Bitcoin in Trading Range and a Possible breakout to $59kTRADING #Episode 1 (BTC/USDT)
Hello Everyone, it is a good day and I am glad to be a part of this platform and I hope to be giving updates on anything cryptocurrency related.
BTC has been in a trading range after an upward trend forming a flag. Currently, the market is going up and down around the range.
Traders who want to gain from every move could gain from the upward and downward movement of the chart while still in range. There is a high possibility of having a breakout allowing BTC to hit $59k.
This is not a financial Advice, DYOR
Tradingrange
BNB trading at resistance, looking for breakoutBNB is trading close to resistance level with multiple breakout attempts. If the price goes above the resistance level, bulls might get ahead with the price action and the price can increase exponentially. As always, when the price action is close to key levels, we have an increased risk for volatility. If a long position is taken when the resistance level is broken upwards, stop-loss should be closed below the level.
GBP/CHF Accumulation Schematics!Hello my beauties.
I think GBP/CHF is on its way to complete an accumulation, which will lead the prices up strongly. I would buy on a successful retest of the trading range in red, after it has been breached.
If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair.
Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value.
Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
Time For A Pull Back?Hi all,
We had a great breakout above the down trend and the neck line together, showing major sign of strength, however got rejected from the dangerous neck line. It's good that it was surpassed and now it's weakened.
Downside target of a retracement and a retest of the down trend line happens to intersect with Fibonacci 0.382 at 49.600. If that is lost, we have 47.660 also coincides with Point of control and 45k as the last retracement levels. If 45k is lost, then it's game over :)
Upside target, 60k waits as a weekly and physiological target.
We should wait until support or resistance levels of the current sideways trading range is broken and verify the direction with a swing failure.
Note that there are many bull and bear traps now, so don't FOMO into anything, set your alerts and wait for confirmation before taking action.
But hey, what do i know :)
Trade safe!
Possible beginning of accumulation on AUD/USDHello my beauties.
I noticed that the pair has come to a nice selling climax, and given the strength of the AR (automatic reaction) in proximity of the long term bearish trendline that was broken to the upside, I see this as a possible accumulation. Personally, I will wait for a nice spring below the TR (trading range, in red) to enter a long trade and gain some nice profit. We are going to wait for further development of price action to take the trade, and wait for a nice buying opportunity below the bottom red line.
If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair.
Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value.
Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
GBP/JPY BULL! Wyckoff reaccumulation schematics!Hello my beauties.
It seems to me that GBP/JPY is reaccumulating.
The arrows indicate a rough idea of what I think the price action will provide us with, and they are not to be taken as an accurate forecast of what I think will happen.
If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair.
Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value.
Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
Dust Settles In A Trading Range (More Accumulation!)Hi all,
My last post was at the begining of the uptrend which is still in play however with a correction and sideways accumulation right under the sell wall.
That said, there's nothing concerning right now and i did not make any changes to my position.
However, since we are in a sideways trading range, we have an opportunity to take a short at the top and long at the bottom.
So, i will be looking for invalidation of an upswing at 49k before taking a short and vice versa for the downswing at 43k.
For risk management and hedging purposes, i'll not short 100% of my account, but instead between 15% - 50% and keep both positions open, unless one of them gets invalidated.
BTW, My 100k target has changed as we have continued accumulation. I'm now looking at $123k as the pnf horizontal count suggests and we keep on accumulating!
Normally i don't trade intraday charts, but this is a good opportunity i don't want to miss and besides, i'd like to practice some swing trade as i have lots of free time now :)
As always, trade safe!
Post-Post-Profit Reentry at PCZ of Bearish Shark: Round 3This will be the third bearish trade i'v taken in on XLM and the second bearish trade i have taken in this zone. It's funny how it just keeps coming back and giving us entries at the same price level. Anyways; The stop loss entry and targets remain the same as they were from the first and second trade.
Natural Gas Inverse ETF Looking Bullish In RangeNatural Gas is looking bearish with a potential bearish ABCD:
There for in an attempt to play this bearish move down i will be looking into trading this inverted ETF.
This ETF seems to be trading near the bottom of a long term trading range that has never been broken in it's 10 years history while showing MACD Bullish Divergence and being Oversold on the RSI so i see this as the perfect place to buy.
Here's My PlanAs we are reaching to the top of the trading range, FOMO is kicking in, but remember at 29k, we were all expecting to go down. Same goes here, we are all expecting to go up, yet we are still in the trading range.
It's important to hold on to your feelings now and stick with the plan or you risk buying the top.
Next levels i'm watching are:
40.841 - Top of trading range set by Automatic Rally
41.330 - Upthrust June High
43.988 - This is the definition of bear market at 200MA
Breakout will be above 41.330 and i'm planning to buy above this level with 15% of my portfolio, leaving 85% for a possible pull back from 43.988. This could be a rally to the death cross (200MA & 128MA), i'm always being cautious. I'll increase my position above 44k.
Hold on, it did not happen and may not happen.
Bitcoin BTC - What is next after the pump and dump? Buy or sell?Bitcoin BTC - What is next after the pump and dump
Dear friends
You see here the 12 hours chart of Bitcoin. This is therefore a medium term analysis. We see that after the pump and dump action that Bitcoin has dropped and is still in the trading range. This range is between the gray zones from 28800 to 42000 USD.
How do we proceed in this range is the big question. In a range, a stochastics or other oscillator works best. So below is a stochastics and it is now crossed and in overbought modus.
The best time to take a long position is at the bottom of the range and a short position (or just no position and sidelines ) when the price is at the top of the range. So currently Bitcoin is somewhere in the middle.
Right now the stochastics is suggesting a decline because it has crossed and is over bought.
For going long, the best buying moment is to wait for the Stochastics indicator to drop below the 20 level and then make a cross upwards or go short with a stop at 42000 when the price of Bitcoin hit the upper boundery of the trading range. You can also use Candlestick patterns at the top and the bottom for entry signals and of course you need to zoom in on a lower timeframe like the 4 and 1 hour. This will help to find a more precise entry.
A divergence in the stochastics is extra confirmation but as you already know, it is not always happening. By the way friends, you do not need to be in the market all the time unless you are trading on the very short term. Of course you have the problem that the market goes on 24 hours a day and therefore also when you are sleeping...
The stop loss is exactly below 28800 for Longs and 42000 for short positions.
So now it is waiting see Bitcoin going to the bottom or top of the range for a low risk high reward trade. This is because the stop can be placed close to the entry and the targets are far away. In the middle it is much more risky because of the chaotic price behaviour and manipulation.
What is the expectation now? A rectangle after a drop (red arrow) is a continuation pattern. The longer it lasts the more reliable it is. This does not mean that it always happens. It may be that we break out on the upside but again according to the rules of TA it is on the downside.
If this is reliable now with the unlimited printing of central bank Dollars en Euro's with the trillons that is the question. We see in the stockmarket already a rise since the central banks are printing unlimited dollars and we now even have all time highs. This happens all in a period of Covid, huge rise in debt and more. So it is very clear that the money is just indirectly injected in the markets what prohibits a stockmarket crash already for 10 years in a row). Bitcoin however did decline 50% but now it is integrated in more special funds, so the impact of the printed Dollars will increase for sure.
What are the targets if we get a breakout? That is the largest move in the range that is projected on a breakout to the upside or to the downside of the range.
A breakout below 28800 has a target of 17500 usd and a breakout above 53000 usd. It is clear and simple which is always the best!
The ideal time to buy on a breakout however is after a retest of the breakout level. see the chart for examples.
Very important: After a breakout the stochastics can be a long time in overbought or oversold mode because oscillators work well in a trading range but not in a trending market.
Can you trade within the range? Yes perfectly possible if you trade on shorter timeframes. However, this analysis is for the medium term. The longer the time frame the more reliable the results are because the noise has been filtered out.
--- > In this market I advice to use tight stops. <---
Please share your thoughts and idea's below dear friends. What do you think and why do you think it with or without a chart.
I wish you all good luck with trading!
Disclaimer This is my view, no advice to buy or sell. Also always do your own research!
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Crypto Markets In Trouble : Potential Wyckoff Warning SignWhat is TOTAL2?
The TOTAL2 Shows us the Total Market Capitilisation of Cryptocurrencies (TOTAL MARKET VALUE) the amount of money in crypto excluding Bitcoin basically.
Investing and trading based on price alone is like seeing the tip of an iceberg in the vast ocean, analyzing the Market Cap of cryptocurrencies is a great way to gauge the strength of Altcoins and the Market in general.
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Potential Wyckoff Distribution:
Trading ranges ( TRs ) are places where the previous trend (up or down) has been halted and there is relative equilibrium between supply and demand . Institutions and other large professional interests prepare for their next bull (or bear) campaign as they accumulate (or distribute) shares within the TR .
In both accumulation and distribution TRs , the Composite Man is actively buying and selling - the difference being that, in accumulation, the shares purchased outnumber those sold while, in distribution, the opposite is true. The extent of accumulation or distribution determines the cause that unfolds in the subsequent move out of the TR ."
See the Wyckoff Distribution Schematic here for comparison:
www.wyckoffanalytics.com
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Thoughts:
In this particular trading range we can see that the SUPPLY clearly outweighs the demand, with the equilibrium now falling below the initial formation of the trading range you can see on the left.
Unless this gets back above 850 billion or so with the creation of a Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern (marked with yellow trendline) we are entering another potential mark down phase for Cryptocurrencies.
Click this image to learn about Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern:
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See my Bitcoin Distribution idea here for comparison:
(Click and hit PRESS PLAY)
Note the clear LPSY Last Point of Supply where BTC rallied with low volume and failed to get back inside the Trading Range. It is one of the key characteristics of DISTRIBUTION patterns.
KSM to $2 Is Very Probable.KSM is in quite the range right now and if we don't get back above $246 soon we could be looking forward to alot of pain on this coin in the future.
The bulls most hold the 0.886 as support and if it it fails then the only remaining place to go would be the 1.13 all the way down at $2.07 I lean mostly bearish on this one until it proves itself.
Bitcoin Bullish Case Review w/ Volume ProfileNow that Elon & Jack had "the talk" and price jumped 6.5% as of writing, lets look at the charts and review the bullish case.
I've first shared the volume profile analysis back in July 8th. At the time i published this analysis 134.000 or an extrapolated $18.76 Billion worth of Bitcoin was sold.
Note that the number of Bitcoins are JUST Binance numbers. We multiply this by 4 as the market size of Binance is 25%
As of today, right after Elon & Jack's "the talk" this number rose to 146.000 . Adding another 12.000 Bitcoin to the sell side! Yesterday this number was around 154.000, so just today 8.000 Bitcoin's were added to the buy side and that's it. That's the pump!
Again, these figures are Binance only.
So, when i compare 8.000 against 146.000, i cannot see any sign of strength other than manipulators wanting to sell you more Bitcoin using this event as hopium.
Instead, you want to focus on perhaps the most important yet underrated event just happened yesterday as the break of 30k! You might say so what? Supports and resistances are meant to break, but this one was different. It was the low of May, a monthly low AND the low of the current trading range, which must not have been lost - at all costs!
Composite Operator wants us to focus on the 6% price increase today, but they already took down 30k, ready to be slashed!
I'm not a bear as a default, but i learned the hard way that these hopiums don't end well for me. That's why i stick with my analysis and the bullish case which will turn me bullish.
So my bullish case is;
1- The grey area above is the overbought zone, it needs to be crossed
2- 37k stands as the sign of strength and needs to be reclaimed
3- 41.3k is the upper resistance of the current trading range, needs to be crossed
When these conditions are met, i will consider being bullish, along with other parameters like volume. Since i have existed at 40k, i have no problem getting back in at 42k and i've stated this on many of my analysis.
Todays price action was just noise and didn't even print anything on a p&f chart. What has printed on p&f was the break of 30k and that's the only data point i care about now. It's still pointing 14-16k.
Yours faithfully.
PS. I've added a free resource page in my signature so everyone who invests time, can learn technical analysis.
Bull Trap AheadHi Bitcoiners,
Today, i want to take a look at P&F chart as it filters out most of the noise in price action.
Notice how the volume was lower during the rally at the same price than our current volume. This alone indicates whales and institutions are net selling, each day, slowly.
But, let's say we are in accumulation and we will go up. Then here is the list of resistances we need to clear out in order to call it a new uptrend, because remember we are bound into a sideways trading range and we are still in it.
Bullish case:
1- Close above 35.500, ideally 36.500 and we have a new higher high
2- Break above 37k where the point of control (price with the highest volume) AND the supply down trend crosses
3- Break and close above 41.346 and exit the trading range
So, we have quite a few challenges before going to the moon.
The second chart i'd like to share is the monthly chart. You want to look at higher timeframes in times like this in order to avoid traps, noise and false signals.
Again, notice how the volume is above the average. The aim of these drops is to exhaust supply or the sellers. I don't see any shortage of sellers right now.
And the daily candlesctik chart. In the last 8 days we have a textbook bearish pattern called the "falling tree". It happens after a downtrend with 3 consecutive bullish candles. Read more here www.investopedia.com
Speaking of candles, i'm watching daily candles slowly in the making and realized it's being engineered rather than a market action. We can easily see this on the session volume profiles on a daily chart.
This chart is like an x-ray of candlesticks. You can see how the dump was started with such a small volume and giving us a fake rally with small volumes just to match support lines, while plebs are buying.
So, i need the bullish case events i mentioned above to happen in order to become bullish. You don't want to FOMO here and besides, if we are going to $100k, we'll have plenty of chances to get back in.
You may even call it a rule, never trade within a sideways trading range, you may get chopped off.
Trade safe and beware of traps!
This is the resistance on AMC that you want to see broken! 😎Yes, we are inside a range, and it is pretty easy to trade ranges: Buy near 51.87, sell near 64.95. I like to trade ranges because the stop-loss are always so small, and the potential reward are always great.
Now, AMC might hit the 64.95 again. The breakpoint is the 60.23, once broken, this will lead AMC to the upper level of this congestion.
The 20ma is pointing up, and this is very good.
It is pretty rare to see the RSI near 100, and AMC is one example of this weird phenomena. Is there a possibility that it’ll break the 64.95 and fly to the 80s, or even 100s? Yes, and that’s why we must be careful here. Personally, I don’t like to short these stocks, just to buy near supports and see what’s the deal.
The black lines are seen here once again to help us understand what’s going on, and which points we should trade. Now I would wait for AMC break the pivot in the 30min and hit the 64.95 again, before anything else.
If you are holding AMC, the 64.95 is the breakpoint you want to see broken.
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
See you soon,
Melissa.