DXY Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 109.412.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 110.871.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Trading
GOLD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 2,706.25.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 2,790.68 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 156.291.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 154.540 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Adobe (ADBE): Patience Pays Off After 35% RallyFollowing our last analysis of Adobe (ADBE), the stock saw a 35% rally from June to September, only to flush back to our preferred range—a clear reminder of the importance of considering the bigger picture rather than chasing every setup. Six months later, Adobe now trades below our initial analysis levels, reinforcing the value of patience. Currently, the stock has tagged the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, showing a promising reaction. However, reclaiming and flipping the key resistance at $446 with strong momentum is crucial. If this level is reclaimed, we will look for a pullback to bid at this key zone.
Should Adobe fail to reclaim $446, another drop toward the $386–$350 support range becomes highly likely. As such, we are not rushing into long positions for the sake of being positioned.
On the fundamental side, Adobe faces critical challenges as investors question its ability to monetize new AI features and fend off competition from emerging startups. These factors will play a key role in shaping the company’s outlook. For now, we remain patient, watching for clear rejections or reclaiming of the key levels.
Key Resistance: $446
Key Support: $386–$350
According to the 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a sellAccording to the 1h analysis, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the resistance area.
But remember one thing if the price successfully closes above 2718.00, then stay away from selling. So don’t place any advance orders for now. Use good bearish confirmation for the entry.
GBPNZD Is Going Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2.174.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2.200 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription:
This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan:
Analysis:
Market Structure:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows.
Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Zones and Liquidity:
Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance.
Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity.
Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower.
Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for Short Entry:
Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point.
The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control.
Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias.
Trade Plan:
Short Entry Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone).
Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level.
TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity.
TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling.
Additional Notes:
Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character).
Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision.
Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GOLD with the target of 2,659.028 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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Gold cools as fighting eases in GAZA#️⃣ The Israeli Prime Minister officially announced that he will ratify the ceasefire agreement in Gaza! Trump repeated: I have merit
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⭐️Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu confirmed that the ceasefire agreement with Hamas has been completed and will take effect on Sunday, right before Donald Trump takes office as US president.
✔️The agreement brokered by Biden, Trump and Qatar includes: Hamas will release 33/98 hostages, Israel will withdraw troops from Palestinian residential areas and release 1,000 Palestinian prisoners.
➡️Trump asserted that this agreement would not have been possible without his participation, while Biden emphasized his desire for a long-term ceasefire to stabilize the region.
🔴
There are many mixed opinions within Israel: the extreme right wing opposes the agreement, while the Israeli stock market increased sharply by 4.4% last week due to positive expectations from the agreement.
Political Situations Are Calming Down as Trump Takes Office, Cooling Down Gold
Moving Investors Money to Crypto Market, Hottest Place Right Now
CAD/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the CAD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 110.323 level.
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AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/JPY right now from the resistance line above with the target of 96.652 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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NZD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on NZD/JPY, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 87.200.
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GBP/JPY Short, NZD/JPY Long, USD/CAD Short and CHF/JPY ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CHF/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value 1.
• 4H risk entry.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value 2.
• 1H impulse down below area of value 2.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/JPY: Consolidation Ahead of Big MoveLooking at the 4-hour chart of USD/JPY, I see the pair is currently trading around 155.79, with a notable reaction at the support area near 155.50. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA have started to widen their gap, indicating that the bearish pressure is still in place. However, the 155.50 price zone acts as an important psychological support, creating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
The 34 EMA acts as dynamic resistance near 156.20. If the price fails to break above this level, the downtrend is likely to continue.
A break below 155.50 could drag the price to test deeper support at 154.80 – a strong support level in previous sessions.
Conversely, if the price breaks above the 34 EMA, the pair could test the higher resistance at 156.80, near the 89 EMA.
GBP/USD: Consolidation at Key SupportLooking at the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, I see that the pair is currently trading around 1.2202, with signs of consolidation at a strong support zone. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are still sloping down, indicating that the bearish bias is still dominant. However, the gap between the price and the EMA is narrowing, which could be a sign that the bearish pressure is waning.
In addition, the pair has successfully tested the 1.2170 support zone in recent sessions, creating a solid foundation for a short-term recovery. To break this consolidation, the price needs to overcome the dynamic resistance at the 34 EMA, located around 1.2230. If this happens, the next target will be the 1.2300 zone – a strong psychological resistance.
EUR/USD: Will It Recover or Continue Downtrend?Looking at the daily chart of EUR/USD, I see that the pair is moving within a clear bearish channel. Currently, the price is hovering around 1.0297, near the center line of the channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are still sloping down, confirming the long-term downtrend. However, a small divergence at the support level suggests a potential short-term recovery.
It is worth noting that the price is testing a dynamic resistance zone, near the EMA 34, around 1.0300. If the price fails to break above this level, selling pressure could increase, dragging the price down to the 1.0200 area, or even the bottom of the channel around 1.0100. Conversely, if the price breaks above the EMA 34 and breaks the channel, the next target could be the 1.0400 area.
Gold Gains Amid Low US Inflation – More Upside Ahead?
Looking at the gold price action on the 4-hour chart, I see some technical signals supporting the possibility of a price increase. Currently, the price is hovering around $2,699 and maintaining above the EMA 34 ($2,693) and EMA 89 ($2,672). This shows that the uptrend is still dominant. At the same time, the price bounced after touching near the EMA 34 in the recent session, reinforcing the important support role of this area.
The arrangement of the EMAs still supports the uptrend, with the EMA 34 above the EMA 89. This combined with the recovery momentum from technical support creates expectations that the price will test the important resistance zone at $2,728. A break of this level would open the possibility of a price increase to the $2,750 area and higher. However, it should be noted that the support zone at $2,693 (34 EMA) will be the first line of defense if the price corrects. If the price breaks this zone, selling pressure could push the price down to the $2,672 (89 EMA) zone.
Fundamentals: Lower-than-expected inflation data has reinforced expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will continue to cut interest rates, which will weaken the USD and increase the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. At the same time, investors are still waiting for economic policy information after Donald Trump returns to the White House.
I see gold in a short-term consolidation but has the potential to bounce if it breaks the important resistance zone. Watch the $2,728 zone closely to assess the next market momentum.
CAD-JPY Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-JPY broke both the
Rising and horizontal
Support line which are
Now resistance areas
And the breakout is
Confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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GBPJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPJPY is below:
The market is trading on 1.1373 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable GBPJPY continuation.
Target - 1.1313
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK