Trading
Gold Price Analysis Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease🔥 Gold Price Analysis: Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease
Technical Analysis Overview:
Yesterday's sharp decline in gold prices suggests a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical tensions, particularly in terms of the ongoing conflicts and political uncertainties. The global situation seems to be calming down, which has had a significant impact on the market.
From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend seems to be rational, though nothing is set in stone. Key negotiations are still underway, and important agreements may still be signed. After the sharp fall, gold has found some recovery, especially as it returns to liquidity gaps to fill.
Current Viewpoint:
At this stage, I am still expecting a retracement in gold prices, which will present better selling opportunities. While yesterday’s outlook focused on selling, we successfully identified key levels for buying. Today, selling opportunities seem more favorable than buying.
We need a pullback to fill the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and yesterday’s gap, after which gold may undergo another significant adjustment. The political dynamics, along with potential delays in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, could push gold back to $3000 per ounce. If this happens, the rise in gold prices would be easy to foresee.
Short-Term Strategy:
In the short term, we will continue following the market’s wave of corrections. Short positions may be more sustainable, and holding onto them could prove more beneficial in the current environment.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 3264 – 3278 – 3307 – 3328
Support Levels: 3241 – 3207 – 3196 – 3172 – 3156
Buy Opportunities:
Scalp Buy Zone: 3196 – 3164
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
Buy Zone: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
Sell Opportunities:
Scalp Sell Zone: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240
Sell Zone: 3328 – 3330
SL: 3334
TP: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3312 – 3308 – 3300 – 3290 – 3280
Upcoming Key News:
In the US session, we are expecting the release of CPI data for this period. As this is a crucial data point for the month, traders should pay attention. Currently, there is not enough information to analyze the CPI in-depth, so I will update you on the developments at the end of the European session, as we head into the US market.
Important Notes:
Ensure that you manage risk effectively and stick to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account. We are still in a volatile period, and as always, caution is key when navigating these types of market conditions.
Good Luck!
Gold breaks through 3,300 – Selling pressure has not stoppedGold price plummeted from 3,325 to 3,237 USD/ounce after the US and China reached a temporary agreement to reduce taxes. The stock market is up, the USD is strong, money flows out of gold. I see selling pressure clearly dominating.
On H1, the price is still below EMA34 and EMA89, recovering weakly around 3,260. H4 confirms the downtrend that has been formed before. If it does not surpass 3,270, I am inclined to believe that gold will continue to fall to 3,200 – 3,180.
Is There the Best Moving Average For Swing Trading?Is There the Best Moving Average For Swing Trading?
In swing trading, moving averages are widely used to analyse market trends and identify potential turning points. In this article, we’ll dive into the most commonly used MAs, their unique characteristics, and how they can be applied in swing trading strategies.
What Are Moving Averages?
You definitely know what moving averages are. However, we need to start our article with a brief introduction to this market analysis tool.
A moving average (MA) is a fundamental tool in technical analysis that helps traders understand the direction of a market trend by smoothing out price fluctuations, often touted among the best indicators for swing trading. Instead of focusing on the volatile ups and downs, MAs calculate an average of prices over a specific period, such as 20, 50, or 200 periods. This gives traders a clearer picture of the overall trend by filtering out short-term volatility.
There are different types of moving averages, but they all work on the same principle: tracking the average price over time to highlight the market's trajectory. For example, a 20-period MA shows the average (usually closing price but a trader can choose highs, lows, and opens) over the past 20 periods, updating as new prices come in. This rolling calculation creates a line on the chart, making it easy to identify whether the market is trending upwards, downwards, or moving sideways.
Types of Moving Averages
Moving averages come in various forms, each with unique characteristics that cater to different trading styles and strategies.
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
The simple moving average (SMA) is the most straightforward type, calculated by averaging the closing prices (but a trader can choose any price type) over a set number of periods. For example, a 20-period SMA adds up the last 20 closing prices and divides by 20. It’s popular among traders who want a broader view of price trends without overreacting to short-term fluctuations, making it a contender for one of the best moving averages for swing trading. However, SMAs can lag behind price action, as they give equal weight to all prices in the calculation.
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
The hull moving average (HMA) is designed to reduce lag while maintaining a smooth line. By combining weighted averages with additional smoothing techniques, the HMA offers a balance of speed and clarity, making it an underrated moving average for swing trading.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The exponential moving average (EMA) prioritises recent prices, giving them more weight in the calculation. This makes it more responsive to price changes compared to the SMA. Swing traders often use EMAs in faster-moving markets, where quick adjustments to trend shifts are crucial, with 8- and 21-period EMAs considered by some traders as two of the best EMAs for swing trading. For instance, a 20-period EMA reacts faster to sudden price movements than a 20-period SMA, helping traders spot potential reversals sooner.
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Similar to the EMA, the weighted moving average (WMA) also gives more importance to recent prices but does so with a linear weighting system. This means the most recent price has the greatest impact, gradually decreasing with older data. WMAs are less common but useful when traders want a more precise reflection of recent price action.
How to Use Moving Averages in Swing Analysis and Trading
Moving averages are versatile tools that can provide valuable insights for swing traders. Beyond highlighting trends, they can help identify potential turning points and dynamic support or resistance levels. Here’s how they’re commonly used in swing trading:
1. Identifying Trends
MAs are widely used to assess the direction of a trend. For instance, if the price consistently stays above a rising moving average, it suggests an upward trend. Conversely, when prices remain below a declining moving average, the market could be trending downward. Swing traders often rely on shorter moving averages, like the 20-period, for identifying trends that align with their trading horizon.
2. Spotting Reversals with Crossovers
Crossovers happen when two MAs intersect. A common example is a shorter MA crossing above a longer one, which may indicate a shift towards bullish momentum and vice versa.
3. Dynamic Support and Resistance
MAs act as floating support and resistance levels. MAs serve as a support level in an uptrend, with the price bouncing off it repeatedly. In a downtrend, the same moving average might act as resistance, limiting upward moves.
4. Filtering Market Noise
In choppy markets, MAs can smooth out minor fluctuations, making it easier to focus on the bigger picture. Swing traders often use longer MAs, such as the 50-day or 200-day, to filter out irrelevant short-term movements.
5. Timing Entry and Exit Zones
Many traders use crossovers to time their entries and exits, though it’s worth noting their lagging nature means they can result in untimely trades. They can also provide context. For example, if the price approaches a key moving average after a strong move, it might indicate a consolidation phase or a potential reversal, allowing traders to adapt their analysis.
Common Moving Averages for Swing Trading: The 20, 50, and 200 MAs
Swing traders often turn to the 20-, 50-, and 200-period moving averages as their go-to tools for analysing market trends. Each serves a specific purpose, helping traders gauge short-, medium-, and long-term price movements. These moving averages are often used together.
20-Period Moving Average
The 20-period MA is a favourite for short-term trend analysis. It reacts quickly to price changes; therefore, traders use it to identify recent momentum or potential trend shifts. Traders frequently watch for price “bounces” off the 20-period MA as potential indications of continuation in the current trend.
50-Period Moving Average
The 50-period MA provides a medium-term perspective, offering a smoother look at price trends. It’s slower to react than the 20-period MA but avoids being overly lagging. This balance makes it useful for identifying sustained trends while filtering out minor price noise. When prices interact with the 50-period MA, it often acts as a dynamic support or resistance level.
200-Period Moving Average
The 200-period MA is the benchmark for long-term trend analysis. It’s often used to determine the overall market direction. This MA is also a widely followed indicator for institutional traders, adding weight to its significance. Interactions with the 200-period MA often mark key turning points or areas of consolidation.
Traders also monitor crossovers between the 50- and 200-period MAs, recognised by some as the best moving average crossover for swing trading. For instance:
- Golden Cross: When the 50-period MA crosses above the 200-period MA, it suggests potential bullish momentum.
- Death Cross: When the 50-period MA drops below the 200-period MA, it signals a possible bearish shift.
Using Them Together
Using the 20-, 50-, and 200-period MAs together offers a comprehensive approach to identifying the best moving average crossover setups, allowing traders to see the bigger picture while still tracking short-term shifts. For instance, when the price breaks above the 200-period MA while the 20-period MA crosses above the 50-period MA, it may signal the beginning of a broader bullish trend. Meanwhile, a price drop below all three MAs could suggest broader bearish momentum.
Other Moving Average Combinations for Swing Trading
While the 20, 50, and 200-period MAs are staples in swing trading, exploring other combinations can offer nuanced insights tailored to specific trading strategies. Some alternative moving average setups that traders often employ include:
8-Period and 21-Period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
This pairing is favoured by traders seeking to capture short-term price movements with greater sensitivity. They call this the best EMA crossover strategy. The 8-period EMA responds swiftly to recent price changes, while the 21-period EMA provides a slightly broader perspective.
10-Period and 50-Period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs)
Combining the 10- and 50-period SMAs offers a balance between short-term agility and medium-term trend identification. This combination helps traders filter out minor price fluctuations and focus on more sustained movements.
28-Period and 50-Period HMAs
For traders focused on short-to-medium-term trends, the 28- and 50-period HMAs offer a balanced approach. The 28-period HMA reacts quickly to price changes, while the 50-period HMA provides a steadier view of the broader trend. Crossovers between the two can signal potential bullish or bearish momentum shifts, benefiting from the HMA’s reduced lag.
13-Period and 34-Period WMAs
Rooted in Fibonacci sequences, the 13- and 34-period WMAs are employed by traders who believe in the natural rhythm of the markets. A 55-period WMA can also be included for a longer-term perspective. Crossovers between these WMAs can highlight potential trend reversals or continuations, with the WMA adapting more quickly than other MAs due to its weighted calculation.
Implementing These Combinations
When applying these moving average combinations, it's crucial to consider the following:
- Market Conditions: These combinations often perform better in trending markets versus ranging markets. Moreover, shorter MAs might be more effective in capturing quick price movements during high volatility.
- Timeframes: Traders align MAs with their trading horizon. Shorter periods like the 5-period or 8-period MAs are usually used by traders focusing on brief swings, while longer periods like the 50-period MA cater to those looking at extended trends.
- Confirmation with Other Indicators: Relying solely on moving averages can lead to false signals. Traders corroborate these signals with other technical indicators, such as Bollinger Bands or the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
What Moving Averages Should You Use for Swing Trading?
There is no best moving average for swing trading. The choice of MAs ultimately depends on a trader's strategy and preferences. The combinations discussed provide a framework, but experimenting with different setups can help identify what aligns with individual trading styles and objectives.
The Bottom Line
Moving averages are powerful tools for swing trading, offering insights into trends and potential market turning points. Whatever your unique preference for different types and lengths, understanding their application can refine your strategy.
FAQ
Which Moving Average Is Good for Swing Trading?
The 20-period, 50-period, and 200-period moving averages are widely used in swing trading. However, different combinations, like the 8- and 21-period or 13- and 34-period MAs can offer equally valuable insights; it ultimately comes down to the trader’s preference.
What Is the Most Popular Moving Average to Use?
The most popular moving average depends on a trader’s trading style and goals. Shorter MAs, like the 20-day MA, are popular for quick trend identification, while longer ones, such as the 200-day MA, provide a bigger picture. Many traders combine MAs to cover different timeframes.
Is 200 EMA Good for Swing Trading?
The 200-period EMA is useful for swing traders seeking to understand long-term trends. It reacts faster than the 200-period SMA, making it suitable for traders looking to incorporate a responsive indicator in their analysis.
Which Indicator Is Most Popular for Swing Trading?
There isn’t a single best indicator for swing trading. Moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume indicators are commonly used. Combining these can provide a more comprehensive analysis.
Which Volume Indicator Is Popular for Swing Trading?
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) are popular volume indicators for swing traders, helping assess market momentum.
Which RSI Indicator Is Popular for Swing Trading?
The standard 14-period RSI is widely used. Swing traders often adjust it to shorter periods (e.g., 7) for faster signals or longer periods (e.g., 21) for smoother trends.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇺🇸
It looks like it is finally the moment for EURUSD to pull back.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation this morning
with a formation of a cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a pullback at least to 1.117
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Kaspa on Its Path to Glory (TA + Trading Plan) + UPDATETechnical Analysis for KASPA (KAS)
Current Price: 0.11268 USD
Timeframe: 4-Hour Chart
Indicators and Key Observations:
Price Action: Kaspa is currently in an ascending triangle pattern, with price action approaching the resistance line, which has been tested multiple times without a clear break. This pattern indicates the possibility of a breakout if the price moves above the resistance line.
Support Zone: The support level has been consistent, forming a base near 0.1070 USD. This is a crucial area where buying interest has been observed.
Resistance Line: The price is approaching the resistance at around 0.1130 USD. A breakout above this level could signal bullish continuation towards higher targets (potentially 0.1900 USD as indicated by the chart’s blue arrow).
Technical Indicators:
VWC Cipher B Divergences: The indicator shows bullish signals, suggesting that price might continue to rise, especially if it successfully breaks the resistance line.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is sitting at around 52.96, indicating that the asset is neither overbought nor oversold. This gives space for potential bullish momentum.
MFI (Money Flow Index): The MFI is relatively neutral, indicating that there is no immediate imbalance between buying and selling pressure.
Stochastic Oscillator: The oscillator shows a potential bullish crossover, with the signal line moving towards the overbought zone.
Trading Plan for KASPA (KAS)
Entry Strategy:
Long Entry: Consider entering a long position once the price breaks and closes above the resistance line around 0.1130 USD. Look for confirmation through a strong green candle to ensure momentum continuation.
Target: The primary target for this trade is 0.18 USD, as indicated by the blue arrow in the chart. A second target can be placed near the psychological level of 0.20 USD, depending on market conditions and price action.
Stop-Loss Strategy:
Place the stop-loss slightly below the support zone, ideally around 0.1060-0.1070 USD, to protect against a false breakout. The stop-loss should be adjusted as the price moves in your favor to lock in profits.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio for this trade is favorable, as the potential upside (0.18-0.20 USD) significantly outweighs the downside risk (stop-loss below 0.1070 USD). A risk-reward ratio of 2:1 or higher is ideal for entering the trade.
Volume Confirmation:
Ensure that the breakout above resistance is accompanied by an increase in volume. Low-volume breakouts can lead to false signals, so confirming the move with higher-than-average volume is crucial for a successful trade.
Risk Management:
As always, never risk more than 2% of your trading account on any single trade. Use proper position sizing and adjust your stop-loss accordingly to maintain a controlled risk profile.
Recent News - Crescendo Upgrade 🚀
Today, Kaspa has rolled out its Crescendo upgrade, which boosts the network speed to 10 blocks per second. This is a major leap in scalability, enhancing transaction speed and efficiency. The upgrade is expected to drive greater adoption and increase investor interest, potentially providing additional support for the upward momentum in the KAS market.
Kaspa (KAS) is showing signs of bullish momentum, with key technical indicators pointing to a potential breakout above resistance. The recent Crescendo upgrade adds further optimism for the coin's future prospects, making this an exciting trade to consider. Be sure to monitor price action closely and implement strict risk management strategies for optimal results.
USD/JPY Long, EUR/CAD Short, GBP/USD Neutral and EUR/USD ShortUSD/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USOIL | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, dear friends
Due to high demand, I’ve prepared a USOIL analysis for you. My target level is set at 63.600.
Once my target is reached, I’ll be sharing updates under this post.
Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest motivation to keep sharing analyses. That’s why I kindly ask each of my followers to show their support—please don’t hold back on the likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes. It truly means a lot
GBPUSD - SHORTI'm currently holding a bearish bias on GBP/JPY, anticipating a short-term correction after recent overbought conditions. Price action shows signs of exhaustion, and I'm expecting a move downward to fill the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) left behind during the previous bullish impulse.
Trade Rationale:
Overbought Conditions: After a strong upside move, price has reached a zone where buyers are losing momentum, hinting at a potential reversal or pullback.
Imbalance/FVG Zones: Clear inefficiencies exist below current price levels, and I expect the market to retrace to fill these imbalances as part of its natural rebalancing.
Structure & Supply: The market is showing reaction near a significant supply zone, which could act as the catalyst for bearish continuation.
Target Zones:
TP1: First demand zone where minor support may form — partials can be taken here.
TP2: Deeper demand zone aligned with previous consolidation — a high-probability area for price to react and potentially reverse or consolidate again.
Risk Management:
Stops are placed just above recent highs, invalidating the idea if the market breaks structure and continues bullish. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio aligned with smart money concepts like imbalance fills and demand/supply reactions.
📉 Plan: Waiting for clear bearish confirmation (e.g., lower timeframe break of structure) before fully committing to the short position.
CAD_JPY STRONG BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅CAD_JPY made a bullish
Rebound from the rising
Support and then broke the
Key horizontal level
Around 105.727 so we are
Bullish biased and after a
Local pullback we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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GBP_USD STRONG BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅GBP_USD was holding above
The key horizontal level around 1.3240
For quite some time but now we are
Seeing a strong bearish breakout
Which is confirmed and as the pair
Is making a pullback to retest
The new resistance we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Continuation after the retest
SHORT🔥
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GBP-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 1.3232 and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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COQ Looks Like It's Making a Retracement – Waiting for Price Dr🚨 COQ Looks Like It's Making a Retracement – Waiting for Price Drop 📉
COQ looks like it’s currently making a retracement. I’m waiting for the price to drop to the green line levels and will be looking for confirmation before entering long! 📊
Let’s watch this move together and catch the next opportunity! 💼💸
NZD-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY gapped up on
The week's open and went
Further up, following other
Yen pairs, however, the upward
Move here was way less powerful
Than on the others and after the
Retest of the horizontal resistance
Of 87.2570 we are seeing significant
Weakness so we are assuming a
Correction is coming which means
We can enter a short trade with
The Take Profit of 86.399 and
The Stop Loss of 87.436
Sell!
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DEGEN Testing Red Resistance – Breakout Potential!🚀 DEGEN Testing Red Resistance – Breakout Potential! 📈
DEGEN has formed a red resistance zone, where we’re seeing some sellers stepping in. If the price breaks through, the trend could continue with the first target at the green line level! 📊
Let’s watch for that breakout together! 💼💸
CRV Head and Shoulders Pattern Formed – Breakout Confirmed🚨 CRV Head and Shoulders Pattern Formed – Breakout Confirmed 📉
CRV has formed a head and shoulders pattern and has already broken out of the neckline. This could signal the start of a potential downtrend, with further downside ahead. 📊
Let’s monitor this downtrend together! 💼💸
PENDLE Bearish Head and Shoulders – Potential Pullback at the Ne CRYPTOCAP:PENDLE Bearish Head and Shoulders – Potential Pullback at the Neckline 📉
CRYPTOCAP:PENDLE has formed a bearish head and shoulders pattern. We could see a potential pullback at the neckline before the price moves down to the green line level as the next target. 📊
SILVER Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 32.746 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target -32.586
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTCUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 10323
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 99977
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURNZD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.9051 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.8984
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCHF: Classic Gap Trade 🇳🇿🇨🇭
On a today's live stream with my students we discussed
a gap up opening on NZDCHF.
I have a strong feeling that it is going to be filled tonight.
A double top pattern on an hourly time frame and its neckline
violation provide a strong bearish confirmation.
Goal - 0.492
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