Trading
UK Data in Focus as Pound Tests 1.3300GBP/USD trades near 1.3280 early Thursday, recovering recent losses as the dollar softens with ongoing trade policy discussions. Optimism over reduced U.S. tariffs on British goods like cars and steel helps strengthen the appeal of the Pound.
However, weaker UK employment data and slow wage growth may increase pressure on the BoE to consider further easing. Traders now await UK Q1 GDP and U.S. CPI data. Despite global uncertainties, improving trade conditions have reduced bets on aggressive Fed cuts, with markets now pricing a 74% chance of a 25 bp cut in September instead of July.
The pair faces resistance at 1.3320, with higher levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support sits at 1.3160, then 1.3000 and 1.2960.
Euro Rises Near 1.1200 on Reserve StatusEUR/USD traded around 1.1200 during Thursday’s Asian session, rebounding ahead of the Eurozone’s Q1 2025 GDP report. The Euro remains supported by its rising role in global reserves, with Capital Economics noting its strongest position in years. U.S. policies under President Trump set this shift in motion, which is seen as weakening the dollar’s appeal as a popular asset. Germany’s increased fiscal spending has also lifted euro demand.
Despite ECB officials signaling more rate cuts, the Euro holds steady against a softer U.S. Dollar, which remains pressured by lingering trade uncertainty. Markets are now focused on U.S. retail sales and PPI data, while speculation grows that the U.S. might allow a weaker Dollar to aid exports.
EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside near 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
Technical Analysis – Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart + TRADE PLANThe chart displays a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is a neutral continuation pattern often leading to a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend.
The current price action is at the apex of the triangle, suggesting an imminent breakout.
The price is currently testing the lower trendline support, with a visible weakening momentum.
Indicators Analysis:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Showing bearish momentum with continued red wave dominance and lack of significant bullish divergence.
RSI (14): Bearish territory at 32.51, approaching oversold but no bullish divergence visible.
Money Flow Index (MFI): At 28.90, indicating weak buying pressure, leaning toward bearish continuation.
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 3): In the oversold zone (1.49), which could indicate a short-term bounce is possible, but not confirmed by other indicators.
Volume:
Note that the chart mentions volume data is unavailable. Confirmation on volume spikes during breakout is essential to validate any move.
Scenarios and Targets
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout (Less probable based on current conditions)
Break above triangle resistance (approx. 102,300 USD).
Target 1: 107,500 USD (Measured move from triangle height).
Target 2: 115,500 USD (Extended target based on historical breakout levels and Fibonacci projection).
Confirmation needed: Clear breakout with high volume and RSI recovery above 50.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown (More probable currently)
Break below triangle support (approx. 101,300 USD).
Immediate Target 1: 97,000 USD (Measured move from triangle height).
Target 2: 93,500 USD (Previous major support zone).
Confirmation needed: Hourly candle close below support zone and breakdown with increased volume, RSI falling below 30, Stochastic remaining oversold.
Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish unless invalidated by bullish breakout confirmation.
Entry Strategy:
Aggressive short entry: On hourly candle close below 101,300 USD.
Conservative short entry: On confirmation below 101,000 USD with volume spike.
Stop-Loss:
Above 102,500 USD, invalidating the bearish thesis.
Take-Profit Zones:
TP1: 97,000 USD
TP2: 93,500 USD
Risk Management:
Max risk per trade: 1-2% of portfolio.
Monitor closely for fakeouts at the apex; symmetrical triangles are prone to false moves.
Alternative Strategy:
If bullish breakout occurs above 102,500 USD with RSI reclaiming 50, switch to a long setup with:
Stop Loss: Below 101,000 USD
TP1: 107,500 USD
TP2: 115,500 USD
Current indicators, price behavior, and chart pattern favor a bearish scenario.
Key to execution is waiting for confirmed breakout direction with volume confirmation, especially near the critical apex zone.
Stay adaptive, as symmetrical triangles can break either way, and false breakouts are common.
btc . may . w3 . thuin retrospect
- SHORT towards 2pm (UTC+2) . into wOpen + fib resis - was the TOD
- compounding LONG gave a new avg LONG
entry . 102586
sl . 100017
tp1 . 104576
tp2 . 105871
for bullish continuation, price around 2pm needs to be a support zone.
if we see it the other way around, we could rotate to lower prices.
if price breaks out above 102586, we TRAP NEW SHORTS - which came in at 102100 . 20mil vol . push price back into 0.75% weekly range for tp1
GBPUSD: Bearish Move Confirmed?! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks bearish after a release of UK GDP this morning.
I see a strong bearish imbalance after a test of a key horizontal resistance
and a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH as a confirmation.
I expect a bearish continuation at least to 1.3224
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
UnitedHealth Group faces DOJ criminal probeUnitedHealth Group faces DOJ criminal probe amid stock turmoil. Will the gaps be filled? (and most importantly when)
This situation shows the critical importance of compliance and transparency in the healthcare industry, especially for companies managing public funds.
UnitedHealth Group is under a criminal investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice for potential Medicare fraud, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. This follows a civil inquiry earlier this year and a separate Senate investigation into the company's Medicare billing practices.
The company's stock has experienced significant volatility, recently closing at $308.01, marking a 48% decline over the past month and a 40% drop year-over-year. Analysts have adjusted their outlooks accordingly, with Oppenheimer setting a price target of $400, KeyBanc at $450, and B of A Securities at $350.
#trading #tradingcards #tradingstrategy #daytrading #swingtrading #stocktrading #optionstrading
High R Risk Long Strategy 3160 Old Bulls Awaiting AttackNew version:
After a significant drop in gold prices, we're starting to notice some encouraging signs of a bullish trend taking shape. The price has bounced off the 3145–3160 demand zone several times, hinting at possible accumulation. The recent candle patterns are showing higher lows, and it looks like buyers are stepping in to protect the liquidity just below 3160.
This setup is all about price action, liquidity sweeps, and structural changes. The 3160 zone is a crucial decision point where we expect buyers to take charge. It also coincides with a previous imbalance fill and a short-term order block.
Right now, this phase presents a great risk-to-reward opportunity for bulls, as long as the stop loss at 3145 holds firm.
Entry: 3160
Stop Loss: 3145 (just below the liquidity sweep and order block)
Targets:
TP1: 3180 (a minor resistance / reaction zone)
TP2: 3196 (liquidity above the last high)
TP3: 3208 (a key breakout target zone)
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 15, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 15, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📊 Producer Price Index (PPI) Release Today
The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the April PPI data at 8:30 AM ET. This report will provide insights into wholesale inflation trends, following the recent Consumer Price Index data that showed inflation easing to a four-year low.
🛍️ Walmart ( NYSE:WMT ) Earnings Report
Walmart is set to release its earnings today, offering a glimpse into consumer spending patterns amid ongoing economic uncertainties. Investors will be watching closely for any indications of how inflation and trade policies are impacting retail performance.
👟 Foot Locker Acquired by JD Sports ( NASDAQ:JD )
JD Sports has officially acquired Foot Locker ( NYSE:FL ) for $1.6 billion ($24 per share). The deal aims to consolidate market share in the sportswear and athletic retail sector, with JD expanding its U.S. footprint. Foot Locker shares surged 67% premarket following the news.
💻 Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) Faces AI Export Rule Implementation
The U.S. government's AI Diffusion Rule comes into effect today, potentially restricting Nvidia's chip sales to certain foreign markets. This regulatory change could influence Nvidia's stock performance and has broader implications for the tech sector.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, May 15:
8:30 AM ET: Producer Price Index (PPI) for April
10:00 AM ET: Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales for March
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
FARTCOIN Bearish Head and Shoulders – Testing Blue Support🚨 $FARTCOIN Bearish Head and Shoulders – Testing Blue Support 📉
$FARTCOIN has formed a bearish head and shoulders pattern and is now testing the blue support. There’s potential for a breakout, so we need to watch closely for any signs of further movement! 📊
Let’s monitor this closely! 💼💸
DOGE (Dogecoin)–Pullback Opportunity Amid Market-Wide ResistanceWith the total crypto market cap stalling at a major resistance zone, many altcoins — including DOGE — are due for a healthy retracement after recent strong moves. This sets up a potential buy-the-dip opportunity as DOGE returns to key support near $0.20.
🔹 Entry Zone:
$0.20 (next major support zone after recent rally)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $0.23 – $0.24
🥈 $0.30 – $0.31
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $0.18 (invalidates the support-based long idea)
Continuation into MNQ trades 5.14.25Continuation into my MNQ trading day, would like to see price continue higher, we have been pumping alot lately which cautions me to worry if we will see some sort of fast retracement sometime soon.
We took yesterday's daily highs, so I am a little confused if we will continue to take the current daily candle's high or if we will see some sort of retracement today into a bullish FVG from the daily to then continue trading higher.
The key aspect of trading that we are learning is when a candle/price will do something. Still alot to learn but have been making some decent choices with our trades. If we are stopped out we are still in profits for the day and maybe we call it.
The key thing I regret this trading session is not taking that $500 profit on NQ on that very first entry we took. Would've offset our losses and helped us stay secure profits for the day.
DAX: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 23,491.05 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,183.66 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,208.13 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.12030 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.229 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 31.986.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal as it forms a Double Top pattern on the daily chart. After hitting an all-time high near $3,500, the metal has entered a sharp correction phase and is now hovering dangerously close to key psychological support at $3,200.
Technical Analysis Breakdown:
A clear Double Top pattern is forming on the Daily (D1) chart, with two peaks near the same resistance level — a classical bearish signal indicating bullish exhaustion.
If today’s daily candle closes below the $3,200 level, we could see a rapid decline toward $3,000 in the short to medium term.
