USDCAD Short Setup – Potential Top Formation & Seasonal WeaknessTechnical: USDCAD has stalled in recent weeks, signaling a potential topping pattern. A recent break of the short-term trend suggests a deeper correction may follow. Key resistance is at 1.4355 , offering a favourable risk-reward short opportunity.
Fundamental: The U.S. dollar remains weak, with commercial participants showing little interest in buying. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is seeing increased accumulation, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
Seasonal: Historically, from March 24 – April 30 , USDCAD has declined 76.2% of the time over the past 21 years, with an average drop of 1.30%.
Trade Idea:
Sell: 1.4355
Stop Loss: 1.4551
Target: 1.3948
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Preparing for Volatility Ahead of FOMC! ⚠️This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting on March 19, where the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook. Gold remains in a bullish trend, but it has now reached a key resistance zone that could trigger a correction before determining the next move.
⚠ Important Note: This plan is only valid before the FOMC meeting. As the announcement approaches, traders are advised to close their positions to protect their accounts, as high volatility is expected.
🔥 Fundamental Analysis – What to Expect from the FOMC This Time?
📌 1️⃣ The Fed is Expected to Keep Rates at 4.25% - 4.5%, But…
Dot Plot & Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will shape market expectations for the future.
If the Fed remains hawkish, the USD could strengthen, putting pressure on gold.
If the Fed signals a dovish stance, the USD could weaken, potentially pushing gold higher.
📌 2️⃣ Global Central Banks Continue to Buy Gold
China, Russia, Poland, and India continue to increase their gold reserves, reducing their reliance on the USD.
This trend supports long-term bullish prospects for gold, although there could be short-term corrections.
📉 Technical Analysis – Key Levels for XAU/USD
🔹 Main Trend: Bullish, but facing strong resistance.
🔹 Price Channel: Gold is still in an uptrend, but a short-term correction may occur.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
📍 Resistance:
3,055 - 3,071 – If gold fails to break through this level, a correction could follow.
📍 Support:
3,021 - 3,009 – Watch this area in case of a pullback.
2,986 - 2,948 (FVG Zone on H1) – A deeper liquidity level if selling pressure increases.
🎯 Trading Plan – Pre-FOMC Strategy
BUY ZONE: 3010 - 3008
SL: 3004
TP: 3015 - 3020 - 3024 - 3028 - 3032
SELL ZONE: 3054 - 3056
SL: 3060
TP: 3050 - 3046 - 3042 - 3038 - 3030
⚠ Important Warning:
Ahead of the FOMC, consider closing all positions to avoid unnecessary risks, as market reactions can be unpredictable.
🔥 A major wave from the FOMC is coming – trade wisely and protect your capital! 🚀
NZDJPY: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇳🇿🇯🇵
All Yen pairs look bearish after the early morning BoJ interest
rate decision and press conference.
NZDJPY formed an inverted cup & handle pattern on a 4H
after a test of a key daily resistance.
High momentum bearish candle indicates a strong bearish sentiment.
I think that the price may drop at least to 86.2 level.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOIL BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 66.30
Target Level: 67.73
Stop Loss: 65.34
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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FOMC today ?World gold prices increased by 3 USD, to 3,030 USD/ounce. In the US trading session (night of March 18), gold at one point rose to a record high of 3,035.4 USD/ounce. The safe haven demand for gold has pushed prices to a record high. Investors are worried about the increase in global trade wars and new geopolitical developments between countries, so they have bought gold.
Israel launched airstrikes across the Gaza Strip early Tuesday morning, killing at least 400 Palestinians, including women and children, according to hospital officials. The surprise bombing broke a ceasefire that had been in place since January and threatened to completely reignite the 17-month war. Over the weekend, the US attacked Houthi targets in the Middle East and vowed to attack more.
In addition, investors are now watching the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which begins Tuesday morning and ends Wednesday afternoon. The market is not expected to make any changes to interest rates at this meeting, but will closely analyze the wording of the FOMC statement and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference.
USD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 149.497
Target Level: 146.249
Stop Loss: 151.651
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.569.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.555 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold price analysis March 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The Fed is likely to continue to pause the rate cut in March.
The policy decision will depend on the Dot Plot chart and the speech of Chairman Jerome Powell.
Donald Trump's tariff policy may affect the economy and the Fed's interest rate.
Geopolitical tensions (Israel-Gaza conflict, Ukraine-Russia) may boost gold buying demand.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, affecting the financial market.
⭐️Technical Analysis
The candle broke the ATH zone around 3038 and had a retest of the breakout zone to increase. The candle closed above 3038, confirming that the price will soon push back to the resistance zone of 3054. Support at 3020 and 3006 are still solid supports for buy signals.
Gold Price Analysis March 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed as Israel attacked targets across Gaza, killing at least 100 people. Tensions escalated further with unconfirmed reports that the US sank an Iranian intelligence-gathering vessel.
These developments have pushed investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty due to the US-China trade war.
In addition, US retail sales data for February raised concerns about an economic recession, supporting gold prices but putting pressure on the USD. However, the greenback recovered on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's policy meeting on Wednesday.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is near its all-time high and there is no reasonable technical analysis method to trade it. We still favor retracements and buy up with the trend. 3020 and 3040 are two psychological zones the market is waiting for. nice retracements for BUY signals are waiting around 2980 - 2960 - 2945
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 19, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸🏦 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 🏦: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, March 19, at 2:00 PM ET, followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 PM ET. The Fed is widely expected to maintain the federal funds rate at its current range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Investors will closely monitor the Fed's economic projections and Powell's comments for insights into future monetary policy, especially in light of ongoing trade tensions and global economic uncertainties.
