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Bitcoin: to buy or not to buy? This is the question.In our last article, we analyzed the prospects of BTC and wrote that in long-term movement, expectations are almost bullish. This week Bitcoin is on the rise again, pushing over the $40,000 mark for the first time since late May.
The latest news is mostly positive for crypto:
+ BTC adopted as national currency (by El Salvador). A world first!
+ Elon Musk has changed his mind. 😊 And maybe Tesla will accept BTC again.
+ Institutional players are loyal to cryptocurrency. Microstrategy plans to have 5% of its portfolio in BTC.
- Indonesia’s central bank will prohibit the use of cryptocurrencies as a payment tool.
So, let’s deep dive into the crypto market news and charts analysis.
BTC and El Salvador: is it an honor to be a legal tender of a country in anarchy?
El Salvador became the first country to make bitcoin a legal tender alongside the dollar. El Salvador’s government also announced a plan to use volcanic thermal energy for BTC mining. Sounds surreal, but it’s true. The Crypto community is excited about this news! Google searches for “El Salvador” reached an all-time high (ATH) following the announcement.
Nayib Bukele stated that the government would give citizenship to individuals who invest bitcoin in the country’s economy.
To be honest, I doubt There will be a large number of applicants. El Salvador isn’t a rich country. For comparison, BTC capitalisation is 20 times more than the GDP of El Salvador (in 2020 GDP it was 24.61 billion US dollars).
The criminal situation in the country is dangerous. El Salvador’s homicide rate is among the world’s highest. Gangs exercise territorial control over specific neighborhoods and extort residents throughout the country. Approximately 60,000 gang members operate in at least 247 of the country’s 262 municipalities, according to media sources.
In conclusion, I think it's hard to call the news of BTC adoption in such a country as El Salvador, 100% positive. It’s a milestone, but the question remains whether the designation of bitcoin as legal tender by a country with high-level corruption and criminality has mechanical implications for its treatment in much larger economies under tax law, banking and financial regulations, and other areas.
What about crypto adoption in other countries?
The president of Tanzania Samia Suluhu Hassan told the East African nation’s financial chiefs to prepare for the wider adoption of cryptocurrency around the world while in the US, the Texas Department of Banking issued a notice last week confirming that state-chartered banks could hold Bitcoin.
But it doesn’t mean that all governments have started to be more friendly toward cryptocurrencies. Indonesia’s central bank will prohibit the use of cryptocurrencies as a payment tool. But, at the same time, the country is preparing to launch the CBDC.
Elon Musk and his Twitter tweets. Yes, again.
The main source for the latest push in BTC is Elon Musk (sometimes I call him “Chief of the Crypto Central bank”. Jokingly, of course.) But Elon’s impact on the crypto-community is huge!
The Tesla boss suggested that Tesla could start using the digital currency as payment once more if 50% of the energy for its mining would be ‘green’. Seems like the idea with El Salvador’s volcanoes has at least one follower, a quite important one.And that just a month after ruling it out, because of the allegedly unsustainable energy usage involved in mining.
After the previous announcement, BTC’s price jumped. Then, when Musk tweeted that bitcoin wouldn’t be accepted and Tesla cited environmental concerns, the price dropped significantly.
Another strange thing: Elon Musk sent his previous important tweets about BTC payments and the energy usage involved in mining on the 13th of May and then his new announcement exactly 1 month later - on the 13th of June. Looks like a content strategy. We’re waiting for July.
Institutional players are loyal to cryptocurrency.
In our last article, we showed that short-term investors had sold off their BTC holdings during the recent crash. But some long-term holders have since doubled down. Such is the case with MicroStrategy.
In an official statement on Monday, MicroStrategy disclosed that it has completed the sales of secured notes due in 2028, raising approximately $488 million, all of which the business intelligence company will use to acquire more Bitcoin. The company further plans to allocate another $1 billion in the primary cryptocurrency after a new stock offering.
If it’s not clear from all the complicated words, this is the workflow:
1. Raise the capital (sell the stocks).
2. Buy BTC.
Simple and brilliant idea! If you’re an IT giant.
However, just as a reminder, self-trading on borrowing or debt is a dangerous strategy. The same as walking through the night-time streets of El Salvador, flaunting your new Rolex.
Institutional investors were keen on the MicroStrategy offer. The company reportedly received more than $1.5 billion in orders, while its shares surged by over 15% following the announcement. This suggests investors are still bullish on the future of Bitcoin despite the recent market correction.
What about the BTC price?
At the moment of writing, Bitcoin is at $39,271, recovering and breaking out of its recent trading range, having collapsed from a record peak of almost $65,000 in April.
If we have a look at the smaller time frame, we can see that the price is still inside the range. However, after potentially breaching the nearest resistant level at $40-41,000 per BTC, the next target will be at $50,000
Disclaimer:
All investment strategies and investments involve the risk of loss. Nothing contained in this article should be construed as investment advice. Any reference to an investment's past or potential performance is not, and should not be construed as a recommendation or as a guarantee of any specific outcome or profit.
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Olga Prokhorova
Chief Educational Officer
VRM trade
Matic (polygon) cup and handle pattern Stop Loss: $1.83
Entry: $1.93
Take profit: $2.15
These are my favorite patterns to trade.
Have a Green Day!
Ada Falling Wedge set upAfter a lot of market manipulation we can see a clear structure being formed on the daily chart of Cardano (ADA). We have a clear falling wedge pattern with nice indicator’s talking my kind of language!
Be cautious trading this week folks, lots of Tom foolery going on. Set your stop losses and enjoy a hopefully green week!
Be sure to take this trade after the retest of the top of the falling wedge pattern turning the resistance into support. This will be your best entry point!
Entry: $1.5875
Stop Loss: $1.3192
Take Profit: $2.5472
ADA Sell a break of $2ADAUSDT - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 1.996 (stop at 2.091)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Trading close to the psychological 2.000 level.
We need to see a break of bespoke support (at 2.000) to confirm the negative outlook.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Our profit targets will be 1.751 and 1.571
Resistance: 2.200 / 2.400 / 2.500
Support: 2.000 / 1.850 / 1.750
STXUSDT Binance Long STXUSDT Chart
Entry Point : Below 1.98
Stop Loss : 1.9163
Tp1 : 2.02
Tp2 : 2.08
Tp3 : 2.19
This is not a financial advise, Just a trading Idea.
Profit or Loss Belongs to the trader only!!
If you like my Ideas Support Me with USDT at my TRC20 address:
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$FTXP Target PTs .014-.0155-.017Foothills Exploration, Inc., an independent oil and gas exploration and production company, engages in the acquisition and development of oil and natural gas properties. Its primary focus is the U.S. Rocky Mountain region. The company holds approximately 34,000 acres in the Greater Green River and Wind River Basins of Wyoming and 7,800 acres in the Uinta Basin of Utah. Foothills Exploration, Inc. is based in Los Angeles, California.
USD/JPY long idea USD is seeing strength due to the stimulus package that will be signed soon and the JPY has been one of the weakest pairs for a few weeks now. price has broken a significant area of sensitivity and saw consolidation, we now see a break of its mid range area of sensitivity where now we will be looking for price action back to this zone and entry confirmation on Monday morning London open
EURUSD at turning point - Sell SignalRule one of Forex analysis: Look left.
Price is retesting this pivot area that has acted as past support and now resistance. I expect price to drop down to the next level.
Indicators:
1. Strong daily resistance.
2. RSI in sell zone on daily.
3. Bull candlestick exhaustion.
Good luck and let me know if I can help in any way.
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made Simple
Jan 2021: 14%
AUDCAD H1 - SHORTBearish bat pattern formation if we get a D-completion. We are looking for selling pressure and any sort of bearish price action before taking this opportunity. Note that the bullish momentum has to slow down before taking this trade otherwise, we may be blown away by the bullish momentum charging into our completion zone.
GBPCAD Triangle Formation - Sell SignalGBPCAD in a triangle formation with a bias to the south side.
Weekly RSI oversold and looking for a correctional move south.
Price hitting top of channel and looking to bounce off of it.
Sell @ top of channel around 1.7470
TP @ 1.7200
Good luck and let me know if I can help in any ways!
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made Simple
2020 Growth: 206%
EURUSD Sell Opportunity 300 PipsEURUSD has broken up trend line and tested the backside of it. We are looking for a 300 pip move to the south towards 1.1947 area.
Expect a retrace north to entry 1 and 2 and look to sell south.
Weekly technicals lining up perfectly for a south correctional move: RSI & broken trend line
Good luck and let me know if I can help in any ways!
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made Simple
2020 Growth: 206%
AUDJPY Bull Exhausting - Look to SellAUDJPY has been climbing up and also breaking the monthly down trendline. Long term I expect this price to climb up higher but there is an opportunity to capture the retrace here.
Look to enter at next resistance area of 80.60 targeting 78.50 with short stop loss OR
Wait for up trend line break and enter on the backside of it down to 77.50 area.
Once price heads back to 77.50 area I will be looking to buy beyond 80.00.
This is a good trade to keep on the side and watch and enter when we have our indicators.
Good luck and let me know if I can help in any ways!
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made Simple
2020 Growth: 206%
AUDUSD Right Tip Sell1. Weekly/Daily RSI in sell zone.
2. Over extension on AUDUSD, correction incoming.
3. Up trend line broken, waiting for retest
4. Right Tip to be created for a sell entry.
Entry @ 0.7560 - 0.7600
TP 1@ 0.7520
TP 2@ 0.7430
Good luck and let me know if I can help in any ways!
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made Simple
EURAUD Buy - Demand ZoneBe patient with your trades. Despite this trade not following the king's crown reversal, price tested to bottom of the Demand zone and large support area.
Look to enter near current price range of 1.6140 and take profit at supply zone.
Follow technicals and patience will pay off.
Good luck and let me know if I can help in any way.
Charles V
CVFX Management
Trading made Simple