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The Fed is testing the economy with 50 interest rate pointsThe 50bp reduce withinside the federal finances price to 5.0% surpassed Fitch`s expectancies in its September 2024 Global Economic Outlook. The length of the pass changed into difficult to justify primarily based totally on incoming financial data, with center offerings CPI inflation closing excessive at 4.9% 12 months-on-12 months in August and growing to 0.4% month-on-month. The selection appears partly to mirror a `hazard assessment` detail in reaction to latest labour marketplace dynamics, wherein the unemployment price has risen to 4.2% in August from 3.7% in December 2023. While the Fed`s brand new forecasts display unemployment closing low, Fed Chair Jerome Powell made severa references on the post-assembly press convention to the hazard that unemployment could - unexpectedly - maintain to rise. Significant enhancements in center inflation due to the fact that July 2023 have enabled the Fed to refocus at the most employment thing of its twin mandate, after having had a unique attention on inflation due to the fact that early 2022. 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2606 - 2603💎 ✔️TP1: 2616 ✔️TP2: 2626 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2593 ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2634 - 2637💎 ✔️TP1: 2620 ✔️TP2: 2610 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2644
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Market News Report - 22 September 2024It was a historic week in FX, as the Fed delivered a half-percent interest rate cut for the first time since 2020. Based partly on this news, currencies like the British pound and the Australian dollar found strength across numerous markets. In our latest news report, let's see what to expect from all the major forex markets performance-wise. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: bearish. Unsurprisingly, the Fed delivered a dovish move with a historic 50 basis points (bps) rate cut. So, the bearish bias firmly remains, with signals of two 25 bps cuts in the pipeline for the rest of 2024. Furthermore, unemployment was recently revised higher. The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals, having recently reached a major support area (100.617) on the daily chart. Interestingly, a clear break has yet to occur after several weeks. So, be mindful of a potential technically driven retracement. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348, which will remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Markets anticipate several full rate cuts before the year ends, with the Fed being keen to harness a soft landing. Also, any data on weakened jobs would be another bearish driver for the dollar. However, any potential strength in upcoming GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and jobs would make rate cuts less urgent, allowing for a USD retracement. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. As usual, the STIR (short-term interest markets) were predictably accurate as the European Central Bank (ECB) cut the interest rate. While 'being mum' about forward guidance, they revised core inflation projections higher. Sources report that a cut in October is unlikely, but one in December is more likely. Meanwhile, the chart tells a slightly different story. After recently breaking a major resistance, the next target is 1.12757. Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.07774. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path with the interest rate. Due to lingering concerns over services inflation, a rate cut in October is less likely, with a 76% chance of a hold (according to STIR markets). So future inflation data remains key, with improvements likely to tick the euro higher. We should note that the interest rate differential has become more positive for EUR after the latest Fed cut. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of England (BoE) kept the interest rate steady in last week's meeting. Still, the language indicates they need to be "restrictive for sufficiently long." As with the ECB, the central bank's current key theme is fighting persistent inflation in the United Kingdom. So, it makes more sense to be dovish than hawkish. Expect any shocks in inflation (or other data like labour) to send the pound lower. Like the euro, the British pound has been saved by dollar weakness on the charts. However, it is more bullish. We must go onto the weekly chart to see the next resistance target at (1.34825). However, it hasn't yet properly broken the closest area at 1.32666. On the other hand, the nearest key support is far away at 1.26156. Long-term outlook: bearish. Sequential rate cuts by the BoE may soon be a reality. Also, expect any weak CPI, labour, and GDP data to back up the bearish bias. Another interesting point is the latest CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) report, showing that GBP longs have been stretched to the upside. So, bullishness should be limited. Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: bullish. The primary bullish catalyst is the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate. STIR markets expect a hold (99% probability) at the next meeting but a hike at the start of next year. ​​Governor Ueda of the BoJ noted that despite domestic economic recovery, recent exchange rate movements have reduced the upside risk of inflation. All of this backs up the potential for a rate hold or hike. USD/JPY has long been bearish, recently surpassing (but not breaking with confidence) the major resistance at 140.252. Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. Lower US Treasury yields are one bullish catalyst for the yen. Inflation pressures and wage growth would also provide upward momentum. We should also consider that the dovish tendencies of other major central banks are JPY-positive. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unsurprisingly kept the interest rate unchanged not long ago to keep the fight against persistent inflation rate. (Diarise the upcoming rate statement on Tuesday for AUD.) Governor Bullock also stressed that the latter's results need to improve before a cut is envisioned. The Aussie remains sensitive to China's recent economic woes, especially with declining iron ore prices from the country's steelmakers. The Aussie market has risen noticeably of late, having exceeded the recent resistance level (at 0.68239). While the next nearby target is 0.68711, we need to see how it behaves near the latter. Meanwhile, the major support level is down at 0.63484. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The RBA remains hawkish as per their last meeting, focusing on core inflation. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie, with recent labour data keeping the bullish script alive. However, the Australian dollar is pro-cyclical, so it is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. New Zealand's central bank recently dropped the Kiwi's interest rate from 5.50% to 5.25%. Lower-revised cash rate projections also hint at the potential for further cuts in the near future. The Kiwi has recently breached a major resistance at 0.62220. While the next target is at 0.63696, the latter area is still worth considering. Conversely, the major support is at 0.58498, an area which it is unlikely to test soon. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. In its latest meeting, the central bank's dovish stance (where it cut the interest rate) puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.' However, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD. As with its counterpart, traders should be data-dependent. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of Canada (BoC) dropped the interest rate to 4.25%, as anticipated by the markets for some time. Further cuts in the next few meetings are on the cards, with the long-term target being 3%. Rising unemployment and weak economic growth are the key drivers for this dovishness. The ongoing mortgage stress remains another bearish catalyst. The CAD continues to strengthen mildly due to USD weakness. It now looks to test the next major support target at 1.33586, while the major resistance is far ahead at 1.39468. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point. Governor Macklem himself stated some time ago that it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Moreover, STIR markets have priced in an additional cut sometime this year. The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it. Still, this narrative is getting tired. Expect encouraging oil prices, along with general economic data improvement, to save the Canadian dollar's blushes. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets forecast a 25bps rate cut this week (a 43% chance, up from 36% in the last week) and a 50bps cut in December this year. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term. Still, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions, such as a worsening Middle East crisis. We are seeing a clear range on USD/CHF in a strong bear move. So, let's see which side the market is going to incline more towards going forward. The major support level is closer at (0.83326), while the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way. Conclusion This week should be milder than the previous one filled with interest rate decisions. The main high-impact economic release to watch out for is the RBA rate statement on Tuesday. As always, hope for the best and prepare for the worst, but this report should help you determine your bias toward each currency.
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with both our Bearish target 2618 and Bullish target 2631 hit, just like we said. No cross and lock below 2618 gave the rejection bounce twice into 2631. We will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 2631 to open the range above. Failure to lock above 2631, will follow with a rejection back to 2618 We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2631 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2644 POTENTIALLY 2658 BEARISH TARGETS 2618 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2603 - 2588 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2588 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2575 - 2558 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
37
EURUSD / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Month-by-Month Price Movements: June : Prices increased by 2.48%, indicating a bullish trend during this period. July: A reversal occurred with prices decreasing by 1.48%, showing market correction or loss of momentum. August: Prices surged again by 3.88%, suggesting renewed market strength or positive market sentiment. September (Forecast): A predicted decline of 1.26% could be attributed to cyclical market behavior, profit-taking, or external factors influencing the market. Technical Analysis: If prices drop below 1.114, further declines are anticipated, targeting 1.102 and potentially 1.094. This suggests a bearish outlook below the critical threshold of 1.114, where traders could expect more downside. However , A break above 1.115 signals bullish momentum, with prices potentially rising to 1.120 and 1.123. This implies that breaching 1.115 could trigger buying interest, pushing prices higher. UPWARD TARGET : 1.120 , 1.123. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.102 , 1.094.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
BTCUSDT / BREAKOUT THE DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HBTCUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS 1. August Price Movements: - Early August: The price declined by 29.54%. - Mid-August: The price increased by 32.55%. 2. September Price Movements: - Early September: The price declined by 18.96%. - Mid-September: The price increased by 14.37%. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure following a breakout from a channel , As long as the price remains above 60.767, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 60.767, it's expected to rise to 65.015. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 65.015, the next target is 69.573. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 60.767, it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 56.154. - Target 2: If it breaks below 56.154, further decline is expected to 52.679.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
Gold hits all-time high every day?Gold touched a file excessive in advance of US facts that`s predicted to offer clues on whether or not the Federal Reserve`s 50-basis-factor fee discount ultimate week could be the primary in a chain of competitive cuts. Bullion rose as a lot as 0.2% to hit $2,625.89 an ounce, beating the preceding all-time excessive published Friday. Traders are weighing the outlook for charges in advance of a batch of essential financial facts — which include the United States private intake prices gauge and jobless claims — due later withinside the week. Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated on Friday he`d possibly returned quarter-factor cuts at every of the following critical financial institution coverage conferences in November and December, need to the financial system evolve as he expects. Still, he stated any other half-percentage-factor reduce may want to eventuate if the process marketplace weakens. Gold investors have been additionally tracking escalating tensions withinside the Middle East, on worries combating among Hezbollah and Israel may want to expand into a much wider nearby conflict. That could possibly bolster the metal`s haven status. 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2559 - 2561💎 ✔️TP1: 2570 ✔️TP2: 2590 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2550 ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2630 - 2632💎 ✔️TP1: 2620 ✔️TP2: 2610 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2640
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are in a new rage but just like last time we were able to generate accurate levels to use for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2631 Goldturn resistance and 2618, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap above on market open at 2631 and below at 2618 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2631 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2644 POTENTIALLY 2658 BEARISH TARGETS 2618 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2603 - 2588 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2558 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2575 - 2558 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
24
DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking and trading successfully for a while now. Previously the candle body close above 2521 opened 2566, which was hit perfectly. We then hade a candle body close above 2566 leaving a long term gap to 2608 and we also stated that if we get a ema5 lock then this will further strengthen the gap. Usually the higher timeframes may not have room for ema5 lock so a candle body close is also suffice. On this occasion last week we got both the body close and ema5 lock and then our target was complete perfectly allowing us plenty of time to get in for the action after confirmation. We now have a candle body close above 2608 leaving a longer range/term target open at 2650 and, as usual ema5 cross and lock will further confirm this. We have to also keep in mind that we have a support range between 2566 - 2521 for longer range support areas to buy strategic dips, should the corrections take place before completing gaps above. We will use smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months and now finally complete. After completing all the previous targets and highlighted correctional areas from detachments, last week we stated that we now have a candle body close above 2557 leaving a long term Axis gap target to 2603, which we had shared on this chart number of weeks back. We also stated that the new weekly candle will have a detachment below for a correction, which will show up when market opens. - This played out perfectly, we got the drop into the correctional area highlighted with the circle on the chart and then the bounce giving our target at 2603 axis a Perfect finish - BOOOOM!!! This weekly chart idea is now complete after tracking and trading this for several months. We will now update a new weekly chart plan and idea next week for the months ahead. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, After completing our last monthly chart long term/range chart idea, we never had a chance to update a new long term plan and so here you go!!! 2499 candle body close left a gap open last month to 2589. This gap was hit perfectly this month at 2589. We are now seeing play above 2589 but will need the month candle to close above this level to open 2702 AXIS target. Failure to close above this level this month will see a rejection into the channel top for a bounce and a further close below the channel top or 2499 will see a further drop into the channel half line for the next correctional test and bounce. Each of the lower Goldturn levels below are likely to give re-actional bounces using our shorter time frame idea. 2825 is our final long range/term target on this chart idea and we will look to continue to buy dips using our smaller timeframe ideas rather then chasing the bull form the top. As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, And another PIPTASTIC finish to the week, completing all our Bullish targets!! After completing the first round of targets yesterday, we stated that we will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 2591 to open 2603 and 2615. We got the lock above 2591 and then followed with the perfect hit on 2603 and 2615 completing the targets to perfection. BULLISH TARGET 2581 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2581 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2591 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2591 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2603 - DONE POTENTIALLY 2615 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2567 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2567 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2554 (DONE) - 2538 We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
18
USDJPY - at most expensive supporting area, holds or not??#USDJPY.. well guys market just dropped and reached near to his one of the most important supporting area of the year. that is 141.10 keep close that supporting area because that is only hope for buyers. any kind of weakness below that will be very expensive for buyers and for Japan as well. one thing is keep in mind that below 141.00 cut n reverse will be a good option on confirmation. don't be lazy here. good luck trade wisely
by AdilHussain731333
XAUUSD / TRADING ABPVE ATH 2,600$ - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The asset is trading above its all-time high (ATH) price of $2,600.The price has risen by %1.82. If the price closes below the ATH level of $2,600 on a 4-hour (4h) candle, further decline is expected, estimated at 1.90%. As long as the price remains above $2,600, it suggests a bullish trend. A 4h candle closing below $2,600 would indicate potential bearish movement, predicting a decline of around 1.90%. Technical analysis : If the price remains above $2,600 and breaks above $2,620, we could see an upward move towards $2,635. A break below $2,600 may lead to a decline towards $2,575 and potentially $2,551, indicating a bearish trend. UPWARD TARGET : 2,620$ , 2,635$ . DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,575$ , 2,551$.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArinaKarayi
S&P 500 forecast: Outsized rate cut music to bulls’ ears. S&P 500 forecast: The US stock market has shown impressive resilience following the recent volatility. Investors, thrilled by the Federal Reserve’s outsized rate cut, have pushed index futures higher. However, there are mixed opinions about what lies ahead. For now, it looks the S&P 500 will finish the week at a fresh record high. Fed’s Rate Cut and Its Impact on Markets The Federal Reserve’s decision to deliver a 50-basis point rate cut was largely welcomed by investors. The move was seen as a bold but necessary step to ease economic concerns without sending panic signals reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasised that the cuts are not part of a long-term strategy but rather a proactive measure aimed at stabilising growth, now that inflation appears to be on the path of returning to its target. Markets initially sold off but quickly rebounded, with S&P 500 futures suggesting a potential new record high is on the horizon at the cash open today. The Dot Plot projection also boosted investor confidence, showing a possible 50 basis points of cuts this year and 100 next year, with the terminal rate expected to hit 3.0% by 2026. But what now? Can the S&P 500 Rally Continue? With the S&P 500 up nearly 19% year-to-date, investors are wondering if the rally can be sustained. On the surface, it appears that market sentiment is bullish, bolstered by the Fed’s actions and a series of robust earnings reports. Yet, looming risks, such as global economic slowdown in the Eurozone and China, may challenge this optimism. Moreover, seasonal trends indicate that September is typically a tough month for equities, adding a potential headwind to the current rally – although so far this hasn’t held investors back. With the US presidential election approaching, market volatility could spike, leaving investors hesitant to dive into new rallies without a clear trend. S&P 500 forecast: Technical Analysis and Key Levels to Watch Despite some volatility after the Fed’s rate cut, the S&P 500’s bullish trend remains intact. Traders should keep an eye on the support range between 5613 and 5670, with the upper end of this range marking the high from July. As long as the index holds above this support area, the short-term path of least resistance will remain upwards, potentially keeping the market on course to head towards 5800 or even the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level of 5827, derived from the drop in July. However, a dip below 5613 would signal a shift towards bearish sentiment, potentially pushing the index down to its next support and short-term trendline around the 5480-5500 area. Bearish Risks and Market Sentiment While the bulls are currently in control, bearish traders are watching for signs of a reversal. A drop below recent lows, as suggested above, could signal the end of the short-term bullish bias, reminiscent of the July sell-off when overbought conditions led to a sharp decline. Then, the signal came in the form of a bearish engulfing candle on 17 July. Bearish traders need to wait for a similar confirmation before making any significant moves, given the overall bullish structure of this market. Risk Management in a Volatile Market Regardless of whether you're bullish or bearish, managing risk is critical in today's market. With heightened uncertainty surrounding the economy and upcoming elections, volatility is expected to remain high. Traders should stay nimble and be prepared for sudden shifts in the market’s direction. In conclusion, while the S&P 500 forecast remains cautiously optimistic, several factors could derail the current rally. Staying informed and agile will be essential for navigating the coming weeks. We will, of course, highlight any major shifts in the trends, if observed. Stay tuned. -- Written by Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst
WHSELFINVEST:USSP500CFDLong
by WHSelfInvest
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, What can I say.....Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today!! We got the break below 2567 opening the retracement range, which gave the perfect bounce into the upper Goldturns 2581 and then 2591, completing our open Bullish target that we highlighted earlier this week. - BOOOOOM!! We will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 2591 to open the range above or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce on the weighted levels. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2581 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2581 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2591 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2591 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2603 POTENTIALLY 2615 BEARISH TARGETS 2567 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2567 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2554 (DONE) - 2538 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2538 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2516 - 2506 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
20
XAUUSD - AFTER FOMC SPEECH - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS In the month of August, prices started to increase until September by 10.04%, reaching a new historical peak of $2,600. As long as they remain below this level, it indicates a decline at a rate of 2.66%. Technically analysis : Gold reached a historical peak of $2,600 but began to decline following a speech by Jerome Powell. The decline was significant, hitting the target of +420 pips. Prices are now trading under downward pressure. The key levels to watch are $2,589 and $2,575. As long as the price remains below these levels, it indicates a downtrend If gold continues to stay below $2,575, it is expected to drop further to $2,551, and potentially down to $2,531. Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes above $2,575, it suggests that prices could reverse upwards, targeting $2,589, and potentially returning to the all-time high of $2,600. overall , that the short-term outlook for gold is bearish, but there is potential for a bullish reversal if the price stabilizes above $2,575. Traders should monitor these levels closely to gauge the next move in the market. UPWARD TARGET : 2,589$ , 2,600$ . DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,551$ , 2,531$.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today with our chart idea playing out, as analysed. Yesterday after hitting the bearish target 2567, we stated that we need ema5 to cross and lock below 2567 to open the retracement range for a test and failure to lock below 2567 and we will see the Goldlturns above being re-tested. - No cross below 2567 confirmed the bounce and gave multiple bounces off this level of over 30 to 40 pips, just like we analysed and now left 2581 open for a re-test, which fell short by just a few pips. We will see price range between 2567 and 2581, until we see a cross and lock on either level to confirm breakout to the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We are taking extra caution with our buys in this new range, as bigger corrections are likely. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2581 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2581 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2591 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2591 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2603 POTENTIALLY 2615 BEARISH TARGETS 2567 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2567 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2554 - 2538 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2538 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2516 - 2506 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
NAS100USD / KEY LEVEL 19,954 - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Tendency , prices trading below 19,954 , it indicates under downward pressure Prices are expected to remain under bearish pressure as long as they trade below the key levels of 19,954 and 19,535. Should the price stabilize and remain below these thresholds, a decline towards 19,187 is anticipated. A breach below this point could signal a further drop to 18,688. On the other hand, if the resistance at 19,954 is broken, we could witness upward momentum, with prices potentially rising first to 20,194 and then extending to 20,714. UPWARD TARGET : 20,194 , 20,714. DOWNWARD TARGET : 19,187 , 18,688.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
GBPUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4H GBPUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price movement reflects both technical and fundamental factors. The 3.58% decline in July can be attributed to global economic uncertainties, such as inflation fears or weakening consumer demand. This decline likely hit key support levels, prompting traders to adopt a more cautious stance. However, the 4.71% recovery in August suggests a reversal in market sentiment. This could be driven by improving macroeconomic indicators, such as better-than-expected GDP growth or reduced inflation, which restored confidence. Additionally, this rally may reflect a technical bounce off support levels, with short-term traders capitalizing on oversold conditions. The critical resistance level of 1.326 now acts as a psychological barrier. A failure to breach this level could confirm a bearish outlook, suggesting a downtrend continuation to the next support zones at 1.309 and 1.304. Market sentiment, geopolitical risks, or adverse economic data may further pressure prices. On the flip side, a decisive break above 1.326 would likely attract bullish momentum, setting the stage for higher targets at 1.329 and 1.335. In this scenario, buyers would anticipate further gains, with potential drivers such as positive earnings reports or an easing of economic uncertainties bolstering confidence. A sustained move above these levels could even signal a broader market rally. UPWARD TARGET : 1.329 , 1.335. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.309 , 1.304
Short
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME overall trading above 67.59 , expected under upward pressure . Currently, prices are holding above the crucial support level of 67.59. As long as they maintain this position, an upward move towards the next resistance levels of 69.98 and 71.59 is likely. The 71.59 level is particularly important, as breaking through it would serve as confirmation of a sustained uptrend, potentially driving prices higher to test the 74.24 resistance zone. However, if prices fail to hold above the 67.59 support level, it would indicate a shift in momentum, initiating a bearish phase. In such a case, the first target on the downside would be 65.35, with further declines possibly extending to the 63.67 region. This level would serve as a critical area for buyers to step in, and if breached, could signal a deeper correction. UPWARD TARGET : 69.98 , 71.59 , 74.24. DOWNWARD TARGET : 65.35 , 63.67.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
BITCOIN / UNDER TURNING LEVEL AT 60,895 - 4HBITCOIN / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS overall trading below 60,895 , it indicates prices of bitcoin under downward pressure. Currently, prices are rising, approaching a critical turning point at 60,895. As long as trading remains below this level and stabilizes underneath it, a decline is expected, potentially reaching the support level at 57,827, and further down to 55,916. However, by breaking through this level and closing a 4-hour candle above it, prices could rise toward 63,611. To confirm an uptrend, prices need to remain above this level, which would suggest a continuation toward 66,527. UPWARD TARGET : 633,611 , 66,525. DOWNWARD TARGET : 57,827 , 55,916.
Short
by ArinaKarayi