Tradingplans
Calculating Lot Sizes Just Got EasyIn the world of forex trading, achieving consistent profitability requires not only sound strategy but also effective risk management. One crucial aspect of risk management is determining the appropriate lot size for each trade. In this blog post, we will explore the best methods for you to calculate lot size, emphasizing the use of tools available on TradingView, a popular trading platform.
Understanding Lot Size
Lot size refers to the volume of your trade and is measured in units of the base currency. It plays a significant role in determining the potential profit or loss of your trade. By selecting an appropriate lot size, you can maintain control over your risk exposure and align your trades with your overall trading strategy.
Utilizing TradingView Tools
TradingView offers you two valuable tools, the Short Position Tool and the Long Position Tool, which assist you in evaluating the true reward-to-risk ratio of your trades. These tools enable you to make informed decisions by considering the potential profit against the predefined risk. By assessing the reward-to-risk ratio, you can determine the viability of a trade and make adjustments as necessary.
Calculating Lot Size Using TradingView's Order Panel
To calculate your lot size on TradingView, you can leverage the platform's Order Panel feature. The Order Panel provides you with a convenient way to input your trade parameters and receive lot size recommendations based on your risk preferences and account balance. By using this built-in functionality, you can quickly determine the appropriate lot size for each trade without the need for complex manual calculations.
Lot Size Calculation Formula
Alternatively, you may choose to calculate your lot size manually using a straightforward formula. Here's the formula you can use:
(Account Balance * Risk Percentage) / Stop Loss in Pips = Lot size
$25000 * 1* = $250/30= 41,666 units or $4.16 per pip or 0.41 lot size
To utilize this formula, you need to know your account balance, the percentage of your account balance you are willing to risk on a trade, and the distance of your stop loss from the entry price, expressed in pips. By plugging in these values, you can derive the appropriate lot size that aligns with your risk management strategy.
Conclusion
Calculating lot size is an essential aspect of your forex trading journey that directly influences your risk management. Simplifying this process enables you to focus more on your strategy and execution.
TradingView offers you valuable tools such as the Short Position Tool and the Long Position Tool, which provide insights into the true reward-to-risk ratio of your trades. Additionally, TradingView's Order Panel streamlines the lot size calculation process.
Alternatively, you can utilize a simple formula to manually calculate your lot size. By adopting these methods, you can enhance your risk management practices, leading to improved trading outcomes.
Remember, successful trading involves comprehensive risk management, and calculating the appropriate lot size is a crucial step toward achieving long-term profitability.
Shaquan
Market Reversal Fueled by Biden's Positive Remarks on US - NQM In today's trading scenario, we witnessed a fascinating turn of events. The market initially opened with a downward wick, touching the previous day's closing level and the London session's support. However, the tide swiftly turned, largely attributed to President Biden expressing positive sentiments about the avoidance of the US debt ceiling. This optimism sparked a notable shift in market sentiment.
The levels I outlined at the open were as follows:
Downside: 13505, 13483, 13460, 13430
Upside: 13540, 13575, 13600, potentially reaching as high as 13660.
These levels served as significant benchmarks for today's trading. The upside, though, ventures into somewhat uncharted territory as we have not tested these areas since the highs of August 2022. As we tread these waters, it's crucial to remain vigilant and adaptable to the market's responses to macroeconomic news and global sentiment.
Stay tuned as we continue to track the market's reaction to these crucial levels, and navigate our trading strategies accordingly.
⚙️Creating a Trading Plan⚙️📍Creating a trading plan and trading journal are two important steps in developing a successful trading strategy. Backtesting is also a crucial component of any trading plan. Here are the steps you can follow to create a trading plan, trading journal, and backtest your strategy.
🔷Define Your Goals and Risk Tolerance
The first step in creating a trading plan is to define your trading goals. You should have a clear idea of what you want to achieve with your trading, such as making a certain amount of profit per month or year, and how much you are willing to risk on each trade. Your risk tolerance will also play a role in determining your trading strategy.
🔷Choose Your Trading Methodology
The next step is to choose your trading methodology. There are many different trading strategies, such as trend following, momentum trading, and mean reversion. You should choose a strategy that fits with your goals, risk tolerance, and trading style.
🔷Define Your Trading Rules
Once you have chosen your trading methodology, you need to define your trading rules. Your trading rules should cover when to enter a trade, when to exit a trade, and how much to risk on each trade. Your rules should be clear, objective, and based on your trading methodology.
🔷Create a Trading Journal
A trading journal is a record of all your trades. It is important to keep a trading journal so you can analyze your trading performance over time. Your trading journal should include the date and time of each trade, the entry and exit price, the size of the position, and the reason for entering the trade. You can use a spreadsheet or a specialized trading journal software to keep track of your trades.
🔷Backtest Your Strategy
Backtesting is the process of testing your trading strategy on historical data to see how it would have performed in the past. You can use specialized backtesting software or create your own backtesting tool using spreadsheet software. Backtesting allows you to refine your trading strategy and identify its strengths and weaknesses.
🔷Analyze Your Trading Journal
After you have started trading, you should analyze your trading journal regularly. Look for patterns in your trading performance and identify areas for improvement. You should also review your trading plan and adjust it as necessary.
📍Key Takeaways:
🔸 Defining your trading goals and risk tolerance is important before creating a trading plan.
🔸 Choose a trading methodology that fits your goals, risk tolerance, and trading style.
🔸 Define clear, objective trading rules based on your trading methodology.
🔸 Keep a trading journal to record all your trades.
🔸 Backtest your trading strategy to refine it and identify its strengths and weaknesses.
🔸 Analyze your trading journal regularly to identify areas for improvement and adjust your trading plan as necessary.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
⌛ It's Just A Matter Of Time📍Journey Of a Successful Trader
No one started as a good trader. Every profitable trader was once a newbie. The journey of a successful trader is filled with challenges, hard work, and perseverance. It begins with a strong desire to learn and a commitment to become an expert in the markets they are trading.
📍The Right Path To Reach The Top
🔹Learn the basics of Trading
🔹Pick a Strategy that you fully understand
🔹Trading plan customized to your lifestyle
🔹Back Testing your strategy and plan
🔹Review your Trades, calculate your expectancy
🔹Demo Trading to build basic knowledge
🔹Live Trading, Manage your risk and emotions
🔹Professional Trader
📍Summary
The first step in the journey is to acquire the necessary knowledge and skills. This includes learning about the financial markets, technical analysis, risk management, and trading psychology. Successful traders also develop a trading strategy that fits their personality and trading style.
Once they have acquired the necessary knowledge and skills, successful traders spend countless hours studying the markets, analyzing charts, and monitoring news events that may impact their trades.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Let's Talk About "Perspectives"Let's talk about the perspectives people often bring up in trading
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Under various conditions, such as different market trends, timeframes, strategy logics, and technical analyses, everyone's view and perspective on the market varies.
TV is filled with people's opinions and perspectives on market trends. Some people seek validation from others, while some wish to share what they believe to be profitable opportunities and be appreciated for it.
Sharing perspectives sometimes tie down traders as well, limiting them to their own published analysis articles and ego, causing some people to be unwilling to admit their mistakes and seize the next trading opportunity.
Regardless of the validation of these opinions and perspectives, we must admit that every profitable trade has an element of "Luck" involved. "NO ONE WINS EVERYTRADE".
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"And what's more interesting Is that if you find two long-term, consistently profitable traders, they are very likely to have completely opposite views on the same trading product at the same time, but both of them still stay profit."
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I believe that when a mature trader being asked about their opinions or perspectives, they should be able to clearly differentiate between their views and their trading plans.
Possible question and responses include:
1. "Asked about the upcoming market trend"
I currently have a positive outlook for a specific period of time, believing that the market may rise (or fall). However, I'm not certain if I'm correct. If things go wrong, I will cut my losses according to my trading plan. Admitting mistakes and respecting the market. Search for the next trading opportunity.
2. "Asked about positions and trading opportunities"
I am temporarily trading "Target" in the direction of a rise (or fall), but I do not recommend anyone to follow my trade because I have no idea if my next trade will be profitable. What I do know is that I can achieve my deserved expected return through long-term trading.
3. "Asked about specific trading methods"
I cannot give you specific advice, as I don't know how much capital you have or how much risk you're willing to take. Everyone's pursuit of returns and tolerance for losses are different, which will be reflected in the trading strategies they use.
4. "Asked about medium to long-term future trends"
I am a trader, not a financial expert, and definitely not an economist. Predicting the future is too difficult, even for Nobel Prize-winning economists, who may not be able to forecast market trends right as well. So, what I can do is play the role of a good observer, watch price trends for potential trading opportunities, and make the most cost-effective trades or positive expected value trades.
5. "Asked about making money in short-term trading"
In the short term, there is a high probability that my trades will incur losses, and speculative trading can also result in terrible consecutive losses. However, I am fully aware of the expected win rate and returns for each trade. Through each trade, I accumulate expected value and manage my funds with proper risk control. I believe that time and a large number of trades will realize this expected value.
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This is also why I am not very willing to share trading opportunities directly.
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I am very clear that my trading pattern has a win rate of less than 45%, and I am quite certain that following my trades is more likely to lead you to stop-loss. More scenario below:
A. If I share an opportunity and make money by being right, there might still be people who lose money because they set different trading plan and can't tolerate fluctuations.
B. If I share an opportunity and lose money by being wrong, you could find me to blame. However, everyone needs to take responsibility for their own profits and losses because it's your money and your decisions.
C. If you follow my trading plan and gain profit. You learn nothing about it. Also one trade's win/loss most likely depands on "Luck". Not so much different from "Gamble".
Of course, occasionally drawing some charts to remind everyone of the current general trend direction is not a problem!
In the short term, "Luck" is essential for speculation, and I hope everyone can have good fortune.
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I am Beta,
If my articles are helpful, please leave a "like" or "comment", and "follow me" for more good stuff.
25 Trading Rules for Guaranteed Success!Hi traders! Before we dive into the 25 trading rules that can lead you to success, let's take a moment to reflect on this three things that are key to successful trading:
First, there's " content. " This is all the information that traders use to make decisions, both from the market and from their own gut. It's really important to have access to reliable and up-to-date info, so you can avoid making costly mistakes.
The second thing is " mechanics. " This is all about how you actually trade: the tools you use, the strategies you employ, and so on. It's crucial to master these mechanics before you can hope to make any money.
Finally, there's " discipline. " This might be the most important of all. You need to be disciplined in your approach to trading, making smart decisions every time and sticking to your plan. It can be tough, but it's absolutely essential for long-term success. To help with this, you might consider reviewing a set of trading discipline rules every day to keep you on track.
To improve your trading discipline, it's important to consistently reinforce good habits. Consider reviewing these 25 rules of trading discipline daily before beginning your trading session. It only takes three minutes, and it can help remind you how to conduct yourself throughout the day. Think of it as a helpful routine, like saying a prayer or setting intentions for the day ahead.
#1 - DISCIPLINE PAYS OFF: MAXIMIZING PROFITS IN THE MARKET
When it comes to trading, being disciplined pays off. If you can maintain discipline, you're more likely to make profits and avoid losses. The market rewards traders who can stay focused and make rational decisions. Remember, discipline equals increased profits.
#2 - STAY DISCIPLINED EVERY DAY AND THE MARKET WILL REWARD YOU, BUT DON'T CLAIM TO BE DISCIPLINED IF YOU ARE NOT 100% OF THE TIME.
It's crucial to be disciplined in trading, but it's not a part-time commitment, like saying you quit smoking but still sneaking a cigarette. If you're only disciplined in nine out of ten trades, you can't consider yourself a disciplined trader. It's the one undisciplined trade that can seriously harm your overall performance. Discipline must be practiced in every trade, every day, and only then will the market reward you.
#3 - ADJUST YOUR TRADE SIZE WHEN TRADING POORLY
Many successful traders abide by this rule. Instead of continuing to lose money on multiple contracts per trade, why not lower your trade size to just one contract on the next trade and save yourself some cash? Personally, I lower my trade size to one contract after two consecutive losing trades. Once I have two profitable trades, I increase my trade size back to its original amount.
Think of it like a baseball player who has struck out twice. The next time at bat, he adjusts his grip on the bat and shortens his swing to make contact. Similarly, in trading, adjusting your trade size and aiming for just a small profit or a break-even trade can help turn your losing streak around. Once you've got two consecutive winning trades under your belt, you can increase your trade size again.
#4 - NEVER TURN A WINNER TRADE INTO A LOSER ONE
We've all been tempted to break this rule before, but we should aim to avoid it in the future. The root of the problem is greed. The market moved in our favor and gave us a profit, but we weren't satisfied with a small gain. Instead, we held onto the trade hoping for a bigger profit, only to watch the market turn against us. We hesitated and the trade turned into a significant loss.
There's no need to be greedy. It's just one trade. You'll have many more opportunities throughout the day and in future trading sessions. The market always offers opportunities. Remember that one trade shouldn't make or break your performance for the day. Don't let greed ruin your trades.
#5 - DON'T LET YOUR BIGGEST LOSS EXCEED YOUR BIGGEST WIN
It's a good idea to keep track of all your trades during a session. By doing so, you'll have a better understanding of your performance and be able to make better decisions. Let's say your biggest win so far in the day is 30 Pips on EUR/USD. If you have a losing trade, make sure it doesn't exceed those 30 Pips. If you let a loss go beyond your biggest win, then when you calculate your total gains and losses, you'll end up with a net loss. That's definitely not what you want, so be careful and stick to your plan.
#6 - DEVELOP A CONSISTENT METHODOLOGY AND STICK TO IT: AVOID CHANGING STRATEGIES DAILY
To be a successful trader, it's important to have a solid game plan. This means writing down the specific market setups or prerequisites that need to happen for you to enter a trade. Your methodology doesn't have to be anything fancy, but you should have a clear set of rules or price action that you follow in order to make trades.
If you're using a proven methodology and it doesn't seem to be working in a particular trading session, don't try to come up with a completely new strategy overnight. Instead, stick with what works and has been successful for you in at least half of your trading sessions. Having a consistent methodology will help you make more informed and confident trading decisions.
#7 - BE YOURSELF. DON’T TRY TO BE SOMEONE ELSE.
In trading, it's important to be yourself and not try to be someone else. It can be tempting to try and emulate successful traders or follow their strategies, but ultimately, you need to find what works for you. Everyone has their own unique personality, risk tolerance, and trading style. Embrace your strengths and weaknesses and develop your own approach. Don't compare yourself to others or try to be someone you're not. The most successful traders are those who stay true to themselves and their own strategies. Remember, you are the only one who knows what's best for you and your trading journey.
#8 - ALWAYS PRESERVE YOUR CAPITAL: PROTECT YOUR ABILITY TO TRADE ANOTHER DAY
Always prioritize protecting your capital in trading. It's important to never risk more than you can afford to lose, as the consequences can be devastating. One of the worst feelings in trading is not being able to continue because your account equity has dipped too low. To avoid this, I suggest setting a daily loss limit that you stick to, such as $500. If you hit that limit, it's time to turn off your computer and call it a day. Remember, you can always come back tomorrow with a fresh mindset and a new opportunity to trade.
#9 - EARN THE RIGHT TO TRADE WITH BIGGER SIZE
To earn the right to trade with bigger size, it's important to prove that you can consistently generate profits with smaller trades. Traders who rush into larger trades without sufficient experience and success are putting themselves at risk of significant losses. By demonstrating discipline, patience, and a solid track record of profitable trades, traders can gradually increase their position size and take on more risk as their skills and confidence grow. Remember, trading with bigger size is a privilege that must be earned through diligent practice, hard work, and a commitment to continuous improvement.
#10 - HOW TO CUT YOUR LOSSES IN TRADING
It's important to remember that having a losing trade doesn't make you a "loser." However, if you don't exit the trade once you realize it's not working out, then you're not making smart decisions as a trader. Trust your gut - if you have a feeling the trade is no good, it probably isn't. It's better to exit the trade and cut your losses rather than risk losing even more money.
Every trader experiences losing trades throughout the day, including myself. On average, I have about one-third of my trades as losers, one-third as break-even trades, and one-third as winners. But the key is to exit losing trades quickly so they don't end up costing you too much. By doing this, even though I have more losing and break-even trades than winners, I still end up going home with a profit.
#11 - THE BENEFITS OF TAKING A SMALL LOSS EARLY IN TRADING
Sometimes traders in the pit will joke around and say things like "You're not a loser until you get out" or "Not to worry, it'll come back." But in reality, these phrases are just affirmations that it's time to exit a trade when it's not working out.
Once you recognize that a trade is no good, the best thing to do is to exit immediately. Don't wait and hope that it will turn around. It's never a good idea to let losses pile up - cutting your losses early is a smart move that can help protect your capital and keep you in the game for the long run.
