USDJPY analysis week 14🌐Fundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25% - 4.50% range and forecast core PCE inflation to average 2.8% by year-end. The higher-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates for an extended period. Investors are concerned that these tariffs could add to global inflationary pressures and trigger a recession.
In Japan, the Tokyo CPI rose sharply in March, boosting expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year. The hot inflation data also supported the Yen's appreciation against other currencies.
🕯Technical Analysis
USDJPY is still in a bullish recovery. The pair is facing support at 149.200, preventing further declines. The weekly high around 151.100 is still acting as key resistance before the pair breaks out to 152.000. Conversely, if the trend breaks at 149.200, weekly support is seen at 148.300.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 151.300-151.100 SL 150.500
SELL USDJPY 152.000-152.200 SL 152.400
BUY USDJPY 149.300-149.100 SL 148.900
Tradingsignals
XAU/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price continued its bullish movement and climbed close to its all-time high of $3057, reaching $3056 today. Since this level acted as a Bearish Rejection Block, we’re now seeing a price correction from that area, with gold currently trading around $3049. If the price stabilizes below the $3050 mark, we may see further downside. Potential bearish targets are $3045, $3040, and $3035, respectively.
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Gold Price Analysis March 28Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) continued its upward trend, hitting a record high of $3,086 during the European session on Friday. Global risk sentiment weakened due to concerns over US President Donald Trump's auto tariffs and uncertainty over upcoming tariffs, boosting safe-haven demand for gold.
In addition, expectations of an early Fed rate cut due to concerns over Trump's trade policies affecting US economic growth also supported gold's gains. Although the USD recovered slightly ahead of the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index report, this did not reduce the appeal of XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold is quite difficult to trade around the ATH zone today. Note that the lower boundary zone of 3060 is converging with the EMA 34 zone and the SELL zone around the 3100 round-trip barrier. The basic trading strategy requires your patience as the market is not easy to trade at the moment.
Gold Analysis March 27Yesterday's D1 candle is still a contested candle with no clear winner. If it maintains this, there may be a strong sell-off on Friday.
The wave structure is expanding in an upward direction after a push into the Asian session. The price is reacting around the 3028 area. If gold cannot break 3028, it is possible to BUY back to the peak of the Asian session in the morning around 3038. If this peak is broken, DCA will add an order towards the target of 3044. On the contrary, if the European session cannot break the peak of 3038, SELL to 3020 and if the US breaks 3020, DCA SELL to 3006. On the contrary, if it does not break, Buy back around 3020 and the gold margin will fluctuate around 3020-3028 until the end of the day.
GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility⚠️ GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility
🟡 Market Brief – 27/03/2025
📰 Trump’s Latest Tariff Remarks Leave Markets Unshaken
Earlier this morning (end of US session), Donald Trump made new comments on tariff policy.
However, unlike previous occasions, his speech did not trigger significant market volatility.
He stated:
“Reciprocal tariffs will be eased, broadly applied to all countries, but not harshly.”
🔹 A 25% import tariff on cars will take effect from April 2
🔹 No additional tariffs for now on semiconductors or pharmaceuticals
→ It appears the market had already priced in this announcement, resulting in a muted reaction.
📊 Today’s Spotlight – Final US GDP (q/q)
This is the broadest measure of inflation, reflecting price changes for all goods and services included in GDP.
Given the weakness in recent US inflation indicators (CPI & PPI),
AD anticipates today’s GDP may also come in weaker than expected.
⚠️ However, market reaction might remain limited (≈30 pts),
as Core PCE data tomorrow is expected to be the true driver of weekly volatility.
🟡 Gold Strategy – Intraday Setup
Gold may retest resistance levels or recent highs,
before a potential strong move to the downside – the BIG SHORT scenario AD has been tracking.
📌 Plan for Today:
Look for intraday BUY opportunities during the Asian and European sessions,
especially near key support levels marked on the chart.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔻 Support: 3019 – 3011 – 3002 – 2988
🔺 Resistance: 3036 – 3046 – 3056
🎯 Trade Zones – 27/03:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3002 – 3000
SL: 2996
TPs: 3006 – 3010 – 3014 – 3018 – 3022 – 3026 – 3030
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3055 – 3057
SL: 3061
TPs: 3051 – 3047 – 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030
🧠 Final Note:
This week’s volatility hinges on two major macro releases:
✅ Today’s Final GDP report
✅ Tomorrow’s Core PCE data
→ During Asia & London sessions: respect the levels and trade reactively
→ For New York session: stay alert — AD will update instantly if needed
Good luck, trade safe, and stay disciplined.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold Analysis March 26Candle D still shows that the battle between buyers and sellers has not yet been defeated.
3033 Plays an important role in the current downtrend structure. H4 Closes above the 3033 zone, officially breaking the wave and giving priority to the BUY side.
Gold is pushing up and wants to break the dynamic resistance of 3027. Closes above 3027, gold is heading towards 3033-3035. If it does not break this zone, you can SELL to 3005 and if the US breaks 3005, hold to 2983. If the 3033 zone is broken, wait for BUY to break 3033, the daily target is towards 3045.
Gold Outlook – Steady Range Before Key Data Hits🟡 Market Context:
Gold has been trading in a steady range since the start of the week, with no significant breakout or momentum shift observed.
Today’s session is expected to remain quiet, as there are no major economic events scheduled.
All eyes are on the Thursday GDP release and Friday’s PCE inflation data from the US — both of which are likely to determine the direction for gold into the end of the month and quarter.
📆 Key Data to Watch:
Thursday: US Quarterly GDP
Friday: US PCE Price Index (Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge)
These events are considered high-impact catalysts that may trigger sharp moves in gold, especially if surprises occur.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price continues to respect key support and resistance zones identified earlier this week.
There is no confirmed breakout yet, so the strategy remains range-based:
➡️ Trade the levels. Watch for reaction signals at extremes.
➡️ Wait for clearer momentum following the macro releases.
🧭 Key Price Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057
🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988
🎯 Trade Plan – 26/03
BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986
SL: 2982
TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015
SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020
🧠 Final Notes:
The market remains in accumulation mode ahead of key US data.
No need to rush — protect your capital, wait for clean setups, and let the market reveal its hand.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold hit 3300 , why not ? The Conference Board (a non-profit research organization in the United States, specializing in providing reports and analysis on economic issues, jobs, labor markets and long-term trends) announced on Tuesday that the US consumer confidence index fell to 92.9, down from a revised 100 in February.
This data was weaker than expected, as economists had predicted a smaller decline, only falling to 94.2.
Société Générale (SocGen - a large multinational bank based in France) has just announced its multi-asset portfolio strategy for the second quarter. The bank still holds 7% of its portfolio in gold and forecasts that the price of gold could reach $4,000/ounce.
At 7%, gold remains the largest commodity position in SocGen’s portfolio. “Gold remains a strong asset amid the geopolitical reshaping of the US, which has triggered strong policy responses,” the analysts said.
Although gold prices are currently hovering above $3,000 an ounce, SocGen expects gold prices to continue to rise. The French bank forecasts gold prices to average around $3,300 an ounce in the fourth quarter.
Geopolitical uncertainty continues to support gold as an important global currency, the analysts said. They also pointed to conditions that could push prices to $4,000 an ounce.
Gold Price Analysis March 25The D1 gold candlestick confirmed a clear decline. Some late-day buying pressure around 3000 pushed the gold price a bit.
H4 has formed a bearish wave with an important price of 3028. If H4 cannot break 3028 today, there will likely be a strong sell-off of gold at the end of the day.
Trading scenario. Gold is pushing up from the 3015 price zone. Target in the European session is 3027-3028. If this zone cannot be broken at the end of the session, SELL and hold at 3008. If the US confirms a break of 3008, hold at 2983. In case of a break of 3028, the sellers are weak. Be careful of false break of 3028. If the break is real, wait for 3035 to SELL today.
