NZD/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD-CAD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.827 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the NZD/CAD pair.
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CHF/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 173.464 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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Gold Price Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting BreakoutGold Price Drops Amid Hawkish Fed Comments - Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting Breakout
Gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a sharp drop following recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. The continuation of tight monetary policy has unsettled investors, leading to strong sell-offs during both the Asian and US trading sessions today.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold is forming a new sideways range, and if you zoom out to higher timeframes, you'll notice a classic bearish flag pattern developing. This suggests that gold is in a period of consolidation before a potential large-scale breakout. While the upward momentum from both the Asian and European sessions was strong, gold failed to break the critical 3250–3255 zone. This area remains vital for determining the next direction in gold's price action.
Should the bearish trend continue, if we break the support trendline below the current price, the likelihood of the bearish flag pattern playing out rises to around 80%. This could lead to further price corrections.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: 3205, 3194, 3280, 3262
Resistance Levels: 3244, 3262, 3278, 3286
📈 Trading Strategy:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3294 - 3292
Stop Loss (SL): 3288
Take Profit (TP): 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3272 - 3270
SL: 3266
TP: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3330
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3242 - 3244
SL: 3248
TP: 3238 → 3234 → 3230 → 3226 → 3220 → 3210
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3276 - 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
As we approach the close of the week, the volatility in gold could intensify, especially with the Fed’s actions, market sentiment, and geopolitical developments. Always follow your TP/SL to safeguard your investments and avoid unnecessary risk.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
The market is in a consolidation phase, and it's essential to wait for confirmation before taking significant positions. If gold fails to break the 3250–3255 resistance zone, the chances of a more significant move downwards increase. However, be cautious, as the market is volatile, and things can shift rapidly.
Gold trading plan May 19Gold is trading in a wide range and needs a few more factors to confirm whether the corrective downtrend of gold will continue or not.
3242 will be an important upper boundary in the current price channel. With the m30 candle force in the European session being able to break through the 3230 area, the prospect of reaching 3242 in the European session is very high. We can watch the price reaction and give a SELL signal in this area and the buy break point is 3230
On the further side, we have the daily resistance zone of 3282 when the 3242 border is broken and on the opposite side, the Asian session support zone around 3202-3200 acts as a barrier ahead before the gold price reaches the daily support level around 3192.
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, EURAUD, NZDJPY, CADCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The pair demonstrates clear strength of the sellers.
The price went way below a recently broken resistance.
With the absence of impactful fundamental news,
the market may continue falling for now.
2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The market is trading within a wide falling parallel channel on a daily.
Its upper boundary is a strong vertical resistance.
I will look for selling from that.
Alternatively, its bullish breakout may push the prices much higher.
3️⃣ #NZDJPY 4H time frame 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Before an Australian interest rate decision at night,
the pair acted strongly bullish, following our plan.
I see a nice double bottom pattern and a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH.
I think that growth will resume soon
4️⃣ #CADCHF 4H time frame 🇨🇦🇨🇭
The price formed a nice bullish flag pattern.
I am waiting for its bullish breakout to confirm a start
of a new bullish wave.
A candle close above its upper boundary will validate the violation.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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GBP-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in a local
Uptrend and the pair made a
Breakout and a retest of the
Key horizontal level of 1.8600
Which is now a support and
We are seeing a bullish rebound
From the new support already
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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GBP_NZD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅GBP_NZD has retested a key support level of 2.2520
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 2.2600 is likely
LONG🚀
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Market next move 1. Over-Reliance on Support Zone
The analysis heavily leans on the assumption that the support zone (marked with the purple "Support" label) will hold.
However, this support has already been tested multiple times, which weakens its strength.
A break below this zone could trigger significant stop-loss hunting, leading to a bearish breakdown instead of a bullish reversal.
2. Volume Analysis Suggests Weak Momentum
The recent bounce lacks strong volume. This suggests that buying interest is not convincing at this level.
Without volume confirmation, any bullish move is less likely to sustain.
3. Lower Highs Pattern
Despite small rallies, the chart is forming lower highs, which is typically a bearish signal.
This hints at seller dominance, and the yellow bullish projection might be overly optimistic.
4. Resistance Overhead
The price is approaching a short-term resistance zone (red box), which has rejected the price previously.
Without a clear breakout above that, the bullish case is speculative.
5. Fundamental Factors Unaccounted
The chart doesn’t account for macro factors like U.S. dollar strength, interest rates, or geopolitical influences that often affect gold.
If the dollar strengthens, gold may drop, breaking the support.
Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Range Weakness and Exhaustion Risk:
The price has been ranging within a tight zone, and repeated tests of the support line near 3,215–3,218 show weakening buyer pressure.
If bulls were strong, we might have already seen a breakout with momentum. Instead, there's sideways choppiness, suggesting indecision or exhaustion.
2. Lower Highs Forming:
Despite a flat support zone, price is forming lower highs, a bearish signal. Sellers are stepping in earlier on each bounce, tightening the range from the top.
3. Volume Depletion:
Volume is gradually dropping during this consolidation. If a breakout happens without a volume surge, it risks becoming a false breakout.
4. Liquidity Sweep Possibility:
Market makers might push price below the support zone (~3,215) to trigger stop-losses and accumulate orders before a potential real breakout. This would trap late buyers who enter early.
5. Bearish Scenario Path:
If price breaks below 3,215 and closes under that on decent volume, expect a move to the next demand zone near 3,200 or lower.
Downside target could be around 3,180–3,190, where the previous demand base formed on May 15.
XAUUSD Sell Setup from Supply Zone | TP1 & TP2 BelowWe're keeping an eye on a clear rejection from the supply zone marked between 3,230 and 3,236. The price has dipped into this area, showing signs of slowing momentum, and is now breaking downwards.
📉 Sell Plan Details:
🔻 Sell Entry: 3,222 – 3,225 (just below where we saw the supply zone rejection)
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,232 (set above the supply zone for added safety)
🎯 TP1: 3,210 (a minor support level / our first target)
🎯 TP2: 3,195 (a major demand zone / our final exit point)
📦 Zone Mapping:
🔲 Supply Zone: 3,230 – 3,236
This is where sellers stepped in, creating downward pressure.
🔲 Demand Zone: 3,192 – 3,196
A strong bounce area that’s likely to draw in buyers for a reversal or partial exits.
📊 Bias:
As long as the price stays below 3,230, the bearish sentiment holds. If we see a breakout above 3,232, this setup will be invalidated.
🔁 Execution Tip:
Watch for bearish candles or rejection wicks in the entry zone for confirmation. TP1 is great for quick scalps, while TP2 serves as a position target near structural demand.
⚠️ Always prioritize risk management – never trade without a stop loss!
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 20, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Bear Market Concerns Emerge
Veteran investor David Kotok warns of a potential bear market, projecting that tariffs could reduce S&P 500 earnings per share from $260 to $230 over the next year. This outlook suggests a possible decline of the index to the 4,000–4,400 range, with elevated Treasury yields further pressuring valuations.
🚢 Retail Inventory Challenges Amid Tariff Uncertainty
The Port of Los Angeles reports potential lower inventories for retailers due to ongoing U.S.-China tariff uncertainties. Despite a temporary 90-day tariff reduction, complexities in forecasting cargo volumes persist, potentially leading to fewer product choices and rising prices for consumers.
🛍️ Retail Earnings Spotlight
Major retailers, including Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ), are set to report earnings today. Investors will closely monitor these reports for insights into consumer spending patterns amid economic uncertainties.
💬 Federal Reserve Officials Scheduled to Speak
Federal Reserve officials, including Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin and Boston Fed President Susan Collins, are scheduled to speak today. Their remarks will be scrutinized for indications of future monetary policy directions.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, May 20:
10:00 AM ET: Labor Force Characteristics of Foreign-born Workers (Annual 2024)
10:00 AM ET: State Job Openings and Labor Turnover for March 2025
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
NATGAS SWING LONG|
✅NATGAS is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 2.90$
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 3.26$
LONG🚀
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GBP-AUD Double Top Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 2.0820, then
Established a double-top
Pattern and is now going
Down so we are locally
Bearish biased which
Means that we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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$RDDT – Big Move Incoming? 38% Upside🚀 NYSE:RDDT – Big Move Incoming?
🔥 Daily: Inverse H&S nearing breakout—above $131.50, target $182.30 (+38%) 🚀
📈 Weekly: Bearish WCB breakout → Uptrend in motion. If Inverse H&S confirms, bullish combo sets up a big move!
This train is moving—watch for the breakout! 🚊💰
THIS TIME IT'S DIFFERENT!🔥 THIS TIME IT'S DIFFERENT! 🔥
Can you see the shift?! VOLUME IS HERE—AND IT'S MASSIVE. 💪💰
Unlike those weak, fleeting rallies that got crushed under waves of red, this one is packed with bullish buyers and offside hedge funds READY TO SEND IT HIGHER. 🚀📈
Not to mention the last time we had this level of above average volume for this long was in October 2023 when we were coming out of a bear market and it was only the beginning of our ascent higher!
I'm not saying we can't have a pullback soon...I'm just simply saying the volume is here and it looks like dips will indeed be shallow.
ATH retest INBOUND!
Are you positioned for the move? 👀
AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ
USD-CHF Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF made a retest of
The horizontal support level
Of 0.8318 from where we
Are already seeing a bullish
Rebound so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD has retested a
Resistance level of 1.1290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Market next move
1. Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Disruption: The price has struggled to break above the 3,240–3,250 area multiple times. This could indicate strong resistance.
Implication: If the price fails again, we may see a rejection and a move down towards the 3,180–3,160 support range instead of a bullish breakout.
---
2. Volume Analysis Caution
Disruption: The volume during recent upward moves is not significantly higher than the downswings.
Implication: Weak buying volume might not support a strong breakout, suggesting a fakeout could occur.
---
3. False Breakout Possibility
Disruption: A possible fake breakout above the red box might lure in buyers before a reversal.
Implication: Watch for a "bull trap" where the price briefly breaks up and then reverses sharply downward.
---
4. Macro Events Ahead
Disruption: The timing (around May 20) could align with macroeconomic news (e.g., Fed minutes, CPI, etc.).
Implication: News can trigger volatility and negate technical expectations.
---
5. RSI or Momentum Indicators?
Disruption: Without checking RSI or other momentum indicators, the analysis might lack confirmation.
Implication: Overbought/oversold conditions could shift the bias unexpectedly.
Next move Disruption Analysis: Bearish Risk Perspective
1. Sideways Consolidation (Red Box Zone):
The price is consolidating in a tight range between roughly 32.20 and 32.40, showing indecision and potential for either a breakout or breakdown.
Repeated rejections near the top of this box can signal exhaustion of buying pressure.
2. Volume Observation:
There’s no strong volume surge indicating accumulation; volume appears mixed and doesn't strongly support a bullish breakout.
A potential fakeout risk exists if the price spikes above the consolidation range only to fall back in (bull trap).
3. Potential Bearish Breakdown:
If the price breaks below the red box, especially under 32.20, it could trigger stop-losses and initiate a short-term bearish trend.
First downside target: 32.00 psychological level, followed by 31.80 support from previous lows.
4. Wick Rejection on Top:
The recent candles inside the box show long upper wicks — signs of selling pressure at higher levels.
Next target Bearish Disruption Points
1. False Breakout Risk
Price is hovering near the recent highs but hasn’t made a convincing higher high.
A fakeout above 32.42 followed by a sharp rejection could trap buyers and trigger a sell-off.
2. Exhaustion at Resistance
The current level (~32.33–32.42) was a previous distribution zone on May 13–14.
Low volume follow-through may indicate weak buying interest, increasing the odds of a reversal.
3. Bearish Divergence (Potential)
If RSI or MACD shows lower highs while price pushes up, that’s a bearish divergence—a common reversal signal.
(You’d need to check indicators for confirmation.)
4. Support Flip to Resistance
If the price breaks back below the red box (~32.25), the same zone could act as resistance, turning into a supply zone.
5. Volume Clue
Volume appears lower during the recent bullish attempts, hinting at buyer fatigue.
Higher volume on red candles would validate a bearish shift.
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 99.946Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 100.223.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,233.07 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,221.68 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️