#12 - WHY HOPING AND PRAYING IN TRADING IS NOT A WINNING STRATEGY
As a new and undisciplined trader, I used to pray to the "Bond god" whenever I found myself in a tough trade position. I hoped for some sort of divine intervention to save me, but it never came. I eventually learned that praying to any "futures god" was a waste of time. The best thing to do is to just get out of a bad trade and cut your losses. Trusting in your own trading plan and strategy is much more effective than relying on luck or divine intervention.
#13 - WHY TRADERS SHOULDN'T WORRY TOO MUCH ABOUT NEWS IN THE MARKET. IT'S JUST HISTORY...
As a trader, it can be tempting to constantly monitor news and events in the market. However, it's important to remember that news is just history. By the time it reaches the public, it has already been factored into the price of assets. So, worrying too much about news can actually be detrimental to your trading strategy.
While it's important to be aware of major news events, such as economic reports or geopolitical developments, it's not necessary to react to every piece of news that comes out. Instead, focus on developing a solid trading plan based on technical analysis and risk management strategies. Stick to your plan and don't let emotions or external events dictate your trades.
Ultimately, successful trading is about making informed decisions based on market data, not reacting impulsively to the latest news headline. So, don't worry too much about news in the market. Remember that it's just history, and focus on developing a disciplined and informed trading approach.
#14 - DON'T SPECULATE , IF YOU DO, YOU WILL LOOSE
Speculating in the financial markets can be tempting, especially when you see others making big profits. However, it's important to remember that speculation is risky and can often lead to losses. When you speculate, you are essentially making a bet on the future direction of a particular asset or market, without having a clear understanding of the underlying fundamentals.
The problem with speculation is that it's based on assumptions and predictions, which are often influenced by emotions and biased opinions. This can lead to overconfidence and a false sense of security, which can quickly evaporate when the market turns against you.
Instead of speculating, it's important to focus on sound trading principles such as risk management, discipline, and a solid trading plan. By following these principles, you can reduce your exposure to risk and increase your chances of success in the long run. So, if you want to avoid losses and build a sustainable trading career, avoid the temptation to speculate and focus on the fundamentals.
#15 - EMBRACE LOSING TRADES: LOVE TO CUT YOUR LOSSES
"What do you mean by love to lose money? Are you crazy?" Well, no, I'm not crazy. What I mean is that you should accept the fact that losing trades are part of the game in trading. The key is to get out of your losing trades quickly and love doing it. By doing so, you can save a lot of your trading capital and become a better trader in the long run. So, don't be afraid of losing, embrace it and learn from it.
#16 - WHEN TO EXIT A TRADE: SIGNS IT'S NOT GOING ANYWHERE
Have you ever noticed when the market is just not moving? It's like everyone is content with the current prices, and no one is really interested in buying or selling. Well, when this happens, it's time to take a step back and wait for the market to heat up again. There's no point in wasting your time, energy, and money in a stagnant market. It's better to wait for the right opportunity to place your trades and make some profit. Trust me, it'll be worth the wait.
#17 - BIG LOSSES: THE DAY KILLER
When you suffer big losses, they can ruin an entire day's worth of hard work in achieving small wins. Not only that, but they can also take a toll on your psyche and emotions, leaving you feeling defeated and demoralized. It can take a significant amount of time to regain the confidence that you once had before the big loss. It's important to keep this in mind and manage your risk appropriately to avoid such setbacks.
#18 - THE POWER OF CONSISTENCY IN TRADING: DIGGING YOUR WAY TO SUCCESS
Consistency is key when it comes to successful trading. Making a little bit every day and consistently digging your way towards success is much more effective than taking big risks and filling in your progress with losses. By focusing on consistency, traders can build a solid foundation for long-term success in the market. It takes discipline, patience, and a willingness to stick to a well-defined strategy, but the rewards can be significant. So dig your ditches and don't fill them in, and with time and effort, you'll see the power of consistency in action.
#19 - CONSISTENCY BUILDS CONFIDENCE AND CONTROL
And Again...Consistency is a key component in achieving success in any area of life, including trading. When you consistently follow a trading plan, execute your trades with discipline, and manage your risk effectively, you build confidence in your abilities and gain control over your emotions. This confidence and control can help you navigate the ups and downs of the market with a clear head, and ultimately lead to greater success in your trading endeavors.
