Get started

Tradingideas

GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another piptastic day on the charts with our trading idea playing out perfectly!! After completing all the open targets yesterday, we advised that we were now looking for ema5 to lock above 2459 to open 2475 and failure to lock above this level will follow with a rejection to find support on the lower Goldturns. - We got the cross and lock above 2459 opening 2475 with plenty of time and gap to get in for the action and BOOOOOM!!! This was hit perfectly respecting the Goldturn. We will now look for ema5 to cross and lock above 2475 to open 2488 and potentially 2500 or failure to lock above this level will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturn support levels for bounces. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2434 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2434 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2446 - DONE 2459 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2459 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2475 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2421 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2421 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2408 2396 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2396 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2380 - 2360 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
Market News Report - 11 August 2024The yen took the backseat as the dominant forex market. Instead, currencies like the Canadian and the 'two siblings' (the Aussie and New Zealand) reigned supreme. This week, let’s see how these and other markets may perform fundamentally and technically. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The latest Fed meeting confirmed what STIR (short-term interest rate) markets already knew: a rate cut is on the table next month. The latest unemployment hike (from 4.1% to 4.3%) indicates a cooling economy and further encouragement to decrease the interest rate. This week, pay attention to several US-linked economic releases (like the core inflation rate) that may redeem or add to the dollar's bearish pressure. The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals, having just broken a recent key support. However, the break wasn’t strong enough, so 102.358 is still an area of interest for major support. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348 and will likely remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: bearish. Markets anticipate at least two rate cuts before the year ends. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and jobs data indicate a cooling of the US economy, another bearish sign. Only geopolitical risks and bond market selling can affect this overall sentiment. So, we cannot rule out a bullish fight for the dollar, but it is unlikely to happen, at least quickly. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently kept its interest rate unchanged. Christine Lagarde, the ECB President, also suggested slow economic growth in the Eurozone, with inflation expected to fluctuate around current levels. The Council also indicated that rates should be 'sufficiently restrictively for as long as possible. Thanks to this mostly dovish tone, markets see an 87% chance of a cut (up from 78% last week). Interestingly, the chart tells a different story. As mentioned in our last report, the euro eventually tested the recent major resistance at 1.09813 (but not enough to break it). So, the odds are decent that this market will try again. Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.06494. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The recent unchanged interest rate is the primary bearish driver. However, the ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path. Still, the central bank is data-dependent, and any inflation, growth, and wage improvement can lift the euro. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the start of this month. However, they remain data-dependent and have no set future path. STIR markets are currently pricing in an additional two cuts for the remainder of 2024. Pay close attention to a few noteworthy GBP-related news events this week, starting Monday with the unemployment rate and year-on-year inflation rate on Wednesday. While the pound is down on the charts, it retraced noticeably last week. Still, the key support remains at 1.26156, while the key resistance is far away at 1.31424. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound. However, STIR markets predict a rate hold next month. Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, labour, economic growth). Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate is bullish for the yen. However, STIR markets expect a hold (95% probability) at the next meeting (but one hike before the year ends). Declining US Treasury yields and the heightened political tension in the Middle East have accelerated the recent huge down move in USD/JPY. For the first time since the start of last month, USD/JPY cooled down from its massive decline. Still, it did break the recent support area. So, the next point of interest lies at 140.252. Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields. The Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside. However, having moved quite a distance, a further retracement is imminent. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unsurprisingly kept the interest rate unchanged on Tuesday to keep the fight against persistent inflation rate. Based on their language, a hike isn't out of the question this year. Like many currencies, the Aussie remains data-sensitive, whether we look at economic growth, labour or inflation going forward. The recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency. Still, there is doubt over the longevity of this run. The Aussie rose noticeably in the past week despite breaching the recent major support area. The new level to watch for now is 0.63484, while the major resistance is far ahead at 0.67986. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The RBA remains hawkish as per last week's meeting, focusing on core inflation. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie. Furthermore, keep in mind that the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries, being a pro-cyclical currency. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: neutral. In a meeting by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), “The Committee agreed that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive. The extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures”. In simple terms, the central bank is winning against inflation and is, thus, unlikely to raise rates. The RBNZ will meet again on Tuesday to determine the new interest rate, where it is anticipated to indicate further cuts. They are also expected to reduce GDP (Gross Domestic Product) forecasts, as well as CPI projections. Like its closest relative (AUD), the Kiwi has retraced upwards after just scraping the recent support area at 0.58524. This still remains the focal point, while the major resistance is at 0.62220, an area which it is unlikely to test soon. Long-term outlook: neutral. The central bank's recent dovish tilt amid improving inflation puts the Kiwi in a neutral bracket. On the flip side, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The ongoing mortgage stress in Canada has forced the Bank of Canada (BoC) to be dovish, the first major bearish catalyst. With a rate cut last month, STIR markets have raised the probability to 88% (from 82% a week ago) of the same next month. The latest CPI print recently dropped while the latest labour data was mixed. While it looked to continue trending higher, USD/CAD saw a notable decline. This has left the new resistance area to be 1.39468, while the support target is far below at 1.35896. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with the BoC governor Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Moreover, STIR markets see two rate cuts for the BoC this year. The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it. However, encouraging oil prices may redeem the Canadian dollar as a risk-sensitive currency, along with improvements in jobs, inflation, and GDP. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets forecast a rate cut in September (a 92% chance) and December this year. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term. However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis. After being one of the biggest losers last week, USD/CHF retraced higher (in line with the fundamental outlook). The new key support area to consider is 0.84323. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way. Conclusion This week's hottest economic events include the interest rate decision for the New Zealand dollar, followed by a few other high-impact releases for the dollar and British pound. The fundamental outlooks of each currency have remained unchanged from the previous weeks. However, as you would expect, be prepared for technical shifts.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2434 Goldturn resistance and 2421, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap above on market open at 2434 and below at 2421 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2434 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2434 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2446 2459 BEARISH TARGETS 2421 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2421 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2408 2396 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2396 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2380 - 2360 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2438 Goldturn resistance and 2416, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap open above at 2438 and below at 2416 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2438 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2467 BEARISH TARGETS 2416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2389 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 - 2345 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking and trading successfully for a while now. Previously we had 2355 retracement range providing support and the re-actional bounce, as analysed and we stated that we will either look for a ema5 lock below this level to open the range below or a failure to lock below this level will follow with the upper range tests again. This played out perfectly with no cross and lock below 2355 and therefore we got the perfect bounce re-testing all the targets above. Prior to last week we also got the ema5 cross and lock above 2405 opening 2464 once again, which was hit once completing the gap again. Currently we have a ema5 cross and lock gap below at 2355 and then a new turn created a current ema5 cross and lock above 2405 opening 2464 again. We now have gaps both ways and need to keep this in mind when planning to buy dips. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone, Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis. As stated last week, that although we have the final Axis target at 2505, we are expecting resistance and reaction here at 2434, at the channel top and will probably need a few attempts before cracking open the range above. This played out perfectly with multiple attempts on the channel top and now we got the candle body close above 2434 opening the 2505 gap. However, ema5 cross and lock will further confirm this gap to solidify confirmation. The drop early last week was only to touch ema5 for the detachment correction, which immediately followed with the push up inline with our plans to buy dips. The levels within the channel will provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone, Please review our 1H chart route map update. Absolutely amazing to see how well our levels and weighted levels confirmed the continuations and rejections this week once again and how we were able to navigate and track the movement up and down. We started the week with our Bullish target at 2458 hit. No further cross and lock above this weighted level confirmed the rejection. We then saw ema5 lock below weighted level 2423 opening the retracement range, which played out perfectly. This followed on with a cross and lock below 2394 opening the swing range. The swing range was hit and then provided the swing and did what it says on the tin providing the full swing inline with our plans to buy dips. - BOOOOM!!! After completing the swing, we stated that levels were active again, as price was back in the range. This allowed us to track the movement back up level to level completing 2407 and 2423 and now the last gap in this range remains at 2438. EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2458 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2438 - DONE 2423 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2423 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2407 - DONE 2394 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2394 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 (DONE) - 2359 We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
TKO is poised for a major multi-year breakthrough!Weekly Chart The 100 level has shown to be a significant resistance point for the stock, as it faced multiple rejections at this level. Following these rejections, the stock entered a significant consolidation phase, which led to the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern. After breaking out of this formation, the stock price soared, reaching a peak around the 117 level before experiencing a decline. However, the stock found support at the 200 WEMA and rebounded from that level.. At present, the stock is lingering near the resistance zone, and with an increase in trading volume, there is a strong expectation that it will achieve a breakout this time around. The appearance of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart indicates a bullish sentiment. Daily Chart The daily chart shows that after being rejected near the 117 level, the stock fell but then reversed by breaking above the double bottom pattern. Since then, the stock has maintained its upward trend and is now close to a major breakout. The rising volume indicates that the price is preparing for an upward move.
NYSE:TKOLong
by NaranjCapital
2
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, We have been successfully tracking this chart for a while now and after completing all our targets inline with our plans we felt we needed to share a new update on this chart. 2483 target was completed perfectly last month leaving a detachment below to ema5, which was nearly complete on the drop earlier this week and is good enough for a correction. 2536 is our final long range/term target on this chart idea and we will look to continue to buy dips using our smaller timeframe ideas rather then chasing the bull form the top. Currently we are looking for another likely retest at 2483 and a close above this level will confirm our final target above. Although the correction to the detachment below is nearly complete, we still need to take caution and keep in mind the small gap for the full correction. This can also be self corrected with bullish momentum by pulling up ema5, as the detachment is only small after the brutal correction earlier this week. As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today, with our plans to buy dips playing out perfectly!!! After getting the 1st level swing range bounce earlier this week, yesterday we stated that we were now looking for ema5 to lock below 2391 to open the full swing range and failure to lock below this level will provide another bounce to retest the levels above. - This played out perfectly with no lock below 2391, which followed with the perfect bounce and now heading towards 2416. We are looking for play between 2391 and 2416 on this 4H chart and will need ema5 lock to break and lock either level to confirm the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2467 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2467 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2491 POTENTIALLY 2510 BEARISH TARGETS 2438 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS 2416 - DONE 2391 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2391 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 (DONE) - 2345 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
ALNY, LTH & ZETA - The momentum may drive prices to new heights!Alnylam Pharmaceuticals The stock price has encountered several rejections around the 212 level, leading to subsequent corrections. After establishing a Double Bottom pattern, the price attempted to reverse the downward trend but was unable to do so, facing rejection at the 200 level. Consequently, the stock underwent another correction. Following this, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming a Box pattern for a while. In a surprising turn, the price gapped up significantly and broke through its former strong resistance area, remaining above it. Following a brief pullback, the price resumed its upward trajectory, supported by solid trading volume. Life Time Group Holdings Following a rejection around the 22.5 level in November 2021, the stock experienced a significant decline, dropping to just 8.75. Subsequently, the price began to rise again, eventually returning to its previous strong resistance level after a lengthy climb. However, it struggled to break through that barrier and faced another substantial drop. During this downturn, the stock hit a low around 11.3 and then navigated through numerous fluctuations, leading to the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the chart. After successfully breaking out of this pattern to the upside, the price surged and managed to overcome the resistance level. If the stock can hold onto this level, we might see even more upward momentum in the days ahead. Zeta Global Holdings The stock price had been consolidating within a Box Pattern before breaking free. Since that breakout, the stock has experienced a steady uptrend, marked by higher highs and higher lows. Amid this upward movement, a Cup & Handle pattern formed, signaling that the trend is likely to persist. Following the breakout, the price is now climbing higher, supported by a significant increase in trading volume.
NASDAQ:ALNYLong
by NaranjCapital
GBP/USD:Anticipating a Bearish Scenario for the British PoundFollowing our successful forecast on the British Pound (link below), we are now poised to take advantage of another shorting opportunity as the price retests the previous supply area. This retest suggests a possible bearish scenario on the horizon. Our analysis is further supported by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which indicates a notable increase in retail long positions. This influx of long positions among retail traders often precedes a bearish reversal, providing additional validation for our anticipated market movement. As the British Pound retests the supply area, we foresee a potential new bearish impulse forming. This aligns with our strategic outlook, where we aim to capitalize on the expected downward momentum. The convergence of technical analysis and trader sentiment data strengthens our confidence in this bearish forecast. In summary, we are preparing for a bearish scenario for the British Pound, leveraging the retest of the supply area and the insights gained from the COT report. This approach ensures we remain well-positioned to take advantage of the expected market movements. Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis. Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6B1!Short
by FOREXN1
3
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, After completing the swing range activation from our 1H chart, please now also review our 4H chart idea. The 4H chart idea also had a swing range test and gave the swing, but off the back of a volatile candle and didn't allow for the cross and lock confirmation due to momentum. The swing gave the bounce and an extended push into 2416 Goldturn resistance, followed with the rejection into 2391. We are now looking for ema5 to lock below 2391 to open the full swing range. Failure to lock below this level will provide another bounce to retest the levels above. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2467 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2467 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2491 POTENTIALLY 2510 BEARISH TARGETS 2438 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS 2416 - DONE 2391 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2391 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 (DONE) - 2345 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
Fed will pick up the pace, but market pricing looks aggressive July's friendly jobs report led to market fears of a looming recession and the need for a strong Federal Reserve response. However, the latest ISM services report shows that the situation looks good with the economy growing The ISM Service Index shows no immediate inferred threat The ISM U.S. Manufacturing Products Index rose to 51.4 from 48.8, above the consensus of 51.0. New orders jumped to 52.4 from 47.3 while work returned to growth territory at 51.1 from 46.1. The Fed will cut interest rates faster but the current market price looks very positive We could see the Fed give in to some of the market demands and make at least one, maybe two 50 basis point moves
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our 1h chart idea playing out, as analysed. Yesterday we stated that we have a candle body close above 2438 leaving a gap open to 2458 and ema5 lock will further confirm this. - This target was hit. No further cross and lock above 2458, which confirmed the rejection. We also stated that we have 2438 and 2423 as bearish support targets and will need a cross and lock below 2423 to open 2407 and 2394. A further ema5 lock below 2394 will open the swing range for the extended swing. - This also played out perfectly completing all the bearish targets and then followed with the swing range. The swing range did exactly what it says on the tin, by providing the perfect extended swing, inline with our plans to buy dips - BOOOOOOM!!!!! Price is back in the range and therefore all weighted levels are active again and can be tracked level to level using the chart ideas shared. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2458 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2475 POTENTIALLY 2491 BEARISH TARGETS 2438 - DONE 2423 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2423 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2407 - DONE 2394 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2394 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 - 2359 SWING ACTION NICELY COMPLETE!! As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
Market News Report - 04 August 2024USD/JPY continues its long-overdue downward spiral as it has done in the past week. Speaking of USD, the greenback suffered across the board (somewhat predicted in our last report) due to an unchanging interest rate and poor employment figures. Other notable gainers in the past week include the Swiss franc and euro. Let’s see how these and other markets may perform fundamentally and technically this week. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Fed's latest meeting (where they kept the interest rate unchanged) gave away a few dovish clues. Most notable is the potential for a rate cut next month, with STIR (short-term interest rate) markets predicting a 68% chance of this happening. A slight rise in the unemployment rate in the past week further adds to the bearish bias. The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals, having just broken a recent key support. However, the break wasn’t strong enough, so 103.172 is still an area of interest for major support. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 106.490 and will likely remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: bearish. Markets anticipate at least two rate cuts before the year ends. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and jobs data indicate a cooling of the US economy, another bearish sign. Only geopolitical risks and bond market selling can affect this overall sentiment. So, we cannot rule out a bullish fight for the dollar, but it is unlikely to happen, at least quickly. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently kept its interest rate unchanged. Christine Lagarde, the ECB President, also suggested slow economic growth in the Eurozone, with inflation expected to fluctuate around current levels. Furthermore, the President stated that September's interest rate meeting is 'wide open.' However, thanks to the ECB's overall dovish tone, markets see a 78% chance (up from 63% last week) of a cut. After falling slightly, the euro is looking to test the new major resistance, now at 1.09813 (not far from the former mark). Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.06494. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The recent unchanged interest rate is the primary bearish driver. However, the ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path in this regard. Still, the central bank is data-dependent, and any improvement in inflation, growth, and wages can lift the euro. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The folks at the Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the 01 August 2024 meeting. However, they remain data-dependent and have no set future path. Still, STIR markets are currently pricing an additional two cuts for the remainder of 2024. Meanwhile, the pound is down on the charts, which shouldn’t be surprising given the fundamentals. The key support, at 1.26156, is not too distant. On the other hand, the key resistance is so far away (at 1.31424) that you have to zoom out your charts. In simple terms, we are bearish here. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound. However, STIR markets predict a rate hold next month. Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, labour, economic growth). Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate is bullish for the yen. However, STIR markets STIR markets expect a hold (95% probability) at the next meeting (but one hike before the year ends). Declining US Treasury yields and the heightened political tension in the Middle East have accelerated the recent huge down move in USD/JPY. Unsurprisingly, USD/JPY has confidently broken another major support. Interestingly, the new marker is now 146.482, a level which has been reached. However, this week should determine if the market stalls around this area or breaks it. Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields. The Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside. However, having moved quite a distance, a retracement is imminent. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. Due to persisting inflation highlighted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the central bank has enough reasons to keep or hike the interest rate on Tuesday. On the flip side, markets suggest at least one rate cut in 2024 (initially set for 2025). However, the recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency. While trading mildly in the past week, the Aussie is nearly testing the major support at 0.64653. Meanwhile, the major resistance is far ahead at 0.67986. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The hot CPI for Q1 and April has pressured the RBA to increase rates, which they recognised in their meeting last month. Also, the slightly higher unemployment rate from the past few weeks is another impetus. While STIR markets anticipate a 33% chance of a hike, this has been priced out. Also, keep in mind that the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries because it is a pro-cyclical currency. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: neutral. As predicted by STIR markets, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently maintained the interest rate at 5.5%. In their latest meeting, “The Committee agreed that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive. The extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures”. In simple terms, the central bank is winning against inflation and is, thus, unlikely to raise rates. NZD traders should diarise New Zealand's upcoming unemployment rate on Wednesday. Unlike its closest relative (AUD), the Kiwi has retraced upwards. However, it’s still within a largely bearish move. The primary support lies at 0.58524. Meanwhile, the major resistance is at 0.62220, an area which it’s unlikely to test soon. Long-term outlook: neutral. The central bank's recent dovish tilt amid improving inflation puts the Kiwi in a neutral bracket. Furthermore, STIR markets anticipate a 65% (up from 58%) chance of a rate cut next month. On the flip side, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. Firstly, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut rates from 4.75% to 4.50% not so long ago. The Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), Macklem, had already suggested this would happen if inflation became stickier. Realistically, the BoC will drop rates slowly now or aggressively later. It's also worth noting that the mortgage stress in Canada has forced the BoC to be dovish, another bearish catalyst. Watch for the new unemployment figure for CAD on Friday. After a long while in range mode, USD/CAD is inclined more bullishly. It only just broke the recent major resistance (at 1.38463). The next target, which is quite nearby, is at 1.38991. On the other hand, the key support lies far down at 1.35896. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Moreover, STIR markets see two rate cuts for the BoC this year. The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it. However, encouraging oil prices may redeem the Canadian dollar as a risk-sensitive currency, along with improvements in jobs, inflation, and Gross Domestic Product. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets forecast a rate cut in September (a 92% chance) and December this year. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term. However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis. Watch for the new unemployment figure for CHF on Tuesday. USD/CHF was among the biggest losers (dropping 1.71%), confidently breaking the last major support. We mentioned the likelihood of this happening. The new key support area to consider is now 0.85510. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way. Conclusion The most anticipated economic events this week include the unemployment for NZD, CAD, and CHF, along with the RBA's interest decision. Nonetheless, the fundamental outlooks for each major currency remain consistent from the previous week. However, see if these match the technical side and leave room for surprises.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
USD/CHF: Looking For a Strategic Long PositionUSD/CHF is approaching a critical demand zone, which we have identified as an area of interest for initiating a long position. This potential setup aligns with the current condition of the DXY Index, which is in an oversold state, suggesting a likely upward correction. To capitalize on this opportunity, we are placing a buy limit order within this demand area. Our strategy is further bolstered by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals a predominance of short positions among retail traders. This contrarian indicator supports our bullish outlook, as retail traders are often on the wrong side of the market. Our Supply and Demand approach has consistently provided us with reliable entry and exit points. In this case, the demand zone around the current price level presents a promising entry point for a long position. By combining this approach with the oversold condition of the DXY Index and the COT report's insights, we anticipate a favorable risk-reward scenario. Our analysis also considers seasonal trends and market sentiment. Historically, similar conditions have led to significant bullish movements in USD/CHF. We expect the price to find support in the demand zone and subsequently initiate a new bullish impulse. As we set our buy limit order, we are looking for confirmation through price action and market dynamics. If the price reacts positively within the demand zone, it will reinforce our decision to go long. We will continue to monitor the market closely, ready to adjust our strategy as new data and price movements unfold. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USDCHF in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
USD/JPY Reaches Key Demand Zone: Is a Bullish Reversal Imminent?The Japanese Yen (JPY) has extended its winning streak against the US Dollar (USD) for the fifth consecutive session on Monday. This consistent momentum is driven by increasing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may further tighten its monetary policy. The BoJ's potential shift towards a more hawkish stance is attracting significant market attention, as investors anticipate changes that could impact the currency's value. Additionally, the unwinding of carry trades, where investors borrow in low-yielding currencies to invest in higher-yielding assets, is providing sustained support for the JPY. This unwinding trend suggests a repositioning of investments that favors the Yen, contributing to its recent strength. From a technical standpoint, the current price action has led the USD/JPY pair to a strong demand area, which aligns with multiple indicators pointing to a potential bullish reversal. Firstly, the pair has entered an oversold condition, suggesting that the selling pressure might be overextended and a corrective bounce could be on the horizon. Secondly, there is the potential start of bullish seasonality, a period during which historical data shows the JPY typically performs well. This seasonal trend could further bolster the case for a rebound. Our supply and demand strategy, which focuses on identifying key levels where price imbalances occur, indicates that the current demand zone is a critical area for a potential price reversal. This strategy has been effective in highlighting areas where buying interest may outweigh selling pressure, leading to upward price movements. Given the confluence of these technical factors, we are closely monitoring the price action for a long setup. We are particularly attentive to the behavior of the USD/JPY pair in this demand area. Should the price action confirm our expectations, we will look to enter a long position, anticipating a rebound. This approach aligns with our broader market analysis and strategic outlook, which aim to capitalize on identified opportunities supported by both technical indicators and market fundamentals. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
BTC will probably try to pick up liquidity from both sidesThe chart may be a bit unclear, but I will try to explain what it means: when we first determine the fibonacci after the impulse with $74k, we can see the support exactly at fibonacci 1.21. That gives us the right to look at this as an ABC correction. Below are the FVG of the bit zones : The monthly that has been tested several times plus the monthly candle did not close inside it which is very positive In the last correction towards 53k weekly fvg showed strong support Gap: Which is formed after this impulse shows that fibonacci 0.61 coincides together with that.. For now, everything is fine.. we are in the middle of the range, 60k and lower to watch for a potential long. Below 58k and the closing of larger time frames, the saint structure changes
Long
by learnfromfailure
Gold on the international market skyrocketedPreviously, the market reflected a 100% chance that the Fed would cut interest rates for the first time in September. Currently, this rate is still the same. What's important to watch for investment is the Fed's view on the pace of interest rate cuts for the rest of the year. The Fed will cut 1 or 2 times and how much each time will cut, 25 hundred points or 50 points. With worse economic signals, it is likely that the Fed will have to consider the option of accelerating the process of cutting interest rates. However, it is possible that after cutting interest rates in September, the Fed will wait to take a closer look at the health of the US economy. On that side, the world is also watching the race for the White House of the second presidential candidate. The election will take place in November. Recently, some forecasts said that regardless of which candidate, Mr. Donald Trump or Ms. Kamala Harris, becomes US president, the White House owner will also provide money to support the economy. Gold will benefit from this move. Some major banks in the world still maintain their forecast that gold prices will reach 2,500 USD/ounce this year.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2458 Goldturn resistance and 2423, as Goldturn support. We currently have a candle body close above 2438 leaving a gap open to 2458. However, ema5 above 2438 will further confirm this. We also have 2438 and 2423 as bearish support targets and will need a cross and lock below 2423 to open 2407 and 2394. A further ema5 lock below 2394 will open the swing range for the extended swing. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2458 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2475 POTENTIALLY 2491 BEARISH TARGETS 2438 2423 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2423 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2407 2394 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2394 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 - 2359 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
26