GBP/USD: Technical Signals Point to Potential Bearish ReversalIn the early stages of the European session on Friday, GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its footing, trading below the 1.2925 mark as I compose this article. The pair faces pressure from a robust demand for the US dollar amid a backdrop of cautiousness from the Federal Reserve and prevailing economic uncertainties. This selling pressure persists despite the Bank of England's recent hawkish stance.
As market participants await insights from Federal Reserve officials as well as a speech from US President Trump in the Oval Office, attention is heightened. From a technical perspective, the currency pair has entered a supply zone, prompting expectations for a potential reversal and the commencement of a bearish trend.
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Trading
High Volatility Trade Management & Risk Management Strategies
With a current geopolitical uncertainty and the election of Trump, forex market and gold experience wild price fluctuations. These unpredictable swings can result in substantial losses, particularly for the beginners in trading.
In this article, I will share with you the essential trade management and risk management tips for dealing with extreme volatility in trading.
I will reveal proven strategies and techniques for avoiding losses and unexpected risks.
1. First and foremost, pay attention to the news.
The main driver of high volatility on the markets are the news , especially the bad ones.
In normal times, high impact news events are relatively rare, while in times of uncertainty their frequency increases dramatically.
Such news may easily invalidate the best technical analysis setup: any powerful support or resistance level, strong price action or candle stick pattern can be easily overturned by the fundamentals.
Trump tariffs threats against Canada made USDCAD rise by 400 pips rapidly, while the change of rhetoric quickly returned the prices to previous levels.
One you hold an active trade, monitor the news. If you see the impactful news that may affect the pair or instrument that you trade, immediately protect your position, moving stop loss to entry.
It will help you avoid losses if the market starts going against you.
2. Even constantly monitoring the news, you will not be able to protect yourself from all the surprising movements.
Sometimes your trades will quickly be closed in a loss.
Therefore, I strictly recommend measure a lot size for every trade that you take. Make sure that you risk no more than 1% of your trading account per trade. That will help you to minimize losses cased by the impactful, uncertain events.
3. The impactful events may also occur on weekend, while Forex market is closed. Such incidents can be the cause of huge gap openings.
If you hold an active trading position over the weekend, remember that your entire account can be easily blown with such gaps.
Imagine that you decided to buy EURUSD on Friday during the NY session and keep holding the position over the weekend.
A huge gap down opening would make you face huge losses, opening the market 125 pips below the entry level.
By the way, this day I received a dozen of messages from my followers that their accounts were blown with the opening gaps.
4. If you see a significant price movement caused by some events, and you did not manage to catch it, let it go.
Jumping in such movements is very risky because quite ofter correctional movements will follow quickly.
It will be much safer and better to try to be involved in a trend continuation after a pullback.
Look what happened with Gold when Trump began a new trade war.
The price started to grow rapidly. However, even during such a sentiment, 500 pips pullback occurred, giving patient traders a safe entry point for the trade.
5. In the midst of geopolitical tensions and trade wars, the markets tend to rally or fall for the extended time periods.
The best trading strategies to use to get maximum from such movements are trend-following strategies.
While reversal, counter-trend trading might be extremely risky, providing a lot of false signals.
Trend trading may bring extraordinary profits.
These trading tips, risk management and trade management strategies and secrets are tailored for cutting and avoiding losses during dark times. Empower your strategy with this useful knowledge and good luck to you in trading high volatility on Gold and Forex.
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GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,024.22.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,056.10 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUDUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.631.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.618 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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CADCHF Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for CADCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.619.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.623 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPAUD Will Move Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2.039.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2.033.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPUSD Sell Trade March 26 2025- Sell Limit ActivatedHello Traders!
Another great movement of GBPUSD, 1H and 15min TF confluence.
Entry: 5min TF with validity of OB (check charts for detailed annotation)
Note: This trade was a sell limit order in MT4 aiming for 1:5RR. You can see also Distribution Schematics in Higher Timeframe.
#wyckoff
#proptrader
#Riskmanagement
Yen Steady Near 150.7 as Dollar StrengthensThe Japanese yen hovered near 150.7 per dollar on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar strengthened. Concerns grew over Japan’s exports following Trump’s proposed tariffs on autos and pharmaceuticals. BOJ minutes showed officials remain open to future rate hikes, with one member suggesting a 1% rate by late FY2025. The central bank kept rates steady at 0.5% last week, citing global uncertainties.
Key resistance is at 151.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 154.00. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 69.08
Target Level: 67.53
Stop Loss: 70.11
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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The Power of Commitment in Trading Psychology: A Key to Success
The Power of Commitment in Trading Psychology: A Key to Success 📈💡
Hey TradingView community! I’ve been diving into some trading books lately, and one chapter really hit home: it’s all about commitment. Turns out, it’s the key to making it as a trader—especially in the crypto space where volatility can test your emotions. Here’s what I learned and how I’m applying it to my trading mindset.
Commitment isn’t just about showing up—it’s about promising yourself to be the best trader you can be. I read about a guy who made a ton of money but lost it all because he wasn’t fully in. It made me realize: you can’t just dabble in this game. You gotta go all in. For me, this means sticking to my trading plan, even when the market (or my emotions) tempts me to stray. In crypto, where prices can swing wildly, this is crucial.
One big thing that messes with commitment is the battle between wanting quick wins and sticking to a plan. I’ve caught myself following random advice without thinking—anyone else been there? It’s a trap. Commitment means getting your mind, emotions, and actions on the same page. I’m working on staying disciplined by focusing on my system, even during losing streaks. For example, I use stop-losses and take-profits to keep my emotions in check when trading BTC or ETH.
Here’s a 3-step process I picked up to build commitment:
1️⃣ Figure out what you really want from trading (e.g., steady growth, not just mooning coins).
2️⃣ Spot what’s getting in your way (like fear of losses or FOMO).
3️⃣ Make a plan to push through—like setting clear risk management rules.
For me, this has been a game-changer in staying consistent, especially in volatile markets like crypto.
Psychology matters so much! A lot of traders fail not because their system sucks, but because they can’t stick with it. I’m starting to see how knowing myself better helps me stay committed. Some practical stuff I’m trying: starting small to build confidence, sticking to my system no matter what, learning from experienced traders, and not letting fear of losses throw me off. My current focus is on keeping my position sizes small (1-2% risk per trade) and reviewing my equity curve weekly to ensure I’m on track.
Biggest takeaway: commitment is what makes or breaks you as a trader. It’s about knowing yourself, staying disciplined, and pushing through the tough times. I’m ready to step up—how about you?
What’s your biggest challenge with staying committed in trading?
Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇
AUD/NZD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
AUD/NZD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.098
Target Level: 1.089
Stop Loss: 1.104
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Time to Recover
I see a confirmed bullish reversal on Dollar Index
initiated after a test of a key daily horizontal support.
A formation of a double bottom pattern on that and a consequent
violation of its neckline provides a strong bullish signal.
I think that the index will reach at least 105.0 level soon.
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NZD/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CAD is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.817 level.
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CHF/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so CHF-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 169.610.
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GBP/AUD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/AUD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2.054 level.
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EUR/AUD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/AUD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.712 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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DYDXUSDT - a real oppurtunity!the coin is currently in a deep bottom compared to its December peak, having dropped over 80%.
Buying now is a rare opportunity that may not come again in the future.
On the 3-day chart there is a nicly breakout of a 4 months downtrend ...
the most important resistance is at the key level—once it breaks, the price will pump insanely.
best regards Ceciliones🎯
Gold Price Analysis March 25The D1 gold candlestick confirmed a clear decline. Some late-day buying pressure around 3000 pushed the gold price a bit.
H4 has formed a bearish wave with an important price of 3028. If H4 cannot break 3028 today, there will likely be a strong sell-off of gold at the end of the day.
Trading scenario. Gold is pushing up from the 3015 price zone. Target in the European session is 3027-3028. If this zone cannot be broken at the end of the session, SELL and hold at 3008. If the US confirms a break of 3008, hold at 2983. In case of a break of 3028, the sellers are weak. Be careful of false break of 3028. If the break is real, wait for 3035 to SELL today.
Gold does not push up to 3027 but closes below 3015, then SELL to 3008. At the end of the session, if it breaks 3008, hold to 2983. If it doesn't break, then BUY again to the 3008 area, target 3028.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 26, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📉 Consumer Confidence Hits Four-Year Low: The Conference Board reported that the Consumer Confidence Index fell to 92.9 in March, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline and reaching its lowest level since January 2021. Rising concerns over tariffs and inflation are major contributors to this decline.
🇺🇸🏠 New Home Sales Rebound: New home sales increased by 1.8% in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 676,000 units, slightly below the forecasted 679,000. The median sales price decreased by 1.5% to $414,500 from a year earlier, indicating potential affordability improvements in the housing market.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, March 26:
🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: -1.0%
Previous: 3.2%
Reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for long-lasting goods, indicating manufacturing activity.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
CRAIUSDT - An interesting coin!CRAI token is a part of Cryptify AI project
Cryptify AI uses AI and blockchain to analyze influencer performance on social media, helping businesses make more accurate and transparent marketing decisions using the CRAI token.
A strong and interesting project with a unique idea.
On the chart, it has formed a descending channel, and the 0.236 resistance has been broken on the 3-day chart.
The price movement is expected as shown in the chart
Best regards Ceciliones🎯