The neckline for this pattern aligns with the critical support zone between 3196–3200, which is the key area to monitor for potential breakdown confirmation.
What’s the Smart Money Doing?
Investors are currently pulling out of gold and rotating into higher-risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies, looking for higher yields and growth potential.
This shift in investment suggests that the current sell-off might not just be a technical correction, but also a sign of changing macro sentiment — particularly if the Fed continues with a hawkish stance and delays rate cuts.
Suggested Trade Scenarios:
🔻 If Daily Close is Below $3,200:
High probability sell setup based on the Double Top pattern
Potential downside targets: 3120 → 3050 → 3000
🔺 If Price Holds Above $3,200 and Bounces:
Watch for a retracement to 3250–3278 for potential reversal signals
Short-term BUY scalp towards 3300–3320 with a tight SL below 3190
What to Watch This Week:
Keep an eye on key US economic data, including CPI, PPI, and a Fed Chair speech, which could cause significant volatility.
The market is highly reactive right now — avoid emotional trades and wait for clear confirmation from the charts.
Risk management is essential, especially during these uncertain times.
Final Thoughts:
The Double Top pattern on Gold is becoming a significant technical signal for a potential trend reversal. A confirmed break below $3,200 could open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,000.
📣 Stay connected with AD for more real-time updates, technical insights, and trading setups during every market session.
Massive 884% vertical in past 2 hours $IXHLInsane volume, this will be in billions of shares total today.
They've tried to halt it several times but market makers are pulling orders seconds before halt, something is going on they're trying to get their orders filled and avoid halts, we'll soon see why and what's behind all that.
NASDAQ:IXHL
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3189.8
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 3179.7
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3207.3
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$DLO could be setting up for a MASSIVE Earnings POP!🚀 NASDAQ:DLO Chart Looking Strong into earnings!
The daily setup is looking phenomenal—while we haven’t fully broken out of the inverse H&S just yet, if we do, there’s a massive volume shelf and gap ready to launch this to $12.74—a potential 25% move!
Earning AH's!
$TSLA Weekly Chart Analysis🚀 NASDAQ:TSLA Weekly Chart Analysis
🔹 Strong Momentum: Launching off the volume shelf and cruising with the market’s bullish energy.
🔹 Room to Run: Approaching the red barrier, but not there yet—still has upside before a pullback.
🔹 Healthy RSI: Sitting at 56.60, meaning plenty of room for further gains.
🔹 Catalyst Ahead: Robotaxi event incoming! (Sell the news? You bought the rumor. 🤔)
🔹 Key Resistance: Watch levels at $350–$400.
Stay sharp—let’s see if TSLA keeps charging forward! ⚡📈
Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off: Is a Reversal on the Horizon? Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off After Initial Bounce – Is a Reversal Looming?
Gold opened the day with a slight uptick, only to be quickly slammed down, reflecting the current weakness in buying power. The market is reacting to news in flashes, quickly reversing direction — slow on the way up, but fast on the way down. This is the perfect reflection of a market losing confidence in any recovery trend.
🧐 Is This a Sign That Gold Is Heading Towards a Strong Reversal Zone?
📌 Support Zones to Monitor:
3222 – 3220: Short-term cushion. If this fails, expect further downward pressure.
3206 (M30): Next level of defense where technical reactions may occur.
⏳ Caution: Early European session tends to show strong volatility. If no clear signs of a bounce, be cautious of sudden sharp drops.
As for the trade negotiations, the developments around tariffs have been much more positive recently. Most news points toward further downside pressure on Gold, and it seems to be staying in the downward price channel. The price zones are not much different from yesterday’s levels, so I’ll slightly adjust my entries for today.
Watch the Resistance Levels: They are key for shorting opportunities. The BUY setup still seems far off; it’s hard to pick a good entry with resistance zones appearing everywhere right now. Don't rush into BUY positions just yet!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3244 – 3262 – 3278 – 3290 – 3308 – 3330
📊 Key Support Levels:
3216 – 3206 – 3194 – 3170 – 3158
🎯 Scalping BUY Zones:
BUY SCALP: 3196 – 3194
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
BUY ZONE: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
🎯 Scalping SELL Zones:
SELL SCALP: 3257 – 3259
SL: 3263
TP: 3253 – 3250 – 3246 – 3242 – 3238 – 3235 – 3230 – 3220
SELL ZONE: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3262 – 3258 – 3254 – 3250 – 3240 – 3230
🔎 Key Insights:
The market is moving in a tight range, but gold continues to hold below significant resistance. As the geopolitical situation stabilizes and tariff talks improve, any sudden price reversals will be important to monitor. The FOMC meeting and global developments will play key roles in shaping the future trend for gold.
💡 Conclusion:
Gold is facing a strong sell-off after testing key resistance. Focus on shorting at key resistance zones and be cautious with any buys until a clearer upward trend forms. Stay disciplined, watch the support levels carefully, and manage your trades well!