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GOLD 1H AND 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, We totally smashed our 1H and 4H chart ideas today!!! Eme5 cross and lock above 2517 confirmed 2536 and 2550 on this 4h chart idea, which was completed perfectly. We will now look for ema5b cross and lock above 2550 to open the range above. Please see our 1H chart idea below; This chart had ema5 cross and lock above 2523 opening 2534 and 2547, which were both hit perfectly today completing this chart idea. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2517 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2517 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2536 -DONE POTENTIALLY 2550 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2493 - DONE As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Our 1H chart is once again representing level to level, inline with our plans to buy dips. Monday we stated that 2495 support target was hit and we were seeing price bounce off the retracement range to head towards 2506 bullish target. - This was hit perfectly followed with ema5 cross and lock above 2506 opening 2523, which was also hit perfectly. No further lock above 2523 confirmed the rejection back to 2506 weighted level now turned support, providing the bounce, as per our analysis. We will now see price play between 2506 and 2523 and will need ema5 lock to confirm breakout or fadeouts We will continue with our plans to buy dips and keep note of any unfilled gaps below, which helps us plan to buy dips accordingly. However, as always each of our weighted levels gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces, as analysed and played out perfectly! We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2506 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2506 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2523 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2523 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2535 POTENTIALLY 2547 BEARISH TARGETS 2495 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2495 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2482 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2482 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the chart today with our 4H chart also playing out perfectly. We got our 1H chart 2506 target hit yesterday and now today we got our 4H chart target at 2517 hit perfectly with precision. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2517 Goldturn resistance and we have 2493, as Goldturn support. Both 2493 bearish and 2517 Bullish targets complete. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock either level to determine the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2517 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2517 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2536 POTENTIALLY 2550 BEARISH TARGETS 2493 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2493 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2468 2438 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2416 - 2389 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
18
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out inline with our plans to buy dips. We were seeing price between two weighted levels and had 2506 Goldturn resistance target and 2495, as Goldturn support target. 2495 support target was hit and now we are seeing price bounce off the retracement range to head towards 2506 bullish target. We need to keep note that ema5 has locked and left a gap below at 2482 and just fell short of completing this gap. We will continue with our plans to buy dips and keep note of any unfilled gaps below, which helps us plan to buy dips accordingly. However, as always each of our weighted levels gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces, as analysed and played out perfectly! We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2506 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2506 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2523 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2523 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2535 POTENTIALLY 2547 BEARISH TARGETS 2495 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2495 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2482 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2482 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
Market News Report - 08 September 2024Our fundamental outlooks for the major currencies remain the same from the past week. However, those that we considered bearish, like the British pound and the US dollar have shown strength recently. Nonetheless, let's see what to expect from all the major forex markets performance-wise in our latest news report. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR (short-term interest rate) markets expect at least four full rate cuts before the end of this year. They also suggest a 36% chance of a 50 bps (basis points) cut at the meeting next week on the 18th. Another bearish focus for the US is the slowing labour market, according to the latest jobs revisions data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Diarise the upcoming inflation rate and initial jobless claims for the dollar this week. The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals. It recently reached a major support area (100.617) on the daily chart and is still near this level. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348 and will likely remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: bearish. Markets anticipate several full rate cuts before the year ends. Also, data on weakened jobs is another bearish driver for the dollar. Only geopolitical risks, bond market selling, and interest rate differentials can affect this sentiment. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The primary bearish driver is the interest rate, with STIR markets anticipating a very high chance of a 25 bps rate cut at the meeting this Thursday. Furthermore, the Governing Council affirmed that rates need to remain "sufficiently restrictive for as long as necessary." However, the European Central Bank (ECB) has also stressed that it is data-dependent. This means that certain economic data, like employment data, may boost the euro. Meanwhile, the chart tells a slightly different story. After breaking the last major resistance (although dropping slightly now), the next target is 1.12757. Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.07774. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path with the interest rate. They are data-dependent, meaning data around inflation, growth, and wage improvement can lift the euro. However, their meeting in July was slightly more dovish than hawkish. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the beginning of last month. However, the BoE remains data-dependent and has no set future path. STIR markets are currently pricing two additional cuts for the remainder of 2024. The central bank's current key theme is fighting persistent inflation in the United Kingdom. Any future failures here would likely weaken the GBP. Watch out for the new unemployment and inflation rates on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. As with the euro, the British pound has been saved by dollar weakness on the charts. It has just broken the major resistance at 1.31424. So, the next area of interest is near by at 1.32666. On the other hand, the nearest key support is far below at 1.26156. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. While the interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound, the BoE has yet to signal a future path in this regard. STIR markets predict a rate hold next month (74% chance vs. 62% chance last week). Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data, particularly with inflation. Also, GBP/USD has been pushing higher of late due to USD weakness on Fed easing hopes. Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: bullish. The primary bullish catalyst is the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision in July to hike the interest rate (15 bps hike vs the 10 bps expected). STIR markets expect a hold (99% probability, up from 95% last week) at the next meeting but a hike at the start of next year. So, the bullish bias is intact, more so with the rate-cutting mood of other major centrals like the Fed, ECB, and BoE. The USD/JPY market perfectly reflects the fundamental outlook of the dollar and yen. This pair looks to now target the major support area at 140.252. Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields. Also, the Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unsurprisingly kept the interest rate unchanged not long ago to keep the fight against persistent inflation. Moreover, Governor Bullock expressed last week that the central bank must see 'results' on the latter before lowering rates. Like many currencies, the Aussie remains data-sensitive, whether we look at economic growth, labour, or inflation going forward. The recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency. Still, there is doubt over the longevity of this run. The Aussie market has risen noticeably of late, having reached a recent resistance level (0.67986). While dipping last week, the next target at 0.68711 isn't so far away. Meanwhile, the major support level is down at 0.63484. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The RBA remains hawkish as per the recent meeting, focusing on core inflation. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie, with recent labour data keeping the bullish script alive. However, the Australian dollar is pro-cyclical. So, it is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. New Zealand's central bank recently dropped the Kiwi's interest rate from 5.50% to 5.25%. Lower-revised cash rate projections also hint at the potential for further cuts in the near future. The Kiwi has recently breached a major resistance at 0.62220 - the next target is 0.63696. Conversely, the major support is at 0.58498, an area that it is unlikely to test soon. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The central bank's dovish stance in its latest meeting (where it cut the interest rate) puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.' However, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for the NZD. As with its counterpart, traders should be data-dependent. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Canadian dollar is fresh off an interest rate cut (from 4.50% to 4.25%), confirming the overwhelming probability suggested by STIR markets. Furthermore, the latter indicates a 91% chance of another cut next month and two full rate cuts before the end of 2024. Among other factors, Canada's ongoing mortgage stress has forced its central bank to be dovish. Despite the above, the CAD continues to strengthen mildly due to USD weakness (although the dollar gained the upper hand this past week). It now looks to test the next major support target at 1.33586, while the major resistance is far ahead at 1.39468. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with the BoC governor Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. In last week's meeting, they also wished for economic growth. The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it. However, expect encouraging oil prices, along with general economic data improvement, to save the Canadian dollar's blushes. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets forecast a rate cut later this month and December this year. Also, despite the positive trend of falling inflation, the Swiss National Bank is pressured to weaken the Swiss franc to make exports easier. However, the CHF can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis. USD/CHF has trended down nicely for several weeks, now looking to test the support area at 0.83326. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way. Conclusion The fundamental outlooks of each currency have remained mostly unchanged from the previous report. Thursday will arguably be the most anticipated day due to the ECB's interest rate decision. However, keep an eye on the high-impact news events for the dollar and the British pound. As always, hope for the best and prepare for the worst, but this report should help you determine your bias toward each currency in the short and long term.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2506 Goldturn resistance and 2495, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap above on market open at 2506 and below at 2495 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2506 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2506 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2523 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2523 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2535 POTENTIALLY 2547 BEARISH TARGETS 2495 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2495 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2482 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2482 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
20
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2517 Goldturn resistance and we have 2493, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap open above at 2517 and below at 2493 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2517 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2517 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2536 POTENTIALLY 2550 BEARISH TARGETS 2493 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2493 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2468 2438 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2416 - 2389 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking and trading successfully for a while now. Same as last week, we still have the candle body close above 2521 for the gap to 2566. We would need Ema5 lock to further confirm and strengthen this gap. Currently ema5 is playing just under it and we will continue to observe and update this. We have to also keep in mind that we have a support range below at 2464 - 2405 for longer range support areas to buy strategic dips if the corrections take place before completing gaps above. We will use smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months. Last week we had the same again with a candle body close above 2505 again leaving a gap to 2557. We also stated that we need to keep in mind that we have a ema5 detachment below highlighted on the chart with a circle for a possible correction area. - This played out perfectly by providing the correctional touch below on the highlighted area with a circle and then the bounce, which is also inline with the channel top support for the bounce just like we said. All channels that break usually require the channel top to become support outside the channel for further continuations before new channels form. Failure to provide support outside of the channel, means price breaks back into the channel, in which case the channel re-activates for trading and tracking level to level once again Therefore, if we see a rejection before the gap and a break back into the channel then we will use the levels within the channel to provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames keeping in mind the long range gap for the future.. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
Gold glimmers with potential as bullish sentiment prevailsToday's outlook for gold (XAU/USD) in the forex market remains bullish, driven by a combination of factors. The price is currently trading near significant resistance levels around $2,531, supported by expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, which would lower bond yields and make gold more attractive. Traders are particularly focused on upcoming U.S. employment data, which could further influence gold prices. A weaker-than-expected jobs report would likely push prices higher, potentially toward $2,600 in the short term. However, if the data shows strong job growth, gold may face downward pressure, with potential corrections towards $2,483-2,477
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BELLATRIXFX
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our analysis playing out in true level to level fashion. Yesterday we stated that we were now looking for a 2498 weighted resistance re-test and a cross and lock above this level will re-open the range above. - This played out perfectly, as we got the 2498 target hit followed with the cross and lock confirmation for 2509, which was also hit perfectly!! We now also have 2509 cross and lock opening 2524, which gave a nice capture and fell just just short of a few pips and will now be keeping this mind. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2509 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2524 2535 BEARISH TARGETS 2498 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2498 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2484 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2484 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 (DONE) - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
24
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our 1H chart idea, which has been playing out level to level. Yesterday on our 4H chart update we stated that our 1H chart had a lock below opening the lower range. This was the 2498 bearish target, which was hit and followed with a cross and lock opening the retracement range 2484. This was also hit perfectly and gave the perfect bounce, as part of our plans to buy dips from the weighted levels. We currently still have a gap above at 2509 and will only target this if the lower weighted levels are rejected with no further locks. Otherwise we are happy to track the movement down and catch the buys from the weighted level bounces. We will also keep in mind that a cross and lock below the retracement range will open the swing range for the extended bounce. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2509 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2524 2535 BEARISH TARGETS 2498 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2498 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2484 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2484 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
46
Market News Report - 01 September 2024This past week, the euro faltered the most compared to other currencies. Meanwhile, the winners included the New Zealand and Canadian dollars. Let's see what to expect from all the major forex markets performance-wise in our latest news report. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR (short-term interest rate) markets expect at least four full rate cuts before the end of this year. They also suggest a 30% chance of a 50 bps cut at the next meeting in mid-September. Another bearish focus for the US is the slowing labour market. As with the beginning of any month, watch out for the unemployment rate and Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday. The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals, having recently reached a major support area (100.617) on the daily chart. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348 and will likely remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: bearish. Markets anticipate several full rate cuts before the year ends. Also, data on weakened jobs is another bearish driver for the dollar. Only geopolitical risks, bond market selling, and interest rate differentials can affect this sentiment. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The European Central Bank (ECB) has stressed that it is data-dependent. This means that certain economic data, like employment data, may boost the euro. However, the primary bearish driver is the interest rate, with STIR markets anticipating a 100% chance of a 25 bps rate cut at the next meeting this month. On the bright side, German inflation recently fell to its lowest level since March 2021, to 1.9% (from 2.3% in July 2024). Meanwhile, the chart tells a slightly different story. After breaking the last major resistance, the next target is 1.12757. Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.07774. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path with the interest rate. They are data-dependent, meaning data around inflation, growth, and wage improvement can lift the euro. However, their meeting in July was slightly more dovish than hawkish. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the beginning of last month. However, the BoE remains data-dependent and has no set future path. STIR markets are currently pricing two additional cuts for the remainder of 2024. The central bank's current key theme is fighting persistent inflation in the United Kingdom. Any future failures here would likely weaken the GBP. As with the euro, the British pound has been saved by dollar weakness on the charts. It has just broken the major resistance at 1.31424. Despite this, it remains an area of interest due to appearing in a high time frame. On the other hand, the nearest key support is far away at 1.26156. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. While the interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound, the BoE has yet to signal a future path in this regard. STIR markets predict a rate hold next month (74% chance vs. 62% chance last week). Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data, particularly with inflation. Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: bullish. The yen is the only currency where a change to the short-term outlook is necessary (from 'weak bullish' to 'bullish') The primary bullish catalyst is the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate. STIR markets expect a hold (99% probability, up from 95% last week) at the next meeting but a hike at the start of next year. So, the bias is intact, and we should expect buyers on dips, more so with the dollar's macro outlook indicating a decline. After cooling down recently, USD/JPY looks to have resumed its downtrend, aligning with the outlook mentioned. The major support level to watch is 140.252. Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields. Also, the Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unsurprisingly kept the interest rate unchanged not long ago to keep the fight against persistent inflation rate. Based on their language, a hike isn't out of the question this year. Like many currencies, the Aussie remains data-sensitive, whether we look at economic growth, labour, or inflation going forward. The recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency. Still, there is doubt over the longevity of this run. The Aussie market has risen noticeably of late, having reached a recent resistance level. While the next nearby target is 0.68711, we need to see how it behaves at the latter. Meanwhile, the major support level is down at 0.63484. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The RBA remains hawkish as per last week's meeting, focusing on core inflation. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie, with recent labour data keeping the bullish script alive. However, the Australian dollar is pro-cyclical, so it is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. New Zealand's central bank recently dropped the Kiwi's interest rate from 5.50% to 5.25%. Lower-revised cash rate projections also hint at the potential for further cuts in the near future. The Kiwi has recently breached a major resistance at 0.62220. While we can look towards a future level, this area is still worth considering. Conversely, the major support is at 0.58498, an area which it is unlikely to test soon. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. In its latest meeting, the central bank's dovish stance (where it cut the interest rate) puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.' However, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD. As with its counterpart, traders should be data-dependent. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The ongoing mortgage stress in Canada has forced the Bank of Canada (BoC) to be dovish, the first major bearish catalyst. With a rate cut last month, STIR markets have increased the probability to over 90% of the same in Wednesday's meeting. The CAD continues to strengthen mildly due to USD weakness. It now looks to test the next major support target at 1.33586, while the major resistance is far ahead at 1.39468. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with the BoC governor Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Moreover, STIR markets have priced in an additional cut sometime this year. The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it. Still, this narrative is getting tired. Expect encouraging oil prices, along with general economic data improvement to save the Canadian dollar's blushes. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets forecast a rate cut later this month (a 35% chance) and December this year. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term. However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis. After a notable retracement at the start of last month, USD/CHF is looking to test the support area at 0.83326. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way. Conclusion The fundamental outlooks of each currency have remained mostly unchanged from the previous report, except for JPY and NZD. Key news events to watch this week include the US unemployment rate and the CAD interest rate decision. As always, hope for the best and prepare for the worst, but this report should help guide you in determining the bias you should have for each currency.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2509 Goldturn resistance and 2498, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap above on market open at 2509 and below at 2498 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2509 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2524 2535 BEARISH TARGETS 2498 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2498 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2484 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2484 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
15
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months. Last week we got the correction just above the channel top near 2467 Goldturn support, which followed with a nice push up like we said. We also stated that we had a candle body close above 2505 leaving a long term/range gap open to 2557. - This week we have the same again with a candle body close above 2505 again leaving a gap to 2557. However, keep in mind we also have a ema5 detachment below highlighted on the chart with a circle for a possible correction area. Either way we are looking for the channel top to provide support for the bounce. All channels that break usually require the channel top to become support outside the channel for further continuations before new channels form. Failure to provide support outside of the channel, means price breaks back into the channel, in which case the channel re-activates for trading and tracking level to level once again Therefore, if we see a rejection before the gap and a break back into the channel then we will use the levels within the channel to provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames keeping in mind the long range gap for the future.. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our chart idea playing out to perfection!!!! Once again 2500 provided support confirmed with no cross and lock, which followed with the bounce into 2513 and then a further cross and lock above 2513 opened 2525, which was once again hit perfectly!!! We are now looking for a lock above 2525 to open 2535 or failure to lock and we will continue to see a rejection back into the lower weighted Goldturn support levels for the bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2513 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2513 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2525 - DONE 2535 BEARISH TARGETS 2500 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2500 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2484 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2484 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
Apple is a great buy once it exceeds 240! The stock experienced an extended period of consolidation, during which it formed several bullish chart patterns, including the Double Bottom and Rounding Bottom. After the price broke above the neckline of the Rounding Bottom, the stock surged to reach an all-time high close to the 237 level. Since then, it has retraced nearly 17%-18%, returned to its support level. Now, with a robust rebound underway, the stock is approaching its resistance zone, and there are strong expectations for a significant breakout. The optimal buying opportunity lies just above the 240 level.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by NaranjCapital
25
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today with a repeat of yesterdays action. We had another cross and lock above 2513 opening 2525, which was hit once again. This followed with no ema5 lock above 2525 confirming the rejection into the 2500 range, which once again gave multiple bounces, as analysed inline with our plans to buy dips. We will now once again look for another 2513 re-test and further cross and lock above to re-open the range above or a cross and lock below 2500 to open the full retracement range. Currently we are continuing to use the support above 2500 to buy dips. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2513 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2513 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2525 - DONE 2535 BEARISH TARGETS 2500 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2500 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2484 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2484 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
Trading gold updatedGold is trading around 2507 after a recovery in the early European session when the price was pushed up to nearly 2512. The trading strategy is considered to pay attention to the buy zones as in the analysis at the beginning of the day in the 2295-2485 zone. The sell zone we can consider selling when the next m30 candle clusters close below the 2508 zone before the US session jumps in. Wish you a successful transaction. SELL scalp zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536 SELL zone 2545 - 2547 stoploss 2551 BUY scalp zone 2496 - 2494 stoploss 2490 BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader