GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2458 Goldturn resistance and 2423, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a candle body close above 2438 leaving a gap open to 2458. However, ema5 above 2438 will further confirm this.
We also have 2438 and 2423 as bearish support targets and will need a cross and lock below 2423 to open 2407 and 2394. A further ema5 lock below 2394 will open the swing range for the extended swing.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2475
POTENTIALLY 2491
BEARISH TARGETS
2438
2423
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2423 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2407
2394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2394 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2369 - 2359
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Tradingideas
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2467 Goldturn resistance and 2438, as the Goldturn weighted support.
We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We will need to see a test at 2467 and then ema5 to above 2467 to confirm the range above. We also have 2438, as the weighted support area and will need ema5 lock below this level to open 2416 and 2391 and a cross and lock below 2391 will open the swing range for the extended swing.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2467
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2467 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2491
POTENTIALLY 2510
BEARISH TARGETS
2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
2416
2391
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2391 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2369 - 2345
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATE Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking successfully for a while now..
Previously we had the cross and lock above 2355, leaving a gap open to 2405 and same with 2405 opening 2464, which were all completed and then followed with the rejection into the retracement range.
We the had 2355 retracement range providing support and the re-actional bounce, as analysed and we stated that we will either look for a ema5 lock below this level to open the range below or a failure to lock below this level will follow with the upper range tests again.
- This played out perfectly with no cross and lock below 2355 and therefore we got the perfect bounce re-testing all the targets above.
We now have 2464 test again and will need ema5 cross and lock to open the gap above. However, being the daily chart, we sometimes do not get the time to enter for the gap like the smaller timeframes, as the move gets done before the gap opens. Therefore, we can use a candle body close above 2464, as an earlier confirmation for the gap.
We have marked the charts with our unique weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea.
Previously we mentioned that although we have the final Axis target at 2505, we are expecting resistance and reaction here at 2434, at the channel top and will probably need a few attempts before cracking open the range above, which played out perfectly.
We then stated that we would need to see a candle body close above 2434 in the coming weeks/months to confirm this gap or an ema5 cross and lock for a double confirmation.
- We got the candle body close above 2434 now opening the 2505 gap and an ema5 cross will further confirm this.
The levels within the channel will provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
ETH ForecastTrend Channels and Correction: There are two distinct descending trend channels visible on the chart. Currently, the price is near the lower boundary of these channels and might make an upward correction. This correction could aim towards the resistance levels marked above.
Fibonacci Levels: The price appears to have touched the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at the 2,914.76 level. A reaction from this level is likely, and the price could move upwards to test the resistance levels.
Support and Resistance Levels: Several important support and resistance levels are drawn on the chart:
Resistance Levels: 3,125.86, 3,232.67, 3,306.00, 3,390.57, and 3,581.27.
Support Level: 2,914.76.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI indicator is close to the oversold region. This suggests that the price might soon experience an upward recovery.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD indicator might be signaling a potential upward reversal.
Conclusion:
The Ethereum price could potentially rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel and initiate an upward movement. The first target for this upward movement could be the 3,125.86 resistance level. If it can break this level, it may test the 3,232.67 and 3,306.00 resistance levels subsequently. However, market conditions and the overall trend should be considered, and risk management is essential.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
PIPTASTIC finish to the week with our analysis playing out to perfection!!!!
EMA5 lock above 2400 opened 2423 and 2438, which was hit perfectly followed with ema5 lock above 2438 opening 2459 and 2475, which was also completed today to perfection and now followed with the perfect rejection!!!
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2400 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2423 - DONE
2438 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2459 - DONE
2475 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2376 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) (4H)XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above 2,421$ .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 2,421$ , so as long as the price trade above this level indicates likely to reach a resistance level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle below this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,447$ , for reach this resistance level the price need stabilizing above a turning level , indicates have good selling in this level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 2,474$ , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (3) : around 2,500 , this level it is a historical peaks , for reach this level the price needed breaking turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,391$ , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 2,365$ , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 2,435$ , as long as the price trading above turning level , indicates to reach a resistance level (1) , then breaking this level likely to reach resistance level (2) , by breaking turning level indicates likely to reach support level (1) .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,447$ , 2,474$ , 2,500$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,391$ , 2,365$ .
GBPUSD ( BREAKING EACH TURNING LEVEL DETERMINE DIRECTION ) (4H)GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 1.273 & 1.278 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 1.278 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 1.273 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.283 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.292 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.266 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.261 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 1.274 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.283 , 1.292 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.266 , 1.261 .
XRPUSDT ( INSIDE SENSITVIE AREA ) (4H)XRPUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 0.58 & 0.56 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 0.58, so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 0.56 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 0.60, for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 0.65 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around O.51 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 0.47 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 0.57 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.60 , 0.65 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.51 , 0.47 .
BITCOIN ( BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) (4H)BITCOIN
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 65,707 & 63,416 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 65,707 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 63,416 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 68,199 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 69,602 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 60,065 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 58,203 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 64,819 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 68,199 , 69,602 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :60,065 , 58,203 .
Gold Price Explosion? Key Patterns Indicating Major Moves Ahead!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD
Overview
The chart presents the price action of Gold Spot (XAUUSD). Key technical patterns and significant support/resistance levels are highlighted to provide insights into potential price movements.
Key Patterns and Levels
Descending Channel:
The price previously moved within a descending channel, marked by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), indicating a downtrend.
The breakout from the descending channel suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Support/Resistance Levels:
HTF (Higher Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A crucial level providing a foundation for significant price movements, shown with blue lines.
LTF (Lower Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A lower time frame level within the channel, highlighting short-term price actions.
1HR Double Top: A resistance level around 2458.3 where the price is currently facing a decision point.
Bullish Patterns:
3 Touch Flag: A bullish flag pattern with three touches indicating potential continuation if the price breaks above the resistance.
Daily Bull Flag: A larger time frame bull flag pattern suggests a bullish continuation if the price breaks above the upper boundary.
Liquidity Zones:
Weekly LQZ: A liquidity zone around 2484, which acts as a significant resistance level.
Daily LQZ: A zone around 2348.8 providing a major support level.
Current Market Conditions:
The price is currently testing the 1HR double top resistance. A rejection at this level could indicate a potential short position, while a clear break above could confirm a long position.
Trading Strategy:
Wait for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a clear rejection or break above the 1HR double top to determine the direction of their positions.
Monitor Key Levels: Keep an eye on the support/resistance levels and liquidity zones to gauge potential price movements and market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Gold is at a critical juncture with significant patterns indicating possible major moves ahead. Traders should closely monitor the 1HR double top and key support/resistance levels to make informed trading decisions.
GBPUSD ( CORE PCE PRICE INDEX) ( 4H )GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 1.287 & 1.285 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 1.287 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 1.285, so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.293 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.303 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.279 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.269 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 1.286 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.293 , 1.303 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :1.279 , 1.269 .
NAS100USD ( BREAKOUT DESCINDING CHANNEL ) (4H)NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , after breakout descending channel .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level around 19,114 , as mentioned after the price trading above this level reach a resistance level (1) , yesterday reach target +440pip , may be the price it will attempt to reach this level before rising , but if the breaking 18,956 by open 4h candle below this level indicates likely to reach support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 19,529 , for reach this resistance level the price need trading above 19,114 , indicates have good selling in this level
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 19,826 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (3) : around 20,217 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 1D candle above resistance level (2) , indicates have very strong sells in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,627, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 18,240 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
MY GOALS : resistance level (2) at 19,826.
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 19,529 , 19,826 , 20,217 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 18,627 , 18,240 .
NAS100USD (BULLISH DIRECTION ) (4H)NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above 18,956 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 19,114 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) , by breaking this level active bullish zone .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 0.126, so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) , by breaking this level active bearish zone .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 19,529 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) , indicates have good selling in this level
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 20,093 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (3) : around 20,694 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 1D candle above resistance level (2) , indicates have very strong sells in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,627, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) , indicates have good buying in this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 18,240 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 19,107 , have two scenario , first scenario corrective turning level (2), before rising to touch a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1), second scenario corrective turning level (1) , to reach a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 19,529 , 20,093 , 20,694 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 18,627 , 18,240 .
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our targets getting smashed in style!!!
We got the 2400 re-test after the bounce from 2376 support like we analysed. This followed with a ema5 cross and lock above 2400 opening 2423, which was hit perfectly and as stated before potentially 2438, currently left open. The potential targets are extended targets and ones that we don't chase unless from a dip.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2400 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2423 - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2459
POTEITNALLY 2475
BEARISH TARGETS
2376 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2360
2344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2344 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2313- 2298
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
US30 ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) (4H)US30
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 40,884 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 40,884 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 40,665 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 41,351 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 41,755 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 40,315 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 39,954, for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 19,044 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
MY GOAL : support level (1) at 40,315
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 41,351 , 41,755 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 40,315 , 39,954.
The Fed will reveal the possibility of cutting interest ratesWorld gold fees grew to become down with spot gold fees down 5.6 USD to 2,384.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures ultimate traded at $2,427.60 an ounce, down $1.70 from the brilliant spot.
The dollar`s recuperation has positioned stress at the yellow metal. Accordingly, the United States Dollar Index rose best approximately 0.3% to its maximum stage in extra than 2 weeks, making gold extra bearish for holders of different currencies.
Marex analyst Edward Meir, at the verge of recuperation for the greenback, records from China indicates that a lower in gold spending withinside the world's biggest gold customer additionally impacts the route of gold.
The state-of-the-art document indicates that gold intake in China reduced through 5.6% withinside the first 1/2 of of 2024 as call for for gold earrings reduced through 26.7% amid excessive fees. However, call for for Lis gold and cash skyrocketed.
Although gold is beneathneath stress from the greenback, specialists say that the treasured metal's decline has been "braked" way to issues approximately extended geopolitical tensions withinside the Middle East after the missile assault in Golan Heights.
Gold technical analysis : 31/7/2024Price movement on gold`s each day chart has remained inside a uneven variety among 2350 - 2500 because April. As mentioned in preceding analysis, it is able to retrace decrease earlier than it breaks to new highs. But momentum is pointing better in anticipation of a dovish Fed assembly, and in the event that they supply I suspect gold can be headed for $2500.
I doubt it's going to truly destroy to new highs thinking of how charges struggled above $2500 in April, May and July. But we will re-examine charges in the event that they get to or beyond $2500.
The 1-hour chart suggests charges appearance eager to increase their profits in advance of the FOMC assembly in a capacity `purchase the rumour, promote the fact` move. Bulls may want to are seeking dips at the 1-hour time frame at the same time as charges preserve above 2420 with 2480 creating a capacity upside goal over the close to term. A dovish Fed brings $2500 into focus.
NAS100USD (THE PRICE BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) ( 1D )NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 19,058 & 18,371 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 19,058 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 18,371 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 19,848 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 20,688 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 17,047 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 15,811 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 19,044 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 19,848 , 20,688 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 17,047 , 15,811.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our chart idea playing out inline with our plans to buy dips.
After hitting our 2400 target yesterday with no cross and lock; we got the rejection into 2376 weighted support. We then stated that we needed to see ema5 cross and lock below 2376 to open the range below or a rejection here will follow with a retest back upto 2400.
- This is playing out perfectly, as we got the test and rejection on 2376. This gave us the perfect bounce of over 200 pips and still heading towards 2400, which just fell short.
We will continue to see play between both these two weighted levels and will look for ema5 to cross and lock either level to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2400 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2423
POTENTIALLY 2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2459
POTEITNALLY 2475
BEARISH TARGETS
2376 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2360
2344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2344 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2313- 2298
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Market News Report - 28 July 2024It has been quite a massive turnaround for the yen recently, being the most bullish currency with +2% boosts across each of its major counterparts. The Swiss franc also had a good run, with milder gains for the euro and British pound this past week.
Let's dive deeper into each major market and how they look fundamentally and technically.
Market Overview
Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies.
US dollar (USD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
While the Fed is slowly winning the fight against inflation, it has suggested at least one rate cut this year. This may happen at the latest meeting on Wednesday. Still, STIR (short-term interest rate) markets have priced in a 91% chance of a hold.
Short-term interest rate (STIR) markets predict an 8% chance of this happening at the end of this month.
As with the start of any month, traders should also keep an eye on the latest unemployment rate and Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday.
The Dixie was pretty mild this past week, trading in a small range. Yet, the chart is still bearish, with the key support at 103.172 and key resistance at 106.490.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
With markets anticipating at least two rate cuts by the Fed for the remainder of the year, the bearish bias is justified. The latest CPI and NFP data also indicate a cooling of the US economy. Only geopolitical risks and bond market selling can affect this overall sentiment.
Euro (EUR)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently kept its interest rate unchanged. Christine Lagarde, the ECB President, also suggested slow economic growth in the Eurozone, with inflation expected to fluctuate around current levels. Furthermore, the President stated that September's interest rate meeting is 'wide open.'
However, markets see a 63% chance of a cut thanks to the ECB's overall dovish tone.
While surpassing major resistance, the break could have been more convincing. However, this market is still bullish. So, we should expect a retest at the recent level, with the new major resistance now at 1.09813 (not far from the former mark).
Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.06494.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The recent unchanged interest rate is the primary bearish driver. However, the ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path in this regard despite short-term interest rate (STIR) markets indicating a 63% chance of a rate cut in September.
Still, the central bank is data-dependent, where any inflation, growth, and wage improvements can lift the euro.
British pound (GBP)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of England (BoE) continues to show dovish tendencies. STIR markets now predict a 51% chance of a BoE rate cut next month.
While the British pound had firmer economic data in recent weeks (e.g., stronger Gross Domestic Product), it failed to rally higher. This is another solid bearish indication.
The pound has retraced quite a bit after exceeding the recent resistance. Is it slowly aligning with the fundamentals? Let's see.
The major support level is at 1.26156, while the major resistance level remains far ahead at 1.31424.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound. So, the British pound is likely to find sellers as expectations for the potential rate cut in August grow.
However, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data.
Japanese yen (JPY)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent decision to keep the interest rate unchanged is mildly bullish for the yen.
Governor Ueda also stated, "depending on economic, price, and financial data and information available at the time, there is a chance we could raise interest rates at the July meeting." Moreover, STIR markets see a 69% chance (up from 53%) of a rate hike in the meeting on Wednesday.
Unfortunately, JPY bulls should know that the BoJ does things rather slowly.
USD/JPY has been suddenly and surprisingly bearish in the past few weeks, breaking the major support mentioned in our last report.
The new support marker is now 151.858. Conversely, the key resistance (the yen's all-time high) is at 161.950, which is too rare for the price to test anytime soon.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish
In addition to the expected rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include more lowering in US Treasury yields (one reason for the recent stronger JPY).
Australian dollar (AUD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
Due to persisting inflation highlighted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the central bank has enough reasons to keep or hike the interest rate next month.
The CPI print this coming Tuesday is another consideration, with expectations of a positive outcome.
Finally, the Australian dollar shares an interesting correlation with China. Data indicating growth in this region (e.g., stimulus, new infrastructure projects, solid economic data) should lift the Aussie.
The Aussie has finally broken the major support mentioned in our previous report. This culminates in a dramatic u-turn and aligns with the currency's mild bullishness fundamentally.
The next area of interest for support is 0.64653. Meanwhile, the major resistance is far ahead at 0.67986.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
The hot CPI for Q1 and April has pressured the RBA to increase rates, which they recognised in their meeting last month. Also, the slightly higher unemployment rate result in the past week is another impetus. Furthermore, STIR markets anticipate a 33% chance of a hike.
Conversely, the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries because it is a pro-cyclical currency.
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Short-term outlook: neutral.
As predicted by STIR markets, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently maintained the interest rate at 5.5%.
In their latest meeting, "The Committee agreed that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive. The extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures".
In simple terms, the central bank is winning against inflation and is, thus, unlikely to raise rates.
Like its closest relative (AUD), the Kiwi has trended down heavily of late. It's now close to the major support at 0.58746. Meanwhile, the major resistance is at 0.62220, an area which it's unlikely to test soon.
Long-term outlook: neutral.
The central bank's recent dovish tilt amid improving inflation puts the Kiwi in a neutral bracket. Furthermore, STIR markets anticipate a 58% (up from 50%) chance of a rate cut next month.
On the flip side, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD.
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
Firstly, the Bank of Canada cut rates from 4.75% to 4.50% this past week. The Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), Macklem, had already suggested this would happen if inflation became stickier. Realistically, the BoC will drop rates slowly now or aggressively later.
It's also worth noting that The mortgage stress in Canada has forced the BoC to be dovish, which is another bearish catalyst.
While breaking two key resistance levels (the most recent being 1.37919), USD/CAD remains in a range mode. The latest resistance at 1.38462 is still an area to watch. On the other hand, the key support is at 1.35896.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it.
However, encouraging oil prices may redeem the Canadian dollar as a risk-sensitive currency, along with improvements in jobs, inflation, and Gross Domestic Product.
Swiss franc (CHF)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
With a 76% chance of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) cutting the interest rate recently, STIR markets were accurate. They also forecast a cut in September and December this year.
Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term.
However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis.
USD/CHF tested the major support area at 0.87296 but didn't have enough to break it confidently. So, there is a chance the market will be near this pathway soon. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is at 0.91582.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way.
Conclusion
This week, the new interest rate decisions for the yen and US dollar are among the most anticipated economic events. It will be interesting to see whether the former (given the upcoming new rate) can continue to crush other markets.
Nonetheless, the outlooks for each major currency remain consistent from the previous week. So, keep these in mind, but be prepared for surprises as always.
As always, be prepared for anything as a trader technically and fundamentally.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out once again.
As analysed and shared yesterday; we will see price play between both weighted levels until one locks with ema5 to confirm the next range.
Yesterday we stated that we had 2400 open gap and will need ema5 to lock above 2400 to confirm the range above. This target was hit perfectly today with no lock above confirming the rejection into 2376 weighted support. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock below 2376 to open the range below or a rejection here will follow with a retest back upto 2400.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2400 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2400 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2423
POTENTIALLY 2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2459
POTEITNALLY 2475
BEARISH TARGETS
2376 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2360
2344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2344 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2313- 2298
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX