EUR/USD Outlook: Strong Demand and Uncertain Economic SignalsThe EUR/USD pair has experienced a notable rebound, aligning with our previous outlook as it approached a robust weekly demand zone at the onset of the new weekly candle, marked by a bullish gap. Recent data from Germany indicates a decline in the IFO Current Assessment Index, dropping to 84.3 in November from 85.7. Meanwhile, the Expectations Index decreased slightly from 87.3 to 87.2. Despite these figures, the euro appears resilient, seemingly brushing off the negative data.
On the other hand, downward pressure on the US dollar remains limited, fueled by recent economic indicators that suggest the Federal Reserve might be inclined to scale back the pace of interest rate cuts. This week’s unemployment claims data, set to be released on Wednesday, has the potential to move the markets significantly, especially if the figures come in more favorable than the forecast, which anticipates an uptick in unemployment.
Interestingly, there is the possibility of an upward thrust in the weekly DXY chart, although it has yet to be confirmed by trading volumes.
Given the current market dynamics, it may be prudent to hold off on making any moves until Wednesday. This will allow traders to assess potential retracement opportunities as the market may look to recover the gap created during the Asian session.
EUR/USD Gap
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Roblox Corporation (RBLX) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Roblox Corporation NYSE:RBLX is a trailblazer in the gaming and metaverse sectors, offering a platform that enables users to create, share, and play immersive experiences. Its user-generated content model drives high engagement while keeping operational costs low, positioning the company for sustained growth in the evolving digital entertainment space.
Key Drivers of Growth:
Strategic Partnerships:
Roblox’s partnership with Monarch focuses on enhancing operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, key factors that can improve both user retention and financial performance.
User-Generated Content (UGC):
The platform thrives on UGC, ensuring a constant flow of new and engaging experiences while minimizing content development costs. This model not only drives long-term engagement but also fosters a community-centric ecosystem that scales naturally with user activity.
International Expansion:
Localization efforts and targeted marketing in international markets open new revenue streams. By tailoring the platform to diverse demographics, Roblox aims to capture significant market share in regions where gaming and metaverse adoption are on the rise.
Platform Monetization:
The introduction of enhanced monetization tools, including developer incentives and virtual item sales, contributes to revenue diversification and aligns platform success with creator growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Stance: We are bullish on RBLX above $45.00-$46.00, supported by its innovative business model, expanding global footprint, and strong user engagement.
Upside Target: With the company’s strategic initiatives and robust growth prospects, we target $75.00-$77.00, reflecting the potential for significant gains as Roblox scales its metaverse ambitions.
📈 Roblox—Leading the Future of Immersive Entertainment! #Metaverse #GamingInnovation #UGC
Russia-Ukraine tensions appear to be spreadingRussian President Vladimir Putin today, November 22, announced that the test of a medium-range missile complex carrying an Oreshnik supersonic warhead was successful. A day earlier, Russia attacked the Southern Machine Manufacturing Factory (Yuzhmash) in Dnipro (Ukraine), saying this was a move in response to Ukraine's use of ATACMS missiles supplied by the US with Storm Shadow missiles from the UK.
This week, gold prices increased by 5.7% - recording the strongest weekly increase since March 2023 - when the local banking crisis in the US broke out. The price has increased for 5 consecutive versions, for a total of more than 170 USD.
Gold is the preferred tool during any political, economic upheaval and low interest rates. The price went up despite the Dollar Index reaching a 2-year peak today and Bitcoin setting a new record at 99,768 USD per coin.
The gold market also ignores that the probability of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) easing monetary policy next month is gradually decreasing. Investors currently forecast that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates is only 53%, down sharply from 82% last week.
🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2672 - 2670🔥
💵 TP1: 2680
💵 TP2: 2690
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2660
US30 Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 44,614.35.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 43,793.35 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 30.769.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 32.322 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.048.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.033 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDCHF Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.889.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.898 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GOLD with the target of 2,610.856 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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GBP/AUD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/AUD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.948 level.
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GBP/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.110 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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GBP/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the GBP/JPY pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 199.028.
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