Get started

Tradingideas

WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, This is an update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and playing out exactly like we analysed. Last week we stated that this chart allowed us to project the long term corrections and direction. We were able to track our bullish targets until no ema5 lock to confirm rejection into the retracement range below for the correction. We also remined everyone that we had been suggesting over the last few weeks that we will be looking for the channel top and the retracement range to provide the support for a reactional bounce. - This played out perfectly last week with the weekly candle testing the channel top and then wicked out for the support and bounce like we analysed. Overall the channel top is providing the support like we analysed. Although we saw candle body closes below the channel there was no ema5 break into the channel, which allowed us to identify the fake-out and confirm the support. This is the beauty of our Gold channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than the price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future.. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A fantastic finish to the week after completing our full swing range twice on our 1h chart. We finish off the week with an update on the 4h chart we shared last Sunday. We started the week with bearish gap completed below at 2694, with ema5 cross and lock opening 2654, which was also hit and then followed with another lock below 2654 opening 2611 to complete the retracement range. - This was completed perfectly with no further lock below 2611, confirming the rejection and giving our weighted level bounce exactly like we always state on our analysis. The beauty of our strategy allows us to trade buys with the Bull and when bearish like this week; we are able to use our weighted levels to buy dips from the bounces, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips. We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today with our analysis playing out, as analysed. After completing the full swing range test and swing action yesterday, we stated that we were now waiting for ema5 lock above 2657 for a continuation or a lock below the swing range will open the levels below. 2657 Goldturn failed to break and followed with the rejection back into the swing range at 2620. No lock below 2620 confirmed the rejection for the bounce, inline with our plans to buy dips. We will continue to see play between both these weighted levels and will need to see ema5 cross and lock to confirm the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2728 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2743 POTENTIALLY 2759 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2772 POTENTIALLY 2787 BEARISH TARGETS 2703 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2684 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2657 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2638 (DONE) - 2620 (DONE) As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A piptastic day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly!!!! Yesterday after completing the full swing range test at 2620, we stated we were waiting for the full swing action into 2657. The swing range did exactly what it says on the tin. - This played out perfectly with the full swing action into 2657 completing this setup We will now need to see ema5 lock above 2657 for a continuation, as long as the swing range provides support or a lock below the swing range will open the levels below. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2728 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2743 POTENTIALLY 2759 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2772 POTENTIALLY 2787 BEARISH TARGETS 2703 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2684 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2657 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2638 (DONE) - 2620 (DONE) As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
GOLD TRADING POINT MAP UPDATE GO > READ THA >CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋 Gold trading analysis map 🗾 Gold test results from resistance level 2704 big resistance level pullback dow👇 trend 📉 technical analysis setup gold if closed above ground 2720 Next target we'll see 2800$ more update 👇👇 Gold 4H Time Frame 🖼️ candle close below 👇 2687 more drop 💧 2608. Break some pullback up 2678 back down 👇 2543 back up trand 2581 again down 👇 2509 SMC Gold trading point S upport ✨ My hard analysis Setup like And Following Me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎮
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold no more bullish? (XAU/USD)The daily XAU/USD chart reveals a completed Elliott Wave (1-5) structure, with wave (5) peaking near the $2,720 resistance level. This marks a potential reversal zone for gold prices. Expected Corrective ABC Pattern: Wave A: The initial decline is anticipated to target the $2,605-$2,620 support zone. Wave B: A minor retracement is expected to occur, likely staying below the $2,720 resistance level. Wave C: The final wave may extend the decline towards the $2,560-$2,580 lower support zone. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $2,720 Support Zones: Middle support: $2,605-$2,620 Lower support: $2,560-$2,580 Trading Strategy: Given the high sensitivity of gold prices to macroeconomic events, traders should exercise caution. Proper position sizing and setting appropriate stop-loss levels are crucial to mitigate potential risks. Monitoring upcoming economic releases and geopolitical developments is essential, as these factors can significantly impact market volatility. Keep an eye on the evolving market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Good luck!