#20 - LEARN TO SCALE OUT YOUR WINNERS
Scaling out winners means taking partial profits on a winning trade instead of closing the entire position at once. This approach helps traders lock in profits and reduce risk by allowing them to ride the remaining portion of the trade with less pressure. Learning to scale out your winners requires discipline and a solid understanding of your trading plan, but it can be an effective strategy for maximizing gains while minimizing losses.
#21 - MAKE THE SAME TRADES OVER AND OVER AGAIN
Making the same trades repeatedly might seem boring, but it's an essential strategy for successful trading. By mastering a few reliable setups, you can gain a deeper understanding of the market and become more confident in your decision-making. Remember, consistency is key, and repetition is the foundation of mastery.
#22 - DON'T ANALYZE, PROCRASTINATE OR HESITATE
Over-analyzing, procrastinating, and hesitating are common pitfalls that many traders fall into. However, these behaviors can lead to missed opportunities and ultimately, losses. It's important to have a clear plan and execute it without hesitation. Don't let analysis paralysis get in the way of taking action in the market. Remember, in trading, time is money, and every second counts.
#23 - STARTING AT ZERO: THE BEHAVIORAL KEYS TO TRADING SUCCESS
Every trading day is a fresh start for everyone, with each of us beginning at the same level playing field. But as soon as the market opens, it's our actions and mindset that determine our success or failure. Adhering to the 25 Rules can lead to profitability, while neglecting them can result in poor performance. So, it's up to us to approach each trading day with discipline and focus to achieve the desired outcome.
#24 - THE MARKET: THE ULTIMATE JUDGE
The market is the ultimate judge and jury in the world of trading. No matter how good a trader you think you are, it is the market itself that determines your success or failure. Respect the power of the market and learn to adapt your strategies accordingly.
#25 - STICK TO YOUR PLAN: THE FINAL RULE OF TRADING
The last and most important rule in trading is to repeat your trading process every day and focus solely on your own trading plan. Avoid following others' ideas and stick to your own strategy. Consistency is key, and by repeating your process every day, you will build discipline and increase your chances of success in the market.
Thanks
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT!KOG Report:
In last weeks KOG Report we said we would be looking for the support levels to hold to give an opportunity for the long trade before we then see a reaction in price. We then said we would be looking at the higher levels to confirm the resistance before we attempt to take the short trade back down.
We plotted the immediate support level with a circle around the 1950-55 region and then gave the two higher levels we would be looking for, also circled on the chart. There were only 3 points of contact we were looking for combined with the weekly chart level we had added in March for the bullish target.
As you can see from last weeks KOG Report, we completed a point to point, level to level move timed to perfection again, just like we do day in, day out in Camelot. 4H chart levels were completed as well as the weekly target plotted on the 19th of March where we got a TAP AND BOUNCE.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll start by saying, due to it being the holiday weekend we’re very likely to see gaps on opening across the market, especially due to the NFP release on Friday which happened while many instrument were closed. For that reason, we’ll say take this as reference for Monday and we will update it on Tuesday once we have a clearer picture.
For the week we will be looking at the support levels 1980-85 as the first point of contact, this is where we need to see a gap down to (if it happens) before an attempt on recovery. Below there we have further key level support around the 1960-55 level, we want price to stay above this level to resume the move to the upside, otherwise we may see a deeper correction. We have an Excalibur target below which hasn’t been hit, this is something we will be looking for in the early part of the week if the price continues the retracement.
The higher levels are now the target levels for the long trades, this is based on clean support and any gaps being filled in the early part of the week. The ideal target here for the long trades is first 2035 and then above that the 2045 level. We’re again long level to level with the plan to short the market from higher up, if we get there.
Best practice in this environment is to sit out the opening and the early sessions, let them move the market and create the mess they want to, once settled, then start looking for the set up. We’ll be doing the same in Camelot targeting the Excalibur targets once the price market has found its feet.
Expect another week of aggressive, whipsawing and choppy price action, so please be careful, control your lot sizes and make sure you have a risk model in place.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
USDCAD Long EOD strat© BNPP Global FX Positioning Tracker: CAD shorts extend
• In G10, FX USD shorts reduce slightly to -17 from -18 last week (+/-50 scale), as our proxy for real money investors
reduces shorts.
• CAD shorts extend to -23 from -15 last week, as our proxy for electronic trading venues extends shorts and our
proxy for real money investors unwinds longs.
Technically the US dollar index is pushing higher and making a go at a bullish trend. We are seeing the US10 year yields at elevated levels and uncertainty in the equities.
Oil is below the average price level of around $80 and supporting fiscal flows in the US economy are high.
Neutral IdeaHello traders, in today's trading session my team and I are monitoring GBPJPY for a potential trade setup.
At the moment GBPJPY has been very bullish, retesting the high on the weekly timeframe - which doubles as a minor buyers territory OR money spot.
Pip Regards, DayBot6.
What do you think of this idea?
Building Your First Trading Plan | Step By Step Guide
📖What is a trading plan?
A trading plan is a comprehensive decision-making tool for your trading activity. It helps you decide what, when and how much to trade. A trading plan should be your own, personal plan – you could use someone else’s plan as an outline but remember that someone else’s attitude towards risk and available capital could be vastly different to yours.
📚Why do you need a trading plan?
You need a trading plan because it can help you make logical trading decisions and define the parameters of your ideal trade. A good trading plan will help you to avoid making emotional decisions in the heat of the moment.
✳️TRADING PLAN CREATION STEPS:
1️⃣Outline your motivation
Figuring out your motivation for trading and the time you’re willing to commit is an important step in creating your trading plan. Ask yourself why you want to become a trader and then write down what you want to achieve from trading.
2️⃣Decide how much time you can commit to trading
Work out how much time you can commit to your trading activities. Can you trade while you’re at work, or do you have to manage your trades early in the mornings or late at night?
If you want to make a lot of trades a day, you’ll need more time. If you’re going long on assets that will mature over a significant period of time – and plan to use stops, limits and alerts to manage your risk – you may not need many hours a day.
It's also important to spend enough time preparing yourself for trading, which includes education, practising your strategies and analysing the markets.
3️⃣Define your goals
Any trading goal shouldn’t just be a simple statement, it should be specific, measurable, attainable, relevant and time-bound (SMART). For example, ‘I want to increase the value of my entire portfolio by 15% in the next 12 months’. This goal is SMART because the figures are specific, you can measure your success, it’s attainable, it’s about trading, and there’s a time-frame attached to it.You should also decide what type of trader you are. Your trading style should be based on your personality, your attitude to risk, as well as the amount of time you’re willing to commit to trading.
4️⃣Choose a risk-reward ratio
Before you start trading, work out how much risk you're prepared to take on – both for individual trades and your trading strategy as a whole. Deciding your risk limit is very important. Market prices are always changing and even the safest financial instruments carry some degree of risk. Some new traders prefer to take on a lower risk to test the waters, while some take on more risk in the hopes of making larger profits – this is completely up to you.
It is possible to lose more times than you win and still be consistently profitable. It's all down to risk vs reward.
5️⃣Decide how much capital you have for trading
Look at how much money you can afford to dedicate to trading. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. Trading involves plenty of risk, and you could end up losing all your trading capital (or more, if you are a professional trader).
Do the maths before you start and make sure you can afford the maximum potential loss on every trade. If you don't have enough trading capital to start right now, practise trading on a demo account until you do.
6️⃣Start a trading diary
For a trading plan to work it needs to be backed up by a trading diary. You should use your trading diary to document your trades as this can help you find out what’s working and what isn’t.You don’t only have to include the technical details, such as the entry and exit points of the trade, but also the rationale behind your trading decisions and emotions. If you deviate from your plan, write down why you did it and what the outcome was. The more detail in your diary, the better.
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GBPUSD TRADE IDEA / DAY TRADE / LONG (UK - RISK EVENT)This is trade idea for GBPUSD Day Trade Trade
-Buy in Order Block Area TF5M Near Sell Side Liquidity (SSLQ) of asian session with range 1.22674 - 1.22614 according to the confirmation that will occur.
-This trade for Event UK Retail Sales news.
-Risk Reward 1:3
USOIL (WTI-USD): TRADE PLAN (REVERSAL PATTERN = DOUBLE BOTTOM)WT-USD is expecting to have reversal move from its current position. This can be observed via Double Bottom Reversal Pattern as well as the presence of Divergence. The trade setup is designed for a LONG TRADE option for this COMMODITY Pair with a projected price.
AUDUSD TRADE IDEA / DAY TRADE / SHORTThis is trade idea for AUDUSD Day Trade
-Sell in Bearish Breaker (TF5M) Area with range 0.67146 - 0.67207 according to the confirmation that will occur.
-The dollar index edged below 103.8 on Monday, sliding for the third straight session as the forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS and global central banks' action to boost dollar liquidity somewhat eased market concerns about a wider banking and financial crisis.
-Risk Reward 1:2
(For beginners) Investing/Speculation -Developing Trading PlansInvesting/Speculating for Beginners
First, let me talk about my views on the difference between investing and speculating, as well as some trading plans and ideas I have compiled from reading books. I hope that after reading this article, you can save some time on reading other books XD.
The purpose of investing should be to achieve "stable asset growth", and good investments should accumulate assets in almost risk-free situations, bringing stable returns of 10% or less per year. "As the recent bond investment return rate is considerable, wealthy people are all doing it."
The purpose of speculation is to seek higher returns in the short term based on specific events, market conditions, and analysis. However, it also requires bearing corresponding risks, with returns and risks ranging from 10% to any percentage. (The so-called almost risk-free depends on the individual, and having insider information is also risk-free. The above definition is my own. I believe that over 90% of my trades are speculation, not investment.)
Since I have said that investing is almost risk-free, the main topic of discussion will be speculation. I will consider some details before, during, and after trading.
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"Before Speculative Trading"
Some details I will consider:
1.Risk assessment of the trade. In extreme cases, how much money will be lost? Good fund management ensures that you will never fail.
2. Assessment of expected returns and the maximum percentage of potential losses. Make cost-effective trades and trade when there is a good chance of winning.
3. Analysis of the entry price. If there is no good position, abandon the trade and look for the next opportunity.
4. Planning for the start of trading, the basis for the target price and stop-loss price, whether to move the stop-profit and stop-loss in specific circumstances, and whether to exit directly if the original trading basis is lost.
5. The impact on life. Will the psychological pressure after the trade affect life and work? Is there time to cope with unexpected situations during trading?
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"Start Trading"
Prepare well before trading and execute according to the original plan.
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"After Trading"
1. Reflect on where the trade went wrong, whether the plan was not followed, and whether the pre-trade assessment was misjudged.
2. Do not be overly pleased or upset because of the result of a single trade. With a 50% chance of success even when tossing a coin with closed eyes, what needs to be done is to accumulate a trading strategy with a long-term positive expected value. With the logic of making big profits and small losses, one can have the Holy Grail of trading. If you can't win, review your strategy and conduct backtesting.
3. Speculation requires accumulating long-term trading records to determine whether the trading strategy is successful. At least 1,000 trades are needed to have some reference value, and short-term success or failure does not necessarily represent right or wrong.
4. When making money, take it out and feel its weight to avoid getting lost in the world of money and decreasing the quality of risk management.
My current Plan for EUR/USD, GBP/CAD, EUR/HUFThis is my plan for the next few Quarters. My main focus is on the EUR/USD. If price is able to hit the 1.05 level, I will need to decide if I want to place a stop at 1.06 and ride price lower, or exit at 1.05 and move my focus over to the GBP/CAD and EUR/HUF. I might place a tighter stop and see if price is able to maintain the momentum lower on the EUR/USD. The GBP/CAD, I do want to get into a 50k position before price pushes lower. I think this pair is going to take a while to push lower, but it is only a matter of time. If I am able to get into a max position on the GBP/CAD and have a stop at 1.60, my conviction will be strong is holding onto the pair until the 1.50 level. The EUR/HUF, again, I like the positive rollover interest, so if price ranges, I am fine with price doing that. If price does push lower, I may add to my positions, but I am just thinking about it for now. The GBP/CAD has negative rollover, so the EUR/HUF and EUR/USD with there positive rollover is offsetting the negative rollover on the GBP/CAD. If I am correct on the GBP/CAD and EUR/HUF, Silver is becoming extremely enticing to get into next, especially if price pushes below the 20 level. I think Silver will be able to hit the $50 level, but that will likely happen in 2025 because space, robotics, AI, medical, electric vehicles, and so on will require a ton of Silver, which is a better conductor than copper.