CHF/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so CHF/JPY is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 169.720.
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Silver Surges to $31.7 on Supply DeficitSilver remained above $31.40 per ounce on Friday, staying close to a seven-week high as the Silver Institute forecasted a significant market deficit for the metal in 2025 for the fifth year. This shortfall is primarily driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, which are expected to outweigh declining consumption in jewelry and silverware. Silver contributes to industries such as solar panels, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics. Although global silver production is set to rise this year with higher output from China, Canada, and Chile, the ongoing supply deficit is expected to persist.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.85 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Tariffs Fail to Spark Gold RallyGold fell below $2,780 per ounce as the strengthening U.S. dollar outweighed safe-haven demand following the U.S. decision to impose tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. Trump announced a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods and a 10% levy on Chinese imports, set to take effect on Tuesday. Although such developments typically stimulate demand for gold, the appreciating dollar and interest rate outlook are limiting upward pressure. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers while the inflationary effects of tariffs could keep borrowing costs high, weighing on the appeal of non-yielding assets like bullion. Some investors also engaged in profit-taking after gold recently hit a record high, further contributing to its decline.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2817 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Dollar Surge Pushes Pound Below $1.22The British Pound dropped to approximately $1.22, reaching its lowest level in nearly two weeks as Trump's tariffs sent a shock wave through major currencies. The Bank of England is still expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its February 2025 meeting, though outperforming economic data suggests that additional rate cuts may be delayed.
British Finance Minister Rachel Reeves outlined government initiatives aimed at boosting economic growth, including plans for a third runway at Heathrow Airport. However, investors remain focused on concerns about the sustainability of Britain’s debt levels.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2385. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2500 and 1.2600. On the downside 1.2265 will be the first support level. 1.2100 and 1.1900 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Gold price analysis February 3⭐️Fundamental Analysis
US President Donald Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and 10% on China, starting from 05:01 GMT on Tuesday. The reason is to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking. Canada and Mexico responded with retaliatory tariffs, while China announced it would file a lawsuit at the World Trade Organization (WTO).
Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 down 1.40% in particular, and money flows into the US dollar instead of gold. However, if China retaliates, gold, which is considered an inflation hedge, could rise. Traders will also pay attention to US and Chinese manufacturing PMI data, along with speeches from the Federal Reserve, which could impact gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices were pushed down by sellers around 2777 after hitting an all-time high. The important support of 2765 plays a role in pushing the gold price back to its upward trajectory. When the 2765 zone is broken, pay attention to the next 2 zones around 2746 and 2727. When the uptrend resumes, it will meet the reaction of the sellers around 2791 and the all-time high zone around 2814.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Outlook Explained
It feels like US30 index is preparing to recover
after Friday's and today's selloff.
As a confirmation, I see a nice bullish imbalance
after a test of a daily support and a tiny ascending triangle
pattern on an hourly.
Goals: 44196 / 44470
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Euro Weakens as ECB Signals Rate ReductionsThe euro dropped to $1.02, marking its lowest level in three weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened following President Donald Trump's decision to implement tariffs of 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports and 10% on Chinese goods starting Tuesday. Trump has also warned of potential tariffs on the European Union, prompting the region to vow a strong response. These factors added to the pressure on the euro, which was already weakened by the European Central Bank's dovish stance.
Last week, the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and signaled the possibility of further reductions later this year. Currently, market traders are factoring in the likelihood of three additional ECB rate cuts by the end of 2025.
From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0300, with further resistanc
Japanese Yen Set for Weekly GainThe Japanese yen weakened beyond 155.5 per dollar, marking its second straight decline as the dollar strengthened. The US imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, triggering retaliatory actions from the affected nations. Although Japan was not directly targeted, its export-driven economy remains exposed to global trade disruptions.
A summary of discussions from the Bank of Japan’s January meeting indicated that policymakers considered the possibility of further interest rate hikes to counter inflationary pressures and a weakening yen. In January, the BOJ raised its policy rate and signaled its willingness to increase rates again if economic conditions and inflation trends warrant further action.
The key resistance level appears to be 155.90, with a break above it potentially targeting 158.70 and 160.00. On the downside, 153.80 is the first major support, followed by 151.90 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
Re-entry to trade Part 2. Continuation here to the first part.
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The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
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Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Mark up a chart and watch me execute an idea Practice account trade since its Sunday -- we had a tough trading week last week almost blowing the account. So we want to enter the week slowly as we wait to see what the market intends to target first.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
GOLD BREAKOUT CONFIRMED|LONG|
✅GOLD went up just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis and the confirmed
The breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 2788$
While trading in an uptrend
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.3.2025🔮
📅 Mon, Feb 3
⏰ 10:00 AM ET
📊 ISM Manufacturing PMI
Previous: 49.3
Forecast: 49.2
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
CAD-CHF Unexpected Gap! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a sudden
Unexpected gap down at
The market open and the
Price has also reached a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.6185 from where
We will be expecting a
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Stop Loss Mastery: Methods Of Trade ProtectionStop Loss and Take Profit represent the fundamental boundaries of every trade, acting as the cornerstones of risk management in trading. While both are important, Stop Loss carries particular significance and is considered more crucial than Take Profit. In manual trading, implementing a Stop Loss is absolutely essential, whereas Take Profit settings remain optional, offering traders more flexibility in managing their profitable positions. Traders can employ various methods to set their SL levels, and while specific trading systems often dictate their own rules, several universal approaches have proven effective. Let's examine one of the most common methods.
📍 On the Local Extrema
This method offers two primary variations. The first involves placing your Stop Loss relative to the signal candle. For buy positions, you would set the Stop Loss several pips below the minimum of the bullish signal candlestick. Conversely, for sell positions, you would place it several pips above the maximum of the bearish signal candlestick.
The second variation focuses on the last local extreme point rather than the signal candle itself. When opening a buy position, you would position your Stop Loss a few points below the most recent local minimum. For sell positions, you would place it above the most recent local maximum.
However, traders should be aware of a significant drawback to these approaches: their predictability. Market makers and experienced traders can easily identify these common Stop Loss placement patterns on their charts. They often exploit this knowledge by deliberately pushing prices to levels where they anticipate a concentration of Stop Loss orders. After triggering these stops and forcing smaller traders to close their positions at a loss, they frequently allow the price to resume its original direction. This practice, known as "stop hunting," particularly affects retail traders who rely on these conventional placement methods.
📍 Setting Stop Loss by Key Price Levels
When using price levels for Stop Loss placement, traders can take advantage of significant order accumulation points that are naturally more resistant to manipulation. This method requires placing the Stop Loss a few points beyond the key level - below when buying and above when selling.
A key advantage of this approach is that it typically positions the Stop Loss well beyond the last local minimum (for buy trades) or maximum (for sell trades). This strategic placement helps protect positions from premature exits that might occur with simpler Stop Loss methods.
📍 Technical Indicator-Based Stop Loss
The ATR or Parabolic SAR indicator offers a straightforward approach to Stop Loss placement that appeals particularly to newer traders. Its clear visual markers provide explicit guidance for Stop Loss positioning, with traders simply placing their stops at the SAR marker level.
This method offers an interesting advantage: traders can manually adjust their Stop Loss with each new candle formation, creating a flexible alternative to traditional trailing stops. However, like extrema-based stops, indicator-based placement can be predictable and potentially vulnerable to market manipulation.
📍 Stop Loss Based on Fundamentals
Rather than relying solely on pre-set Stop Loss levels, fundamental analysis often guides manual exit decisions. Prudent traders might close positions before significant market events, such as:
• At the end of the American trading session when market activity naturally declines
• Shortly before major economic news releases that could trigger substantial price movements
Some traders incorporate fundamental factors into their Stop Loss calculations. For instance, they might set stops based on average daily price movements for specific currency pairs - like using a 70-pip Stop Loss for FX:EURUSD trades, reflecting that pair's typical daily range.
📍 Advanced Technical Stop Loss Strategies
Beyond basic indicator-based stops, traders can employ more sophisticated technical analysis tools for exit trades. These might include:
• Moving average crossovers
• Stochastic oscillator overbought/oversold signals
These approaches often require active management, with traders monitoring indicators in real-time and executing manual exits when their chosen signals appear.
🔹 Psychological Aspects of Stop Loss Management
The psychological impact of Stop Loss execution presents a significant challenge for many traders. Even when a Stop Loss performs its intended function of limiting potential losses, traders may experience:
• Feelings of personal failure
• Diminished confidence in their trading system
• General market skepticism
• Emotional distress after multiple consecutive stops
🔹 Avoiding Mental Stop Losses
While some traders prefer "mental" stops over actual platform orders, this approach carries significant risks:
• Technical failures could prevent manual exits
• Emotional barriers might delay necessary exits
• Small losses can balloon into significant account drawdowns
To protect against these risks, traders should always implement their mental stops as actual platform orders, ensuring systematic risk management regardless of market conditions or psychological pressures.
This structured approach to Stop Loss placement combines technical precision with psychological awareness, helping traders develop both the skills and mindset needed for successful risk management.
🔹 Additional Position Management Methods
In trading, while Stop Loss and Take Profit orders form the foundation of exit strategies, several sophisticated techniques can help traders optimize their position management. Let's explore these methods that go beyond basic exit orders.
⚫️ Breakeven Stop Adjustment
One of the most psychologically powerful position management techniques involves moving your Stop Loss to the trade entry point, effectively eliminating downside risk while maintaining upside potential. This strategy becomes particularly valuable when price movement has demonstrated strong momentum in your favor.
The conventional approach suggests adjusting to breakeven when the price has moved in your favor by double the initial Stop Loss distance. For instance, consider a trade with a 20-pip Stop Loss and a 60-pip Take Profit target. When the position shows 40 pips of profit (twice the initial risk), moving the Stop Loss to the entry point ensures you won't lose money on the trade while still allowing for further gains.
⚫️ Dynamic Risk Management with Trailing Stops
Trailing Stops represent an evolution in risk management, allowing traders to protect accumulated profits while maintaining exposure to continued favorable price movement. This technique dynamically adjusts your Stop Loss level as the price moves in your favor, essentially "trailing" behind the price at a predetermined distance.
⚫️ Strategic Partial Position Closure
Traders often face a dilemma when price approaches their Take Profit level: should they close the entire position or attempt to capture additional gains? The partial closure strategy offers a balanced solution. When market conditions suggest potential for extended movement beyond your initial target, consider closing a portion of your position (typically 70-80%) at the original Take Profit level while allowing the remainder to pursue more ambitious targets.
This approach becomes particularly relevant when trading near significant technical levels. For example, if you're holding a long position with a Take Profit set below a major resistance level, and technical indicators suggest this level might break, closing most of your position secures profits while maintaining exposure to potential breakout gains.
📍 Conclusion
While numerous exit strategies exist in trading, successful execution requires more than just mechanical application of techniques. True trading mastery emerges from the ability to recognize market context, understand both technical and fundamental factors, maintain emotional equilibrium, and make flexible decisions within established risk parameters.
The journey of becoming a skilled trader involves developing judgment about when to apply different exit strategies. This wisdom comes through experience in the markets, careful observation of price action, and a deep understanding of how different approaches work in varying market conditions. Traders gradually build their expertise by starting with fundamental concepts and progressively incorporating more sophisticated position management techniques into their trading approach.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Election Rally Price BalanceThis is simple, Trumps Election win caused a massive rally with no retrace back to November 6th. We have to balance out that price action before we break the ceiling of $4,000. I also believe we had a massive gain on Crypto New Comers and this is the way they will get wiped out. Call it a Bear Trap, Shakeout, Liquidator. We will eventually climb back up.
I'm $HIMS: Before & After All Time Highs!I'm NYSE:HIMS : Before & After
Imagine saying this pattern is forced and then watching it run for over 20% while engulfing the ATH candles!
Stop hating on other people's work!
Either be a student to those giving out free information, or don't say anything at all!
Not financial advice