump divergence is stil valid but needs a push up, RSI stronger than yesterday bouncing very low below 10 , volume spiked on the way down, potentially a flush out of weaker hands, neutral outlook, we have to hold daily support or HVN below.
* 4h: very big divergence showing, we need big downside continuation to not get a juicy div. Q: Will it be dead cat or continue? Work both sides of the book.
* 2h: momentum curving for a div 2h bounce, bull volume clearly defending bears, vwap and money flow too RSI very low
* 1h: no div but very low RSI, VWAP working its way up, green dot selling pressure has stopped
* 3-24m: most lower timeframe divergences have played out. I’m looking for one more to get some big swing positions. A bounce back on the daily or a bit below on the HVN would pick a great bottom for now!
Cryptos under pressure showing good some short setupsLooking at the lower timeframe 30min charts, a lot of short setups are lining up into my favoured cryptocurrencies. Momentum is rolling over and price is set to squeeze out some recent buyers to move lower. Watch the video for my reasoning behind the short setups and how I am looking to attack the price action.
Thanks for watching and please take some time to check out the website in my profile.
3 things no one wants to accept (Discipline development)Hey all! Happy Sunday.
I did this video already but it failed to upload so here it is again.
In this video I focus on helping traders create discipline in their trading, discipline is a vital component for success, so I really hope this video helps you guys find it in your trading and life!
Good luck with the new trading week!
Your only as good as the assets you tradeThis is just a short blog post of a much longer idea!
In a recent post we spoke about focusing only on assets that are in play for the day, even tough with day trading you can still make solid profits, especially on the tick charts, trading ranges, a trend will generate you much bigger and more importantly, easier profits.
This is why it is vital to focus on assets which could generate momentum, because at the end of the day in day trading you are only as good as the assets you trade.
Below you will find a chart of NASDAQ (left) and a chart of XAUUSD (right), one has moved significantly upwards while one was stuck in a whipsaw range which ended up breaking to the down side towards the end of the day on December 31st.
Choosing to trade XAUUSD would be much easier to make a profit.