XAUUSD WTH happened at open?! Good morning gold gang i hope you are all well and had a great weekend .. its back to work time!
What happened at open? some crrazy spike by the look of it?! cant see anything in the news .. just a 100 pip jump down before a push up in asian session.
Right now we are at my optimum selling algo just waiting on confirmation to sell down to a decent buy zone as it looks like we may be in for a bullish week!
note down the algo levels on your charts gang .. bank holiday in USA today so not much volume in the afternoon session .. be aware!
like share and follow
tommy
Trader
USDJPY: Multiple Time Frame Analysis & Bullish Outlook 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY nicely respected a recently broken horizontal resistance.
After its test, the price formed a double bottom formation
and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame then.
We may expect a further bullish continuation next week.
Goals: 150.687 / 150.864
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CONCOR Share -- CE1000 -- BuyConcor -- CE1000 -- HODL-29 FEB
These stocks breakout the upper Trendline and support confirm in weekly time frames
In option you buy CE call you want my Target 1100 in Feb last month
For equity trader you can take swing trade and sale at 1100
Option traders
Take profit 1st - stock price 1000
Take profit 2nd - stock price 1100
For more charts analysis -- comments me in this post.
NZDJPY: Bullish Trend Will Continue 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY is trading in a long-term bullish trend.
The price has recently set a new higher high higher close on a daily.
We see a correctional movement at the moment.
I believe the growth will resume soon.
Next resistance - 92.0
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CAD/JPY Short and EUR/USD ShortCAD/JPY Short
• If price impulses down below our area of interest on the one hour chart and a subsequent two touch fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Long and EUR/USD ShortUSD/JPY Long
• If price corrects and a three touch larger one hour structure forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with a risk entry within it.
• If price corrects and a two touch larger one hour structure forms with a three touch structural approach, then I'll filter them both on the fifteen minute chart and I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within them.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD ShortWTICO/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/JPY Long and SUGAR/USD LongAUD/JPY Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SUGAR/USD Long
• If price corrects and a subsequent two touch tight fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USDCAD: Can We Expect a Correction?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD may drop from a key daily resistance.
The price formed a double top with equal lows, testing that on an hourly time frame.
We just got a confirmed neckline violation.
I expect a bearish movement at least to 1.3493
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EUR/CAD ShortEUR/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/CAD Short and WTICO/USD ShortEUR/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD Short
• If price corrects and a three touch larger one hour structure forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If price corrects and a two touch larger one hour structure forms with a three touch structural approach, then I'll filter them both on the fifteen minute chart and I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within them.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short, AUD/JPY Long and AUD/CAD LongEUR/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/JPY Long
• If price corrects and a subsequent two touch tight fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/CAD Long
• If price corrects and a subsequent two touch tight fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Understanding Trading PsychologyMastering the Mindset: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Psychology
Trading in the financial markets is not just about analyses and strategies; it’s equally about mastering one’s mind. The importance of trading psychology is often underestimated, yet it plays a pivotal role in shaping trading decisions and outcomes.
This comprehensive guide delves into how to master trading psychology, offering insights and solutions for traders at all levels.
Understanding Trading Psychology
At its core, trading psychology revolves around understanding the influence of emotional and mental states on trading. Emotions like fear, greed, and overconfidence can cloud judgment, leading to impulsive decisions and potentially detrimental outcomes.
1. Greed: The Double-Edged Sword
🔍What is it? Greed in trading is the excessive desire for more profit, often leading to risky decisions. Imagine a child in a candy store. Given the chance, they might try to grab as much candy as possible, even if it’s too much to eat. In trading, greed works similarly. It’s the trader’s urge to make more money, ignoring the risks.
📖In 2000, during the dot-com bubble, many investors kept buying overvalued tech stocks, driven by greed and the hope that prices would keep soaring. When the bubble burst, many faced substantial losses.
2. Fear: The Paralyzing Emotion
🔍What is it? Fear in trading is the apprehension of loss, which can prevent traders from taking necessary risks.
🤔Think of a person so afraid of water they never learn to swim. In trading, fear can stop traders from making decisions that could be beneficial, worried they might lose.
📖During the 2008 financial crisis, many traders and investors sold their stocks in a panic due to fear, resulting in significant losses. Those who overcame their fear and held onto or bought quality stocks at lower prices eventually saw substantial gains as markets recovered.
3. Overtrading: The Trap of Too Much
🔍What is it? Overtrading is trading too frequently or excessively, often driven by emotion rather than strategy.
🧐It’s like eating too much junk food just because it’s there. In trading, overtrading happens when traders make more trades than necessary, often due to excitement or the urge to recover losses quickly.
🤑A day trader, excited by initial successes, starts making numerous trades daily without proper analysis. This leads to a series of small losses that accumulate over time, eroding their capital.
🧑💻 How to Master Trading Psychology
Mastering trading psychology is a crucial step in becoming a successful trader. It’s about understanding and managing your emotions, biases, and behaviours to make sound decisions and avoid costly mistakes. Here are some key steps to help you achieve that:
⭐ Emotional Awareness and Regulation:
1️⃣ Identify Emotional Triggers: Recognize what drives impulsive trading decisions, such as the fear of missing out (FOMO) or the urge to engage in revenge trading after a loss.
2️⃣ Understand Cognitive Biases: Be aware of mental shortcuts that can lead to judgment errors, like overconfidence or being influenced too heavily by recent trades.
3️⃣ Separate Emotions from Trading: Focus on the mechanics of your trading strategy rather than the emotional highs and lows associated with the outcomes of individual trades.
👨💻 Developing Disciplined Trading Habits:
1️⃣ Implement a Robust Trading Plan: Clearly define your strategies for entry, exit, and risk management. Adherence to this plan should be paramount, irrespective of current market trends or emotional states.
2️⃣ Cultivate Patience: Avoid the temptation of chasing immediate profits or overtrading. Wait for the right opportunities that align with your strategy.
3️⃣ Normalize Losses: Understand that losses are an integral part of trading. Analyze them, learn from them, and refine your approach accordingly.
👨🔬 Strengthening Mental Resilience:
1️⃣ Engage in Mindfulness Practices: Techniques like meditation can enhance focus and emotional regulation, aiding in stress management and decision-making under pressure.
2️⃣ Maintain a Trading Journal: Documenting your trading journey helps in reflecting on both successes and setbacks, fostering continuous learning and self-improvement.
3️⃣ Leverage Mentorship and Community Support: Connect with seasoned traders for insights and advice. A supportive trading community can be invaluable.
👨🏫 Additional Strategies for Optimal Performance:
1️⃣ Regulate Screen Time: Limit exposure to constant market updates and commentary that might encourage emotional trading.
2️⃣ Prioritize Physical and Mental Health: A healthy lifestyle directly contributes to improved focus and decision-making in trading.
3️⃣ Utilize Simulation Tools: Practice with demo accounts to test strategies without financial risk, building confidence and skill in a controlled environment.
4 Tips To Mastering Trading Psychology
Improving trading psychology is a crucial component of becoming a proficient trader. The psychological aspect of trading often determines the difference between success and failure.
1️⃣ Back Test Your Trading Strategy:
▪️ Relevance of Historical Testing: Backtesting your strategy against historical data is essential. It helps in understanding how your strategy would have performed in different market conditions.
▪️ Confidence in Strategy: Consistently backtesting and refining your strategy builds confidence, allowing you to trust your system and reduce emotional decision-making.
▪️ Identification of Weaknesses: This process helps identify potential flaws or areas for improvement in your strategy, making it more robust and effective.
2️⃣ Limit to Trade One or Two Currency Pairs:
▪️ Focus and Expertise: Specializing in one or two currency pairs allows you to gain in-depth knowledge and understanding of those markets, including their unique volatilities and correlations.
▪️ Reduced Overwhelm: Trading fewer pairs reduces the cognitive load and decision fatigue, enabling more focused and rational decision-making.
▪️ Consistency in Approach: Specialization fosters a consistent approach, essential for developing and maintaining a stable psychological state.
3️⃣ Trade in a Specific Time:
▪️ Consistent Routine: Trading at specific times can create a routine, which is beneficial for mental preparation and consistency.
▪️ Market Behavior Understanding: Different market sessions have unique characteristics. Trading in a specific window allows you to become familiar with and adapt to these patterns.
▪️ Life Balance: Setting specific trading times helps maintain a healthy balance between trading and personal life, reducing stress and burnout.
4️⃣ Adopt Your Trading Style According to Your Personality:
▪️ Self-Assessment: Understand your personality traits, risk tolerance, and emotional responses. This self-awareness is critical in choosing a trading style that suits you.
▪️ Alignment with Lifestyle: Your trading style should align with your daily routine and commitments. For instance, day trading requires more time and attention compared to swing trading.
▪️ Comfort and Sustainability: Ensure your chosen style feels comfortable. Trading in a style that aligns with your personality and life circumstances is more sustainable and less psychologically taxing.
USD/CHF LongUSD/CHF Long
• If price corrects and a subsequent two touch tight fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD Short, GBP/NZD Long and USD/CHF LongNZD/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD Long
• If price impulses up above our area of interest on the one hour chart and a subsequent tight two touch fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CHF Long
• If price pushes below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back above our area of interest on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD Short, GBP/CHF Long, GBP/NZD Long and USD/CHF LongNZD/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/CHF Long
• If price impulses up above our area of interest on the one hour chart, then I'll be waiting for a subsequent tight two touch fifteen minute flag to form and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD Long
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CHF Long
• If price pushes below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CHF Long and GBP/CHF LongUSD/CHF Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/CHF Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and USD/CHF LongWTICO/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of interest on the one hour chart, then I'll be waiting for a subsequent two touch tight five minute flag to form and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If price impulses down below our area of interest on the one hour chart and a subsequent two touch fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/CAD Short
• If price corrects and a subsequent two touch tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CHF Long
• If price corrects and a subsequent two touch tight fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.