TVC:GOLDShort
by me22_
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Ano0ther great day on the charts with our plans to buy dips playing out perfectly from our weighted levels. Yesterday after completing the retracement range we got the lock below 2657 opening the swing range and completed the first level of the swing range. Today the full swing range was completed and gave the weighted bounce of more than 40 pips, inline with our plans to buy dips. We are now patiently waiting for the full swing into 2657 but out of all positions, as we are keeping in mind the break below the swing range that may open the range below into 2598. We will now also move onto our 4h chart idea shared Sunday to track the range below if needed for the 4h chart swing range We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2728 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2743 POTENTIALLY 2759 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2772 POTENTIALLY 2787 BEARISH TARGETS 2703 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2684 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2657 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2638 (DONE) - 2620 (DONE) As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed, allowing us to buy dips using our weighted levels to track the movement down and catch the buys up. We started with our bearish target at 2703 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock to open the retracement range. - This was hit perfectly fand gave the reactional bounce into the highlighted area at 2684. Allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans. The retracement range was again retested and now broken after no lock above 2684, which followed with a test now into the swing range. We will now patiently wait for a reaction on this range for the bounce or a lock bellow to open the range further down. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2728 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2743 POTENTIALLY 2759 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2772 POTENTIALLY 2787 BEARISH TARGETS 2703 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2684 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2657 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 2638 SWING RANGE 2638 (DONE) - 2620 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
Market News Report - 24 November 2024It's become clichéd to report another bullish week for the dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen and the British pound were among the most bearish. The dynamic with the greenback is interesting in that, despite the bearish fundamentals, the currency is still pretty strong. Let's cover this idea and more in our latest market news report. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The Fed recently cut the interest rate by 25 basis points/bps from 5.00% to 4.75%. While labour data was down recently, this was mainly due to the impact of US hurricanes and labour disputes with Boeing. While some mildly positive economic data exists, the bearish bias remains for USD, with STIR pricing indicating one more 25 bps cut in December. However, Powell stated on November 14th that the economy isn't giving signals that the Fed must be in a rush to cut rates. The Dixie continues to head north, touching the key resistance at 107.348. Meanwhile, the key support is far away at 100.157, which will remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: bearish. A noteworthy point about the recent Fed meeting is the removal of the line "the committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably towards 2 percent." Finally, Powell also clarified that the US elections won't affect their decisions going forward. The big takeaway is that the Fed will see how fast/far they should cut rates. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: bearish. The short-term interest rate (STIR) markets were predictably accurate as the European Central Bank (ECB) cut the interest rate last month. However, they remain data-dependent on what to do in the future (although they are quite concerned about slow growth). Short-term interest rate markets have indicated an 84% chance of a rate cut in December (also backed by the ECB's Stournaras). Also, we have seen weaker economic data across various European nations. Another concern is that a protectionist US policy (with Donald Trump winning the election) could impact trade in the Eurozone, suggesting the potential for lower growth due to tariff risks. Actually, the dollar is among the euro's main drivers. The euro has clearly broken the key support we mentioned previously (1.07774) - the next area of interest is 1.04485. Meanwhile, the key resistance remains far higher at 1.12757. Long-term outlook: bearish. The latest rate cut and the avoidance of indicating a clear future move for the December meeting are among the key down-trending factors. However, any improvements in economic data (according to the ECB) would be a turnaround. The threat of a fresh trade tariff with Trump is hugely influential and may cause the euro to be sold off on tariff fears. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of England (BoE) recently cut the bank rate from 5% to 4.75% as anticipated. The language indicates they need to be restrictive and a "gradual approach" to policy easing. Governor Bailey also highlighted that rates will probably be brought down cautiously. Despite this, we saw a slight increase in GBP/USD. This may be in line with the BoE's slightly hawkish attitude due to recent inflationary pressures. Like other dollar pairs, GBP/USD has looked bearish for some time. After breaching the key support at 1.26165, the next area of interest is now 1.22994. Meanwhile, the resistance target is far away at 1.34343. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The BoE sees inflation (its main concern currently) as being stickier for longer. Bailey wishes to see it down to 2%. This is a moderately hawkish hint. Overall, incoming CPI (and other economic) data will be important for the British pound. Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: bullish. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) recently kept the interest rate the same at the end of last month. So, our outlook remains largely unchanged. However, a rise in USD/JPY could raise the possibility of the BoJ's intervention. At the last BoJ interest rate announcement, Ueda stated that hikes would continue if the central bank's projections weren't realised. Last week, he backed up this sentiment by saying that keeping real interest rates too long for too long would lead to higher inflation, which is a hawkish suggestion. The 139.579 support area is proving quite strong, boosting the yen since mid-September. Still, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The BoJ's tightening stance and inflationary pressures give the yen a bullish mood. The central bank wishes to avoid further JPY weakness, with Finance Minister Kato warning against 'excessive FX moves.' We should also keep an eye on US Treasury yields, as rising yields could derail JPY upside. Conversely, any declines in US yields would likely provide a major boost to the yen. Australian dollar (AUD) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its interest rate unchanged last week, marking the eighth consecutive hold. They emphasised that policy will remain restrictive until inflation moves toward its target. The RBA also lowered its GDP forecasts while the labour market remains tight. Diarise the upcoming CPI for the Aussie on Wednesday. Despite the slightly bullish fundamentals, the dollar is dominant against the Aussie. The key resistance level lies ahead at 0.69426, while the major support remains at 0.63484. Despite this bearish setup, consider the interesting dynamic with the opposite fundamentals of AUD and USD in your overall analysis. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. While the RBA suggests that rate hikes won't be necessary going forward, it hasn't ruled anything out. Governor Bullock recently mentioned that they would act if the economy dropped more than desired. It’s crucial to be data-dependent on the Aussie, especially with core inflation as the RBA's key focus area. Also, the Australian dollar is procyclical, with particular exposure to China's geopolitics. Trump's recent win in the US election means the prospect of trade tariffs with China has increased (potentially causing headwinds for AUD). New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: bearish. Unsurprisingly, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZD) cut its interest rate by 50 bps recently and sees further easing ahead. This affirms another cut this Tuesday of potentially the same magnitude. Furthermore, the central bank is confident that inflation will remain in the target zone, adding more impetus to the bearish bias. The Kiwi has been on a notable downward spiral, proving the strength of the major resistance level at 0.63790. While lingering around 0.58498, another considerable support target is nearby at 0.57736. Long-term outlook: bearish. A 50 bps rate cut is predicted for the meeting on Tuesday. They also revised the OCR rates lower and signalled steady winnings in the inflation battle. As with the Aussie, potential headwinds for NZD are considered due to the trade tariff issues between China and the United States. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of Canada (BoC) unsurprisingly delivered a 50 bps cut on Wednesday. Further cuts remain on the cards, with the long-term target being 3%. The BoC is signalling victory over inflation due to the cuts, with Governor Macklem suggesting that they would probably cut further until they achieve the optimal low inflation. In their words, 'stick the landing.' Overall, the bias remains bearish - expect strong rallies in CAD to find sellers. While the short-term fundamental biases of USD and CAD are bearish, CAD is the weakest on the charts. USD/CAD has finally exceeded the key resistance at 1.39468. While the new target in the meanwhile is 1.41058, let's see what happens around the former area. Meanwhile, the key support lies far down at 1.34197. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with STIR markets indicating a 67% chance of a 25 bps cut and a 33% chance of a 50 bps cut in December. The Bank of Canada has recognised the lower economic growth, and Macklem wishes to see this improve. Furthermore, any big misses in upcoming GBP, inflation, and labour data would send CAD lower. Still, encouraging oil prices and general economic data improvement would save the Canadian dollar's blushes - the opposite is true. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets were, as usual, correct in their 43% chance of a 25 bps rate cut (from 1.25% to 1%) recently. In the Sept. 26 meeting, the Swiss National (SNB) indicated its preparedness to intervene in the FX market and further rate cuts in the coming quarters. The central bank's new Chair (Schlegel) said they "cannot rule out negative rates." Finally, the October CPI came in weak at 0.6% (another poor result, as for the September data). Still, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like a worsening Middle East crisis. USD/CHF keeps rising steadily towards the major support level at 0.83326, while the major resistance level is at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The bearish sentiment remains after the last SNB meeting, while inflation is being tamed with lower revisions. We should also remember that the SNB's intervention prevents the appreciation of the Swiss franc. The new chairman is more keen to cut rates than his predecessor, Jordan. The SNB aims for neutral rates between 0 and 0.50% (currently at 1%). However, STIR markets only see a 33% chance of a 50 bps cut next month. Conclusion In summary: The US dollar remains one of the key currencies to watch, given the recent elections and Trump's potential to affect trade relations with the likes of Australia and New Zealand. The NZD interest rate decision is the main high-impact economic event this week. Our short and long-term fundamental outlooks remain largely unchanged from the last few months. As always, hope for the best and prepare for the worst. This report should help you determine your bias toward each currency in the short and long term.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI