05072023 - #EURUSDYesterday I was looking at some downside in EURUSD though the manner for that is not so clear. I was looking at either a move up (as price is above PZ) to first resistance for a short down or if PZ breaks, for a move down to weekly BZ. In the end the latter case happened as price broke lower, re-test the highs and lows was at the 1.0878 level I gave. On the other GBPISD was strong all the way with BZ holding it for a move higher.
So what is it for today? I am going to cover EURUSD only and not GBPUSD. This is just based on the view that we COULD see a break lower in EURUSD (though I have no strong views of DXY).
Price is now within the PZ and below BZ. I have provided two possible paths for a move lower; either short on break of PZ or if it moves up from here first, a rejection off 1.09 or so for a move lower.
Tradinganalysis
05072023 - #USDJPYWhen I was writing the plan yesterday, market was at the bottom of the PZ. It bounced off exactly from there, hit the top of PZ before coming down. I said look good for a dip to 143.30 or even 143.15 for a good long (). Lows of day was 143.21 before it rallied 30 pips up.
Overall, price action still looks not bearish to me. Price is still supported by the BZ, though slightly below PZ. IMO, it is buy the dip till it is not.
Yesterday's low at 143.21 will be level of focus. Could see a fake re-test and failure for a move to 145.21. Ok that's all, anything I will update in my group.
04072023 - #GBPUSDYesterday, GBPUSD almost followed the path I gave. We longed from the buy level, it hit the resistance for a good 60pips where I said will see a sell and it came down another 40 pips.
Anyway what is it for today? I said it looks bullish for EURUSD, but yet I am also bullish DXY. Yet, from the time I posted the EURUSD plan to this GBPUSD plan, DXY is strong (EURUSD at the bottom of the PZ for a possible move lower) while GBPUSD is below its PZ and at its BZ. TBH, IMO, a break below 1.2681 is a good short to test yesterday's low at 1.2655 or so and watch for a possible failed test and another bounce up.
04072023 - #USDJPY Plan worked perfectly yesterday (), as price ranged within my PZ, broke out to 1st resistance, made a double top before crashing down on news to where? To my buy zone as stated in yesterday's plan perfectly (144-144.10 I said, USDJPY hit 143.98) and moved up 70 pips.
What's for today? IMO price still looks supported. Price is now nesting within the PZ, possible move up from here to target 145.08 and 145.31; if not a dip first to 144.30 and even 144.15 for a good long.
03072023 - #GBPUSDSimilar to USDJPY, let's look at the monthly and weekly candles since these have just closed. Monthly candle wise we can see a very bullish candle, but at the same time, market hit a strong resistance of mine last month and pulled back, and is forming what could be a bearish divergence on monthly (which is a very strong signal). Weekly wise, similar bearish divergence on weekly, and market did sell off last week, only for a late week rally to close the week with what looked like a doji. Also price is tagging the top of the Bollinger Band. Does doji means we will have an up week this week?
Ok daily price action, based on Friday's bullish close seem to indicate further upside and I think we can also see what could be a bull flag for another leg up. That is, UNLESS, the high is already given on Friday. That is, market will sell down today below OP. Also, look the zones given in the chart; we can see that price is sorta still in an uptrend with all the zones below supporting. But probably a main thing to look for any reversal is the daily BZ. Below BZ and OP (1.2683), market could move go down with the highs in place. Having said so much, so what's my point?
Overall, I think there are signs of a reversal down coming, but that would require further confirmation. For now, how I will possibly trade today would be, currently price is above the PZ. Price looked to have based, can try a long to target Friday's high. Also look for possible failure and try a short at 1.27170 for a move to 1.2700 and 1.2662 where we should see a bounce. If market trades to 1.2775, look for a short for a move to 1.2717. That's what I see for now, anything else I will update in the group.
30062023 - #USDJPYUSDJPY, I said we see a move to first resistance and sell down. I was right for the first part but wrong on the second; market nicely came down to PZ, then rallied to first resistance, sold back down to PZ for a good 50 pips and held there for hours before the US data resulted in another rally up. The levels itself are enough to make you money.
But anyway, so what is it for today? On daily, no signs of weakness (yes there was no weakness for days). So, am not surprised if market give another green day. We probably need some risk off to strengthen yen but it is not so now.
From the chart, can see PZ supporting it; likely move to 145.10 and 145.36, else look for longs after a dip to 144.32. Overall, again, IMO, shorting USDJPY is more of looking for weakness in USD than strength in JPY. Thus going long, say GBPUSD might be a better trade (assuming JPY weakness).
29062023 - #EURUSDI was looking for a dip for a move higher for EURUSD. The 1.0940 gave a good 20 pips up move but it tested the high and failed and came down, before recovering half way to end the day. This morning, now, EURUSD is continuing the down move at a key level + PZ level. Price is bearish below the two zones with a possible move to test yesterday's low 1.0896 and 1.0886 with DXY possibly going to 102.76-86.
Watch for a possible bullish divergence in EURUSD for a reversal. 1.0886 is a strong support thus expect strong reaction there.
29062023 - #USDJPYi gave you the move from 143.80 to 144.60 yesterday on almost 0 MAE. ()
HOD was 144.61 and market pulled back, although only slightly. TBH price action is bullish, how to fade this? But 144.60 is an important resistance. I would say I am not bullish JPY but looking for DXY bearishness. Look for break of 144.30 for a move to 143.95 and even 143.40
28062023 - #USDJPYYesterday, I drew a triangle () and price was within my PZ. I said price to go down but almost immediately flipped my view to go long from the PZ which worked out perfectly as that was the bottom, giving a 3R trade. PZ proved to be a powerful zone as market made a second dip but was just bought up. 143.72 holds, 144.62 is target. A possible trade here is long 143.88, 25 pips stop, target 144.60, 70 pips profit.
Anyway what is it for today? Price action is still looking bullish but there will be BOJ speech later which could make things volatile. Price is currently within the PZ. Basing here would launch another up move to target 144.60. Probably the only concern is how yen is gaining strength against other currencies (only USDJPY is up now). But overall, the stand is clear
27062023 - #USDJPYUSDJPY nicely followed the path I gave yesterday () , dip down from PZ to the BZ and came back up. I was short AUDJPY which played out well, but today it seemed that DXY will have a down day.
USDJPY is still in a consolidation in a triangle type formation. But I am looking for a down in USDJPY thus on break of the PZ, expect further downside to 143.06 and 142.90 then 132.60, where we should see a bounce.
SeaHarvest is ready to float to R12.00The price has broken above the downtrend.
There is a crucial level that was tested, and it might be where the buyers and Smart Money have filled their orders.
Every other indicator is showing downside, but remember indicators are based on past momentum NOT the future.
So we can expect the price to rally up before the next drop. But I'll let you know.
21>7 - Bearish
RSI<50 - Bearish
Target short term R12.00
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26062023 - #DAXLast Friday, market sold off after Thursday's somewhat bearish close. It sold perfectly to support before an equally fast recovery. Market closed near the mid point.
Weekly chart looks bearish with price below weekly BZ. Also, looking at how the monthly candle at this point of time, my thought was that if price trades below May's low, that could trigger downside. But at the same time, we also had the Russia news over the week end which probably seem to indicate a gap down but no it did not.
Having said so much, we should see further downside today. But let's see what premarket brings. Price is now basing above PZ, thus short term wise, could see a move to 15890 and even 15924 first before a rejection; looking for a move to 15710 or so, where we look for any long opportunities. If market did not trigger the above 2 levels, look for a move below 15824, test and rejection for the move lower.
26062023 - #USDJPYOn Friday, I said PZ hold, 143.84 is next (). Despite the negative news, this was what happened exactly and market traded up 100pips from PZ and then it pulled back.
This morning, price tested the highs, but broke down to bottom of PZ perfectly before bouncing to top of PZ now. Short term price action is slightly bearish. Watching rejection of USDJPY at 143.54 top of BZ for a move to 143.26 and on further break to 142.90 for this pullback move.
21062023 - #GBPUSDGBP is weaker than EUR and yesterday we see that price was hovering just at PZ and not able to go higher before the move down and eventually a recovery. EURGBP IMO is looking good for further upside.
But anyway for GBPUSD, price action does point to further downside; with price capped by PZ now, looking for another revisit of yesterday's low at 1.2720 and even 1.2646. We have UK CPI data later so be careful. If my view on EURGBP is correct, then yes, the news could be a trigger for the move down (GBP to weaken).
BTC Elliottwave update 10/06/2023Hello Everyone,
Bitcoin is completing 4th wave & getting ready for 5th wave. Target is 35000 level.
Note: we have shared this info for education purpose only, not a recommendation, we are not responsible for your profits or losses, always trade with your own risk. We have the right to be wrong.
15062023 - #EURUSDUnlike GBPUSD, EURUSD made a dip to the weekly BZ before the rally yesterday, almost as per the path given yesterday () and right to the target before, as per GBPUSD, FOMC made DXY recover.
And now, it is making another down move with price at BZ now, though it is below BZ for GBPUSD. I said to watch DXY 103.20 for a rejection. And if EURUSD can reclaim BZ, look for a move higher. From the looks of it, should be moving lower first, with 1.0806 as first support and 1.0732 below.
14062023 - #USDJPYAm bullish USDJPY and also bearish DXY, thus long EURJPY GBPJPY AUDJPY are good trades IMO and they had paid well thus far. I said yesterday to look for longs at BZ/PZ but on news it dipped to weekly almost perfectly before the strong rally to my yellow line PHOD.
Now it is coming down on DXY weakness. It could be some cooling off with the big rally. Levels to watch would be 139.65, 139.30 and 139.10 for the bounce for a move higher. 142 still remain the near term target.
09062023 - $DXYDXY hit support yesterday and weekly BZ, with price action looking bullish now on H1. Looking for further upside to 103.70; 104.04 could trade but IMO less likely. Very likely should see DXY weaken further today due to bearish price action yesterday.
A close above daily BZ at 103.70 would however be much bullish and that could set up for explosive DXY upside next week. Overall, long term am still bullish dollar but might see a pullback first before further up.
08062023 - #GBPUSDI was wrong with the direction yesterday, I said we would break down but instead it went up, while closing near the mid point. Price now supported by PZ; from current looks, it seemed to be supported and 1.2470 or so will be a magnet.
Price action wise, market made higher lows and highs yesterday but direction is not so clear though bias is slightly to upside. IMO, DXY is strong but I expect some weakening (GBPUSD to up first) but DXY to rally later. Thus I plotted the possible path as a move to 1.2472 or so then a pullback to the BZ again. On downside, supports are at 1.2390, 1.2370 and 1.2340.
Possible trades: short 1.2476 stops at 1.2490 tight stop (hard stop at 1.2510) target 1.2410, or if 1.2436 breaks, short to target 1.2370, 1.2340, stops at 1.2460, R:R 2-4.
TBH, will prefer first scenario.
BluetonaFX - GBPUSD HEAD & SHOULDERS IDEAHi Traders!
We have a Head & Shoulders trade setup here on GBPUSD 1D chart.
The market looks to be approaching the neckline and we are now looking for a break and close to the neckline with momentum to target lower levels.
If we get a break and close of the neckline, we have the profit target level at 1.21761 and if you want to hold on for a larger risk reward trade, our second target level is at 1.20156.
The ideal entry point is to either wait for a break and close to the neckline or to wait for a break with a retest of the neckline.
On the other side of the trade, if we fail to break and close below the trendline, we will most likely stay in the range as there is a current lack of bullish momentum.
We will keep a close eye on this and will update you if we get any further action on this setup.
Please make sure you give us a like, follow and comment.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX
07062023 - #EURUSDDXY is strong and expect it to continue to be strong. EURUSD is within monthly BZ but expect daily BZ as resistance. Would like a spike to 1.0716 for a short down to 1.0662 (yesterday's low) and even 1.0636.
Short 1.0704-1.0716 stops at 1.0730 target 1.0662 and 1.0636 with a R:R of 1.5-4
06062023 - #AUDJPY $AUDJPYMarket came down very slight yesterday, and was supported at PZ, forming a tweezer type of candle. Similar move this morning with the down move to test yesterday's low but now market 20 pips higher. USDJPY is weaker but overall, yesterday's price action is not a clear reversal candle.
Possible move for today, IMO (with important AUD news later); the thesis would be if yesterday's candle is an intermediate high. Price is now between PZ and BZ. If you ask me, could get a move lower to 91.76 which would be a good location to look for longs. For now, price below PZ, is a short for a move to 92 and 91.76.
02062023 - #EURUSDMarket made a strong reversal up as per my trade plan yesterday with DXY crashing.
Expect further upside today, with price supported by the zones. What I see for today, would be price could dip to within the PZ, but expect it to be bought up. Would prefer to wait for the dip to go long, and 1.08 or so is a very strong resistance. Expect that to cap any rallies and even pullback deeply (if 1.08 trade just before NFP).