Tradingsignals
GBPUSD - its breakout? what's next??#GBPUSD.. as you know guys our area was 1.3035 and in first go market boke that area but then drop towards bottom due to tariff implantation.
now market again break our area in today so if that is clear breakout then we can expect a further bounce towards 3400 and 1.3500
good luck
trade wisely
AUDJPYWe see in Australia against the Japanese yen two scenarios, i.e. the trend is completed to the downside, or if 90.449 is breached, it begins to rise, and we target 93.498 and 92.332, but most likely the scenario is an upward trend that will be activated, i.e. we wait for the taki candle after the breach.
Quantum's T (AT&T) Trading Guide 4/11/25T (AT&T Inc.)
Sentiment
• Sentiment is neutral with a bearish tilt. April 10 options activity shows put-heavy volume at $26 strikes, reflecting caution. RSI (14) at ~50 (estimated, flat trend at $26.40 close) suggests indecision. X posts highlight concerns over telecom debt loads and tariff risks on equipment imports, but some speculate on institutional accumulation below $26.50. A liquidity sweep below $26.33 could trigger a bullish reversal if buy-side liquidity is tapped.
Catalyst: Potential sweep below $26.33 may spark short covering.
Tariff Impact - Rating: Moderate.
• Explanation: T relies on imported telecom equipment, facing cost pressures from tariffs on China (active as of April 11). No relief announced, so margins could tighten, capping upside. X posts suggest tariff fears weigh on sentiment, but domestic revenue focus limits fundamental damage.
News/Catalysts
• Driver: Flat telecom sector performance on April 10, with T holding steady amid mixed market signals. X posts cited stability but no clear catalyst.
• Upcoming: CPI (April 11): High CPI could hurt T (-1.5%) due to rate hike fears; low CPI may lift it (+1%) as a yield play.
• Retail Sales (April 15): Strong data supports T (+1%); weak data pressures (-1%) due to consumer spending risks.
Technical Setup
Weekly Chart:
• HVN: $26.00 support (bullish).
• LVN: $27.00 resistance (neutral).
• EMA Trend: 8-week ≈ 13-week > 48-week (neutral).
• RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
• MACD: Near signal line (neutral).
• Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral).
• Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral).
• Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral).
• ADR: Stable (neutral).
• VWAP: At VWAP $26.40 (neutral).
• ICT/SMC: No clear MSS; consolidation phase.
One-Hour Chart:
• Support/Resistance: Support at $26.33; resistance at $26.56. Stance: neutral.
• RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
• MACD: Near zero (neutral).
• Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral).
• Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral).
• Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral).
• VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral).
• ICT/SMC: Sell-side liquidity below $26.33; OB at $26.40; FVG at $26.35–$26.45; OTE at $26.45; no displacement.
10-Minute Chart:
• Closing Move: Flat into close.
• EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs flat (neutral).
• RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
• MACD: Near zero (neutral).
• VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral).
• ICT/SMC: Potential sweep below $26.33; OTE at $26.45; no clear entry signal yet.
Options Data
• GEX: Neutral, pinning at $26.50. Dealers hedge minimally.
• DEX: Put delta bias (-0.15), bearish pressure.
• IV: Low (~18%), limited swings.
• OI: Put-heavy (55% puts at $26), capping upside.
Cem Karsan’s Application:
• Weekly Trading Breakdown: OI at $26 suggests pinning. Low gamma limits volatility; vanna neutral; charm favors puts near OPEX.
• Strategy: Buy $26.50 calls at $26.45 (OTE), exit at $27, profit $0.30, risk $0.40. Ties to sweep below $26.33.
• Vanna: Stable IV, no dealer-driven lift.
• Charm: Puts gain delta near OPEX, pressuring $26.
Timeframe Analysis:
• Weekly (exp. April 18): Put OI at $26, low IV, bearish stance.
• Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, neutral stance.
• 3-Month (exp. July 18): Neutral outlook.
• Directional Bias: Neutral, leaning bearish unless sweep triggers reversal.
Sympathy Plays
• Correlated Assets: VZ (+1%), CCI (+0.5%).
• Opposite Mover: If T fades, risk-on SPOT rises (+1%).
Sector Positioning with RRG - Sector: Communication Services – Telecom.
• RRG Position: Lagging vs. XLC, reflecting weak momentum.
Targets
• Bullish: +2% to $27.00 (OB).
• Bearish: -2% to $25.87 (FVG).
Quantum's KR Trading Guide 4/11/25
KR (Kroger Company)
Sentiment
• Analysis: Market sentiment for KR is neutral leaning bullish. Post-close options activity on April 10 shows balanced put/call volume, with slight call dominance at strikes near $69, suggesting cautious optimism. RSI (14) at the April 10 close (estimated ~60 based on recent uptrend to $67.96) indicates momentum without overbought conditions, supporting a potential continuation. Anonymized X chatter highlights speculation on grocery sector stability amid tariff uncertainties, with some noting KR’s domestic focus as a hedge against import risks. A potential liquidity sweep above recent highs ($68.76) could signal institutional buying, setting up a reversal to the upside.
Catalyst: Watch for a sweep above $68.76 triggering bullish momentum, driven by retail investor interest on X.
Tariff Impact - Rating: Minimal.
• Explanation: KR’s exposure to tariffs is limited due to its primarily domestic supply chain and focus on U.S.-sourced goods. While imported specialty products could face cost pressures, these are a small fraction of revenue. No tariff relief or escalation was announced on April 10, so sentiment remains stable. Fundamentals are unaffected, but speculative X posts suggest tariff fears could cap upside unless clarity emerges.
News/Catalysts
• No specific company news on April 10, but sector strength in consumer staples drove modest gains, with KR benefiting from defensive positioning amid broader market volatility. X posts noted KR as a “safe play” in uncertain times.
• Upcoming: CPI Data (Today, April 11): Stronger-than-expected CPI could pressure consumer staples (-1% move) as investors rotate to cyclicals; weaker CPI could boost KR (+2%) as a defensive name.
• Retail Sales (April 15): Robust data may signal consumer strength, lifting KR (+1.5%); weak data could hurt (-1%) due to spending concerns.
Technical Setup
Weekly Chart:
• HVN: $66.50 as support (bullish, price above).
• LVN: $70.00 as resistance (neutral, price below).
• EMA Trend: 8-week > 13-week > 48-week (bullish uptrend).
• RSI (14): ~62 (bullish, above 50).
• MACD: Above signal line (bullish).
• Bollinger Bands: Near upper band (bullish).
• Donchian Channels: Above midline (bullish).
• Williams %R: ~-20 (neutral, not overbought).
• ADR: Expanding (bullish, volatility rising).
• VWAP: Above weekly VWAP at $67.00 (bullish).
• ICT/SMC: Higher highs/lows confirm bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS).
One-Hour Chart:
• Support/Resistance: Support at $67.50 (weekly HVN confluence); resistance at $68.76 (daily high). Stance: bullish above support.
• RSI (14): ~65 (bullish).
• MACD: Above signal (bullish).
• Bollinger Bands: At upper band (neutral, potential pullback).
• Donchian Channels: Above midline (bullish).
• Williams %R: ~-15 (neutral).
• VWAP: Above hourly VWAP at $68.20 (bullish).
• ICT/SMC: Buy-side liquidity above $68.76; Order Block (OB) at $67.50 demand zone; FVG at $68.00–$68.10; OTE (Fib 61.8%) at $68.30; displacement seen in early April 11 rally.
10-Minute Chart:
• Closing Move: Strong rally into April 10 close, holding above $67.96.
• EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs rising (bullish).
• RSI (14): ~60 (neutral).
• MACD: Above zero (bullish).
• VWAP: Above VWAP at $68.30 (bullish).
• ICT/SMC: Liquidity sweep above $68.40 in pre-market; retracement to OTE at $68.30; pin bar forming as entry signal.
Options Data
• GEX: Neutral, slight bullish pinning at $68. Dealers may buy stock to hedge, supporting price at $68–$69. Explanation: Gamma Exposure balances calls/puts, stabilizing price near strikes.
• DEX: Moderate call delta bias (+0.25), indicating bullish pressure. Explanation: Net call buying drives directional momentum.
• IV: Moderate (~22%, near norm), suggesting steady swings. Explanation: Implied Volatility supports consistent options pricing.
• OI: Call-heavy (60% calls at $69 strike), favoring upside momentum. Explanation: Open Interest at $69 signals potential breakout target.
Cem Karsan’s Application:
• Weekly Trading Breakdown: High call OI at $69 (exp. April 18) suggests pinning or breakout potential. Gamma supports stability at $68; vanna indicates dealers buy on IV spikes to 23%, lifting price. Charm accelerates delta near OPEX, favoring $69 calls if in-the-money.
• Strategy: Buy $69 calls at $68.30 (OTE), exit at $69.50, profit $0.50, risk $0.40. Ties to liquidity sweep above $68.76, targeting $69 OB.
• Vanna: Rising IV to 23% could push dealers to buy, lifting KR to $69 (bullish).
• Charm: Near OPEX, $69 calls hold delta if ITM, boosting volatility.
Timeframe Analysis:
• Weekly (exp. April 18): 60% call OI at $69, moderate IV, bullish stance.
• Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, stable IV, neutral stance.
• 3-Month (exp. July 18): Slight call skew, low IV, bullish outlook.
• Directional Bias: Bullish, driven by call OI, positive GEX, and OTE setup at $68.30.
Sympathy Plays
• Correlated Assets: WMT (+2% if KR rallies), COST (+1.5%).
• Opposite Mover: If KR rallies (defensive), risk-on names like SHOP fade (-1%).
Sector Positioning with RRG
• Sector: Consumer Staples – Food Retail.
• RRG Position: Improving vs. XLP ETF, aligning with bullish sentiment and technicals.
Targets
• Bullish: +3% to $70.50 (next liquidity zone, OB at $70).
• Bearish: -2% to $66.60 (FVG at $66.50).
Don't Let It Slip Away: Dragon Signal Active on EUR/USDHi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential Dragon pattern with long opportunity:
🔹 Entry: 1.0956
🔹 TP: 1.11367
🔹 SL: 1.07787
Price action has formed a classic Dragon pattern — two symmetrical legs and a clear head, with the neckline (the hump) being retested as support. Currently, the pair is testing the neckline zone just above the 200 EMA. RSI is mid-range and curving up, showing early signs of bullish momentum.
If the neckline holds, we may see a strong bullish wave toward 1.1136. This pattern often leads to explosive upside moves once confirmed.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
Gold Price Analysis April 10D1 candle confirms that the buyers have returned to the market with an increase of more than 100 prices. The retest points are considered buying opportunities to break ATH
3100 is a notable point for the Buy signal in this European trading session. Today's trading strategy is quite simple when a strong uptrend has just formed, we will wait for the retest points to 3100-3080-3056 for the BUY signal to break ATH. On the other hand, if gold does not test before, we can Sell Scalp around 3133 again, when it breaks, do not SELL anymore but wait for the retest of 3133 to buy up to 3162.
Have a nice day everyone
GBP/USD Faces Crucial Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 GBP/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025
GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2696, facing significant resistance near the 1.2800 level. After a recent decline from the 1.3434 peak, the pair has been consolidating, forming a range between 1.2740 and 1.2860. The market's reaction to these levels will be crucial in determining the next directional move.
📈 Current Market Structure:
The recent price action indicates a neutral to bearish trend for GBP/USD. The pair has formed lower highs and higher lows, creating a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting indecision in the market. A breakout from this pattern, either above 1.2860 or below 1.2740, will likely set the tone for the next significant move.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
1.2800: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a potential bullish move.
1.2860: Upper boundary of the current range. A decisive break above this level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
1.2933: Significant resistance zone. If the price manages to break above this level, it could lead to further gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
1.2740: Lower boundary of the current range. A break below this level could indicate a bearish reversal.
1.2720: Short-term support. Failure to hold above this level might lead to a deeper correction.
1.2580: Major support zone. A drop below this level would confirm a bearish trend.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
The formation of a symmetrical triangle suggests that the market is awaiting a catalyst for the next move. Traders should watch for a breakout from this pattern, as it will likely lead to increased volatility and a clear directional bias.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 1.2860, especially with strong volume, could lead to a rally toward 1.2933 and potentially higher levels.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
A break below 1.2740 could trigger a decline toward 1.2720, with further downside potential if the support at 1.2580 is breached.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is currently consolidating within a defined range, with key levels at 1.2740 and 1.2860. The next significant move will depend on a breakout from this range, providing clarity on the market's direction. Traders should monitor these levels closely and prepare for increased volatility as the pair approaches these boundaries.
💬 What’s your outlook for GBP/USD? Will the pair break above 1.2860, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below 👇
Quantum's HIMS Trading Guide 4/10/25 HIMS (Hims & Hers Health, Inc.) - Sector: Healthcare (Telehealth)
Sentiment: Bullish. Post-close call volume steady, RSI ~58 (up from ~55), Amplified GLP-1 demand—speculation persists despite tariff noise.
Tariff Impact: Minimal. Domestic focus shields HIMS; 104% China tariffs irrelevant unless generics supply tightens.
News/Catalysts:
Current: tariff pause softens market fear.
Upcoming: Retail Sales (April 15)—strong data could lift +5%; Fed rate outlook (May 2025)—cut signals might push +7%.
Technical Setup:
--Weekly Chart:
---HVN $30 (resistance), support ~$25.45.
---Uptrend (8-week EMA > 13-week > 48-week).
---RSI ~58, MACD above signal,
---Bollinger Bands upper band,
---Donchian Channels above midline,
---Williams %R -25.
--One-Hour Chart:
---Support $28.50, resistance $29.50.
---RSI ~60,
---MACD above signal,
---Bollinger Bands upper band,
---Donchian Channels above midline,
---Williams %R -20.
--10-Minute Chart:
---8/13/48 EMAs up,
---RSI ~62,
---MACD rising.
Options Data:
--GEX: Bullish—pinning near $29.
--DEX: Bullish—call delta dominates.
--IV: High—~50–55% vs. norm 45–50%.
--OI: Call-heavy—above $29.
Timeframe Analysis:
---Weekly: OI call-heavy (70% calls at $30), IV high (55%)—bullish, speculative push.
---Monthly: OI call-leaning (65% calls at $30–$32), IV moderate (50%)—bullish trend.
---3-Month: OI call-heavy (75% calls at $32), IV moderate (45%)—bullish long-term.
Directional Bias:
---Bullish. GEX/DEX and call OI signal strong upside; high IV fuels volatility—intraday breakout potential.
Sympathy Plays:
---TDOC rises with HIMS; AMWL gains with HIMS.
---Opposite: HIMS rallies → WMT fades.
Sector Positioning with RRG: Leading Quadrant (Healthcare vs. XLV)—growth persists.
Targets: Bullish +6% ($30.77); Bearish -3% ($28.16).
Gold Analysis April 9D1 frame is a Doji candle with unclear buying and selling power. but the market is still in the structure of a corrective downtrend.
H4 shows a strong increase from 2970 to 3050 due to data from fundamental analysis
Trading scenario: Gold is approaching the fionacci retracement zone. Pay attention to the two SELL zones today 3063-3065 and the zone 3089-3091.
For gold to move towards the upper SELL zone, gold needs to surpass 3047. If it does not break 3047 and close below 3039, wait for a retest to SELL to 3021 in the US session. If it does not break 3021, then BUY again in this zone. If it confirms closing below 3021, hold at 2990 today.
Explosive Breakout Setting Up on GBP/USD – Here's the Roadmap🔥 GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Timeframe | Market Poised for Breakout or Breakdown?
Key Support: 1.26888
Key Resistance: 1.28829
Market Structure: Consolidation with bullish undertones
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (pending confirmation)
🧠 Market Overview:
The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined horizontal channel on the 4-hour chart, oscillating between 1.26888 (major support) and 1.28829 (key resistance). This prolonged range-bound behavior reflects a market in balance, where buyers and sellers are cautiously awaiting a catalyst to drive the next impulsive move.
The price action suggests that this consolidation phase may be coming to an end soon. A breakout or breakdown from this tight range is likely to set the tone for the next major trend. Market participants should be alert to early breakout signals and volume surges as confirmation triggers.
📊 Price Structure and Key Observations:
The market has printed a series of higher lows within the consolidation range, indicating a subtle bullish pressure beneath the surface.
Price is hovering near the mid-range zone, consolidating after multiple failed breakout attempts at 1.28829.
A squeeze in volatility is evident from narrowing candlesticks and declining ATR, often preceding explosive directional moves.
🔍 Technical Indicators Breakdown:
✅ RSI (14):
Currently trading around the neutral zone at 50, showing no clear directional bias. However, higher lows on RSI suggest potential bullish divergence forming, which could be an early signal of upward momentum building up.
✅ MACD:
A recent bullish crossover below the zero line indicates potential for a shift in momentum. Histogram bars are starting to turn positive, supporting a near-term bullish scenario if price confirms with a breakout.
✅ Moving Averages:
Price is trading above the 50-period SMA, which has acted as dynamic support on several occasions.
The 200-period SMA remains below current price levels, indicating a medium-term bullish structure remains intact unless support is broken decisively.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above 1.28829 on strong bullish volume, it would represent a major breakout from the current range. This could open the door for a new impulsive leg to the upside.
Upside Targets:
🎯 1.29650 – Short-term resistance level from previous highs
🎯 1.30300 – Psychological round number and previous supply zone
🎯 1.31000 – Extended target aligned with Fibonacci 1.618 projection
Confirmation Factors:
Break + retest of 1.28829 as new support
RSI holding above 60
MACD expanding positively
❌ Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
Should the pair fail to break above 1.28829 and print a strong bearish rejection candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing), the pair could retest the lower support of 1.26888.
A clean break below 1.26888 with a decisive bearish close could signal a trend reversal, shifting sentiment toward the downside.
Downside Targets:
📉 1.26000 – Near-term psychological support
📉 1.25200 – Previous demand area and key fib level (61.8%)
📉 1.24400 – Long-term trendline support (if applicable)
⚙️ Trade Strategy & Risk Management:
Breakout Traders: Wait for a confirmed candle close outside the range (either above 1.28829 or below 1.26888) before entering. Avoid false breakouts by validating with volume and momentum indicators.
Range Traders: Continue fading the range boundaries (buy near 1.26888, sell near 1.28829) while the channel remains intact. Use tight stop-losses just beyond the range to mitigate whipsaw risks.
Swing Traders: A successful breakout presents excellent risk-reward setups for multi-day trades, especially if accompanied by high volatility and news catalysts (e.g., NFP, BoE/Fed announcements).
🧭 Conclusion:
The GBP/USD pair is coiling tightly within a critical decision zone between 1.26888 and 1.28829. The tightening price structure, supportive indicators, and market indecision suggest that a major breakout is imminent.
Whether bulls take control or bears force a breakdown will largely depend on macroeconomic catalysts and institutional order flow. Traders are advised to stay patient, let the market reveal its hand, and execute only on high-probability setups with clear confirmations.
This is not the time to chase the market—this is the time to prepare for the move.
💬 Let me know in the comments how you're positioning yourself on GBP/USD this week!
🔔 Follow for more real-time setups, macro breakdowns, and professional market insights.
📈 Stay sharp, stay technical.
Would you like me to generate a matching TradingView chart snapshot with drawn zones and notes to go with this analysis for posting?
Quantum's ZIM Trading Guide 4/8/25
NYSE:ZIM
(ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.) - Sector: Industrials (Shipping)
Sentiment:
--Bearish (slight softening). Pre-market put volume softened, RSI likely ~35 (down from ~38 with a -2.8% drop from $12.9608 to $12.591), X posts overnight mixed—tariff fears dominate, but LNG fleet news (10 new 11,500 TEU vessels announced April 8) offers faint hope, suggesting a less aggressive sell-off than March’s lows.
Tariff Impact:
--Severe. 10% universal tariffs raise fuel and container costs, with 46% Vietnam tariffs threatening Asia-U.S. routes (70%+ revenue). Sentiment overshadows fundamentals, though LNG fleet modernization and freight rate resilience provide a slight buffer.
News/Catalysts:
--Consumer Credit (April 8) could signal trade demand—weak data may deepen ZIM’s slide; X posts on the $2.3B LNG charter deal (announced April 8) and potential freight rate stabilization (e.g., Red Sea tensions) might spark a relief rally today.
Technical Setup:
--Weekly Chart:
---HVN near $15 as resistance (March 25 high: $15.2512), weekly low ~$12.4106 as support
---Downtrend (8-week EMA < 13-week < 48-week, reflecting $12–$20 range since March).
---RSI ~35 (weakening, near oversold),
---MACD below signal (histogram narrowing),
---Bollinger Bands at lower band,
---Donchian Channels below midline,
---Williams %R -80 (oversold).
-One-Hour Chart:
---Support at $12.81 (April 7 prev. close proxy), resistance at $13.547 (April 7 high), weekly confluence.
---RSI ~37, MACD below signal (histogram less negative),
---Bollinger Bands at lower band,
--- Donchian Channels below midline,
---Williams %R -78 (easing from oversold).
-10-Minute Chart:
---Pre-market drop to $12.591, 8/13/48 EMAs down, RSI ~35, MACD flat near zero.
Options Data:
--GEX: Bearish (softening)—pinning near $12.9608 eases pre-market, dealers less aggressive.
--DEX: Bearish—put delta leads but with reduced intensity.
--IV: High—~55–60% vs. norm 45–50%, reflecting tariff-driven volatility.
--OI: Put-heavy—OI concentrated below $13, capping upside momentum.
Directional Bias: Bearish (softening). GEX’s fading pinning reduces downside lock, DEX’s put delta sustains selling but softens, high IV supports volatility without sharp drops, and put-heavy OI anchors lower—bearish with less conviction.
Sympathy Plays:
--SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers): Falls if ZIM dumps (shipping correlation), rises if ZIM rebounds.
--MATX (Matson, Inc.): Drops with ZIM downside, gains if ZIM recovers.
--Opposite Mover: ZIM dumps → defensives like KO rally; ZIM rallies → SBLK/MATX surge.
Sector Positioning with RRG:
--Sector: Industrials (Shipping)
---RRG Position: Lagging Quadrant (slight improvement). ZIM’s pre-market softening from $12.9608 eases its lag vs. XLI, buoyed by LNG news.
Targets: Bullish +4% ($13.50, hourly resistance); Bearish -5% ($12.00, near April low).
Quantum's BAC Trading Guide 4/8/25BAC (Bank of America Corporation) - Sector: Financials (Banking)
Sentiment:
--Neutral (slight bullish tilt). Pre-market options lean call-heavy, RSI likely ~48 (up from ~45 with +1.8% from $35.58 to $36.23), X posts overnight mixed—rate fears vs. recovery hopes—suggesting a bounce from $34.19 (April 4).
Tariff Impact:
--Moderate. 10% tariffs could hit loan demand (trade-sensitive clients), but BAC’s diversified revenue softens impact. Sentiment drives here.
News/Catalysts:
--Consumer Credit (April 8) key—strong data could lift BAC; X posts on banking resilience or tariff delays might boost today.
Technical Setup:
-Weekly Chart:
---HVN near $37 as resistance, weekly low ~$34 as support (April 4: $34.19).
---Sideways (8-week EMA ≈ 13-week ≈ 48-week, reflecting $35–$40 range).
---RSI ~48 (neutral),
---MACD near signal (histogram flat),
---Bollinger Bands near midline,
---Donchian Channels at midline,
---Williams %R -50 (neutral).
-One-Hour Chart:
---Support at $35.58 (prev. close), resistance at $36.68 (day high), weekly alignment.
---RSI ~50, MACD near signal (histogram flat),
---Bollinger Bands near midline,
---Donchian Channels at midline,
---Williams %R -48 (neutral).
-10-Minute Chart:
---Pre-market uptick to $36.23, 8/13/48 EMAs flat-to-up, RSI ~52,
---MACD flat near zero.
Options Data:
--GEX: Neutral (slight bullish tilt)—pinning shifts mildly upward.
--DEX: Neutral (slight bullish tilt)—call delta edges out puts.
--IV: Low—~20–25% vs. norm 25–30%, steady post-drop.
--OI: Balanced (slight call tilt)—OI leans above $36.
--Directional Bias: Neutral (slight bullish tilt). GEX’s mild upward pinning, DEX’s call delta hint at buying, low IV limits big swings, and slight call-heavy OI nudges up—neutral with a bullish edge.
Sympathy Plays:
--JPM (JPMorgan Chase): Rises if BAC gains, falls if BAC fades.
--WFC (Wells Fargo): Gains with BAC upside, drops if BAC weakens.
--Opposite Mover: BAC rallies → cyclicals like ALK fade; BAC dumps → JPM/WFC soften.
Sector Positioning with RRG: --- Financials (Banking).
--RRG Position: Improving Quadrant. BAC’s bounce from $34.19 lifts it vs. XLF.
Targets: Bullish +2% ($36.95, hourly resistance); Bearish -2% ($35.50, hourly support).
Quantum's IWM Trading Guide 4/8/25IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) - Sector: Broad Small-Cap ETF (Russell 2000)
Sentiment:
--Bearish (softening). Pre-market put volume eased, RSI 44 up from 42, X posts overnight hint at an oversold bounce despite tariff fears, suggesting a less dire tone.
Tariff Impact:
--Moderate. Industrials/financials exposure persists.
News/Catalysts:
--Consumer Credit (April 8) could spark a relief rally if strong; X posts on tariff delays offer faint hope, though bearish bias lingers.
Technical Setup
-Weekly Chart:
---HVN above as resistance, weekly low as support.
---Downtrend (8-week EMA < 13-week < 48-week).
---RSI 44 (less weak), MACD below signal (histogram narrowing)
---Bollinger Bands near lower band,
---Donchian Channels below midline,
---Williams %R -70 (easing from -74).
-One-Hour Chart:
---Support at yesterday’s low, resistance at midday high, weekly confluence.
---RSI 42 (up from 40),
---MACD below signal (histogram less negative),
---Bollinger Bands near lower band,
---Donchian Channels below midline,
---Williams %R -72 (up from -76).
-10-Minute Chart:
---Pre-market bounce attempt, 8/13/48 EMAs flat (less steep),
---RSI 42 (up from 38),
---MACD flat near zero.
Options Data:
---GEX: Bearish (softening)—pinning pressure eased slightly overnight.
---DEX: Bearish (softening)—put delta leads but less aggressively.
---IV: Moderate—25–30% vs. 20–25% norm, steady volatility.
---OI: Put-heavy—high OI below close persists.
---Directional Bias: Bearish (softening). GEX’s reduced pinning suggests less dealer-driven downside, DEX’s put delta bias weakens, moderate IV supports some volatility but not extreme moves, and put-heavy OI anchors prices lower—still bearish but with less conviction.
Sympathy Plays:
--TNA (Direxion Small Cap Bull 3X): Falls 3x if IWM dumps, rises if IWM rebounds.
--TZA (Direxion Small Cap Bear 3X): Gains if IWM dumps, fades if IWM rallies.
--Opposite Mover: IWM dumps → TZA rallies; IWM rallies → TNA surges.
Sector Positioning with RRG:
--Sector: Broad Small-Cap ETF (Russell 2000).
--RRG Position: Lagging Quadrant. Tariff/rate drag persists.
Top 5 Movers (Russell 2000): SMCI (+2%), MARA (+1.5%), RIOT (+1%), CVNA (+0.8%), PLUG (+0.5%).
Bottom 5 Movers (Russell 2000): AMC (-3.5%), RKT (-3%), UPWK (-2.5%), ZETA (-2%), RUN (-1.8%).
Gold Analysis April 7The D1 candle on Friday clearly identified selling pressure and the amount of fomo pushed the price to 2972.
The H4 structure is still showing that the downward force will continue to be maintained when 3054 was rejected by the buyers.
Back to the trading plan The 3018 and 3035 border areas are considered sideways compression borders. If the price breaks 3018, wait for a retest and sell to 3003. If the US session breaks 3003, then push to 2955.
If the 3018 border remains strong, wait for a break of 3035 to BUY to the exchange price zone of 3054. BUY signals for short-term city and are considered to be against the trend at the moment. When the US session fails to break 3055, you can sell and hold long. If it breaks 3055, waiting for 3080 to sell will be safer than fomo to BUY against the trend.
KSE 100 BULLISH OR BEARISH?KSE 100 is also bleeding as the global markets sell off. But the key indicator right now is to look at EMA 21 at weekly time frame on all big stocks and index. if we see a good bounce from ema 21 we might see volumes coming in big stocks. enjoy the show being played globally!
Quantum's BAC Ultimate Weekly OutlookBAC (Bank of America Corporation) - Sector: Financials (Banking)
Sentiment: Bearish. Put volume rises, RSI 45 weakens, X posts note banking fears from tariffs/economic uncertainty.
Tariff Impact: Moderate. Tariffs may slow growth, impacting loans, but domestic focus softens the blow. Sentiment drives more than fundamentals.
News/Catalysts: Banking sentiment shifts on X. Consumer Credit (April 8) could signal credit trends.
Technical Setup:
Weekly Chart: HVN above as resistance, weekly low as support. Downtrend (8-week EMA < 13-week < 48-week). RSI 45 (neutral, fading), MACD below signal (negative histogram widening), Bollinger Bands near lower band, Donchian Channels below midline, Williams %R -68 (nearing oversold).
One-Hour Chart: Support below, resistance near highs, weekly alignment. RSI 42, MACD below signal (negative histogram growing), Bollinger Bands at lower band, Donchian Channels below midline, Williams %R -74 (close to oversold).
10-Minute Chart: Bearish breakdown, 8/13/48 EMAs down, RSI 42 weakening, MACD flat near zero.
Options Data:
GEX: Bearish—pinning below close, dealers hedge puts to resist upside.
DEX: Bearish—put delta leads, selling bias.
IV: Moderate—slightly above norm (e.g., 25–30% vs. 20–25%), uncertainty raising prices. Supports GEX pinning, boosts DEX bearish bias.
OI: Put-heavy—high OI at lower strikes, capping downside.
Sympathy Plays:
JPM (JPMorgan Chase): Moves in sync—rises if BAC takes off, falls if BAC dumps.
C (Citigroup): Correlates via banking—gains with BAC rallies, drops with sell-offs.
Opposite Mover: BAC dumps → defensive stocks like JNJ may rally; BAC rallies → JPM/C surge.
Sector Positioning with RRG:
Sector: Financials (Banking).
RRG Position: Weakening Quadrant. BAC’s economic sensitivity fades vs. XLF as tariffs/rates weigh.
Targets: Bullish +3% (hourly resistance); Bearish -5.1% (weekly support).
Trade Idea: Weekly put (exp. April 11) on 10-min breakdown, target support, stop above close.