EURUSD Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.133.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.125 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURAUD Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.747.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.713 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUDCAD Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.894.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.905.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZDCAD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 0.821.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 0.825 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,270.07
Target Level: 3,197.87
Stop Loss: 3,317.86
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
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USD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 144.163
Target Level: 139.852
Stop Loss: 147.018
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 15h
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NZD/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.592.
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AUD/NZD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.081 level area with our short trade on AUD/NZD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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Skeptic |EUR/USD Analysis: Key Triggers and Setups for Big MovesHey everyone, Skeptic here! Welcome back to another analysis. Today, we’re diving into EUR/USD , a pair that’s super active and sitting at a critical spot. The triggers I’m about to break down could set us up for some solid risk/reward plays. Like always, let’s start with the Daily Timeframe to get the lay of the land. Here we go! 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
On the daily chart, we’ve got a clean upward channel that’s been rock-solid, with the price reacting nicely to the floor, ceiling, and midline. It’s hit the floor 4 times and the ceiling 4 times, so this channel is a reliable trigger we can work with. 💪
The 7-period SMA is hanging out above the candles, showing us the bullish momentum is still in play. Friday’s candle was a bullish indecision candle, which hints at a possible break of the channel’s floor. If that break happens, our first target could be 1.12006 . You can clone the channel and slide it lower to spot your next targets and support levels—check the chart below for a visual. Simple and effective! 🔍
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
Let’s zoom into the 4-hour timeframe to find our long and short triggers. Here’s what we’re looking at:
Long Setup 📈
Wait for a solid break above the key resistance at 1.13485 . That’s our green light to jump into a long position.
Targets? We’re aiming for 1.14235 first, and potentially the channel’s midline if the move keeps going.
Quick tip: Take some profits at these levels, but don’t close out too soon—let’s milk those R/R ratios! 😉
Short Setup 📉
On the bearish side, watch for a break below support at 1.12676 , especially if the RSI dips into oversold. That could be a strong short trigger , as it’d also confirm a break of the upward channel, opening the door for a deeper pullback.
Since we’ve had a decent uptrend, this short setup could be extra reliable if the trigger hits. Let’s stay sharp! 🐻
🧠 Why Multi-Timeframe Analysis Matters
A multi-timeframe approach is like having a cheat code for trading. It helps us align the signals we find on lower timeframes with the bigger trends and cycles on higher ones. Want to dig deeper? I just wrote an article on this—definitely worth a read if you want to level up your game. 📚
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EURCAD: Still Bearish Outlook 🇪🇺🇨🇦
Last week, we discussed a confirmed bearish breakout of
a major horizontal support on EURCAD.
The broken structure was retested, and I see a strong bearish
intraday price action on an hourly time frame.
Probabilities will be high to see a down movement at least to 1.558 level today.
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AudUsd Expanding TriangleAudUsd is making a bullish structure in the more recent timeframes. Based of specific patterns, I'd say this inclines to be an expanding triangle, which price just broke above, and it seems to stay above, after failing to go lower lows near the top. Price broke above, made a retest and I think it is more wise to buy after it made a positive reaction to this well known expanding triangle pattern.
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis
Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen.
🕯Technical Analysis
After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
BTCUSD/BITCOIN | M30 | SELL LIMIT ORDERHey There,
I'm currently waiting for the level I've targeted to enter a sell position on Bitcoin.
I've shared the exact entry level with you below.
Just a heads-up:
This trade carries high risk due to potential market manipulation.
Please trade cautiously and avoid taking on too much risk.
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL LIMIT ORDER (BTCUSD/BITCOIN) 97,000/97,500
🟢TP1:96,850
🟢TP2:96,654
🟢TP3:96,100
🔴SL: 98,390
Traders, your likes are always my biggest source of motivation for me to share analysis. For this reason, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please do not miss your likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 5–9, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 5–9, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏦 Fed Holds Rates Amid Political Pressure
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5% during its meeting on May 6–7, despite political pressure to lower it. Investors will closely monitor Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-decision remarks for insights into future monetary policy directions.
📊 Key Economic Indicators on Tap
This week brings several important economic data releases, including the U.S. trade balance, initial jobless claims, consumer credit, and wholesale inventories. These indicators will provide insights into the health of the economy amid ongoing trade tensions and concerns over consumer confidence.
💼 Corporate Earnings in Focus
Major companies such as Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ), Uber ( NYSE:UBER ), Walt Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), and Ford ( NYSE:F ) are scheduled to report earnings this week. Investors will be watching these reports for signs of how companies are navigating the current economic landscape.
🌐 Global Events and Leadership Changes
Europe is set for significant leadership changes, with Friedrich Merz expected to be confirmed as Germany’s new chancellor. Additionally, the Vatican’s conclave to elect a new pope convenes on Wednesday. These events, along with the 80th anniversary of VE Day, may have broader implications for global markets.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, May 5:
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Composite PMI (April Final)
10:00 AM ET: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (April)
📅 Tuesday, May 6:
8:30 AM ET: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services (March)
📅 Wednesday, May 7:
2:00 PM ET: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
2:30 PM ET: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference
📅 Thursday, May 8:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims
10:00 AM ET: Wholesale Inventories (March)
📅 Friday, May 9:
3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit (March)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
btc . april recap . may outlookMAY instantly starts with a SHORT SQUEEZE
- out of pwRange
- into cwRange + 1 step higher
- all good, all bullish - but a price drop on HTF would open great opportunities for SHORT + LONG, while keeping bullish momentum
02.04.2025 . SHORT IDEA
- after trading out of range, start trading the/within new range
- approaching cmHigh towards 2pm Berlin time
- ladder in for possible SFP
- give yourself a little wiggle room for the SL, if price breaks +2% and approaches the next SFP level, a short entry higher towards friday close has a better R:R
entry. 97368
tp1 . 950908
tp2 . 94095
tp3 . 85113
LONG IDEA
- wait and see where the price find its support
- possibility that we keep STRONG BULL momentum, if price stays within cwVA
- on the way there, find percentage levels for daily +1.5% trades
GBP_NZD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GBP_NZD is going down
To retest a horizontal support
Level of 2.2200 so after the
Retest we can enter a long
Trade with the TP of 2.2459
And the SL of 2.2132
LONG🚀
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DAX Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend but the index is
Locally overbought so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Bearish correction
Sell!
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USD_CAD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅USD_CAD is consolidating
Beneath the horizontal resistance
Of 1.3862 so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
This trading week
SHORT🔥
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GBP-AUD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 2.0730 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Move down on Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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Why Being Delusional Might Be Your Greatest Asset in TradingIf you think you’re going to make a full-time living trading financial markets you’re completely delusional!... and that's a good thing.
It was 1997, and two friends—let’s call them Reed and Marc—thought it would be fun to have a movie night and rent Apollo 13 from their local Blockbuster store.
For those of you who might need some context, Blockbuster was a video rental store where you’d go to rent a movie you’d like to watch.
This was shortly after discovering fire and the wheel, and it was revolutionary. At its peak, Blockbuster was worth approximately $5 billion and had over 80,000 employees across 9000 stores worldwide.
Their business model was very simple, and although they generated revenue in various ways, their core revenue was generated through a combination of rental fees, video sales and late fees.
You see, it just so happened that our two friends who thought it would be fun to rent Apollo 13, chill at home, and eat popcorn would essentially have to pay the $40 late fee, and they were admittedly, not too happy about that.
As they sat in frustration, one of them came up with the idea to start a website and rent movies to people without charging a late fee.
Instead people would just pay a monthly subscription of around $19.95 per month and they could rent up to three movies of their choosing and keep it for as long as they wanted, no rental fee, no video sales, no late fees, just a monthly subscription of $19.95.
If people wanted to rent a new set of DVD’s then all they’d need to do is return the DVD’s they’d initially rented and the new set was mailed to them within a day or two.
Now it is important to mention that all this occurred toward the end of the third industrial revolution and the internet was not nearly as advanced as it is today. People would use a dial-up connection which only produced 56 kbps or slower.
Streaming was near impossible unless you enjoyed watching a movie in three-minute increments before it loaded the next three minutes. Downloading a movie could take an entire day or even longer.
It’s fair to say that our two friends Reed and Marc were throwing stones at giants, but they had very good aim.
I’m sure you heard the story where a boy aimed at a giant's head and threw him with a stone. Turns out the boy won that fight, and ultimately claimed victory for his people, but I digress.
You see Reed had a background in computer science and software development, and at the time he co-founded a software company called Pure Software. Marc had a background in marketing and product development.
It’s safe to say that they made a very good team, but they were still going up against giants, they were challenging a system that was working with a system that was not even established yet. Essentially, they either had to be very confident or extremely delusional. Turns out they were both.
They decided to brainstorm a few names for their little startup, everything from Kibble to TakeOne, and even DirectPix and none of it seemed to stick. Eventually, they decided to combine the words “internet” and “film” to make “Netflix”.
Today Netflix is the most popular streaming platform, with its annual revenue peaking at 33.7 Billion back in 2023.
I share this story with you because it really takes more than just experience, skill, and luck to take on giants, I would argue you need to have a healthy amount of delusion as well.
So, if you think you're going to make a full-time living trading financial markets, you're completely delusional—and that might be the best thing going for you.
Because the truth is, every breakthrough, every disruption, every world-changing idea begins with someone who dares to believe in something that doesn’t quite make sense to the rest of the world—yet.
Reed and Marc didn’t just challenge a system; they challenged what was possible at the time. They bet on a future that didn’t exist—on a slower internet, a skeptical audience, and an unproven model. What looked like delusion was a vision in disguise.
In trading, as in business and life, it’s not the most logical or the most experienced who wins—it’s often those who are bold enough to stay in the game when everyone else calls it crazy. You’ll need skill, yes.
Strategy, of course. But you’ll also need the unreasonable belief that you can beat the odds, learn the rules, and then rewrite them entirely. So go ahead—be delusional.
Just make sure you’ve got the grit, the patience, and the aim to back it up.
What “giant” are you bold enough to challenge next?
GBP_USD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅GBP_USD fell again to retest the support of 1.3200
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
We will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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EUR-AUD Strong Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD made a bearish
Breakout of the rising support
Line and the breakout is
Confirmed so we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down on Monday
Sell!
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