IOTX coin, highlighting the head and shoulders pattern and...Analysis of IOTX Coin: Head and Shoulders Pattern
Current Pattern:
The IOTX coin is currently exhibiting a head and shoulders pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal signal. This pattern consists of three peaks: the middle peak (head) being higher than the two outer peaks (shoulders).
Resistance Level:
We are now approaching a key resistance level. If the price gets rejected at this resistance, we could see a continuation of the bearish trend.
Potential Scenario:
• Bearish Reversal:
Given the head and shoulders pattern, if the price fails to break above the resistance, it is likely that we will see a bearish reversal.
• Price Target:
Should the price get rejected from the resistance, the first support level to watch is the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. If this level is breached, the next significant support level would be the lower bound from recent price actions.
Summary:
• Pattern: Head and Shoulders (Bearish)
• Resistance Level: Current price level, acting as a neckline.
• Support Levels:
• Initial Support: The neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
• Further Support: Lower historical support level from recent price actions.
Trading Strategy:
• Monitor the Resistance: Watch for price action around the current resistance level.
• Potential Rejection: If rejected, look for the price to move towards the neckline and potentially lower support levels.
• Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Consider setting stop-loss orders just above the resistance level and take-profit orders around the support levels.
Conclusion:
The IOTX coin is showing signs of a bearish head and shoulders pattern. Caution is advised as the price approaches the resistance level. If rejected, prepare for potential downward movement towards the initial support level and beyond.
This post should effectively communicate your analysis and trading strategy for the IOTX coin based on the current head and shoulders pattern and the potential rejection from the resistance level.
When trading IoTeX (IOTX) or any cryptocurrency, be cautious. All trades are made at your own risk and responsibility. Make sure to thoroughly research and consider your financial situation before making any decisions. BINANCE:IOTXUSDT
Tradingideas
Market News Report - 14 July 2024After many months of being beaten, the Japanese yen was the surprising dominant force in forex this past week. The British pound also enjoyed notable gains against other markets despite maintaining a bearish fundamental outlook.
Here's a recap of how the major markets performed on the charts and fundamentally to prepare yourself for the next week.
Market Overview
Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies.
US dollar (USD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Fed is slowly winning the fight against inflation, with the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data coming at a lower-than-expected rate of 3%)
Despite this, the Fed has suggested at least one rate cut this year. Short-term interest rate (STIR) markets predict an 11% chance of this happening at the end of this month.
The news highlight to consider this week includes new Retail Sales data.
The 'Dixie' has made a complete u-turn in the past few weeks, aligning with recent fundamental changes. It's now very close to testing the major support level at 103.993, while the major resistance is far away at 106.490. So, things look bearish here.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
With markets anticipating at least two rate cuts by the Fed for the remainder of the year, the bearish bias is justified. The latest CPI and NFP data also indicate a cooling of the US economy. Only geopolitical risks and bond market selling can affect this overall sentiment.
Euro (EUR)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
This week, STIR markets have priced in a hawkish move in the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision. On the other hand, the ECB's President, Christine Lagarde, recently hinted at a 'strong likelihood' of 'dialling back.'
While the euro has benefitted from USD weakness, it may still dip depending on the US inflation story.
As mentioned in our last report, the euro is getting closer to reaching the major resistance at 1.09160. (While the fundamentals point to the bearish side), dollar weakness is taking precedence for the euro, moving it far away from the major support level at 1.06494.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The euro may be a bullish candidate over time thanks to USD weakness, improving inflation, and the recent French elections. Still, the ECB is the main bearish driver unless they hold the interest rate at its current level for now.
British pound (GBP)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of England (BoE) continues to show dovish tendencies. STIR markets now predict a 56% chance of a BoE rate cut next month.
Anticipate several high-impact news events for the British pound this week: inflation rate, CPI, and Retail Sales. Any weakness in either will most likely send GBP lower.
Like its closest rival, the euro, the British pound is quite bullish. This currency went one extra by breaking the recent major resistance with ease. The next target (last reached a year ago) is some distance at 1.31424. Meanwhile, the new support area is 1.26156, which the pound won't be near to anytime soon.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound. So, the British pound is likely to find sellers as expectations for the potential rate cut in August grow.
Still, the BoE has clarified that the monetary policy should be restrictive indefinitely until inflation is properly fixed. So, two-way risks remain based on upcoming economic data.
Japanese yen (JPY)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent decision to keep the interest rate unchanged is mildly bullish for the yen.
Governor Ueda also stated, "depending on economic, price, and financial data and information available at the time, there is a chance we could raise interest rates at the July meeting."
Moreover, STIR markets see a 60% chance of a rate hike in the meeting at the end of July.
Unfortunately, JPY bulls should know that the BoJ does things rather slowly.
Nonetheless, keep an eye on Friday's year-on-year inflation rate for JPY.
After weeks of making high after high (including reaching an all-time high), USD/JPY dropped drastically, which was a long-overdue move. Still, the bulls haven't let up, with the key support level quite far at 154.546. On the other hand, the key resistance is at 161.950.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish
In addition to the expected rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include a potential lowering in US Treasury yields.
Given the yen's recent overdue recovery on the charts, expect Japan's Ministry of Finance to intervene in the near future to save the currency.
Australian dollar (AUD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
Due to persisting inflation highlighted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the central bank has enough reasons to keep or hike the interest rate next month.
The CPI print at the end of July is another consideration, with expectations of a positive outcome.
Finally, the Australian dollar shares an interesting correlation with China. Data indicating growth in this region (e.g., stimulus, new infrastructure projects, solid economic data) should lift the Aussie.
The Aussie will look to reach as close to the major resistance of 0.68711 as possible, another confirmation of the bullish outlook. Meanwhile, the major support remains far below at 0.65761, an area it is unlikely to visit anytime soon.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
The hot CPI for Q1 and April has pressured the RBA to increase rates, which they recognised in their meeting last month. Furthermore, STIR markets anticipate a 33% chance of a hike.
Conversely, the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries because it is a pro-cyclical currency.
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Short-term outlook: neutral.
As predicted by STIR markets, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept the interest rate consistent at 5.5% early last week.
In their latest meeting, "The Committee agreed that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive. The extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures".
In simple terms, the central bank is winning against inflation and is, thus, unlikely to raise rates.
Watch out for the new CPI print on Tuesday, where a high number would be bullish for the New Zealand dollar.
Unlike its closest relative (AUD), the Kiwi traded mildly in the past week, moving slightly away from the 0.62220 key resistance. Given the key support being considerably lower at 0.58746, this market remains well on the upside.
Long-term outlook: neutral.
The central bank's recent dovish tilt amid improving inflation puts the Kiwi in a neutral bracket. Furthermore, STIR markets anticipate a 50/50 chance of a rate cut next month.
On the flip side, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD.
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR markets indicate a 50/50 chance for the Bank of Canada to cut rates on 24 July 2024. The Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), Macklem, has also suggested this would happen if inflation became stickier. Realistically, the BoC will drop rates slowly now or aggressively later.
Strangely, however, recent CPI numbers were all positive for the Canadian dollar. Still, based on the recent weak labour data, we saw a slowing jobs market.
Diarise the new year-on-year inflation rate this week for CAD.
USD/CAD remains in full-on range mode, as it has done over the past few weeks. The major support at 1.35896 has been strong despite being only breached.
On the other hand, the key resistance is at 1.37919.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point, with Macklem himself saying it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Interestingly, the BoC faces mortgage stress, which is a major factor in this interest rate policy.
We should also consider other bearish catalysts associated with CAD, like general fundamental data and its status as a risk-sensitive currency.
However, encouraging oil prices may redeem the Canadian dollar.
Swiss franc (CHF)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
With a 76% chance of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) cutting the interest rate recently, STIR markets were accurate. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term.
However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like the Middle East crisis.
Following a considerable rise from the key support at 0.88268, USD/CHF has retraced quite a bit. Meanwhile, the key resistance lies at 0.91582. This market can go either way with such a wide gap between the two points. However, it's best to seek other pairs where CHF has a weaker outlook than its quote or base currency.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way.
Conclusion
The Japanese yen's chart is slowly aligning with its fundamentals. It will also be intriguing to see how the British pound performs this week. As always, expect the unexpected with these and other forex pairs - so long as you are prepared with what's coming technically and fundamentally.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We had price play between both weighted levels like we stated yesterday with 2401 Goldturn test with no cross and lock confirming the rejection bounce into 2414. This then followed with ema5 cross and lock above 2414 Goldturn opening 2426 and 2440.
- This played out perfectly, with all levels in this range now complete, with just a point shy of 2440, which can be considered filled.
We are now looking for a 2440 full retest and need ema5 to lock above 2440 to confirm the range above. Failure to lock above 2440 Goldturn, will follow with a rejection into the next Goldturn weighted support.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULISH TARGET
2414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETT
2426 - DONE
2440 - JUST ABOUT DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2440 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETT
2449
2460
BEARISH TARGETS
2401 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2401 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2388
2372
2359
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2359 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2344 - 2331
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price test 2414 Goldturn and also between two weighted level range. We have 2414 Goldturn resistance and 2401 Goldturn support weighted levels. We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We will need ema5 to lock above 2414 to confirm the range above. We also have 2388 and 2372, as the retracement area and will need ema5 lock below this to open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULISH TARGET
2414
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETT
2426
2440
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2440 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETT
2449
2460
BEARISH TARGETS
2401
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2401 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2388
2372
2359
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2359 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2344 - 2331
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2416 Goldturn resistance and 2397, as Goldturn support.
We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We have 2416 open gap and will need ema5 to lock above 2416 to confirm the range above. We also have 2397, as the weighted support area and will need ema5 lock below this level to open the retracement range below. A break below will open the swing range for the extended swing.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2425
2437
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2437 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2449
2460
BEARISH TARGETS
2397
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2382
2361
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2361 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2330 - 2316
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure.
Last week we had the cross and lock above 2355 leaving a gap to 2405.
- This gap was completed perfectly, as analysed by us.
We now have a candle body close gap above 2405 leaving a gap to 2465 and will need EMA5 lock to further confirm this.
We have marked the charts with our unique weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our mid to longer term weekly chart idea.
Last week we advised that we are now seeing price head towards the channel top with a long range/term target at 2434 above the channel and 2505 long range axis target. We also stated that we will keep in mind the potential for temporary short term resistance at the channel top.
- This played out perfectly, just like we stated!!
We got the hit on the channel top like we analysed and now potentially seeing some resistance like we said.
We now also have the gap still remaining at 2434 but just need to keep in mind the conflicting resistance before with the channel top. We will also need to look for ema5 to lock above 2434 to open the long range Axis target 2505.
The levels within the channel will provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great finish to the week with all our chart ideas playing out perfectly and, as per our daily updates throughout the week.
After tracking the move down earlier this week and then riding it up inline with our plans to buy dips, we finished off yesterday with needing to see see ema5 cross and lock above 2403 weighted Goldturn to open 2414 and 2425.
- This played out perfectly today for the perfect ride up completing this range. We had a correctional move down into 2390 changing previous resistance to support for another bounce completing 2414 once again and now heading for the 2425 test again. DOUBLE BUBBLE ACTION!!!
BULLISH TARGET
2390 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2403 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2414 - DONE
2425 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2378 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2364 - DONE
2355 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the chart once again completing our targets in true level to level fashion.
After completing 2378 yesterday; we stated that we needed to see ema5 lock above 2378 to open 2390 and the range above. We got the ema5 cross and lock, followed with 2390 and 2403 HIT.
We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2403 weighted Goldturn to open 2414 and 2425. We already have a candle body close gap above 2403 opening 2414. Ema5 will solidify this with the extended 2425 target aswell.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they played out, with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2390 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2403 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2414
2425
BEARISH TARGETS
2378 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2364 - DONE
2355 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2355 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2333 - 2322
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
75: Key Levels Amidst Biofuel Plant Construction HaltShell (SHEL) is navigating significant financial and operational challenges. The company recently announced a delay in the construction of its biofuel plant in Rotterdam, which was initially expected to be operational this year but has now been postponed to 2030. This delay has resulted in a financial setback of at least €554 million, potentially escalating to nearly €1 billion, due to technical challenges and unfavorable market conditions.
Given this backdrop, Shell's stock is currently rejecting the key level at 34.315. Here’s what traders should watch:
Bearish Scenario: If Shell loses the current low, we could see a trend change. The new area of interest will be around 32.65, where we anticipate potential support. This level becomes crucial as the market absorbs the financial impact of the delayed biofuel plant and Shell’s strategic adjustments.
Bullish Scenario: If Shell regains the high at 34.315, we should monitor for new highs above 34.745. In this case, we are targeting a high around 36.75, which could sweep liquidity from a monthly high. This bullish momentum could be driven by positive market reactions to any new strategic initiatives Shell undertakes to mitigate the impact of the delay and to capitalize on future regulatory changes in the aviation fuel sector.
The recent halt in the biofuel plant construction adds a layer of complexity to Shell's stock movement. Investors should closely watch these critical levels for potential trading opportunities, considering the broader implications of Shell's operational challenges and market dynamics.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
PIP-TASTIC day on the charts once again!!!
After yesterdays challenge on the retracement range, we stated that we needed to see ema5 lock below this level to open the swing range or a failure to lock below will confirm rejection for a re-test on the Goldturns above.
- This played out perfectly with 2378 HIT today completing this range. We now need to see ema5 lock above 2378 to open 2390. We already have a candle body close gap open to 2390 but ema5 lock will solidify it.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they played out, with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2403
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2414
2425
BEARISH TARGETS
2378 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2364 - DONE
2355 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2355 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2333 - 2322
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
7/10 To Soar or Not to Soar Is the Question .GREATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT MORNING YALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL!!!!!
😏 😏 😏
07/10/2024
**News** ON THE BLOCK TODAY!!!!
**~~Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary)~~**
10:00 AM ET
***EIA Petroleum Status Report***
10:30 AM ET
***Midnight*** **CONSENTRATED CONSOLIDATION **
*#ES 5634.25*
*#NQ 20709.50*
💰 **BUYSIDE**💰
***#ES 5646.5***.--->Above this level we look for --->....
🟢 5653.25
🟢 5676.85
🟢 5694.75
🟢 5711.25
🟢 5727.50
🟢 5738.25
***#NQ 20772.00***...---> Above this level we look for-->
🟢 20788.50
🟢 20813.00
🟢 20843.75
🟢 20878.00
🟢 20902.25
🟢 20933.25
💰 **SELLSIDE**💰
***#ES 5630***--- Below this level and we look for
🔴 5616.75
🔴 5604
🔴 5580
🔴 5564.50
🔴 5550.25
***#NQ 20696.50***---> Below this level and we look for
🔴 20685
🔴 20656
🔴 20639
🔴 20619
🔴 20594
Gold Route Map UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today, buying dips inline with our plans.
We saw range-bound movement today with a replay of yesterday by getting another test on the retracement range followed with the bounce, as planned.
Still no lock below the retracement range. We will need to see ema5 lock below this level to open the swing range or a failure to lock below will see a re-test on the Goldturns above like we saw today.
We will continue to see play between both 2355 and 2378 weighted level until one breaks with ema5 lock to confirm the next range to track and trade.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they played out, with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2403
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2414
2425
BEARISH TARGETS
2378 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2364 - DONE
2355 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2355 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2333 - 2322
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analyzing NMR Bullish Symmetrical Pattern: Breakout ForecastThe NMRUSD pair holds strong support at $11.80, presenting significant potential for a bullish move. If this support level holds, we can expect a notable gain. However, if this support breaks, the next strong support is at $10.66, where a bounce is anticipated due to the proximity of a bull run and the nearing approval of the ETH ETF. We can expect market bullishness in Q4 2024, accompanied by high volatility and substantial rises typical of bull runs.
Anticipated Bull Run Targets:
Based on historical data and calculations, NMRUSD's minimum target during the bull run is projected at $360. If it can flip the $360 resistance by February 2025, we might see a maximum target of $1000. NMRUSD, listed in 2017, has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern expected to break out during the 2025 bull run. Historically, prices have shown unexpected pumps during bull markets, and similar volatility is expected this time.
Strategic Long Position Management:
Considering the resistance zones and the potential pattern breakout, it is crucial to maintain active trades while monitoring these levels. Plan to exit long positions around March or November 2025, as the bull run is likely to end during this period.
For continuous updates and in-depth analysis, follow us on TradingView to stay ahead with our trading ideas and market insights.
Market News Report - 07 July 2024The US dollar fell significantly this past week, a stark contrast to the one prior. As is often the case at the start of any month, the NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) was a chief talking point, which unfortunately went against the greenback. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues its losing streak despite favourable fundamentals.
In our latest report, let's cover these pairs and the rest of the FX market.
Market Overview
Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies.
US dollar (USD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
Our short-term outlook has changed from 'weak bearish' to a confident 'bearish.' As mentioned in last week's overview, news concerning NFP and the ISM (Institute for Supply Management) index resulted negatively.
Furthermore, the latest month-on-month CPI (Consumer Price Index) came in lower than expected. The Federal Reserve's hawkish tone remains another bearish driver.
The key news to diarise concerning USD is the new inflation rate on Friday.
The chart goes along with the above sentiment, with the 'Dixie' breaking multiple minor support levels this past week. Still, the major support level is 103.993, while the major resistance is 106.490.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
With markets anticipating at least two rate cuts by the Fed for the remainder of the year, the bearish bias is justified. The latest CPI and NFP data also add fuel to this fire. Only geopolitical risks and bond market selling can affect this overall sentiment.
Euro (EUR)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
STIR (short-term interest rate markets) have priced in a hawkish move in the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision next week. Finally, the ECB's President, Christine Lagarde, hinted at a 'strong likelihood' of 'dialling back.'
As stated in our last report, the French elections can also affect the euro.
After nearing major support at 1.06494 for a few weeks, the euro is now firmly on its way to test the opposite major resistance at 1.09160. This was mainly caused by USD weakness. Based on this recent price action, the market is more likely to move in the north instead of the south direction.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The interest rate is the primary bearish driver for the euro. Yet, any improvement in fundamentals like wage data can lift the euro over time.
British pound (GBP)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of England (BoE) continues to show dovish tendencies, with STIR (short-term interest rate) markets envisioning a 43% chance of a BoE rate cut next month. Furthermore, a negative result is forecasted for the upcoming GDP data on Thursday.
Surprisingly, the GBP/USD chart sings a different tune thanks to USD bearishness. The price is close to testing the key resistance at 1.28606 while unlikely to reach the key support far below at 1.24457 anytime soon.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
The interest rate is the chief bearish driver for the pound amid an unfavorable economic outlook. So, GBP is likely to find sellers as expectations for the potential rate cut in August grow.
Japanese yen (JPY)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to keep the interest rate unchanged is mildly bullish for the yen.
Governor Ueda also stated, "depending on economic, price, and financial data and information available at the time, there is a chance we could raise interest rates at the July meeting." Moreover, STIR markets see a 60% chance of a rate hike in the meeting at the end of July.
Unfortunately, JPY bulls should know that the BoJ does things rather slowly, partly explaining why the yen chart goes against the fundamental outlook.
USD/JPY made another all-time high in the past week. While the new resistance (of 161.950) is not a major level, it's one to watch out for going forward. Ultimately, this market is very bullish, and it would take many months to reach the key support area at 154.546.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish
Aside from the expected rate hike, other bullish catalysts for the yen include a potential lowering in US Treasury yields.
Given the yen's continued beating on the charts, expect Japan's Ministry of Finance to intervene in the near future to save the currency.
Australian dollar (AUD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
Due to persisting inflation highlighted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), the central bank has enough reasons to keep or hike the interest rate next month.
The CPI print at the end of July is another consideration, with expectations of a positive outcome.
Finally, the Australian dollar shares an interesting correlation with China. Data indicating growth in this region (e.g., stimulus, new infrastructure projects, solid economic data) should lift the Aussie.
After some sideways movements since May, the Aussie finally broke the major resistance mentioned last week (0.67141). The next target (last reached at the end of last year) lies ahead at 0.68711. Meanwhile, the major support remains far below at 0.65761.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
The hot CPI for Q1 and April has pressured the RBA to increase rates, which they recognised in their meeting last month. Furthermore, STIR markets anticipate a 33% chance of a hike.
On the other hand, the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries because it is a pro-cyclical currency.
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is battling inflation like its neighbouring central bank. So, there is an incentive to be hawkish. However, STIR markets see a 93% chance of a rate hold at the next decision meeting on Tuesday.
The Kiwi has begun its overdue u-turn on the charts following a mild drop in prior weeks. 0.62220 is the major resistance to closely watch, while the key support remains at a level considerably lower at 0.58746.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
The hawkish stance suggested by the RBNZ is the key bullish catalyst. Still, any out-of-consensus CPI prints in the near term and sensitivity to other global economies like China could derail the currency.
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR markets indicate a 50/50 chance for the Bank of Canada to cut rates on 24 July 2024. The Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), Macklem, has also suggested this would happen if inflation became stickier. Realistically, the BoC will drop rates slowly now or aggressively later.
However, recent CPI numbers were all positive for the Canadian dollar, hence the 'weak bearish' outlook.
CAD remains in full-on range mode, as it has done over the past few weeks. However, the recent price action does bring this market closer to the major support at 1.35896. Of course, there is no telling whether USD/CAD will revert to or near this level.
On the other hand, the key resistance is at 1.37919.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Expectations of a rate cut remain the centre of attention, along with the bearish catalysts associated with CAD as a risk-sensitive currency. However, encouraging oil prices may redeem the Canadian dollar.
Swiss franc (CHF)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
With a 76% chance of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) cutting the interest rate recently, STIR markets were accurate. Secondly, SNB expects a moderate improvement in inflation, GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term.
However, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions, such as with the Middle East crisis.
Following a considerable rise from the key support at 0.88268, USD/CHF has retraced quite a bit. Meanwhile, the key resistance lies at 0.91582. This market can go either way with such a wide gap between the two points. However, it's best to seek other pairs where CHF has a weaker outlook than its quote or base currency.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings for 2024 is the main bearish driver. However, the SNB's chairperson, Thomas Jordan, expressed that "appreciation of the Swiss Franc has an impact on monetary policy." This means that potential intervention by the central bank can go either way.
Conclusion
This coming week is another compelling one for high-impact news events. New inflation, GDP, and interest rate figures are set to be announced for the US dollar, British pound, and New Zealand dollar, respectively. So, traders who participate in any of these markets should be mindful.
Always be prepared technically and fundamentally when trading forex - that's the purpose of our weekly reports.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart tracking, as analysed.
As stated yesterday we are seeing price test 2390 Goldturn and will need to see ema5 lock above to open the levels above or a failure to lock will follow with a rejection.
