XAGUSD / TRADING IN THE DOWNWARD ZONE - 4H TIME FRAMEXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Analysis:
The market is trading below the turning level of 29.07 , and below the channel trend line at 29.38.This means the price action is currently bearish , with a downward bias , The immediate expectation is that unless the price breaks above these levels, the market could continue to decline.
Downward Conditions:
If the price remains below 29.38, it suggests that the market will continue to trend downward, Initial target for the decline: 28.10 , If 28.10 is broken, the next target would be 27.63.
The downward trend remains valid as long as the price doesn't break and stabilize above 29.38.
Upward Conditions:
If the price breaks and stabilizes above 29.38, this would indicate the beginning of a bullish reversal , The first upward target is 29.82 , If 29.82 is broken, the market could aim for the next target at 30.51 , This upward movement would only be valid if the price successfully breaches the channel trend resistance and holds above it.
UPWARD TARGET :
29.82 , 30.51.
DOWNWARD TARGET :
28.10 , 27.63.
Tradingideas
XAUUSD / UNDER CPI PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD - 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
USDJPY , is currently trading below the supply zone between 2,519$ and 2,526$ and remains below the resistance trendline, indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
First Scenario (CPI Higher than Expected)
If the CPI reading comes in higher than expected, this typically indicates stronger inflation. In response, the market may anticipate the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, like raising interest rates. Higher rates strengthen the U.S. dollar and increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold , A higher CPI reading would be perceived as , In this case, gold could drop to 2,507$ , and potentially further down to 2,491$ , After this, stabilization is expected below this range, possibly reaching 2,472$ .
Second Scenario (CPI Lower than Expected)
If the CPI reading is lower than expected, it suggests that inflation is easing. This could lead to expectations that the Federal Reserve will pause or slow rate hikes, which could weaken the U.S. dollar and benefit gold, A lower CPI reading would be , The price could rise to 2,526$ , then 2,531$ , Above these levels, gold might reach a new historical peak at 2,551$.
UPWARD TARGET :
2,526$ , 2,531$ , 2,551$.
DOWNWARD TARGET :
2,507$ , 2,491$ , 2,472$.
USDJPY / TRADING BELOW RESISTANCE TRENDLINE - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
USDJPY , is currently trading below the turning level of 145.446 and remains below the resistance trendline, indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The first scenario, Current price is trading below the resistance trend line at 145.446, If the price remains below this level, it is expected to decline , Target levels for this decline are 142.226 and, potentially, 140.745.
The second scenario , If the price breaks above the resistance trend line at 145.446 and stabilizes above it , It suggests a potential increase , Target levels for the increase are 147.516 and, potentially, 149.310.
UPWARD LEVEL : 147.516 , 149.310.
DOWNWARD LEVEL : 142.226 , 140 .745.
NAS100USD / TRADING INTO SENSITIVE AREA - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Analysis:
The current price is trading within a sensitive range, specifically between the support level at 18,688 and the resistance level at 19,088. The direction of future price movements will largely depend on a breakout on either side of this range.
- Downward Condition:
If the price breaks below 18,688 and stabilizes beneath this level, it may signal a potential decline. In this case, the price could drop to test the next support levels at 18,317 and 17,876.
-Upward Condition:
Conversely, if the price breaks above 19,088 and stabilizes above this resistance, it may indicate a bullish move. The price could then rise towards 19,535, and if momentum continues, it may further ascend to 19,844.
Upward Target :
19,535 , 19,844.
Downward Target :
18,317 , 17,876.
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The First Scenario , The support level at 65.35 acts as a critical threshold; as long as prices remain above it, buyers dominate, pushing the price towards 68.74 and then 69.98. This rise reflects increased confidence in an uptrend. For the trend to be fully confirmed, prices must stabilize above 69.98, signaling sustained momentum, which could lead to a further increase to 71.59.
