EURAUD longHello everyone. As you may know, this channel has been updated.
At first, this channel was run by 1 person. From now on, there will be two persons who will run this trading group: t.me
What can you expect from us?
-A watchlist video. This will be uploaded every Monday in the morning.
-Trade setups. We only share high probability trade setups.
-At the end of the week we will upload a market recap video. This means that we will look back at the trade setups we have discussed in the trading group.
In the future there will be some sort of mini lessons. We will keep you updated on what this is going to be.
Furthermore, we have created this Equiy trading community group, because we want to create a community in which you can ask us questions, but also other people in the trading group. In that way we can grow as a community. We will share the link to this group in this message: t.me
So, we hope you will enjoy this whole idea and that we will grow together!
Team Equiy.
Tradesignal
EUR/USD reaches potential buy zone on D1The EURUSD pair seems to have difficulties breaking below the 2018 low of 1.1176, printing bullish candlestick patterns in the last two days.
Even though the pair has been trading in an overall downtrend for a few months now, notice the bullish wedge pattern in forming. Sellers are losing steam in pushing the price lower to large extent.
In addition, the pair could be finding support at the 61.8% Fib level, drawn from the 2017 low to the 2018 high.
Given the overall downtrend which is still active, I am still reluctant in placing a counter-trend trade, although the pair could make a short-term up-move to the upper wedge line.
For a longer-term buy setup, we need to wait for a break of the wedge pattern to the upside (above 1.14).
NZDCAD buy opportunity, SHS formingThe NZDCAD pair broke above a long-term trendline which has started in late 2016 and formed what looks like an inverse SHS pattern.
A daily close above 0.9300 would mark the pattern as triggered and confirm a buy setup.
This week's RBNZ rate meeting will likely create volatility in NZD pairs and either confirm our bullish bias or put the trade on hold.
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NZDUSD Potential Buy Setup on H4Hi traders! Here we have a beautiful setup on NZDUSD. After the initial strong up-move following the Fed meeting, the pair gave back its gains to trade near a confluence of a horizontal support and trendline support.
The current H4 candle shows that buying momentum is building up, which could send the pair further up.
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USD/SEK Potential Buy Setup on D1After a strong down-move following the dovish FOMC meeting yesterday, USD/SEK seems recovering at an important demand zone.
The pair is trading inside a rising channel and has reached near the lower channel support, which aligns with a horizontal support and the 61.8% Fib level.
Today's candle could provide the needed confirmation to enter with a long.
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USD/CAD Technical Buy Setup on DailyThe USDCAD pair is forming a very nice buy setup on the daily chart, after recently finding support at the confluence of a rising trendline and the 61.8% Fib level (February 27).
In March, the pair broke above a triangle pattern and completed a pullback to the upper triangle line.
The current price action is extremely interesting as a long confirmation, given that the pair formed a marginal higher high and retested the 61.8% Fib level in today's trade (the Fib tool with the semi-transparent background).
Today's candle is forming a strong pinbar candle, which suggests a strong rejection of prices below 1.3300.
Tomorrow's FOMC meeting will likely create some volatility in the pair, which is a short-term risk for buyers.
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CADCHF TECHNICAL SET UPWe broke and close a rising wedge continuation pattern on the last H4 candle close. Right now we are retesting the support trendline of the wedge. If we see a LL-LC after the retest (you can drop a timeframe to the H1 to look for this), expect price to move toward the targets. Move SL to B/E after TP1 is hit.
Goodluck!
CADCHF Potential Sell Setup on H4CADCHF is trading near a horizontal resistance and has recently entered into a consolidation, forming a bearish wedge pattern. This is a continuation pattern, and the price seems to be breaking out to the downside.
Further to the upside, the longer-term trendline could provide strong selling power.
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NZDJPY Potential Sell Setup on D1The NZDJPY is having difficulties to break above the 76.50 level, forming what looks like a triple top pattern on the D1 chart.
The current price is also close to the 61.8% Fib level, which looks to hold so far. Note that we draw the Fibonacci retracement from 72.37, to avoid the flash-crash from January 3 to interfere with our analysis.
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EURCAD Potential Buy Setup on H4EURCAD formed a promising buy setup after breaking above the falling channel and finding support at a longer-term trendline earlier. The pair now trades close to a horizontal support level.
The pair fell significantly after the ECB press conference last week and bad news about the euro area may already be fully priced in. An important factor for the EURCAD pair may be future oil prices and the state of the US economy.
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NZDCAD reaching important resistance on D1After ranging since the beginning of 2019, NZDCAD is now approaching an important trendline resistance on the daily. The trendline has started in late 2016 and has been tested multiple times so far.
We need to see a bearish candlestick pattern on the trendline to enter with a short position. A break above the trendline would aim for the 2018 high of 0.95.
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AUDNZD new 2019 low, more room to the downsideThis morning's Australian GDP report caused a sell-off in the Aussie as investors assess the likelihood of an RBA rate cut. GDP growth came in 0.2% q/q vs 0.5% expected.
From a technical standpoint, the AUD/NZD pair has formed a valid sell setup which is now confirmed by a fresh 2019 low. The SHS pattern has been triggered, a pullback is completed and there seems to be more downside potential in the pair.
CHFJPY Potential Buy Setup on H4The Swiss franc vs Japanese yen pair seems to find support at the lower boundary of a rising channel, a horizontal support and a trendline pullback around the 111.15 level.
Recently, the pair respected a longer-term rising trendline and picked up its underlying uptrend.
USDCAD near horizontal resistance, 1.36 in sight?After an amazing bullish breakout that I forecasted in one of my previous analysis (link below), USDCAD is trading close to a horizontal resistance at around 1.3380.
The Canadian dollar has been hit by somewhat lower oil prices, and a break above 1.3400 could lead to a retest of the 2019 high around 1.3650.
To the downside, the pair seems supported by the February high around 1.3330.
EURUSD | Downside expectedDownside movement is expected for the Euro against the US Dollar in coming weeks.
1W:
On the weekly chart we saw a large head & shoulders reversal pattern form, and price has since broken below the neckline support & found sustained resistance holding below it.
We've also seen a smaller ascending trend line broken to the downside with a weekly candle close showing clear rejections of higher prices.
1D:
Scoping down to the daily chart gives us a clearer look at the broken ascending trend line/triangle type pattern.
We can see on the daily chart a clear break & retest of this level with a bearish candle close on Friday setting us up for continued downside movement.
Sells will be placed early in the week with a stop loss above the most recent high.
Updates will be posted as the trade plays out.
EURNZD Friday Sell TradeHi traders, here is a potential sell setup in EURNZD. The pair reached the upper boundary of a falling channel, risk-on mode supports NZD in today's trade so far, and end-of-week profit-takings may push the pair lower.
The up-move seems overstretched in the downtrend.
The trade offers a good R/R ratio overall.
AUDCHF Potential Sell, Watch Out for SHS TriggerThe AUDCHF pair is trading in the upper range of a falling channel and has formed an SHS pattern as described in one of our previous analysis (idea attached below.)
While the first attempt to break below the pattern failed, now we have a secon right shoulder that shows a strong selling momentum and may have enough power to break below the neckline.
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CADJPY Potential Buy on H4CADJPY is trading inside an uptrend channel and has found support at a rising trendline, which forms a confluence support together with the falling daily trendline. There is also a horizontal support around 83.50.
The Canadian dollar seems to start reversing its losses on higher oil, while the Japanese yen will likely be impacted by a (potential) Trump-Kim deal and expected progress in US-China talks.
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AUD/CHF Potential Sell Setup on H4AUD/CHF formed an interesting SHS pattern and broke below the neckline. The right shoulder retraced at 61.8% of the previous impulse move, while the head represents the high of a price correction that retraced at 78.6% of the previous larger impulse move.
The pair is trading in an overall downtrend and in the upper half of the channel, which also signals the potential for further weakness in the pair.
The Australian dollar got hit hard recently on reports that a rate cut may be on the table and trade tensions that hover like a dark cloud above China. The Swissy is doing quite well on the other side, with Switzerland (non-EU state) in the process of getting a trade deal with the UK after Brexit.
GBP/AUD Monster trade has still upside potentialGreat trade taken in CommaFX Telegram channel!
We entered at 1.8139 and closed our position 252 pips in profit. Even if you've missed the initial trade, you may still have the possibility to enter long, since the pair has formed a fresh higher high and is trading at the highest rate since Jan 29. Watch out for the 2019 high around 1.8495 (close it before the round-number resistance.) The pair has been in demand after markets priced-in an assumed progress in UK-EU Brexit talks.
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