THE PSYCHOLOGY OF CHART ANALYSIS:THE ILLUSION OF CONTROLThe psychology of chart analysis is the ability to quickly find patterns and key levels on a chart. It is the ability to quickly switch timeframes and see the main trend. But traders often fall into the other side of the equation. They turn into hypnotized people who do not take their eyes off the magic of charts. The trader hypnotizes the chart and the chart hypnotizes the trader. And it is difficult to break this vicious circle, but it is necessary.
Psychological Dependence On The Price Chart 📉🧠
Chart hypnosis has a major problem when it comes to graphical hypnosis constant monitoring of charts takes away time that could be used more productively. It drains the trader's energy: eyes get tired, attention gets tired. The trader takes wishful thinking for reality and makes mistakes.
PSYCHOLOGICAL PITFALLS OF GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS: 📊
Constant Monitoring 👀
The chart is captivating, especially when a trade is open. You can follow the price movement for hours, enjoying inwardly when it goes in the right direction and worrying when it reverses. The brain is switched off. A person does not think, does not even analyze the meaning of the changing pictures. This is the most real hypnosis.
You can watch water flow forever, fire burn forever. And you can watch price charts forever. Remember how much time you spend watching essentially useless shorts on YouTube? And how much time uselessly watching charts? The only difference is that video relaxes you, while constant price monitoring leads to stress, because your money is at stake.
The Nervous Chef Phenomenon 😓
Another psychological trap of chart analysis is constant checking of price changes. It would seem that a trade has been opened within the framework of risk management, stops have been set, take profit has been set. Why do you need to look at the chart every five minutes? But a trader persistently checks every 5 minutes "is the water boiling?" or "are the potatoes boiled?". Such dependence is not only in trading. Similarly, every 5 minutes we check social networks and phone: "What if someone wrote a comment under my photo?", "What if someone sent me a new message?".
It is logical that after checking the chart every minute extra money will not appear on the account. But there will be a false sense of control, not counting the loss of time. The more often you open the lid of the pot, checking the boiling of water, the longer the water takes to boil.
Emotional Mistakes 📌
Statistics show that 70% of the time the price moves chaotically. Trying to constantly look for a trend or pattern on the chart, you fall into the trap of emotions. Under the emotional influence you open a trade in a bad time zone or close it prematurely, although initially there was a clear direction; to strictly follow the risk management, the established rules of the trading system.
Illusion Of Control 💡
According to statistics, a person has a much higher chance of losing their life in a traffic accident than flying in an airplane. But people continue to fear airplanes more than cars. To the person behind the steering wheel, it's like: "I'm buckled up, I know the traffic regulations, I'm in control." This is called the illusion of control.
There is a classic experiment in psychology. One group of participants is asked to choose a lottery ticket, the second group is given one. Then they are offered to exchange tickets. The second group goes to the exchange without questions, while the first group is less willing to exchange. The experiment shows that people who made an independent decision feel responsible for it and therefore are more confident in winning.
There is a similar trap in trading. The trader thinks that she/he has mastered technical analysis, has considered all the risks, and therefore opened the trade correctly. And now she/he watches the chart every 5 minutes to make sure that she/he is right. In psychology, this is called "thirst for control".
How to Overcome It? ✅
Catch yourself thinking that you've already fallen into one of these traps. And if so, force yourself to simply turn off the screen. Convince yourself that all the rules of risk management have been followed, which means you don't need to spend time on constant monitoring. Force yourself away from the monitor. Watch TV, take care of the garden, do some repairs, go for a bike ride. In other words, there is a temptation to constantly sit at the monitor - try to be as far away from it as possible.
In summary, the psychology of chart analysis in trading is crucial for identifying patterns and key levels and understanding the overall trend. However, overdependence on charts can lead to psychological pitfalls like constant monitoring, causing mental fatigue and mistakes. To overcome these challenges, we should recognize when we fall into these traps, trust our risk management strategies, and engage in other activities to maintain a balanced life.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Trading-signals
CADCHF Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
CADCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6508 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6519
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPAUD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.9345
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Bullish anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.9344
My Stop Loss - 1.9291
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 80.97
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 79.55
My Stop Loss - 81.80
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCHF What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5809
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5768
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5827
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 189.81
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 189.52
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CETUS NEW INCREASE VOLUMEThank you for reading this update.
Depending on our study we see that CETUS has a good chance of volume increase.
This updates depending on day trade, And the market should confirm with time the right market way.
Our study shows that Cetus can break in the coming time frames.
New updates will be added on this page when there are new target gains.
#Nottradingadvice
#For Day traders take always profits when the market increase
#Expect nothing from the markets, but follow what it shows.
GBPNZD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPNZD is below:
The market is trading on 2.0911 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.0782
Recommended Stop Loss - 2.0977
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURNZD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.7863 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.7920
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.7755
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3462
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.3498
My Stop Loss - 1.3439
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GBPCHF next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1256
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1278
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1220
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2162.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2171.0
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/AUD Long Trade Idea 1:5 RRMarket broke structure and we are retesting it now. if we get bullish candle closures at this support we can enter a Long position with a great 1:5 risk to reward setup.
if the market does not close with bullish candles in this area and falls below then we will not enter the buys and we will wait for a good setup.
WHAT IS THE POWER OF THREE (PO3)?Lets look at the basic model of manipulation for the purpose of accumulation and distribution within separately taken time periods the power of three. Understanding this model is a fundamental skill for working through the methodology of trading disciplines such as swing, short-term and intraday trading.
✴️ WHAT IS THE POWER OF 3?
The power of three is a candlestick/bar formation stages relevant for all timeframes, especially applied within daily and weekly trading ranges, where the opening price is considered to be the beginning of the period. For intraday trading, we only need to apply the weekly and daily powers of three, but we should also pay attention to the monthly candle, as the zones of interest on the higher timeframes increase the chances of success.
✴️ WEEKLY POWER OF 3
The logic of the weekly PO3 is useful for constructing a trading bias.
Bullish Bias. Expect a move below the opening price early in the week, which would be a weekly manipulation (Judos Swing). The low of the week is usually formed between Monday and Wednesday, most often on Tuesday or Wednesday. If the price moves back above the opening level after leaving it, a reversal scenario is possible.
Bearish Bias. We expect a move above the opening price at the beginning of the week, which will be a weekly manipulation (Judos Swing). The high of the week is usually formed in the interval between Monday and Wednesday, most often on Tuesday or Wednesday. If the price moves back above the opening level after leaving it, a reversal scenario is possible.
✴️ DAILY POWER OF 3
The opening price level is used to determine a favorable opening zone to take a trade.
Manipulation (Judas Swing). We wait for the completion of the liquidity grab before making a decision.
Expansion is a price action that traders capitalize on.
Distribution is an area in which we take profits.
EURCHF A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9615
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.9583
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.9634
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDCHF is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8806
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.8779
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURNZD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.7763 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.7696
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6527 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6555
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6513
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2179.1
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2159.5
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/AUD SHORT IDEA 1:5 RRMarket structure has been breaking down with LL and LH.
Market broken this trend line and we are retesting it just in time for London session. tested support area became resistance.
higher time frame we are at a supply area so when we break down to lower time frame we see a sell off.
Great risk to reward setup.
Trades Idea for Tuesday12 Mar 24DISCLAIMER
This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose.
Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Signal For 12 Mar 2024
Trade Idea 1
Buy STOP Order: $2183.68
Stop Loss: $2177.98
Take Profit 1: $2189.13
Take Profit 2: $2193.01
Trade Idea 2
Buy LIMIT Order: $2180.31
Stop Loss: $2174.61
Take Profit 1: $2185.76
Take Profit 2: $2193.01
Risk per trade: 0.5%. We are trading in tight range, please trade with caution!
100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in day out.
GBP/AUD SHORT IDEAMarket created a lower structure came back to this support area and creating resistance. this would be a great risk to reward setup with a sell from here but to confirm sells further more you can wait for that trendline break and retest.
this trade seems to make sense as of now. we are outside of london session so anything can happen. trade at your own risk!