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USDJPY: Goldman Sachs: Reduced 12-month USD/JPY forecast to 140 Goldman Sachs Data reported on December 18 that Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for next year's exchange rate and expects the US dollar to weaken further. “The biggest revisions to our forecasts are on exchange-sensitive currencies like the Japanese yen,” strategists including Danny Suwanapruti and Michael Cahill wrote in a Dec. 15 report. , the Swedish krona and the Indonesian rupiah, these currencies will struggle under a 'keep interest rates higher for longer' regime. " Goldman Sachs forecasts USD/JPY three-month target at 145, six-month target at 142 and 12-month target at 140; previous forecasts for the same period were 155, 155 and 150 respectively.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPJPY: Reuters: The BOJ meeting next week is expected to have nThe latest Reuters poll on the Bank of Japan's outlook includes the following key points: BoJ will end negative interest rates by 2024, 84% of economists said in their quarter-end forecast; 71% in the November poll and 54% in the October poll. 88% of economists think the BoJ will end yield curve control; 12% think the BoJ will adjust YCC again. 28 out of 42 economists say BoJ interest rates will rise to 0.00% or 0.10% by the end of the second quarter of 2024; Two people thought it was 0.25%.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
1
AJG: Entry, Volume, Target, StopEntry: with price above 219.23 Volume: with volume greater than 955k Target: 243.31 area (this is an area, no guarantee it reaches this price, but you should be selling on the way up) Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; Based on an entry of 219.24, 207.22 gets you 2/1 Reward to Risk Ratio. This LONG swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not take this trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
NYSE:AJGLong
by tradepatiently
GBPUSD: GBP/USD exchange rate hits 12-week high thanks to BritisOptimism prevailed in UK financial markets, with the pound/US dollar exchange rate hitting a 12-week high on improving consumer confidence and a solid business outlook. Promising despite continuing recessionary pressures. On Thursday, the pound rose to 1.2615 against the US dollar. This reflects a sell-off in government bonds that led to positive sentiment on the latest S&P Global/CIPS data and a rise in bond yields. So far, GBP/USD has remained strong, trading at 1.2606 due to a decline in manufacturing PMI amid mixed economic indicators from the US such as strong services and composite PMI. Although inflation in the UK is showing signs of subsidence, it remains well above the Bank of England's target interest rate of 4.6%. Markets also digested the Prime Minister's autumn statement, which offered a sober view on growth and inflation, with some cautious optimism. Furthermore, Hugh Pill, the BoE's chief economist, reiterated the bank's determination to fight inflation in a difficult economic environment. Looking ahead, traders are looking forward to further guidance from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey next week, with key US economic reports such as Consumer Confidence and the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Business Index expected to improve in GBP/USD. may affect future volatility.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD: Fed official: Interest rates will stay limited for a Interest rates are "estimated to be at their lowest level in 25 years," Williams told the New York Fed's Bretton Woods Committee meeting. "I think it is appropriate to maintain a hawkish stance for some time to fully restore balance and return inflation sustainably to our long-term target of 2%," he said. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates on hold at its next meeting, giving it time to assess the economy after raising rates sharply from near zero in March 2022 to over 5% in July. . At the same time, expectations are rising in the bond market that the Fed's tightening cycle will come to an abrupt end with its first rate cut in May. "There's not a lot of sleep deprivation" given market expectations, Williams said, adding that any rate cuts would depend on inflation and how the economy progresses. He expects inflation to continue falling toward the 2% goal, and expects the Fed's price index to fall more than 2% next year and reach the target by 2025. Government figures on Thursday showed the PCE index fell to 3% in October. "We have taken a limited stance and things are moving in the right direction. We can now assess whether we need to do anything more." Still, the New York Fed president said if price pressures persist longer than expected, "additional policy tightening may be necessary," and Williams, like his colleagues, believes the current political path is not sufficiently restrictive. He emphasized the need to continue monitoring the data to assess whether this is the case. . So far, fourth quarter data shows signs of a significant decline in economic activity. Data released Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending fell in October compared to the previous month as inflation continued to slow. Inflation-adjusted personal spending rose 0.2% last month and 0.3% in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The report also noted that the core PCE price index increased by 0.2%. The index rose 3.5%, its lowest level since 2021. Although he expects economic growth to remain below trend next year, he is "quite positive." Economists generally expect growth to be around 2%.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
DXY: The US dollar faces the risk of being sold off?Investors sold the dollar late last week at the fastest pace in a year, hoping for lower interest rates next year after the Federal Reserve ends its policy rate cut. significantly raise interest rates. State Street, one of the world's largest asset managers, said the asset manager was prepared to sell 1.6% of its dollar positions this month, the largest monthly outflow since last November. The company said. In particular, investors have enjoyed "significant" selling every day since the release of the US employment report on November 3rd. "The developments over the past two weeks suggest that demand for the dollar is undergoing a rapid reassessment," said Michael Metcalfe, head of macro strategy at State Street. He added that the recent sell-off in the dollar signals an end to the "extraordinary dollar glut." ``Investors are thinking, ``If interest rates are really cut, there is no need to hold so many dollars,'' the expert said. Experts predict that the sell-off by asset managers may be just the beginning of a long-term trend among investors to reduce their exposure to US assets, with the US dollar weakening in November. This was the worst monthly performance of the year. According to the Financial Times, a weaker U.S. dollar is beneficial for emerging countries because it helps them repay dollar-denominated loans and potentially draws investors back to developing countries. This comes after a huge sale of foreign currency-denominated bonds this year.
TVC:DXYShort
by Chart_MasterPro
USDCHF: USD price dropped sharply after news of private sector eThe dollar fell against a basket of currencies late last week on news of strong U.S. business results in November, while private-sector employment fell on expectations of a slowdown in the coming months. Fourth quarter. Earlier, Michael Brown, market analyst at Trader S&P Global, recorded the US Composite PMI Production Index on Friday. Specifically, the value for the month remained unchanged at 50.7, as a slight increase in service sector activity offset the decline in production. Values ​​above 50 indicate private sector expansion. The lack of significant growth in orders led to companies laying off employees, and the survey's employment index fell from 51.3 to 49.7, the first decline since June 2020. During October. Easing the labor market will help the Fed fight inflation. Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank, said the economic data provided further evidence of cyclical weakness in the US. The U.S. dollar index posted its weakest monthly performance in a year amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will complete its interest rate hike and potentially start cutting rates next year. There is. .
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
EURUSD: Low valuations of euro zone bank stocks could hamper creThe European Central Bank (ECB) on Monday expressed concern about the low valuations of euro zone bank stocks, suggesting it could have a negative impact on future credit growth. Hybrid by imposing strict conditions on the borrower. Bank profits have increased significantly this year, thanks in part to higher net interest income due to higher ECB rates, but stock market valuations have not kept pace. Many banks appear to be trading at a discount to fundamentals. The ECB has pointed out that this could lead to financial system instability in the long run. Banks that are undervalued by investors may struggle to raise new capital when they need it, the ECB said in its financial stability review report. The central bank continued to insist that weak valuations directly lead to tighter financing conditions for the real economy. We find that banks' increased exposure to corporate credit risk and the perception of bank stocks as value stocks are major contributors to valuation stagnation. However, the ECB also noted that these fundamentals do not fully explain current valuations. Increased uncertainty regarding future payments to shareholders may also be a factor. Meanwhile, some euro zone governments have introduced banking taxes and the ECB is considering raising interest-free reserve requirements, which could lead to lower revenues. The ECB argues that the tax risk on dividend income sources impacts valuations more than on growth stocks, whose cash flows are expected to be reinvested internally and returned to investors in the future. Far away.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GOLD: Gold briefly rose above $2,000 as the dollar fell.Gold surpassed the threshold of 2,000 USD/oz in Tuesday's trading session thanks to expectations that interest rates of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) have peaked. The latest meeting minutes show that the central bank is quite cautious about raising interest rates further. Spot gold contracts increased 1.07% to 1,998,356 USD/oz after at one point during the session hitting a 3-week high of 2,007.29 USD/oz. Gold futures contracts in the US also increased 1.1% to 2,001.60 USD/oz.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD: Dollar rises in European session; Pound depreciatedWeak US CPI weighs on dollar The dollar took a big hit on Tuesday after data showed U.S. consumer prices were flat in October after rising 3.7% in September, while the dollar rose 3.2% year-on-year. , fell below expectations. The stability of inflation is the most important factor in predicting the Fed's chances of maintaining its tightening stance, especially after inflation rose more than expected in August and September. Indeed, Fed officials are keen to maintain tight monetary policy ahead of the latest data release. As a result, slowing inflation is weighing heavily on the dollar as traders assess the likelihood of rate hikes this year and focus on when the Fed will start cutting rates. "We still think the decisive blow to the dollar will come from a decline in activity data, which could cause the market to calm down," ING analysts said. Further improvement is expected based on an assessment of the trend toward lower interest rates. “That’s why we’re interested in retail sales.” U.S. retail sales data for October will be released later in the session, but analysts expect retail sales to decline 0.3% from the previous month, when retail sales rose 0.7%. Pound depreciates as UK inflation rate declines In Europe, GBP/USD fell 0.2% to 1.2475, below levels last seen in September, after UK inflation slowed more than expected in October, providing some relief. It went below. Support from the Bank of England. UK CPI rose at an annual rate of 4.6% in October, down sharply from 6.7% in September and the smallest increase in the past two years. The Bank of England recently paused its rate hike cycle, raising the key interest rate to 5.25%, the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, but officials have consistently said they will continue to cut interest rates despite the weak economy. has emphasized that it is still a long way off. heading towards a recession.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
JPMorgan: In the future, CHF might be "more expensive"JPMorgan: In the future, CHF might be "more expensive" Although there are obstacles that could hinder the franc's ascent, they don't seem to be halting it as of now. Furthermore, even if the currency has witnessed the largest short-selling bets in the past two years as the surge continues, any increases in Middle East tensions or central bank action might drive up the price of the currency. Following the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel, Andreas Koenig, head of global currency management at Amundi, changed his position on the franc from negative to neutral, saying that "it would be a mistake to undervalue it in the current situation." "It was not our intention to escalate the ongoing confrontation
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDNZD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity AUDNZD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
18
EURUSD: European stock futures edged higherTuesday's opening of European stock markets is anticipated to be higher as investors digest more corporate earnings in advance of the publication of significant growth and inflation data in the area, overshadowing China's dismal activity statistics. While consumer prices are predicted to rise 3.1% annually in October, down from 4.3% the previous month, the gross domestic product is only likely to grow by 0.2% annually in the third quarter, down from 0.5% growth in the previous quarter.
Short
by TrategySherpa
BTCUSD:; Bitcoin forecast next week: Approaching the $30,000 marSince the beginning of October 2023, Bitcoin price has increased 8.3% and is approaching the psychological barrier at the 30,000 USD mark. Finance BankingBitcoin forecast next week: Approaching the 30,000 USD markDuong Lam • {Publishing date}Since the beginning of October 2023, Bitcoin price has increased by 8.3% and is approaching the psychological barrier at the 30,000 USD mark. According to CoinDesk data, updated on the morning of October 22 (Vietnam time), Bitcoin price traded at 29,880.3 USD/BTC, corresponding to a capitalization of 583.2 billion USD. Compared to early October, this cryptocurrency has increased by 8.3%. “Bitcoin's bullish momentum is supported by positive news about the possibility of approval of an exchange-traded fund (ETF) for this cryptocurrency next week, along with an increase in applications to open a fund Bitcoin ETF,” said Lucy Hu - senior trader at Metalpha.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange increased slightly after China anMost Asian currencies rose slightly on Wednesday following news that China's economic growth was stronger than expected, although concerns about an escalation in the Israel-Hamas war limited gains. Fresh concerns about higher long-term US interest rates also persisted after stronger-than-expected September retail sales data, which markets fear could lead to inflation. growth increases. However, currencies that had been hit hard, especially those with exposure to China, saw some gains after China's third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) Nation is strongly announced. Australian Dollar up 0.2%
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange little changed as dollar falls; TMost Asian currencies fell slightly on Monday, while the dollar edged away from recent peaks as investors continued to worry about any potential spillovers from the Israel-War. Hamas. Demand for riskier Asian currencies remained weak, while the dollar saw mild profit-taking after reaching near a 10-month high last week. Concerns about higher interest rates in the US, after inflation rose sharply in September, kept Asian market sentiment largely negative. The Australian dollar rose 0.4%, recovering from a 10-month low, although sentiment towards the currency remained dampened by weak commodity prices.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: Market update: Asian stocks may fall as tensions escalatAsia-Pacific markets are preparing for a mixed open on Monday as escalating tensions in the Middle East and the US reporting season weigh on investor sentiment. By 9:20am AEST (11:20pm GMT) the S&P/ASX 200 was down 0.2% while Nikkei 225 futures added 0.3%. Meanwhile, {{23705|US 10-year} bond yields, which have been on an upward trajectory and pushing stocks down, fell slightly on Friday. Gold futures also rose, posting their biggest daily gain in dollars since the Covid-19 lockdown in April 2020. Asian currencies remained relatively stable, with the Indonesian Rupiah, South Korean Won and Vietnamese Dong unchanged. The Thai Baht and Australian Dollar rose 0.3% each while the US Dollar Index fell 0.1%.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPAUD Heading Lower By Frankfurt and London Session OpenGBPAUD sellside liquidity or sell stops taken at market open of the week, market is going for buyside liquidity or buy stops during the Asia session, my opinion is GBPAUD to heading lower by Frankfurt and London session after buyside liquidity or buy stops taken. IMPORTANT: This is paper trade idea, not financial advice. Forex trading is a very high risk business, please ensure you master risk and money management before placing any live trade.
Short
by TraderMalaysia