The Second Scenario , if the price breaks below 65.35 and stabilizes, it indicates a shift in market sentiment, with sellers gaining control and potentially driving the price down to 63.35, followed by 62.65 This technical analysis underscores the importance of price levels in predicting future market movements and investor behavior.
UPWARD TARGET :
68.74 , 69.98 , 71.59 .
DOWNWARD TARGET :
63.35 , 62.65 .
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the chart today with our 4H chart also playing out perfectly. We got our 1H chart 2506 target hit yesterday and now today we got our 4H chart target at 2517 hit perfectly with precision.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2517 Goldturn resistance and we have 2493, as Goldturn support.
Both 2493 bearish and 2517 Bullish targets complete. We will now need to see ema5 cross and
lock either level to determine the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2517 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2517 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2536
POTENTIALLY 2550
BEARISH TARGETS
2493 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2493 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2468
2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2416 - 2389
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
NAS100USD / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
NAS100USD is currently trading below the turning level of 19,088 , indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The First Scenario, the asset is trading below the turning level of 19,088, it indicates a bearish sentiment .The immediate support level is at 18,317. If the price breaks this support, the next support level is 17,876,The price staying below 19,088 suggests a continuation of the downward trend. Support levels at 18,317 and 17,876 provide potential targets where the price could find buying interest or further decline.
The Second Scenario, For an upward movement, the asset needs to break above the turning level of 19,088 and stabilize above it , If the asset closes a 1-hour candle above 19,088, it could move towards 19,535, and possibly reach 19,844,Breaking and stabilizing above 19,088 indicates a shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish. The price targets of 19,535 and 19,844 are based on potential resistance levels or previous highs that could attract further buying.
XAUUSD / STILL CONTINUES A DOWNTREND - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall , prices under downward pressure , until trading below 2,507$ , yesterday prices rising to reach turning level , currently trading below it , have two scenario .
The first scenario, where gold prices remain below2,507$, suggests a downtrend because this level is acting as resistance. If prices continue to struggle below this threshold, it increases the likelihood of further declines toward the support levels at 2,491$ and 2,472$. Breaking and stabilizing below the supply zone between 2,472$ and 2,459$ would confirm a bearish trend, as it indicates that sellers are overpowering buyers, driving prices down.
In the second scenario, if the price closes a 4-hour candle above 2,507$, it signals bullish momentum. This would likely push prices to test the next resistance levels at2,519$ and 2,531$. Additionally, if the price stabilizes above 2,526$, it would suggest a breakout from the current range, potentially driving prices to new historical peaks around 2,551$. This is because breaking through key resistance often signals strong buyer interest, pushing prices higher.
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 2,507$.
Resistance Levels : 2,519$ , 2,526$ , 2,531$.
Support Levels : 2,491$ , 2,472$ , 2,459$.
USOIL / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
USOIL is currently trading above the turning level of 67.09 and remains above the support trendline, indicating upward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The First Scenario , USOIL's trading above 67.09 and staying above the support trendline signals strong buying interest, which suggests upward pressure. The target of 69.98 is a logical resistance level, followed by 71.59, which marks the next significant zone. Stabilization above 71.59 and 72.20 would confirm the strength of the uptrend, as breaking these levels would show that demand is outpacing supply, leading to further price gains.
The Second Scenario , If USOIL fails to maintain the 67.09 level and closes below it on a 1-hour or 4-hour chart, it indicates bearish momentum. This would increase the likelihood of a decline toward 65.35 and 63.67, the next significant support levels. A break below 65.35 could trigger a stronger downtrend as it would suggest sellers are gaining control, particularly if the price falls below the descending channel, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 67.09.
Resistance Levels : 69.98 , 71.59.
Support Levels : 65.35 , 63.67.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out inline with our plans to buy dips.
We were seeing price between two weighted levels and had 2506 Goldturn resistance target and 2495, as Goldturn support target.
2495 support target was hit and now we are seeing price bounce off the retracement range to head towards 2506 bullish target.
We need to keep note that ema5 has locked and left a gap below at 2482 and just fell short of completing this gap.
We will continue with our plans to buy dips and keep note of any unfilled gaps below, which helps us plan to buy dips accordingly.
However, as always each of our weighted levels gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces, as analysed and played out perfectly!
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2506
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2506 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2523
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2523 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2535
POTENTIALLY 2547
BEARISH TARGETS
2495 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2495 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2482
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2482 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2472 - 2461
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Market News Report - 08 September 2024Our fundamental outlooks for the major currencies remain the same from the past week. However, those that we considered bearish, like the British pound and the US dollar have shown strength recently.
Nonetheless, let's see what to expect from all the major forex markets performance-wise in our latest news report.
Market Overview
Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies.
US dollar (USD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR (short-term interest rate) markets expect at least four full rate cuts before the end of this year. They also suggest a 36% chance of a 50 bps (basis points) cut at the meeting next week on the 18th.
Another bearish focus for the US is the slowing labour market, according to the latest jobs revisions data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Diarise the upcoming inflation rate and initial jobless claims for the dollar this week.
The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals. It recently reached a major support area (100.617) on the daily chart and is still near this level.
Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348 and will likely remain untouched for some time.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
Markets anticipate several full rate cuts before the year ends. Also, data on weakened jobs is another bearish driver for the dollar.
Only geopolitical risks, bond market selling, and interest rate differentials can affect this sentiment.
Euro (EUR)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
The primary bearish driver is the interest rate, with STIR markets anticipating a very high chance of a 25 bps rate cut at the meeting this Thursday. Furthermore, the Governing Council affirmed that rates need to remain "sufficiently restrictive for as long as
necessary."
However, the European Central Bank (ECB) has also stressed that it is data-dependent. This means that certain economic data, like employment data, may boost the euro.
Meanwhile, the chart tells a slightly different story. After breaking the last major resistance (although dropping slightly now), the next target is 1.12757. Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.07774.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path with the interest rate. They are data-dependent, meaning data around inflation, growth, and wage improvement can lift the euro. However, their meeting in July was slightly more dovish than hawkish.
British pound (GBP)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the beginning of last month. However, the BoE remains data-dependent and has no set future path. STIR markets are currently pricing two additional cuts for the remainder of 2024.
The central bank's current key theme is fighting persistent inflation in the United Kingdom. Any future failures here would likely weaken the GBP.
Watch out for the new unemployment and inflation rates on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.
As with the euro, the British pound has been saved by dollar weakness on the charts. It has just broken the major resistance at 1.31424. So, the next area of interest is near by at 1.32666.
On the other hand, the nearest key support is far below at 1.26156.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
While the interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound, the BoE has yet to signal a future path in this regard.
STIR markets predict a rate hold next month (74% chance vs. 62% chance last week). Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data, particularly with inflation. Also, GBP/USD has been pushing higher of late due to USD weakness on Fed easing hopes.
Japanese yen (JPY)
Short-term outlook: bullish.
The primary bullish catalyst is the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision in July to hike the interest rate (15 bps hike vs the 10 bps expected).
STIR markets expect a hold (99% probability, up from 95% last week) at the next meeting but a hike at the start of next year. So, the bullish bias is intact, more so with the rate-cutting mood of other major centrals like the Fed, ECB, and BoE.
The USD/JPY market perfectly reflects the fundamental outlook of the dollar and yen. This pair looks to now target the major support area at 140.252.
Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields.
Also, the Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside.
Australian dollar (AUD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unsurprisingly kept the interest rate unchanged not long ago to keep the fight against persistent inflation. Moreover, Governor Bullock expressed last week that the central bank must see 'results' on the latter before lowering rates.
Like many currencies, the Aussie remains data-sensitive, whether we look at economic growth, labour, or inflation going forward. The recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency. Still, there is doubt over the longevity of this run.
The Aussie market has risen noticeably of late, having reached a recent resistance level (0.67986). While dipping last week, the next target at 0.68711 isn't so far away.
Meanwhile, the major support level is down at 0.63484.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
The RBA remains hawkish as per the recent meeting, focusing on core inflation. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie, with recent labour data keeping the bullish script alive.
However, the Australian dollar is pro-cyclical. So, it is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries.
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
New Zealand's central bank recently dropped the Kiwi's interest rate from 5.50% to 5.25%.
Lower-revised cash rate projections also hint at the potential for further cuts in the near future.
The Kiwi has recently breached a major resistance at 0.62220 - the next target is 0.63696. Conversely, the major support is at 0.58498, an area that it is unlikely to test soon.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The central bank's dovish stance in its latest meeting (where it cut the interest rate) puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.'
However, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for the NZD. As with its counterpart, traders should be data-dependent.
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Canadian dollar is fresh off an interest rate cut (from 4.50% to 4.25%), confirming the overwhelming probability suggested by STIR markets. Furthermore, the latter indicates a 91% chance of another cut next month and two full rate cuts before the end of 2024.
Among other factors, Canada's ongoing mortgage stress has forced its central bank to be dovish.
Despite the above, the CAD continues to strengthen mildly due to USD weakness (although the dollar gained the upper hand this past week). It now looks to test the next major support target at 1.33586, while the major resistance is far ahead at 1.39468.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with the BoC governor Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. In last week's meeting, they also wished for economic growth.
The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it.
However, expect encouraging oil prices, along with general economic data improvement, to save the Canadian dollar's blushes.
Swiss franc (CHF)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR markets forecast a rate cut later this month and December this year. Also, despite the positive trend of falling inflation, the Swiss National Bank is pressured to weaken the Swiss franc to make exports easier.
However, the CHF can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis.
USD/CHF has trended down nicely for several weeks, now looking to test the support area at 0.83326. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way.
Conclusion
The fundamental outlooks of each currency have remained mostly unchanged from the previous report. Thursday will arguably be the most anticipated day due to the ECB's interest rate decision. However, keep an eye on the high-impact news events for the dollar and the British pound.
As always, hope for the best and prepare for the worst, but this report should help you determine your bias toward each currency in the short and long term.
USDJPY / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL - 1DUSDJPY / 1D TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Currently, prices are experiencing downward pressure and are trading below the turning level of 146.893. This suggests a bearish trend, especially after a breakout from the ascending channel. As long as prices remain below 146.893, the expectation is for them to move towards the next support level at 140.991. Should prices stabilize below this support level, the bearish trend may continue, targeting a further decline to 139.341.
On the other hand, if prices break above 146.893 and stabilize above this level, particularly above the Fair Value Gap (FVG), we could see a reversal in the trend. This bullish shift would suggest a potential rise in prices, with initial targets set at 152.034. If the upward momentum continues, prices could further increase to reach the target of 154.890.
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 146.893 .
Resistance Levels : 152.034 , 154.890.
Support Levels : 140.991 , 139.341 .
USOIL / TRADING BELOW SUPPLY ZONE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Prices are currently on a downward trajectory, trading below the identified supply zone at approximately 70.04 and 69.21. The market is now approaching the support level at 67.27. There is a possibility of a brief retest of the supply zone before the price continues its decline towards the next support levels, which are around 66.87 and 65.58.
Conversely, if the price manages to break above the resistance level at 70.04, this would suggest a potential upward movement. In this case, the next target would be the resistance level at 71.54. For a confirmed upward trend, the price would need to break and maintain stability above 71.54. Achieving this could lead to further gains, with the next resistance target being around 74.03.
KEY LEVELS :
Supply Zone: 70.04 , 69.21 .
Resistance Levels : 71.54 , 74.03 .
Support Levels : 67.27 , 66.87, 65.58 .
XAUUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall , prices under bearish pressure until trading below turning level at 2,507$
The price level of $2,503 acts as a resistance, meaning that as long as prices stay below this point, the market sentiment remains bearish. A break below $2,490 confirms a downtrend because it indicates that sellers are in control, and the next lower support levels ($2,472 and $2,459) become targets for further declines.
On the upside, breaking above $2,507 would suggest bullish momentum, as the price would surpass the initial resistance. If prices continue to rise and close above $2,519 on a 4-hour chart, it would confirm that buyers have taken control, signaling the potential for a move towards the next target of $2,531.
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 2,507$ , 2,590$ .
Resistance Levels : 2,516$ , 2,519$ , 2,531$ .
Support Levels : 2,490$ , 2,472$ , 2,459$ .
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2506 Goldturn resistance and 2495, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2506 and below at 2495 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2506
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2506 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2523
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2523 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2535
POTENTIALLY 2547
BEARISH TARGETS
2495
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2495 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2482
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2482 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2472 - 2461
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2517 Goldturn resistance and we have 2493, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap open above at 2517 and below at 2493 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2517
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2517 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2536
POTENTIALLY 2550
BEARISH TARGETS
2493
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2493 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2468
2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2416 - 2389
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking and trading successfully for a while now.
Same as last week, we still have the candle body close above 2521 for the gap to 2566. We would need Ema5 lock to further confirm and strengthen this gap. Currently ema5 is playing just under it and we will continue to observe and update this.
We have to also keep in mind that we have a support range below at 2464 - 2405 for longer range support areas to buy strategic dips if the corrections take place before completing gaps above.
We will use smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months.
Last week we had the same again with a candle body close above 2505 again leaving a gap to 2557. We also stated that we need to keep in mind that we have a ema5 detachment below highlighted on the chart with a circle for a possible correction area.
- This played out perfectly by providing the correctional touch below on the highlighted area with a circle and then the bounce, which is also inline with the channel top support for the bounce just like we said.
All channels that break usually require the channel top to become support outside the channel for further continuations before new channels form.
Failure to provide support outside of the channel, means price breaks back into the channel, in which case the channel re-activates for trading and tracking level to level once again
Therefore, if we see a rejection before the gap and a break back into the channel then we will use the levels within the channel to provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XRPUSDT / REMAIN BELOW ASCENDING CHANNEL - 4HXRPUSDT - 4H
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.58 .
The prices are currently trading below the ascending channel and are likely to attempt a retest to reach the turning point at 0.58 before beginning a decline toward the support level at 0.54, with a further drop expected down to 0.52.
However, if the 0.58 level is broken and a 4-hour candle closes above it, the price may rise toward the first resistance level at 0.62, and potentially further to 0.65
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 0.58 .
Resistance Levels : 0.62 , 0.65 .
Support Levels : 0.54 , 0.52 .
XAUUSD / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The overall trend is downward , until trading around 2,526$ and 2,531$
The expectation of prices rising to $2,526 and $2,531 before dropping can be explained by resistance levels at these points, which often cause a pullback in prices. If gold remains below $2,531, the downtrend is likely to continue, supported by technical indicators showing declining momentum. The forecast of a drop to $2,507 is based on previous support levels where the price tends to stabilize.
However, if gold closes above $2,531 on a 4-hour chart, it suggests a breakout, signaling a shift in sentiment and potentially leading to higher prices, supported by market momentum. The projection of reaching $2,540 and $2,551 aligns with historical price peaks and psychological levels that traders often target in a rally.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 2,507 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 2,526$ , 2,531$ .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 2,507$ , 2,475$ .
NAS100USD / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 19,105 .
The price action points to a likely continued decline due to its inability to surpass the key turning point of 19.105, signaling persistent downward momentum. Staying under this level implies strong bearish pressure, with support levels at 18,699 and 18,351 as possible targets.
On the other hand, breaking above 19.105 would suggest a change in market sentiment towards a more bullish trend, potentially leading to a rise towards the resistance levels of 19,538 and 19,906, driven by increased buying interest and upward momentum
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 19,105 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 18,699 , 18,351 .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 19,538 , 19,906 .