- No lock confirmed the rejection into the 2378 weighted level, followed with a cross and lock below 2378 opening the retracement range. This was hit perfectly with price now in the retracement range, which is giving the calibrated 40 pips bounce, as analysed and shared part of our plans.
We will now need ema5 to lock below this level to open the swing range or a failure to lock below will see a re-test on the Goldturns above.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2403
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2414
2425
BEARISH TARGETS
2378 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2364 - DONE
2355 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2355 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2333 - 2322
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
APOLLO HOSPITAL / SWING TRADE # GOOD STRONG CLOSE
#TRADING OUTSIDE A CONSOLIDATION ZONE
# SL 6300
ALWAYS TAKE RISK REWARD IN TO ACCOUNT .IT IS THE CORE STRENGHT OF TRADING.
NO MATTER WHAT END OF THE DAY WHAT YOU EARN - WHAT YOU LOSE =RETURNS
"Investing in the stock market involves balancing risk and reward. Higher potential returns typically come with higher risk, while safer investments may offer lower returns. It's essential to assess your risk tolerance and investment goals carefully. Diversifying your portfolio can help manage risk. Remember, informed decisions and a long-term perspective are key to navigating the complexities of the market."
SYNGENE / SWING TRADE# STOCK TRADING ABOVE TRIANGLE PATTERN IN 30 MIN CHART
# TAKING SUPPORT FROM SMA 21
#SL 705
ALWAYS TAKE RISK REWARD IN TO ACCOUNT .IT IS THE CORE STRENGHT OF TRADING.
NO MATTER WHAT END OF THE DAY WHAT YOU EARN - WHAT YOU LOSE =RETURNS
"Investing in the stock market involves balancing risk and reward. Higher potential returns typically come with higher risk, while safer investments may offer lower returns. It's essential to assess your risk tolerance and investment goals carefully. Diversifying your portfolio can help manage risk. Remember, informed decisions and a long-term perspective are key to navigating the complexities of the market."
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price test 2390 Goldturn between two weighted level range. We have 2390 Goldturn resistance and 2378 Goldturn support weighted levels. We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We will need ema5 to lock above 2390 to confirm the range above. We also have 2378, 2364 and 2355, as the retracement area and will need ema5 lock below this to open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2403
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2414
2425
BEARISH TARGETS
2378
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2364
2355
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2355 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2333 - 2322
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2397 Goldturn resistance and 2385 and 2376 as Goldturn support levels with 2397, as weighted resistance and 2376, as weighted support. We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We have 2397 open gap and will need ema5 to lock above 2397 to confirm the range above. We also have 2376 as the weighted support area and will need ema5 lock below this level to open the retracement range below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2397
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2425
2437
BEARISH TARGETS
2385
2376
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2360
2346
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2346 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2316 - 2302
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our mid to longer term weekly chart idea.
Last week we advised that the channel half line is a crucial level of support on this chart and as long as ema5 remains above the channel half line, we should be able to continue to buy dips. A break and lock below the channel half line will open the range test for the channel bottom.
- This played out perfectly allowing us to use our smaller timeframe to buy dips and now seeing price head towards the channel top with a long range/term target at 2434 above the channel and 2505 long range axis target. We will also keep in mind the potential for temporary short term resistance at the channel top.
The levels within the channel will provide the bounces inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion using our smaller time-frames. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
We have been successfully tracking this chart for a while now and after completing all our targets inline with our plans the last month candle opened in a central range with room above and below for the updated detachment to complete, which we highlighted circles and also room above to re-test the new open range.
The detachment with the circle still remains and is always a reminder for us to manage our exposure to market while chasing the Bull long term, as one brutal correction at anytime can shock any setups. Tis chart keeps us grounded to always respect our exposure enough to be able to manage long term swings and use them to our advantage to buy dips.
Last monthly candle left a nice body close above 2360, leaving a long range gap open to 2421.
We still remain Bullish and will only safely take buys from support levels.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX