3 Bitcoin Tops, Weak Green Candles, and What’s Next? If you're closely monitoring the Bitcoin (BTC) market, patterns often begin to reveal themselves in surprising ways. In the attached chart, I’ve highlighted three major local tops that Bitcoin has made, each marked by a weak green daily candle. What’s even more striking is what comes next: a dramatic increase in trading volume, followed by steep corrections.
Spotting the Pattern: Weak Green, Heavy Volume
At each pointed top (see red arrows), BTC formed an all-time high (ATH) with a relatively weak green candle, hardly the sign of euphoric buying strength.
Look closely at the volume bars below (blue arrows). Each time, as price struggled to push higher, volume surged after the top, often a signal of major sellers stepping in or longs closing en masse.
What followed? Significant corrections: -13.6%, -29.2%, and, now it might be shaping up for another potential drop (-24.1%) if history rhymes.
Why Does This Matter?
From a technical analysis perspective, volume is the fuel behind price moves. When a new high is reached with limp buying (weak green candles) but is swiftly met with rising volume on the way down, it’s a classic sign of distribution, a strong hand selling into retail euphoria.
Is Another Drop Coming?
Given the consistency in behavior, it’s not unreasonable to ask: are we about to witness another similar correction now that BTC has again hit a top with a weak green candle and volume is ticking up? The historical evidence certainly makes it plausible.
Long-Term Perspective: Still Bullish
Despite these corrections, my long-term outlook remains bullish. Every cycle has corrections, they’re opportunities for healthy consolidation, allowing strong hands to accumulate and the market to reset for its next leg higher.
*not investment advice
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