AUD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.636 area.
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BITCOIN BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 105,952.89
Target Level: 102,605.64
Stop Loss: 108,184.39
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
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EUR/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the EUR/CHF with the target of 0.938 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 3H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.094 area.
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AUDUSD Analysis – Falling from the Rising WedgeAUDUSD pair broke below an ascending wedge, a bearish reversal pattern.
Clean rejection from 0.6518, with lower highs and new lower lows confirming bearish momentum.
Price is now sitting below former trendline support, retested and respected as resistance.
Bearish target points toward 0.6400–0.6380 zone, aligning with recent swing lows.
Risk invalidation sits above 0.6520, where structure fails.
Technical Bias: Bearish
Target: 0.6400
Stop-loss zone: Above 0.6520
📊 Current Bias: Bearish
🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving AUDUSD
AUD Fundamentals (Weakening):
Australian jobs data was mixed, and wage growth has plateaued.
RBA remains cautious, with expectations for rate cuts later in 2025.
AUD pressured by China growth risks and weak commodity demand.
Geopolitical drag: Australia-China tensions and weak Chinese retail data from 618 Festival dampen AUD outlook.
USD Fundamentals (Resilient):
USD remains bid on risk-off flows, especially after weak global data and ongoing Middle East tensions.
Fed remains reluctant to cut fast despite disinflation signs – supports the USD.
US data is mixed, but rate cut odds are declining (only one expected in 2025 now per dot plot).
⚠️ Risks to This Bearish View
If China announces new stimulus, AUD could rebound sharply.
A dovish surprise from the Fed (e.g. Powell softening in speeches).
Sharp rebound in risk appetite (e.g. tech-led equity rally).
🗓️ Important Events to Watch
🇨🇳 China industrial profits & PMIs
🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes (July preview hints)
🇺🇸 US Core PCE (June 28)
Global risk tone: watch metals, equities, and geopolitical headlines.
🚀 Which Asset Leads?
AUDUSD is lagging other USD pairs, but will likely lead commodity FX downside if China or metals weaken further.
Watch AUDJPY and EURAUD for further confirmation of risk-off flows and Aussie weakness.
EUR/AUD ShortEUR/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- 1H impulse down below area of interest.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play
Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones.
🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold?
📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold.
💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors.
⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market.
📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume.
Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond.
Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback.
✅ Trade Setup
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325
SL: 3320
TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3405
TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360
⚠️ Final Thoughts
The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike.
Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
AUD/USD: The Clearest Short Opportunity This WeekThis week, the macro and market landscape provides a rare alignment across all major models—making AUD/USD the standout short opportunity among G10 FX pairs.
Key Reasons for the Bearish AUD/USD Bias:
1. Commitment of Traders (COT):
Institutional positioning has turned decisively bearish on the Australian dollar, with net shorts increasing and sentiment remaining negative.
2. Z-Score & Positioning Extremes:
Z-Score indicators confirm a below-average long bias for AUD, highlighting that recent speculative flows are heavily skewed to the short side.
3. EXO/Score Model:
Our EXO (macro scoring) model gives AUD/USD a clear SHORT rating, with no offsetting bullish factors in the “core” or “risk/reward” signals.
4. Commodity Edge – Iron Ore:
Iron ore prices, a crucial driver for AUD, have sharply declined in recent weeks. This is a classic “canary in the coal mine” for AUD weakness historically, persistent iron ore declines precede broader AUD selloffs.
5. Sentiment & Risk Environment:
Despite global “risk-on” sentiment, AUD is unable to benefit, as both macro and market participants rotate away from commodity FX and into USD strength.
6. Endo (Fundamental) Model:
While Australia’s macro data still looks solid on a lagging basis, all faster models (positioning, flows, sentiment, commodities) point to an imminent shift typically, ENDO lags in catching turning points.
Conclusion & Tactical View:
SHORT AUD/USD is the highest conviction trade for this week, backed by full alignment of macro, positioning, sentiment, and real-economy factors.
Expect continued downside pressure while commodity markets and COT data remain bearish.
For active traders, the first 3–7 days following this setup historically provide the highest reward-to-risk moves.
NZD-CHF Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 0.4847 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we are
Locally bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🌐 Geopolitics Add to Risk Aversion
The S&P 500 is up about 0.9% so far in June, but analysts warn it’s facing a “precarious” phase amid renewed Middle East conflict and looming U.S. tariff deadlines in July–August. Elevated oil prices could fuel inflation, while fiscal and debt ceiling pressures weigh on sentiment
🎙️ Powell Heads to Capitol Hill
Fed Chair Powell will testify before Congress this week. His remarks on inflation and rate outlook—particularly regarding the Fed’s recent dot-plot revisions and monetary policy uncertainty—will be central to market direction
📈 Nike, FedEx & Micron Earnings Under Focus
Key corporate earnings (Nike, FedEx, Micron) could provide fresh insight into how tariffs and supply-chain disruptions are impacting major U.S. businesses
🛢️ Oil Prices Elevated
Oil remains range-bound at multi-week highs near $75–80/bbl following U.S.–Israel military action in Iran, which briefly spiked prices ~7–11%. Continued dependence on Middle Eastern supply may keep energy complex volatile
⚖️ NATO Summit Tightens Security Focus
NATO leaders meet in The Hague, marking an elevated global defense posture amid geopolitical uncertainty. Defense and aerospace stocks may remain pressured or volatile depending on summit outcomes
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, June 23
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services & Manufacturing PMI (June)
10:00 AM ET: Existing Home Sales (May)
📅 Tuesday, June 24
10:00 AM ET: Consumer Confidence Index (June)
Testimony: Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears before Congress
📅 Wednesday, June 25
10:00 AM ET: New Home Sales (May)
📅 Thursday, June 26
8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP (Final Estimate)
📅 Friday, June 27
8:30 AM ET: Core PCE Price Index (May) — Fed’s preferred inflation gauge
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #oil #charting #technicalanalysis
EUR_USD RISING SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 1.1511
LONG🚀
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DE40 H4 Analysis 23 Jul to 27 Jul - Bullish FlagDE40 Showing a bullish Flag 23,735 - 23,800. If it breaks this zone, Most probably can fly upto 24,466 and higher. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
EUR-JPY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 168.000 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up on Monday
Buy!
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EUR_NZD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅EUR_NZD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.9250 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up on Monday
LONG🚀
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EURAUD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURAUD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.7858
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 1.7914
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.7748
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCHF Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5278
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5302
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ETHUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 2,270.9 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 2,290.8.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 102,641.61 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 102,364.09.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPTechnical Analysis Summary:
Pattern Formation: The chart shows a descending triangle pattern with double tops, indicating bearish pressure at resistance levels.
Breakdown Confirmation: Price has broken below a key ascending trendline (shown in dashed line) and retested the breakdown area, forming a bearish rejection (highlighted red zone).
Key Zone: The price is currently trading around $105,075, just under the previous support-turned-resistance zone (~$106,000). This confirms a failed bullish structure and strengthens the bearish outlook.
Targets:
First Target: Around $101,000–102,000, aligning with the next visible support zone.
Second Target: Around $97,000–98,000, which is a major support / key zone based on prior structure.
Bias: Bearish in the short term, as long as price remains below the $106,000 resistance zone.
Trade Setup Outlook:
A short position is implied by the arrows.
Best entries are around retests near $105,500–106,000 with stops above the recent highs (~$107,000).
Conservative profit-taking at the first target, with extended TP near the key support zone.
GBPJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 196.531.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 195.203 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,599.6
Target Level: 3,126.8
Stop Loss: 3,914.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/AUD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 2.074 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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