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EURUSD ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL) ( 4H )EURUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under up ward pressure , until trade above turning level at 1.091 . Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to continues trading above a turning level at 1.091 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.098 , then if the price breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach a resistance level (2) at 1.102 , but stabilizing below this level it refers likely to reach a turning level . Downward zone: Provided until the prices breaking turning level by open 4h candle below it, indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.084 , then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.078 . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.091 , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.098 , 1.102 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.084 , 1.078 .
Long
by ArinaKarayi
1
USOIL ( BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )USOIL HELLO TRADERS currently price between two turning level by breaking each level determine the direction , for know the price trading above turning level (2) at 74.74 , remain this level it will be attempt to reach a turning level (1) at 76.25 . Tendency, the price inside two turning level around ( 74.74 & 76.25$) . Upward Zone : in order see increase , the price need breaking turning level (1) at 76.25 , by closing 4h candle above it , easily to reach a resistance level (1) around 78.53 , remain this level indicates the price trying to reach of a resistance level (2) at 80,75 . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) around 74.74 , the price dropping to reach a support level (1) at 72.82, to confirm downward , gold need breaking support level (1) by open 4h candle below it to reach a support level (2) at 71.81 . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 78.53 , 80.75 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 72.82 , 71.81 .
TVC:USOIL
by ArinaKarayi
US30 ( BREAKOUT ASCENDING CHANNEL ) (1D)US30 HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure, until trade below 40,025 . Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 40,025 , to reach resistance levels (1) at 41,219 , then as it stabilizes on the turning level we may see new resistance zones around 42.549 and 43,658 . Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 39,071, then breaking this level with a 1d or 4h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 38,099 . Corrective level :Price may make a correction before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 41,219 , 42,549 , 43,658 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 39,071 , 38,099 .
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by ArinaKarayi
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the charts today, with our plans to buy dips playing out perfectly!!! After getting the 1st level swing range bounce earlier this week, yesterday we stated that we were now looking for ema5 to lock below 2391 to open the full swing range and failure to lock below this level will provide another bounce to retest the levels above. - This played out perfectly with no lock below 2391, which followed with the perfect bounce and now heading towards 2416. We are looking for play between 2391 and 2416 on this 4H chart and will need ema5 lock to break and lock either level to confirm the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2467 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2467 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2491 POTENTIALLY 2510 BEARISH TARGETS 2438 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS 2416 - DONE 2391 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2391 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 (DONE) - 2345 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
ALNY, LTH & ZETA - The momentum may drive prices to new heights!Alnylam Pharmaceuticals The stock price has encountered several rejections around the 212 level, leading to subsequent corrections. After establishing a Double Bottom pattern, the price attempted to reverse the downward trend but was unable to do so, facing rejection at the 200 level. Consequently, the stock underwent another correction. Following this, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming a Box pattern for a while. In a surprising turn, the price gapped up significantly and broke through its former strong resistance area, remaining above it. Following a brief pullback, the price resumed its upward trajectory, supported by solid trading volume. Life Time Group Holdings Following a rejection around the 22.5 level in November 2021, the stock experienced a significant decline, dropping to just 8.75. Subsequently, the price began to rise again, eventually returning to its previous strong resistance level after a lengthy climb. However, it struggled to break through that barrier and faced another substantial drop. During this downturn, the stock hit a low around 11.3 and then navigated through numerous fluctuations, leading to the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the chart. After successfully breaking out of this pattern to the upside, the price surged and managed to overcome the resistance level. If the stock can hold onto this level, we might see even more upward momentum in the days ahead. Zeta Global Holdings The stock price had been consolidating within a Box Pattern before breaking free. Since that breakout, the stock has experienced a steady uptrend, marked by higher highs and higher lows. Amid this upward movement, a Cup & Handle pattern formed, signaling that the trend is likely to persist. Following the breakout, the price is now climbing higher, supported by a significant increase in trading volume.
NASDAQ:ALNYLong
by NaranjCapital
GBP/USD:Anticipating a Bearish Scenario for the British PoundFollowing our successful forecast on the British Pound (link below), we are now poised to take advantage of another shorting opportunity as the price retests the previous supply area. This retest suggests a possible bearish scenario on the horizon. Our analysis is further supported by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which indicates a notable increase in retail long positions. This influx of long positions among retail traders often precedes a bearish reversal, providing additional validation for our anticipated market movement. As the British Pound retests the supply area, we foresee a potential new bearish impulse forming. This aligns with our strategic outlook, where we aim to capitalize on the expected downward momentum. The convergence of technical analysis and trader sentiment data strengthens our confidence in this bearish forecast. In summary, we are preparing for a bearish scenario for the British Pound, leveraging the retest of the supply area and the insights gained from the COT report. This approach ensures we remain well-positioned to take advantage of the expected market movements. Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis. Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6B1!Short
by FOREXN1
3
SPX500USD ( TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL(1) ) ( 4H )SPX500USD HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under bullish pressure , until the price trading above support level (1) at 5,206 . Upward Zone : until the price trading above 5,206 , refers active upward zone , currently the price trading above turning level at 5,267 , to rising inside resistance zone between 5,344 & 5,411 , first thing for this rising reach of a resistance level (1) at 5,344 , by closing 4h candle above it easily reach next level at 5,411 , to confirm a rising , the price should be breaking resistance zone because in this zone have been many sales before . Downward Zone: should the price reserve and breaking turning level at 5,267 , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 5,206 , to confirm true decline , the price it will be breaking 5,267 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 5,124 , called support zone have been buying increase in this zone before . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 5,267 & 5,206 , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5,344 , 5,411 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 5,206 , 5,124 .
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD ( INSIDE DESCINDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H) NAS100USD HELLO TRADERS in recent days , prices have fallen sharply , with the issuance of shares of several companies and losses . Tendency, the price is under bullish pressure , until the price trading above turning level at 18,244 . RESISTANCE ZONE : in order to see an increase , as long as trading and stabilizing above turning level at 18,244 , to support rising to reach of a resistance level (1) at 18,698 , to confirm a rising trading , price should be closing 1h or 4h candle above resistance level (1) to reach a resistance level (2) at 19,112 , this two level called resistance zone , there have been many sales in this zone before , may be the price reserve descending channel before rising . SUPPORT ZONE : should the price reserve and breaking turning level , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 17,435 , to confirm downward , the price it will be breaking 17,435 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 17,047 , to reach support level (3) at 16,232 , the price should be stabilizing below 17,047 , there have been many buying in this zone before . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 18,244 , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,698 ,19,112 , 19,546 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 17,435 , 17,047 , 16,232 .
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) (4H)XAUUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under upward pressure , until the price trading above support level (1) at 2,367$. Upward Zone : until the price trading above support level (1) , indicates further up trading , currently the price trading above turning level at 2,391 , to support reach of a resistance level (1) around 2,420$ , to confirm upward , price need breaking by close 4h candle above 2,420$ to reach resistance level (2) at 2,440$ , may be the price reserve and breaking turning level to reaching a support level (1) at 2,367$ , after starting a upward . Downward Zone: should the price reserve and breaking turning level , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 2,367$ , to confirm downward , the price it will be breaking 2,367$ , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 2,337$ . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 2,391$ & 2,367$ , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,420$, 2,440$ , 2,460$. SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,367$ , 2,337$ , 2,303$.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
DOGEUSDT ( STABILIZING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )DOGEUSDT HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.102 . TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 0.102 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) . RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 0.115 and 0.128 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 0.102 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 0.115 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 0.128 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 0.141 , selling have already increase in this zone . SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 0.091 & 0.080 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 0.091 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 0.080 CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 0.102, before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.56 , 0.61 , 0.65 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.44 , 0.39 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
2
XRPUSDT ( BREKOUT ASCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)XRPUSDT HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.51 . TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 0.51 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) . RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 0.56 and 0.61 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 0.51 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 0.56 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 0.61 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 0.65 , selling have already increase in this zone . SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 0.44 & 0.39 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 0.44 , then breaking this level by open 4h or 1h candle below this easily to touch a support level (2) at 0.39 . CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 0.51, before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.56 , 0.61 , 0.65 . SUPPORT LEVEL :0.44 ,0.39 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
11
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, After completing the swing range activation from our 1H chart, please now also review our 4H chart idea. The 4H chart idea also had a swing range test and gave the swing, but off the back of a volatile candle and didn't allow for the cross and lock confirmation due to momentum. The swing gave the bounce and an extended push into 2416 Goldturn resistance, followed with the rejection into 2391. We are now looking for ema5 to lock below 2391 to open the full swing range. Failure to lock below this level will provide another bounce to retest the levels above. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2467 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2467 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2491 POTENTIALLY 2510 BEARISH TARGETS 2438 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS 2416 - DONE 2391 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2391 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 (DONE) - 2345 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
GOLD ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )XAUUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 2,420$. Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 2,420$ , to reach resistance levels (1) around 2,440$ , then breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 2,460$ , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 2,82$ ,a strong resistance level selling have already in crease this level . Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,391$, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,367$ , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 2,420$ , before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,440$, 2,460$ , 2,482$. SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,391$ , 2,367$ , 2,337$.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
GBPJPY ( UNDER STRONG DOWNWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )GBPJPY HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 183.919 . TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 183.919 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) . RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 191.007 and 198.018 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 183.919 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 191.007 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 198.018 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 203.869 , selling have already increase in this zone . SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 180.401 & 177.400 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 180.401 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 177.400 . CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 183.919 , before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 191.007 , 198.018, 203.869 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 180.401 , 177.400 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
1
NAS100USD ( BREAKOUT DESCINDING & ASCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )NAS100USD Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 18,244 . TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 18,244 , so as long as the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) . RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 18,698 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking turning level , indicates have good selling in this level . RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 19,112 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) . SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 17,435, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level , indicates have good buying in this level . SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 17,047 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) . CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 18,244 , before dropping . PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 18.037 , my be the price first thing corrective turning level , as long as until the price trade below turning level at 18,244 , it will be trying to reach support level (1) , then breaking by open 4h or 1h candle below this level , indicates to reach a support level (1) , if the price breaking turning level by open 4h or 1h candle easily to reach of resistance level (1) . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 18,698 , 19,112 . SUPPORT LEVEL :17,435 ,18,239 .
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
1
Fed will pick up the pace, but market pricing looks aggressive July's friendly jobs report led to market fears of a looming recession and the need for a strong Federal Reserve response. However, the latest ISM services report shows that the situation looks good with the economy growing The ISM Service Index shows no immediate inferred threat The ISM U.S. Manufacturing Products Index rose to 51.4 from 48.8, above the consensus of 51.0. New orders jumped to 52.4 from 47.3 while work returned to growth territory at 51.1 from 46.1. The Fed will cut interest rates faster but the current market price looks very positive We could see the Fed give in to some of the market demands and make at least one, maybe two 50 basis point moves
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our 1h chart idea playing out, as analysed. Yesterday we stated that we have a candle body close above 2438 leaving a gap open to 2458 and ema5 lock will further confirm this. - This target was hit. No further cross and lock above 2458, which confirmed the rejection. We also stated that we have 2438 and 2423 as bearish support targets and will need a cross and lock below 2423 to open 2407 and 2394. A further ema5 lock below 2394 will open the swing range for the extended swing. - This also played out perfectly completing all the bearish targets and then followed with the swing range. The swing range did exactly what it says on the tin, by providing the perfect extended swing, inline with our plans to buy dips - BOOOOOOM!!!!! Price is back in the range and therefore all weighted levels are active again and can be tracked level to level using the chart ideas shared. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2458 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2475 POTENTIALLY 2491 BEARISH TARGETS 2438 - DONE 2423 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2423 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2407 - DONE 2394 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2394 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2369 - 2359 SWING ACTION NICELY COMPLETE!! As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
Market News Report - 04 August 2024USD/JPY continues its long-overdue downward spiral as it has done in the past week. Speaking of USD, the greenback suffered across the board (somewhat predicted in our last report) due to an unchanging interest rate and poor employment figures. Other notable gainers in the past week include the Swiss franc and euro. Let’s see how these and other markets may perform fundamentally and technically this week. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: bearish. The Fed's latest meeting (where they kept the interest rate unchanged) gave away a few dovish clues. Most notable is the potential for a rate cut next month, with STIR (short-term interest rate) markets predicting a 68% chance of this happening. A slight rise in the unemployment rate in the past week further adds to the bearish bias. The DXY chart aligns perfectly with the fundamentals, having just broken a recent key support. However, the break wasn’t strong enough, so 103.172 is still an area of interest for major support. Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 106.490 and will likely remain untouched for some time. Long-term outlook: bearish. Markets anticipate at least two rate cuts before the year ends. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and jobs data indicate a cooling of the US economy, another bearish sign. Only geopolitical risks and bond market selling can affect this overall sentiment. So, we cannot rule out a bullish fight for the dollar, but it is unlikely to happen, at least quickly. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently kept its interest rate unchanged. Christine Lagarde, the ECB President, also suggested slow economic growth in the Eurozone, with inflation expected to fluctuate around current levels. Furthermore, the President stated that September's interest rate meeting is 'wide open.' However, thanks to the ECB's overall dovish tone, markets see a 78% chance (up from 63% last week) of a cut. After falling slightly, the euro is looking to test the new major resistance, now at 1.09813 (not far from the former mark). Meanwhile, the key support area lies far below at 1.06494. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The recent unchanged interest rate is the primary bearish driver. However, the ECB hasn't committed to a specific future path in this regard. Still, the central bank is data-dependent, and any improvement in inflation, growth, and wages can lift the euro. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The folks at the Bank of England (BoE) cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at the 01 August 2024 meeting. However, they remain data-dependent and have no set future path. Still, STIR markets are currently pricing an additional two cuts for the remainder of 2024. Meanwhile, the pound is down on the charts, which shouldn’t be surprising given the fundamentals. The key support, at 1.26156, is not too distant. On the other hand, the key resistance is so far away (at 1.31424) that you have to zoom out your charts. In simple terms, we are bearish here. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound. However, STIR markets predict a rate hold next month. Furthermore, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, labour, economic growth). Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate is bullish for the yen. However, STIR markets STIR markets expect a hold (95% probability) at the next meeting (but one hike before the year ends). Declining US Treasury yields and the heightened political tension in the Middle East have accelerated the recent huge down move in USD/JPY. Unsurprisingly, USD/JPY has confidently broken another major support. Interestingly, the new marker is now 146.482, a level which has been reached. However, this week should determine if the market stalls around this area or breaks it. Meanwhile, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about. Long-term outlook: weak bullish In addition to the recent rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include lower US Treasury yields. The Bank of Japan is actively intervening in the forex markets, contributing to the JPY's upside. However, having moved quite a distance, a retracement is imminent. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. Due to persisting inflation highlighted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the central bank has enough reasons to keep or hike the interest rate on Tuesday. On the flip side, markets suggest at least one rate cut in 2024 (initially set for 2025). However, the recent rise in China's share prices, which correlates with the Aussie, has been positive for the currency. While trading mildly in the past week, the Aussie is nearly testing the major support at 0.64653. Meanwhile, the major resistance is far ahead at 0.67986. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The hot CPI for Q1 and April has pressured the RBA to increase rates, which they recognised in their meeting last month. Also, the slightly higher unemployment rate from the past few weeks is another impetus. While STIR markets anticipate a 33% chance of a hike, this has been priced out. Also, keep in mind that the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries because it is a pro-cyclical currency. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: neutral. As predicted by STIR markets, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently maintained the interest rate at 5.5%. In their latest meeting, “The Committee agreed that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive. The extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures”. In simple terms, the central bank is winning against inflation and is, thus, unlikely to raise rates. NZD traders should diarise New Zealand's upcoming unemployment rate on Wednesday. Unlike its closest relative (AUD), the Kiwi has retraced upwards. However, it’s still within a largely bearish move. The primary support lies at 0.58524. Meanwhile, the major resistance is at 0.62220, an area which it’s unlikely to test soon. Long-term outlook: neutral. The central bank's recent dovish tilt amid improving inflation puts the Kiwi in a neutral bracket. Furthermore, STIR markets anticipate a 65% (up from 58%) chance of a rate cut next month. On the flip side, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. Firstly, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut rates from 4.75% to 4.50% not so long ago. The Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), Macklem, had already suggested this would happen if inflation became stickier. Realistically, the BoC will drop rates slowly now or aggressively later. It's also worth noting that the mortgage stress in Canada has forced the BoC to be dovish, another bearish catalyst. Watch for the new unemployment figure for CAD on Friday. After a long while in range mode, USD/CAD is inclined more bullishly. It only just broke the recent major resistance (at 1.38463). The next target, which is quite nearby, is at 1.38991. On the other hand, the key support lies far down at 1.35896. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Moreover, STIR markets see two rate cuts for the BoC this year. The mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it. However, encouraging oil prices may redeem the Canadian dollar as a risk-sensitive currency, along with improvements in jobs, inflation, and Gross Domestic Product. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: bearish. STIR markets forecast a rate cut in September (a 92% chance) and December this year. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term. However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis. Watch for the new unemployment figure for CHF on Tuesday. USD/CHF was among the biggest losers (dropping 1.71%), confidently breaking the last major support. We mentioned the likelihood of this happening. The new key support area to consider is now 0.85510. Meanwhile, the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way. Conclusion The most anticipated economic events this week include the unemployment for NZD, CAD, and CHF, along with the RBA's interest decision. Nonetheless, the fundamental outlooks for each major currency remain consistent from the previous week. However, see if these match the technical side and leave room for surprises.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
GOLD ( SENSITIVE WEEKLY ) (1D)XAUUSD HELLO TRADERS Fundamental : due to the fight in the middle east , gold prices complete instability . Tendency, the price under bullish pressure , until trade below 2,427$ . Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, as long as the price trade turning level at 2,427$, it indicates a reach of resistance levels (1) at 2,482$ , then as it stabilizes on the turning level we may see new resistance zones around 2,520$ and 2,560$ . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level by open 1d candle below this level , it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,364$, then stabilizing below this level is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,297 . Corrective Level :Price may make a correction at 2,427$ , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,482$ , 2,520$ , 2,560$ . SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,364$ , 2,297$ .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY ( BREAKOUT DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)USDJPY HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 144.502. Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 144.502 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 149.479 , then breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 154.775 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 158.627 a strong resistance level selling have already in crease this level . Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 140.377, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 137.684 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 144.502 , before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 149.479 , 154.775 , 158.627 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 140.377 , 137.684 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
GBPUSD ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)GBPUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below turning level at 1.281 . Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to break the turning level at 1.281 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.285 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 1.293 , then stabilizing above resistance level (2) indicates to reach of a resistance level (3) at 1.303 a strong resistance level inside strong supply zone . Downward Zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.270, then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.262 , this two level called support zone it is very strong zone because inside accumulation area . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.281 , before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.285 , 1.293 , 1.303 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.270 , 1.262 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
USD/CHF: Looking For a Strategic Long PositionUSD/CHF is approaching a critical demand zone, which we have identified as an area of interest for initiating a long position. This potential setup aligns with the current condition of the DXY Index, which is in an oversold state, suggesting a likely upward correction. To capitalize on this opportunity, we are placing a buy limit order within this demand area. Our strategy is further bolstered by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals a predominance of short positions among retail traders. This contrarian indicator supports our bullish outlook, as retail traders are often on the wrong side of the market. Our Supply and Demand approach has consistently provided us with reliable entry and exit points. In this case, the demand zone around the current price level presents a promising entry point for a long position. By combining this approach with the oversold condition of the DXY Index and the COT report's insights, we anticipate a favorable risk-reward scenario. Our analysis also considers seasonal trends and market sentiment. Historically, similar conditions have led to significant bullish movements in USD/CHF. We expect the price to find support in the demand zone and subsequently initiate a new bullish impulse. As we set our buy limit order, we are looking for confirmation through price action and market dynamics. If the price reacts positively within the demand zone, it will reinforce our decision to go long. We will continue to monitor the market closely, ready to adjust our strategy as new data and price movements unfold. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USDCHF in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3