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How to Confirm an Elliott Wave Count.Hello fellow traders, today I would like to show you how to apply a Kennedy Channeling technique (by Jeffrey Kennedy) to identify and confirm Elliott waves with more confidence. 1. Base Channel:- Wave 3 identification When wave 2 is complete, connect the origin of wave 1 and the end of wave 2. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 1. As long as price action stays within this channel, you can consider price action corrective, probably wave C of a Zigzag. In a bullish trend, prices ought to break above the upper boundary line of this channel for wave 3 count to be acceptable. 2. Acceleration Channel:-Wave 4 identification. Connect the extreme of wave 1 and the top of wave 3. Draw a parallel line starting at the bottom of wave 2. Only after prices break through the lower boundary line of the acceleration channel, could you be convinced that wave 3 is over and wave 4 is unfolding. 3. Final Channel:- Wave 5 identification Connect the end of waves 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to terminate upon reaching the upper trendline of the final channel. That's all for today. Trade wisely!
Education
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
EUR/NZD Short, SOYBN/USD Short and WTICO/USD ShortEUR/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. SOYBN/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. WTICO/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below AOI. • If 3 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by StewySongs
Gold technical analysis: 21/5/2024The left chart suggests an equally-weighted gold basket of spot gold towards FX majors. It objectives to expose the underlying of energy of gold in general, and dilute the inverse dating among gold and americaA greenback – that is the maximum extensively observed gold market. On the proper we are able to see the gold futures (gold/USD) reached a document excessive on Monday along better buying and selling volume, even though it didn't keep onto profits above $2450 or the earlier document excessive and retraced lower. It is likewise exciting to notice that the gold basket has stalled round $2800, simply below its very own document excessive set in April. A bearish divergence has additionally shaped at the gold basket and gold futures contract, each of that are withinside the overbought zone. It can be tough to assemble a direct bearish case aside from gold stalling round key resistance levels. But that may be true sufficient for gold bulls to take notice and err at the facet of caution. We`ve already visible as soon as fake damage of the April excessive for gold futures, so possibly bulls may also need to at the least see the gold basket damage to a brand new document excessive earlier than assuming gold futures will keep directly to profits. Of course, what ought to assist with the latter case is to look americaA greenback index damage and keep under 104. Otherwise, some other method is for bulls to await a retracement earlier than looking for proof of a better low for bullish swing change at a extra beneficial price, in anticipation of a damage to a brand new document excessive.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrTrongVo
EURUSD: EURUSD analysis todayRecent information confirmed that US client charges fell in April, main to marketplace expectancies of a 50 foundation factor hobby fee reduce this year. However, warning from diverse Fed officers has tempered those expectancies, with buyers now predicting round forty six foundation factors of easing, merely factoring in fee cuts for November. In early buying and selling on Monday, the euro rose barely to $1.087525, drawing close a almost two-month excessive of $1.0895 reached final week. The greenback index, a gauge towards six important currencies, confirmed little change, status at 104.forty six.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY: The USD holds steady as markets look for interest rate dThe US dollar remained broadly stable today as market participants await additional indicators to determine US interest rate developments. This period of anticipation follows recent cautious comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and signs that inflation may be easing. The Japanese yen fell slightly at the start of the week, trading at 155.80 against the dollar. Investors are closely watching for any signs of potential government intervention, with the yen showing minimal volatility in recent days.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
EUR/NZD Short, WTICO/USD Short and SOYBN/USD ShortEUR/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 15 min rejection or phase line break. WTICO/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. SOYBN/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
OANDA:SOYBNUSDShort
by StewySongs
1
USDJPY: USDJPY analysis todayDespite the dollar's general weakness against most of its counterparts, it continues to rise against the Japanese yen. The dollar rose 0.12% to 156.245 yen today, after previously reaching 156.80 yen. Japan's long-term yield remains low at 0.955%, even as the Bank of Japan's stance becomes more hawkish and the likelihood of a rate hike in June increases. The dollar's recent peak against the yen on April 29, a 34-year high, prompted suspected interventions from the Bank of Japan and the Japanese Ministry of Finance. . Analysts, including IG's Tony Sycamore, speculate on the possibility of further intervention depending on the outcome of the US CPI report.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD: The USD fell against the euro awaiting CPI dataThe US greenback fell to a one-month low in opposition to the euro today, as buyers predicted the discharge of a key US inflation record that might affect US coverage decisions. Federal Reserve. The euro rose barely 0.03% to 1.0823 USD at some stage in Asian buying and selling hours, at one factor attaining 1.0828 USD, a stage now no longer visible given that April 10. The US greenback index, which compares the greenback in opposition to a basket of six important currencies with a widespread emphasis at the euro, fell 0.11% to 104.94. Earlier, it touched a low of 104.92, its lowest in per week and a half. At the identical time, US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark long-time period yield falling to 4.4414%, persevering with its in a single day decline of 3.five foundation points.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
WTICO/USD Short and SOYBN/USD ShortWTICO/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. SOYBN/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
OANDA:SOYBNUSDShort
by StewySongs
The Fed will likely keep interest rates higher for longer1. Schmid of the Fed knows interest rates will likely stay high for a while. 2. Mester of Fed said it was too early to conclude that a re-detection was likely. 3. US data PPI is inconsistent. 4. Fed's Powell says the Fed will likely keep interest rates higher for longer. 5. ECB's Wunsch found no need to cut rates after the first cut in June. The US April PPI published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics rose 2.2% from a year ago, a new high since April 2023, slightly higher than the previous 2.1%. It rose 0.5% from a month ago, beating expectations of 0.3% and the previous revised figure of -0.1%. Core PPI rose 2.4% year-on-year, slightly above expectations of 2.3%, and rose 0.5% month-over-month, exceeding 0.2% and expectations Previously it was 0.2%. This data surpasses expectations, showing that the rate of hard emission appears to be getting stiffer. However, the actual performance of this report may not be as shocking as the downwardly revised March data.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrTrongVo
AUDUSD: AUDUSD analysis todayUBS, a Swiss bank, stated in a May thirteen report: "Historically, May has been a superb month for the greenback. Our seasonal indicator indicates that call for for USD normally will increase in overdue April and peaking in mid-May, with the Euro (EUR), Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD) normally maximum affected." UBS added: "More mainly to the overseas exchange (FX) marketplace, that is additionally a signal that the marketplace can also additionally were preserving the USD lengthy for superb costs and as a shielding hedge. This prevents chance sell-offs in desire of the greenback as visible in preceding periods, while the greenback acted as extra of a supply of chance."
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD: The US dollar usually appreciates in May, but this year UBS, a Swiss bank, stated in a May thirteen report: "Historically, May has been a tremendous month for the greenback. Our seasonal indicator indicates that call for for USD commonly will increase in overdue April and peaking in mid-May, with the Euro (EUR), Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD) commonly maximum affected." However, UBS says that the greenback has now no longer proven an awful lot seasonal volatility so far, that is constant with the inventory market`s cutting-edge lack of "May selling" tendencies.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY: The Japanese yen was little changedThe Japanese yen turned into little changed The Japanese yen turned into mildly unstable on Monday, with USDJPY soaring simply under 156. The recognition stays on any capability authorities intervention to assist the currency, after at the least instances of intervention in early May. The authorities is stated to have stepped in to deliver down the USDJPY charge from highs maximum in 34 years over one hundred sixty. While one hundred sixty is taken into consideration the restrict for the authorities, analysts warn that intervention should nonetheless show up earlier than that.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
1
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report, we said if support held after the open we felt we would get a push to the upside into the order region and if the market held the region we felt an opportunity to short the market was available. That short trade worked well and after partials were taken it was protected. During the week we suggested traders trade caution and we would be looking to target that order region again on the long trade. Again, that trade worked well for us giving a fantastic pip capture half way through the week. We than said we would protect all trades as a break above that order region will then give traders the opportunity to long the market into the 2370-75 region where we would then likely see a reaction in price. Both these moves presented themselves, although the long wasn’t taken due to it being early session, the short at the end of the week was identified. The pip capture on gold was immense, not to mention the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse in Camelot. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? This week we’ll keep it simple, we’re looking for the market to open and hold these resistance levels so we can continue with a move back down into the order region to start with. So we have the resistance levels of 2360 and above that 2365, which if held could present an opportunity to short the market back down into the order region of 2350-55 with extension into 2345 which is where we’re expecting a temporary bounce in price. We need to be careful here as if this level is held during the early part of the week, we could see a complete correction of the move from Friday back into the 2343-35 region before any opportunity to swing low and then take the long trade back upside which we will monitor. The levels are on the chart as is the illustration, we’ll update as we always do during the week. Please note, it’s another big week this week funds wise and with the geopolitical cloud above us expect more extreme swings and whipsawing price action. Your SL is your friend, it’s the difference between you having an account to trade or not having one! Short report this week team so we'll keep it provisional for now. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
13