Best investors of our timeHere are the best. Under 10 years it's too luck based, and even up to 20 years. So all the people on the list will always be old.
Warren Buffet & Jesse Livermore started investing full time in their teens (Warren started at 8 but the track record starts later maybe late teens or twenties, Jesse started at 14 I began the track record estimate at 16), George Soros started in his 30s, Jim Simons started in his 40s and his monstruous medallion fund was launched on his 50th year.
For Jesse Livermore I looked at Dow Jones dividends reinvested returns from 1893 to 1930 which were about 11%, and he managed to grow to 10k in 1893, made 100 million in 1929 (so he had 100,000k + x) so he made at the very least 30% a year... Why I placed him at 18-19% over the stock market returns, but it is possible he made more than this. In any case he got better results than Soros.
Special mention: Carl Ihcan got returns of 26% from 1968 to 2011 versus Buffet 20% (or at least that's the book value of Berkshire), while the S&P with dividends reinvested over that period produced 9.5% so Buffet overperformed by a little over 10% and Ihcan by 16% putting him above Warren Buffet (but for less long) and close to Jesse Livermore & George Soros. But since then Ihcan has done terribly, so Warren Buffet is still numero uno.
Jim Simons secretive medallion fund made 66% a year over 30 years so that's an overperformance of pretty much 55%.
This is not where all his money is, and the fund is capped so there won't be growth futher (for medallion fund, but overall he'll still make lots of money via medaillion flat gains & his other funds).
The overrall perf is so off the charts anyway that in any case he is clearly number 1.
In the game we got:
- An overwhelming majority of sheep shadowing the stock market and making sure they perform same as the rest of the herd every quarter
- Alot of fundamental investors (including short sellers like Jim Chanos I guess)
- A couple of value investors
- A handful of speculators (why bother if you can't beat the stock market anyway? Investors that speculate on the side to reduce portfolio volatility not included)
- A herd of retail traders that look at oversold indicators, fight obvious trends, and think they'll beat Livermore that could read & write at 3 years old
- 1 secretive mathematician/geometrist/pattern recognition master (wink wink) that finds patterns in enormous amounts of data
- Hundreds of day trading educators that claim they can massively outperform a one in 100 million genius that gets his edge from seeing things others cannot
Traders
AUDCAD Where will price go now? This is a full breakdown of my perception of price action on higher time frames! I take my entries using smaller time frame confirmation and you should, too. If you have any questions about this trade or my strategies feel free to ask them in the comment section below!
Let’s make some money together!
USDJPY will we see the pullback down to the 618? This is a full breakdown of my perception of price action on higher time frames! I take my entries using smaller time frame confirmation and you should, too. If you have any questions about this trade or my strategies feel free to ask them in the comment section below!
Let’s make some money together!
EURGBP Will we see a head and shoulders here soon? This is a full breakdown of my perception of price action on higher time frames! I take my entries using smaller time frame confirmation and you should, too. If you have any questions about this trade or my strategies feel free to ask them in the comment section below!
Let’s make some money together!
"Goody Bag", for Breakout Traders!Price-Congestion is going to mature. After accumulation or distribution process from money-makers, price will move far away from current value which will be result as Breakout.
Right identification of Breakout will fill your portfolio but, always require patience. There're lot of traders works when breakout. If you are this type of trader, then ready!
Point should be careful while breakout are following:
Pin Bar
Volume surging with price
Gap
Invalid candle
Last and First of secession
etc.
Best of luck...!
Ahrvo Daily Movers ⬆: B2Gold CorpWhat is B2Gold?
B2Gold Corp. operates as a gold producer with three operating mines in Mali, the Philippines, and Namibia. It operates the Fekola Mine in Mali, the Masbate Mine in the Philippines, and the Otjikoto Mine in Namibia. The company also has an 81% interest in the Kiaka Project in Burkina Faso. Furthermore, it has a portfolio of evaluation and exploration assets in Mali, Burkina Faso, Colombia, Namibia, and Finland. B2Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Ahrvo Stock Scores
BTG has been a top 50 stock on Ahrvo for over six months. B2Gold is rated STRONG BUY and has an AhrvoScore (overall score) of 99. Over the last 3 months, B2Gold’s Momentum Score, Quality Score, Value Score, and Growth Score have remained stable at 99 (flat), 88 (flat), 89 (+1), and 100 (flat), respectively. Out of the 7,000+ companies we cover, BTG’s Momentum Score, Quality Score, Value Score, and Growth Score ranked in the top 1%, 12%, 11%, and 1 %. Relative to competitors, B2Gold ranks higher across all stock scores: AhrvoScore 99 vs. 58, Momentum Score 99 vs. 82, Value Score 88 vs. 43, Quality Score 88 vs. 37, and Growth Score 100 vs. 41.
Our Take
We are experiencing the largest devaluation of currencies in our lifetime. Over the last month, monetary and fiscal policy officials across the globe have turned on the spigot- substantially debasing their currencies in an effort to support coronavirus riddled economies. In the U.S., the Federal Reserve has injected $8 trillion of dollars into the economy, while the U.S. government has plowed an additional $3 trillion. In Europe, the Italian government is spending $900 billion, Germany is spending ~$800 billion, while Spain and France have allocated $200 billion and $121 billion, respectively. The European Central Bank is injecting nearly $1 trillion as well. In Asia, the Bank of Japan doubled its ETF purchases to $114 billion and the Japanese government is injecting $1 trillion into its economy (20% of GDP). All of these things are bullish for gold, which is fixed in supply and tends to perform well during economic uncertainty when government officials resort to devaluation. Bank of America analysts have placed a price target of $3000 on gold, 73% higher than the current price. As a miner of gold, BTG is poised to benefit from the rise in prices. The correlation (relationship) between BTG’s stock and gold is moderate at .61 but has been trending upwards since the beginning of April. After a pullback last month, BTG price action has accelerated, up 85%. Gold was up 16% over the same period. Given the run-up in price, BTG’s relative strength indicator of 68 is approaching overbought territory and may need to pullback before investors take a position in (buy) the stock. On a year-to-date basis, Gold is up 13%, while BTG is up 25%.
-Appo Agbamu, CFA
This material is for informational purposes only. Under no circumstances should any information or materials presented be used or construed as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities, financial instruments, investments, or other services. Any investment made is at your sole discretion. There are many factors that you must consider when making an investment decision, including, but not limited to, product features, risks, whether or not an investment meets your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and other personalized factors. Investing in securities involves risks, and there is always the potential of losing your entire investment.
$SRNE on the possible move Looking at this for a swing, Ideally over 2.58 start taking profits at 2.65 first price target 2.70+
when to Buy Eur/usd 1h in bearish trend ?After the price break the support level of the Symmetrical Triangle ,the price retested going back to the ex-support level and continued the bearish movement , what i look into now is a congestion price range before go on the bearish movement , and the stocastico still in overbought and its about to cross and getting out of the overbought zone,another confirmation is the body of the candlestick of 1h time frame , it's noticeable the following doji candlesticks that reflect the weaknesses of the bearish movement ,conclusion we will have a small bullish movement (it will be a congestion pattern) before the price keep pushing down,for scalper can enter a long position but me as swing trader i will keep my short position open.
Note :i share my opinion with other traders to have many ideas as possible so they will be able to predict the next price action,so please don't open any position based on what i post, share with my your analysis to grow together .
Standard &Poor's Index might fall more!Welcome to this update.
The gaps are there and they always get filled.
IMO Within the next two weeks we can see this move happening.
Also to keep in mind the bearish pattern we just broke down from: RISING WEDGE.
TARGETS: Support Levels:
1) $2580.80
2) $2335.70
SL will be the purple line as shown in the chart: $2881.4.
Stay tuned for more updates.
#Peace
USDCAD With oil going bonkers last night will we get a pullback?This is a full breakdown of my perception of Price action on higher time frames! I take my entries using smaller time frame confirmation and you should too. If you have any questions about this trade or my strategies feel free to ask them in the comment section below!
Good Luck!!!!!!!!!!!
#BTC/USD Below $6800 or $7400?Hello everyone, Welcome to this quick Update.
Although I am not trading this chart right now until we break above $7200 successfully. I would like to share my views on the current chart.
I expect BTC to hold this green cluster of support.
If it does, a rally towards $7400 is highly likely breaking the first resistance around $7200. I don't think this support could break easily besides we have been trying to break 7200 since the last 6 weeks.
Important Support:
1. 50D MA
2. Black Support Trendline at 6900.
3. Long term Support : $6820
Resistance Levels:
$7200
$7390
$7590
$8300.
BE CAUTIOUS WITH YOUR TRADES. Use Stop Loss always...
#Peace
LINKBTC Bearish Divergence| Structural Support| .618 Fibonacci Evening Traders!
Today’s technical analysis will focus on LINK’s blue sky breakout that currently has a probable bearish divergence at play.
Points to consider,
- True blue sky breakout
- Structural support (S/R flip) confirmed
- .618 Fibonacci in confluence
- RSI diverging from price
- Volume nodes below average
LINKBTC has been in price discovery mode where there is no established resistance; this can be reflected by the VPVR.
The structural support has been tested confirming the S/R Flip. This level is also in confluence with the .618 Fibonacci – only if current local top is in.
RSI is diverging from price, putting in a lower high whilst the price puts in a higher low; this is a sign of topping out. The stochastics in currently projected downwards with lots of stored momentum.
The current volume nodes are below average after initial impulses, signalling a potential climax in buying.
Overall, in my opinion, LINKBTC may have put in a potential local top; a retrace to the .382 Fibonacci is the next logical target. If this level fails to hold, then a second retest of structural support comes in at play.
What are your thoughts?
Please leave a like and comment,
And remember,
“The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street even among the professionals, who feel that they must take home some money every day, as though they were working for regular wages.” – Jesse Livermore