Tradingideas
XAGUSD / TRADING UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Overall Trend , The prices are currently under downward pressure, suggesting that the market is in a bearish phase until a breakout occurs from the current trading channel.
Demand Zone , The asset is attempting to reach a demand zone, which is between 30.27 and 30.01. If the price stays above this range, it is expected to rise toward the supply line at 32.03.
If the price stabilizes above the demand zone, there is a potential for upward movement toward the supply zone, which lies between 32.55 and 32.92. This suggests a possible reversal or rally in price.
Conversely, if the price breaks and stays below the demand zone, it indicates a further downward movement, with the next target being the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area, between 29.71 and 29.16. This would suggest that the market is under significant bearish pressure.
Supply Zone , The overall sentiment remains bearish until the price moves above the supply zone (between 32.55 and 32.92). As long as the price is trading below this range, downward pressure is expected to persist.
NASD100USD / TRADING BELOW ATH PRICES / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action , The Nasdaq has reached a historical peak (ATH) around 21,250, Prices are showing signs of a potential decline after hitting this high, suggesting a possible retracement.
ATH Resistance (21,250): If prices stabilize below this level, it signals a likely bearish trend.
Demand Zone (20,906 - 20,781): This is the first support area where buyers may re-enter. If prices reach here and hold, it could signal consolidation or a potential bounce.
FVG Zone (20,482 - 20,324): A further decline to this fair value gap would confirm a downtrend, indicating bearish pressure. Breaking this level would suggest a more substantial downturn.
If the Nasdaq breaks below the FVG, it’s expected to target the next demand zone between 20,074 and 19,916, which represents a significant support range for a potential bounce or further drop.
If prices stabilize above the FVG zone (20,482 - 20,324), this could indicate potential for a rally back towards the ATH at 21,250, as buyers maintain control in this range.
GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is the weekly chart we have been tracking for over 1 month now and also shared on Sunday.
Last update we stated that EMA5 failed to lock above, which followed with the rejection last week but still maintaining support above the channel top.
We also stated that we will be keeping in mind the channel top for long range corrections, which is likely to provide support like we stated before.
- This played out perfectly with the correction that we are seeing now testing the channel top inline with the weekly chart retracement range. We are now expecting a reaction here .
If the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
OUR 1H AND 4 CHART UPDATE
Bothe of these charts have tested the swing range, which gave the 40 pip bounces, just like we always state but didn't get the full swing yet. (This is the reason why we always state 40 pip bounces on our weighted levels, as it always delivers, even when it breaks through.)
We are now tracking the 4H chart, where price is playing above the support structure. As long as price maintains above the 4h chart support structure, we should see a correction back up to test the upper Goldturns.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD / FURTHER DECLINE / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4HTIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
. Current Downtrend: The price is currently in a downward movement.
Demand Zone (Support): The analysis identifies a demand zone between $2,565 and $2,551. A demand zone typically represents a price level where buying interest is strong, potentially causing the price to stabilize or increase.
Expectation if Stabilization Occurs , If the price stabilizes above this demand zone, it suggests a potential rebound , The price may then move upward to reach a supply zone between $2,618 and $2,618. (It seems this zone might have been mistyped, as it should likely be a range.)
Further Increase if Supply Zone Breaks , If the price closes above the supply zone with a 4-hour (4H) candle, this signals continued upward momentum , This could lead to an increase toward a higher supply zone between $2,732 and $2,749.
Further Decline if Demand Zone Breaks , If the price falls below the demand zone (between $2,565 and $2,551), this suggests a likely continuation of the downtrend, with further declines in price expected.
Gold trading strategy november 12Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell to $2,600, or a fresh one-month low, heading into Tuesday’s European session on continued buying of the US dollar (USD). Investors remained hopeful that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expected expansionary policies could boost economic growth and boost inflation, limiting the scope for the Federal Reserve to ease policy. This sent US Treasury yields higher, further supporting the greenback and dragging the non-yielding yellow metal lower for a third straight day.
It was also the fourth negative move in the past five days for safe-haven gold, which appeared unaffected by concerns that Trump’s protectionist stance could spark a trade war. It will now be interesting to see whether the shorts retain control or choose to reduce their bets ahead of speeches from a host of influential FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, on Thursday. In addition, US consumer inflation figures on Wednesday will be looked at for clues on the Fed's rate cut path and provide fresh impetus to XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices broke the last support zone of 2606 and headed towards the 2582-2580 zone. Waiting for gold to close below the 2606 area on m30 and SELL signals to be established towards the 268x zone. Waiting for the early US session if the front port zone around 2592 is broken, then hold the sell signal to 258x. If it fails to break 2592, close SELL BUY at the beginning of the short scalp session back to zone 06 and continue SELL to trade within the range.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What a day in the markets today with another big drop following on from last weeks election move.
We observed today and watched our bearish side of the setups play out with 2682 being hit on market open followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 2657,which was also hit and then continued into 2638 and now the swing range. Both of these two levels were confirmed with candle body close confirmation, as ema5 was lagging due to momentum.
We are now seeing price in the swing range and looking for a reaction here. Failure to hold support here and we will switch to our 4h chart to track the extended range.
We will now patiently wait for the momentum to exhaust, so we can continue to stick with our long term trend and buy dips. We were looking forward to this correction for a while now, to enable us to get back in the wave.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2704
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2704 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2725
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2725 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2682 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2638 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2638 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2621 (DONE) - 2608
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX