Gold Price Surge Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout💥 Gold Price Surge: Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout? | Trading Plan for Today 📊
📊 Market Overview:
✔️ Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery following significant geopolitical and economic developments over the weekend. Key factors driving this rally include:
✔️ Putin’s Rejection of Peace Talks: If the conflict intensifies, we may see a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
✔️ US Credit Downgrade: Rising concerns over US debt and bond yields could drive more investors back into gold.
✔️ Trump’s Tariff Threat: Although less aggressive than before, Trump’s volatility still poses risks to market stability, with gold remaining a key hedge.
✔️ These combined factors have driven a gap up of over 20 points during the early Asia session. Should these issues remain unresolved, gold could be set for a strong move back toward its previous All-Time High (ATH).
📉 Technical Analysis:
✔️ The chart is showing an increasingly bullish setup. EMA 13 has crossed above both EMA 34 and EMA 200 on the M30 chart, suggesting that the market is primed for a breakout.
✔️ We’re seeing the potential for a $100–$200 rally per ounce, should the bullish momentum persist.
✔️ Given the current market volatility, geopolitical events could cause sharp price movements. A breakout of the current trendline may indicate that we are witnessing a retest before the next significant surge.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Support Levels: 3204, 3193, 3186, 3174, 3163
🔺 Resistance Levels: 3254, 3277, 3288
💰 Trading Strategy for Today:
✅ BUY Scalp: 3194 – 3196
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3190
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
✅ BUY Zone: 3186 – 3184
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
✔️ SELL Zone: 3287 – 3289
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3293
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270
💎 Good Luck! Stay tuned for more updates, and trade wisely! 📈
Trading
GBP/JPY Short and CAD/JPY ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
BITCOIN CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend in a narrowing
Bearish wedge pattern and the
Coin has reached a horizontal
Resistance level of 108000$
So IF we see a breakout from
The wedge a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 19–23, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 19–23, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Moody's Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating
Moody's has downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing concerns over rising national debt and interest payment ratios. This move aligns Moody's with previous downgrades by Fitch and S&P Global, potentially impacting investor sentiment and increasing market volatility.
🛍️ Retail Earnings in Focus
Major U.S. retailers, including Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ), Lowe’s ( NYSE:LOW ), Target ( NYSE:TGT ), TJX Companies ( NYSE:TJX ), Ross Stores ( NASDAQ:ROST ), and Ralph Lauren ( NYSE:RL ), are set to report earnings this week. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into consumer spending patterns amid ongoing tariff concerns.
💬 Federal Reserve Officials Scheduled to Speak
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams, are scheduled to speak this week. Their remarks will be scrutinized for indications of future monetary policy directions, especially in light of recent economic data and market developments.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, May 19:
8:30 AM ET: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic speaks.
8:45 AM ET: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and New York Fed President John Williams speak.
10:00 AM ET: U.S. Leading Economic Indicators for April.
📅 Tuesday, May 20:
8:30 AM ET: Building Permits and Housing Starts for April.
10:00 AM ET: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari speaks.
📅 Wednesday, May 21:
10:00 AM ET: Existing Home Sales for April.
10:30 AM ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report.
📅 Thursday, May 22:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims.
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing and Services PMI for May.
📅 Friday, May 23:
10:00 AM ET: New Home Sales for April.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
NZD-JPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY made a bearish
Breakout of the rising support
Line then made a retest of the
New resistance and is going
Down now so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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NZD_JPY FALLING SUPPORT AEHAD|LONG|
✅NZD_JPY has been falling recently
And the pair seems locally oversold
So as the pair is approaching
A falling support line
Price growth is to be expected
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD-CAD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD is trading beneath
A wide strong horizontal
Resistance level around 1.4027
So after the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish pullback and
A move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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GBP_JPY GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_JPY is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target above 194.000
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
btc . recap . w3 . maymon to eager . wait mon to show its hand - cw!
. early LONG compound because of the bullish outlook
- tp2 108462
tue didn't ride momentum - blind bullish
. tp1 HIT
. missed SHORT at 10pm (UTC+2)
- should have traded the momentum of mon looking to form support during the week later . for more compound LONG
wed mid of range . cw
. no trade zone
thu
. waiting for run of aLow during ny
. compound LONG - 101485
. tp1 HIT
fri didnt catch enough upward momentum
. tp1 HIT
. last limit order for bullish continuation . tpo - 102862.5
wknd
. tp1 for weekly LONG idea finally hit
. duration 5d 22h
. +4.33%
conclusion :
trade what you see, go with momentum, but have a narrative.
outlook :
america downgraded from AAA to AA+ . People will turn hardcore bearish, once the price starts falling. this could be the trigger to find the long awaited drop - while having retail call out a bearmarket . massive potential here, to both sides. wOpen and monday full data (while keeping an close eye on tpo and footprint charts), are key .
EUR-USD Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a retest
Of the key horizontal level
Around 1.1255 and already
Made a pullback so we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Click…Click…Boom : What’s Your Count?Hello Traders and welcome to Crypto Aera.
The inspiration for today’s episode comes from a conversation I had recently.
Someone asked me, "I’m moving up in my position size, and there’s this knot in my stomach. I’m numb to smaller figures, but now I’m stressed." That stayed with me.
A few days later, I stood on a beach, watching the waves lap against a shore covered in endless pebbles.
As I began stacking them, I noticed a pattern. The higher the stack climbed, the more precise I had to be. I spent longer searching for flat, perfectly matched pebbles.
You see, you can’t throw a large pebble on top of a small one, followed by another large one, and expect stability. The tower will hesitate, teeter for a moment, and then collapse under the weight of imbalance.
Trading is no different. It’s physics, it’s art, it’s strategy. Your foundation—your portfolio—can only carry so much unless each decision is deliberate, consistent, aligned.
A misplaced pebble, much like a poorly timed trade, and you’re staring at the rubble of a once-promising stack, left with barely 8%—if you’re fortunate.
Similar-sized, flat pebbles stack because consistency breeds strength. The higher you go, the more thoughtful you must become. The rules of pebble stacking and trading are inseparable.
Now, let’s address that knot in your stomach.
How do you conquer it?
You embrace the crash.
You let the tower burn—not on its own terms, but on yours.
You take control.
Cut the trade, close it yourself.
It may seem like a minor act, but it’s not.
Holding on for hours, days, endlessly hoping, is how you wear yourself down, tumble-dry your psyche into exhaustion.
But here’s the alchemy of transformation: you choose the moment.
Pick the time, pick the place, and sever the cord.
Because waiting for the market to punish you, to bring your tower down, is surrender.
Hope is a subtle assassin, and hesitation will chain you to stagnation.
Don’t allow it.
Let the tower fall, let it crash.
That moment—the collapse—is not an end.
It’s a doorway.
It’s the reset button, the gateway to moving forward.
Guilt?
Leave it behind.
Regret?
That’s weight you can’t afford.
Be nimble, be decisive.
Don’t get swept away by the explosion; walk yourself out of that burning tower with precision and strength.
Scars are avoidable if you leave on your terms.
Every trade is a deliberate action, a piece of a larger construction.
Each choice builds your tower, step by step, click by click.
The market’s tide can shift in an instant, but you can decide whether you stand still, hesitating, or take action to preserve what you can.
So I’ll ask you:
What’s your count?
How many pebbles have you stacked?
How many missteps have you learned from?
Each toppled stack is not failure—it’s a masterclass in rebuilding, stronger and sharper.
Balance risk and reward, ambition and patience.
Understand that every pebble plays a role. Yes, at the bottom of the stack it's not a heavy burden... it's when you see growth... that's where things tend to get wobbly.
And next time you feel that knot in your stomach, remember this: you are the architect of your stack. You are the one who decides when to burn the tower and when to build it higher.
Don’t hesitate.
Act.
Thank you for tuning in to Crypto Aera's Mental Analysis Navigation.
Until next time: keep stacking, keep counting, and keep mastering.
PS: Split your stacks.
Over and Out,
Craft
Behind the Numbers : Meet Your Dark SideIn the heart of every trader lies an unspoken duality—a relentless pursuit of precision battling against a ravenous hunger for chaos.
It begins innocuously enough: the first trade, the first click, the first taste of triumph. But beneath the surface, hidden in the shadows of spreadsheets and tickers, a darker force stirs. It’s cunning, calculating, and seductive—a predator dressed in the guise of ambition.
You meet this dark side not in moments of triumph, but in the haunting seconds between fear and greed. It whispers to you as the market turns against you, as the screens bleed red and your pulse quickens. It watches as your composure fractures, as your carefully laid plans buckle under the weight of desperation. It thrives in the silence, in the endless ticking of the clock as you hesitate, second-guess, and linger on the edge of ruin.
The dark side is not an external force; it is you. It is your impatience when the chart doesn’t move fast enough, your overconfidence when the numbers briefly tilt in your favor. It is the knot in your stomach, the feverish obsession, the siren call of doubling down when you know you shouldn’t. It is your recklessness disguised as boldness and your hesitation masked as strategy.
You don’t fight the dark side.
You negotiate with it.
You confront it, standing toe-to-toe, dissecting its motives and unmasking its lies.
To do otherwise is to surrender—becoming a puppet to your own fear, enslaved to the same impulses that destroy those who lack the discipline to conquer themselves.
In trading, the battlefield is not the market. It’s the war within you. And to emerge victorious, you must first meet your adversary:
YOURSELF.
Craft
The Hot Seat: Adapt or BurnSo, you've found yourself squarely in the hot seat.
Welcome to the Trading Trail, Dorothy—except this isn’t Kansas, and you’re lightyears from home.
This is new terrain, uncharted and merciless. In prior episodes, I barely skimmed over the dark side of trading—the facets of your psyche that stealthily pilot your decisions. Perhaps it left you sighing, unsure of where to begin. Let's change that today.
Consider this a no-frills exposé into the abyss—the countless unseen facets of your being that dictate your behavior on autopilot. As traders, many scream manipulation as markets sway violently against their carefully plotted plans. Yet, all the market truly does is wield a figurative hot pogo stick, jabbing precisely where your weak points lie—not maliciously, but with unerring precision.
Let’s be honest.
Western Hollywood scripts spoon-feed us formulaic redemption arcs. Fifteen minutes in, the hero lands their mission. Fifteen minutes before the credits roll, the final showdown begins.
Tomato, tomahto—it’s predictable fluff.
But real life doesn’t stick to screenplay rules. It’s jagged, it’s raw, and the narrative rarely ties up neatly. If you’re seeking depth, you won’t find it in blockbuster tropes—you’ll find it by doxxing your own dark side.
That’s right—exposing the facets of yourself you don’t even realize exist. It’s intense, it’s uncomfortable, but it’s transformative.
Here's a quick roll call of scenarios you might recognize:
- You close your trade prematurely due to impatience and wavering conviction.
- You've DCA'd your account into oblivion, clutching blind hope from a TA analysis you were too stubborn to question—aka Disney goggles.
- Revenge trading—you've been there, too. We all have.
Here’s the brutal truth: every “loss” is nothing more than the market holding up a mirror to your imbalances. Every poke, every jab, is a lesson about you.
Your job isn’t to whine about manipulation, but to analyze yourself. Figure out where you are falling short, because the longer you deny your flaws, the deeper that pogo stick sears into your psyche. Embrace the battlefield; don’t cower. The market is your adversary, yes—but it’s also your greatest teacher.
Now, the million-dollar question—where do you begin?
Start by delving into the layers of yourself.
Explore tools like the Myers-Briggs personality test—it’s one type of gateway to understanding your cognitive tendencies.
Answer impulsively, not meticulously, to ensure untainted results.
Once you unearth your MBTI type, dive deeper. YouTube has a treasure trove of creators offering insights, and here’s a quirky trick: pay attention to the memes that resonate with your dark humor—if it makes you laugh, it may hold clues to your personality type.
Go further. Unearth whether you align with alpha, beta, gamma, or sigma archetypes. And don’t cheat—being an alpha isn’t necessary for trading success. Honesty is paramount. The market will sniff out dishonesty like a bloodhound.
Are you a Heyoka empath? Research it thoroughly, as such individuals often absorb and act under external influences. Understanding this facet could shield your portfolio from emotional sway.
Perhaps astrology speaks to you.
If it does, approach it with sophistication—understanding your sun, moon, and ascendant sign is merely scratching the surface.
True mastery lies in uncovering the full depth of your natal chart through the myriad systems that exist.
Trading and astrology, though seemingly worlds apart, share a startling resemblance: both rely heavily on indicators, and both are prone to human inconsistency.
Ultimately, explore yourself as though you’re reconstructing a high-performance machine.
What happens when your rev limiter is in the red, the tires gripping the pavement at 144mph—do you fishtail with control or spin into oblivion?
That’s trading in its essence, but you’re motionless in a chair, adrenaline pumping, palms sweating.
The goal?
Serenity.
No matter whether you rake in gains or cut losses, your micro-expression remains unchanged—
neutral and poised. Not numb or robotic, but wholesome and unshakeable.
When you embrace this awareness, you transform. You shed skin like a serpent, emerging sharp, agile, and complete.
Suddenly, the market loses its fangs.
You dodge the pogo stick like a lethal machine, executing trades with finesse.
You stop being a victim, instead becoming a warrior.
The market ceases to intimidate, recognizing you as an equal contender.
There are countless tools to learn more about yourself. Skip the IQ tests—this isn’t about being book-smart.
Explore psychological tests, data intake styles, and sensory preferences.
What works for others may not work for you, and that’s okay. Clarity is the key.
And before you dive in each day, try the Human Benchmark website—a simple way to check your mental acuity.
If you’re off your game, sleep.
The trade can wait.
Finally, ponder the Dark Triad—a concept that brushes against psychopathy, narcissism, and Machiavellianism. It’s not just a speculative theory—it exists all around us.
Are you one?
Are you dealing with one?
Knowing yourself will sharpen your moral compass and guide your decisions in the battlefield.
Trading isn’t just a skill.
It’s an intimate confrontation with your entire self—the good, the bad, and the shadowy. And like any great narrative, the real depth doesn’t come from shortcuts—it comes from the untamed, unvarnished truth.
Craft
ETHUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 2,566.3 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 2,601.4.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 105,444.37 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 104,692.82 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 10487 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 10367
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US30 Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 42,620.8.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 45,530.9 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.86
Target Level: 55.95
Stop Loss: 65.80
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CAD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the CAD/JPY with the target of 101.132 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY analysis week 21Fundamental Analysis
USD/JPY recovered slightly on Friday as the USD recovered and traded sideways around the DXY index level of 100.80.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened despite a decline in Japan's GDP, due to its safe-haven status and expectations that the BOJ will not raise interest rates soon.
The BOJ kept interest rates at 0.5%, lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% and may pause interest rate hikes until September to monitor the impact of US tariffs.
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, no plans to cut in the near term. The Fed Chairman warned that tariffs could increase inflation and reduce growth.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY is reacting at the 89 EMA. Overall, the uptrend is still maintained for this pair and pay attention to the immediate support level of 144,000, while the pair is still trading above this area, the uptrend is still continuing. The two resistance levels that the pair could reach next week are noted at 147.500 and 148.300. In case the 144.000 trend zone is broken, the pair's slide will be supported by the May low around 142.600.