🇯🇵💴 Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision 💴: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is set to announce its monetary policy decision on March 19. The BOJ is expected to keep interest rates steady, as policymakers assess the potential impact of U.S. trade policies on Japan's export-driven economy. The yen has remained stable ahead of the announcement, with traders awaiting the BOJ's guidance on future monetary policy.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Wednesday, March 19:
🏢 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏢:This report measures the annualized number of existing residential buildings sold during the previous month, providing insight into the strength of the housing market.
Forecast: 5.50 million annualized units
Previous: 5.47 million annualized units
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Europe Vs US Break Out!This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%!
More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office.
While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than the US for a decade or more.
EU has a much lower debt to GDO at 80% than the US at 125%. Stock valuations are much more attractive than in the US. So much so that I labeled the EU as a value trap. Not anymore!
The biggest obstacle right now is how much would a US recession impact the EU. Even if it does, I expect the EU to perform much better than the US. As such this chart should continue to outperform.
I have another post up you may want to follow.
XAUUSD TRADING STRATEGY BULLISH False Breakout Possibility:
The breakout above the resistance level could be a fake-out, leading to a sharp reversal instead of a continued upward movement.
A double top at the resistance level may indicate a stronger bearish reversal rather than further bullish momentum.
2. Overextended Trend:
The previous strong bullish move could be overextended, leading to exhaustion. A correction or retracement back to trendline support is highly likely.
The market could enter a consolidation phase instead of continuing the uptrend immediately.
3. Liquidity Grab Before Drop:
Market makers often push prices above key resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing the trend.
The price could break resistance temporarily but then drop significantly back into the support zone.
4. Fundamental Factors:
If economic news or central bank policies favor the USD, gold (XAUUSD) may weaken instead of continuing its bullish run
META to the $400s?! I hope so!!!NASDAQ:META
Is the show over or will the show go on?
At the bottom of the Bullish Channel that started in October 2022.
A breakdown of this channel could lead NASDAQ:META back to a stock price in the 400's...
A Breakdown retest of the lower Anchored VWAP band could be a false breakdown and bounce area as well. If we break through that though then this name is going to the $400's area.
Not financial advice
BTCUSD 15MINTS CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE..This chart shows a potential bullish move for Bitcoin (BTC/USD).
The price is currently in a support zone (blue area) around 81,800-82,000.
A breakout from this level is expected, leading to a rise toward 83,224 (resistance level).
If momentum continues, BTC could reach 84,457.
The blue arrows indicate the expected bullish movement.
AUD-JPY Bullish Continuation Expected! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Made a bearish correction
And then retested the
Horizontal support of 94.595
And we are already seeing a
Bullish reaction from the
Support so as we are
Locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$UNH: UnitedHealth Group – Healthcare Hero or Reform Risk?(1/9)
Good evening, everyone! 🌙 NYSE:UNH : UnitedHealth Group – Healthcare Hero or Reform Risk?
With UNH at $505.69, post-7% drop, is this healthcare giant a safe bet or a reform casualty? Let’s diagnose! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 505.69 as of Mar 18, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Stable after 7% drop, per user data 📏
• Sector Trend: Healthcare sector mixed with reforms and economic factors 🌟
It’s a steady pulse—let’s see if it’s time to buy or hold! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $465B (920M shares) 🏆
• Operations: Health insurance and services across the U.S. ⏰
• Trend: Leading player with strong fundamentals, per data 🎯
Firm in healthcare, but reforms keep it on its toes! 🏥
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Mixed News: Healthcare reforms debated, earnings reports mixed, per user data 🌍
• Q4 2024 Earnings: Assume beat or miss based on context, per data 📋
• Market Reaction: Stabilized after drop, showing resilience 💡
Navigating through choppy waters! 🛳️
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Healthcare Reforms: Regulatory changes could impact business 🔍
• Competition: Other insurers and providers in the market 📉
• Economic Slowdown: Reduced consumer spending on healthcare ❄️
It’s a risky prescription—watch the side effects! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Market Leader: Dominant in U.S. healthcare 🥇
• Diversified Portfolio: Insurance and services balance risk 📊
• Financial Strength: Strong earnings and cash flow, per data 🔧
Got the muscle to handle challenges! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Regulatory scrutiny, high debt (if any) 📉
• Opportunities: Aging population, tech advancements in healthcare, per data 📈
Can it capitalize on growth or stumble on weaknesses? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
UNH at $505.69—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $600+ soon, reforms are manageable 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: $450 looms, reforms hit hard 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
UNH’s $505.69 price reflects stability after a drop, with mixed news and reforms in play 📈. DCA-on-dips could be a strategy to manage volatility. Gem or bust?
EUR_CHF BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅EUR_CHF broke out
Of the bearish wedge pattern
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUROPE VS US Stock Dramatic Moves CAUTION!Zelenskyy Oval office ambush did much more than ambush and betray an ally in support of a dictator like Putin.
Betraying an ally destroyed the trust in the U.S. government. Without trust in the government, democracy cannot be, leaving only a dictatorship capable of surviving.
Markets have spoken very loudly with trillions of dollars, not words out of people's mouths.
Superpowers are only as strong as their allies. Isolationism doesn't work. Ask N. Korea, The Soviets etc.. why that is.
Trust can not be granted nor taken, it may only be lost.
CAUTION IS IN ORDER!