Gold does not push up to 3027 but closes below 3015, then SELL to 3008. At the end of the session, if it breaks 3008, hold to 2983. If it doesn't break, then BUY again to the 3008 area, target 3028.
GOLD, XAUUSDTHIS ANALYSIS FOR "XAUUSD , GOLD" ON MULTIPLE TIME FRAME.
- What i can see on Gold right now price wanna make a big retreacement on daily time frame as we can see DXY already make clear breakout resistance on time frame 4 hour, possible now its time for DXY make a retracement.
- If trendline 1 hour and 1 hour S.S.R zone breakout just wait price comeback into this zone then we can SELL
- Or we can find opportunity on SELL ZONE 1
- If price make Sell desicon point on sell zone 2 please hold the position a bit far
- But if price break Sell zone 2 and minor resistance we just focus Buy
#TradeWhatYouSeeNotWhatYouThink
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#BERAUSDT shows bullish momentum 📈 Long BYBIT:BERAUSDT.P from $8.080
🛡 Stop loss $7.905
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 6.699, indicating the area of highest volume accumulation.
➡️ The 7.905 level acts as the nearest support zone and is a key stop-loss reference point.
➡️ The chart BYBIT:BERAUSDT.P shows a strong bullish breakout with consolidation above previous range, signaling a possible trend continuation.
➡️ Rising volume confirms strength behind the move.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $8.204
💎 TP 2: $8.320
💎 TP 3: $8.430
📢 Watch key levels closely — better to enter after signal confirmation!
📢 If the price holds above $8.080, the TP targets are likely to be hit.
📢 If stop level is breached, the setup may need reevaluation.
BYBIT:BERAUSDT.P shows bullish momentum — looking for further upside!
GBPAUD Bearish Breakout Imminent: Points to Potential Downside4-hour chart of GBPAUD reveals a critical juncture. We've observed a recent uptrend culminating in what appears to be a rising wedge formation. This pattern, characterized by converging trendlines, often signals a potential reversal, particularly after a sustained bullish run. The upper trendline has faced repeated tests, indicating weakening upward momentum. Crucially, the 2.04938 level acts as immediate support. A decisive break below this point would validate the wedge breakdown and likely trigger a significant bearish move.
Key Levels and Targets:
Immediate Support: 2.04938
Target 1: 2.03263 (Initial downside target)
Target 2: 2.00516 (70.0% Fibonacci Retracement)
Target 3: 1.97478 (100.0% Fibonacci Retracement)
Fibonacci Analysis: The price action has breached the 50.0% retracement level, suggesting a potential continuation towards the 61.8% and lower levels. The 70.0% and 100.0% retracements are critical downside targets.
Trading Implications:
Short Entry: A confirmed break below 2.04938 is the primary trigger for a short entry.
Stop Loss: A conservative stop-loss should be placed above the recent swing high or the upper trendline of the wedge to mitigate risk.
Risk Management: Given the potential for volatility, prudent risk management is essential.
Considerations:
Confirmation: A break below 2.04938 must be accompanied by strong bearish momentum and ideally, increased volume to validate the signal.
Fundamental Factors: Keep a close eye on upcoming economic data releases from both the UK and Australia, as these can significantly impact the pair.
Trading opportunity for STPTUSDTBased on technical factors there is a Buy position in :
📊 STPTUSDT
🔵 Buy Now
🪫Stop loss 0.04200
🔋Target 0.06450
📏 R/R 3
💸RISK : 1%
We hope it is profitable for you ❤️
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ETH/USD Breakout – Long Position Activated!Hi Traders ! Ethereum on the 1H chart has been trading within a descending channel and is now testing the upper boundary. I’ve placed a long entry expecting a breakout, targeting the $2,061 - $2,070 zone. Stop-loss set in case of a false breakout. RSI is showing signs of recovery. Let’s see how it plays out! 🔥👀
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. 🚨