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GOLD & NONFARM – BREAKOUT OR CORRECTION?📌 Market Overview The global financial markets are closely watching the upcoming U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on March 7. As one of the most anticipated economic releases of the month, it is expected to trigger significant market volatility. 🔥 Geopolitical Uncertainty & The Impact on Gold & USD (DXY) US trade policies toward China and other key economies continue to fuel uncertainty, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe haven. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains highly volatile, directly influencing gold price movements. Investors are waiting for Nonfarm data to determine whether gold will break new all-time highs (ATH) or undergo a correction. ⚡ Expected Price Movements Gold is currently consolidating within a broad range of 2929 - 2892, a level it has held throughout the week. Based on historical Nonfarm Payroll data, today’s price swing is expected to be between 45-50 points, possibly reaching 60 points! This presents a major trading opportunity, with the key being to catch the breakout direction. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels – Breakout Watch 🔺 Resistance Levels: 2920 - 2928 - 2943 - 2954 🔻 Support Levels: 2892 - 2884 - 2872 - 2859 - 2838 🚀 Trading Strategy for Today Gold is still trading within a range-bound structure, with no confirmed breakout yet. Wait for a breakout confirmation before entering trades. A market update will be provided before the Nonfarm release to refine the strategy. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 2874 - 2872 ❌ Stop Loss (SL): 2868 🎯 Target (TP): 2878 - 2882 - 2886 - 2890 - 2895 - 2900 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 2952 - 2954 ❌ Stop Loss (SL): 2958 🎯 Target (TP): 2948 - 2944 - 2940 - 2935 - 2930 📌 Key Trading Reminders 💥 Nonfarm data is expected to create high volatility – prepare for sharp moves! ✔ Stick to TP/SL to avoid excessive risk exposure. ✔ Wait for clear breakout confirmation before opening positions. ✔ Manage risk effectively and control emotions – today could be a decisive market moment! 📢 Do you think gold will break to new highs or face a correction? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Nonfarm forecast tonight ? 🔴US Expected to Add 170,000 Jobs in February, But Job Outlook Worsens ———— ⚫February Jobs Forecast: Nonfarm payrolls report projects 170,000 jobs added, up from 143,000 in January, while unemployment remains at 4%. ⚫Mixed Signals: While official data shows the labor market remains strong, surveys show many workers are worried about their jobs and less willing to look for new opportunities, while job seekers are having a tough time. ⚫Layoffs Rising: Staffing firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reports that businesses are announcing the highest level of layoffs since July 2020, with 62,000 jobs tied to the Trump administration's federal workforce cuts. ⚫Consumer Confidence Falls: A report from the Conference Board and the University of Michigan showed consumer confidence is falling sharply amid fears about growth and the labor market. ⚫Impact of Government Layoffs: Some economists warn that government layoffs could spread and affect as many as 500,000 jobs, undermining confidence in the economy. ⚫Wage Growth: Average wages are expected to rise 0.3% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year, up from 4.1% in January.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Price Analysis March 5⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices (XAU/USD) have stalled after two days of gains due to rising US bond yields, putting pressure on non-yielding gold. However, gold may be supported by safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. Specifically, the US imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, while China also increased tariffs to 20%, raising concerns about trade retaliation. At the same time, the US's suspension of military aid to Ukraine also prompted investors to seek gold. In addition, the situation became more tense when President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy disagreed on peace negotiations. ⭐️Technical Analysis It is clear that gold is rising and heading towards the resistance level of 2929. This is considered a key area for gold. If broken, gold will continue to increase in price to ATH 295x. If Gold breaks the trend and falls, 2903 will no longer be meaningful and it will be at the 2896 area that Gold will really have a price reaction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold futures for April are trending upWorld gold prices continued to rise amid a weakening US dollar. The US Dollar Index – a measure of the greenback’s strength against six major currencies – fell 0.49% to 106.145 points. Risk aversion remains high in the market due to geopolitical tensions and new tax policies. The US has just imposed tariffs on goods imported from Mexico, Canada and China. In response, these countries have also applied retaliatory measures, affecting about $1,000 billion of global trade. China is likely to let the yuan depreciate to reduce the impact of tariffs and boost exports. If the yuan continues to weaken, many investors in China may flock to gold as a safe haven. Asian and European stock markets are trending lower, while US stocks are also forecast to open with slight losses. SUPPORT : 2900 , 2892 RESIST : 2930 , 2950
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Price Analysis March 4⭐️Fundamental Analysis The market is concerned about the risk of a global tariff war that seems inevitable. US President Donald Trump affirmed to impose 25% tariffs on Canada, Mexico and increase tariffs on China to 20%, leading to retaliatory measures from China and Canada, which could escalate into a full-blown trade war. In addition, Trump suspended military aid to Ukraine, causing tensions with European allies. The market continues to monitor the upcoming US employment data, which could impact the Fed's interest rate policy, affecting the USD and gold prices. ⭐️Technical Analysis Today's price range is focused on 2905 and 2877. The Dow trend will still be prioritized when Gold finds it difficult to close above important resistance zones. The Sell zones of 2905 and 2918 are heavily concentrated by sellers today. The furthest target of the week for gold will be to touch the bottom of last week around 283x. Pay attention to important price levels to have a reasonable BUY and SELL strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
Solana: Intra-week Setup Locked In I’m targeting an intra-week play on Solana, but staying cautious. That’s why I’m using a tighter stop-loss and placing my entry slightly lower. Still, this is a strong level for me because multiple key factors are lining up. We have the midpoint of the 30-minute Fair Value Gap, an untouched VWAP (which I’ve hidden to avoid clutter), the VAL from VWAP (Volume Area Low), and a huge liquidity zone above the Previous Weekly High, including an order block – acting as a potential magnet. On the 30-minute time frame, the RSI is trending further into oversold territory, adding more confluence to the setup. Lower time frames are still looking bullish, as long as we hold this level. If not, things could get messy. But until then, everything looks solid.
Long
by stromm
EUR/USD 1H Analysis: EMA 200 Retest & Fibonacci Pullback – Key LKey Observations: Ascending Wedge Breakout & Price Surge The price broke out of a wedge pattern (green shaded area) with strong bullish momentum. A strong rally led to a new local high (~1.0489). Fibonacci Retracement Levels The price is pulling back from the high, and Fibonacci retracement levels are marked. Key levels to watch: 0.618 (1.04385) – Strong support 0.5 (1.04238) – Moderate support 0.382 (1.04091) – First level of reaction EMA 200 Retest (~1.04467) The 200 EMA (blue line) is acting as dynamic support. The expectation (noted on the chart) is that price may touch or react at the EMA 200. If it holds, it could trigger another bullish push. If it breaks below EMA 200, further downside toward Fib 0.618 or 0.786 retracement is possible. Potential Bearish Rejection (Red Arrows) The red arrows suggest a possible lower high formation, meaning the price could reject from EMA 200 and start a deeper drop. Volume Analysis Increasing volume suggests strong participation. If volume remains high near EMA 200, we might see a breakout or a strong bounce. Potential Trade Scenarios: Bullish Case (Buy Trade) If price holds above EMA 200 (~1.04467) and forms a bullish reaction, a long trade could target: First target: 1.0489 (previous high). Second target: 1.0500+ (psychological level). Stop Loss: Below 1.0435 (below Fib 0.618). Bearish Case (Sell Trade) If price fails at EMA 200 and forms a lower high, it could drop toward: First target: 1.0430 (Fib 0.5). Second target: 1.0409 (Fib 0.382). Third target: 1.0390 (Fib 0.236). Stop Loss: Above 1.0460 (above EMA 200). Conclusion: EMA 200 is the key level to watch. Bullish bias above EMA 200; Bearish bias below. If EMA 200 holds, buying could be a good strategy. If it fails, further downside is expected. Would you like a precise trade setup based on this? 🚀
by KingProTrader
Gold price analysis March 3💥Fundamental Analysis European leaders are drafting a peace plan to present to Washington, raising hopes for a resolution to the conflict. This optimism has pushed the Euro (EUR) to rise sharply, putting pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and pulling gold prices back up. In addition, the USD continued to weaken as China's manufacturing PMI data beat expectations, indicating an improvement in the global economy. The cryptocurrency market also recorded a strong recovery after former President Donald Trump directed the establishment of a Strategic Reserve of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Cardano. This further increased pressure on the USD, helping gold regain momentum after two days of downward correction last week. 💥Technical Analysis Gold prices are recovering towards resistance at 2890. Last week's old bottom support at 2836 is also important at the moment. These two zones are considered as two notable price zones, closing above these two zones is confirmation of strong trend continuation. 2782 is considered as Gold's weekly support zone. 2916 acts as the only barrier before Gold moves to the next ATH. Note the important price zones for BUY and SELL signals
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold prices are said to be negative in the short termWorld gold prices recovered slightly amid a decline in the US dollar. At 9:45 a.m. on March 3, the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies, stood at 107.130 points (down 0.4%). Gold prices will continue to decrease. “There is no reason to think that this profit-taking correction will not last for a while longer. But we need to remember that so far gold has only fallen less than 4% from its peak, after rising 12% this year.” The fundamentals that drove gold demand over the past two years remain intact, so any possible decline to as low as $2,600 an ounce would be short-lived.” In addition to strong demand from central banks, I also expect capital flows into gold ETFs to increase as interest rates fall, making gold more attractive to investors. “However, this factor may be somewhat affected by speculators reducing their net buying positions in the gold futures market. Currently, the net buying position remains very high as concerns about lingering tariffs from the administration of US President Donald Trump cause investors to seek safe haven assets such as gold."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Price Analysis February 28⭐️Fundamental Analysis This week, the US Dollar (USD) continued to recover on expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep its monetary policy tight as inflation remains high. This caused money to flow out of gold - a non-yielding asset. In addition, gold prices fell as investors adjusted their positions ahead of the US release of important inflation data, a factor that could affect the Fed's interest rate decision and the short-term direction of gold. However, concerns about former US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and risk-off sentiment could help gold hold its price. In addition, falling US Treasury yields also contributed to limiting gold's decline ⭐️Technical Analysis After closing yesterday's candle, gold confirmed a clear downtrend. The SELL zone that is being watched by investors today is around 2889. Any price increase today is considered a great opportunity to sell. 2840 is considered as the support zone today. The wider price range is being watched when there are signs of Break out from the narrow range at 2920 and 2806. Currently, gold needs to break through 2870 to reach the upper range and if it fails to break 2870, we can set SELL signals at 2840 today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Nothing !!!Maybe this pattern will happen again... Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
Precious metals declined due to tariff policiesPrecious metals declined due to US President Donald Trump's unpredictable tariff policies but remained anchored at high levels because of this. On February 25, Mr. Trump directed a study of the possibility of imposing new tariffs on imported copper to rebuild US production of metals critical to electric vehicles, military hardware, power grids and many other consumer goods. He also announced he would soon expand his trade war to include a 25% tariff on goods from the European Union (EU)... Investors are waiting for the US personal consumption expenditures index (PCE) report, a favorite inflation measure of the Federal Reserve (FED), scheduled to be announced on February 28. How inflation develops can affect the FED's interest rate policy this year and impact the precious metals trend. Higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen the possibility that the US Central Bank will continue to delay further interest rate cuts. Meger added that as one of the key hedges against inflationary pressures, gold should appreciate more.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD M30 DETAILED OVERVIEWGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading within a range-bound structure, forming key supply and demand zones. 🔹 Key Levels & Zones: Strong Demand Zone (2H): Price recently tested a significant demand zone near $2,900 - $2,905, showing signs of potential bullish reaction. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Fill: There is an imbalance in price action, suggesting a temporary push upward to fill the gap before further moves. Strong Supply Zone: A major resistance area is identified around $2,945 - $2,950, making it a potential take-profit zone for buyers and an ideal level for fresh sell entries. 🔹 Trade Plan & Expectations: Short-Term Bullish Move: Price may attempt to retrace higher towards the FVG fill area & supply zone, aiming for $2,940 - $2,945 before facing rejection. Bearish Continuation: Once the price reaches resistance, a potential sell-off could drive XAUUSD back towards the demand zone and possibly lower towards $2,880 - $2,885. EMA Confluence: The moving averages suggest an overall bearish trend, with price struggling to hold above key resistance levels. 📉 Bearish Bias: If rejection occurs at resistance, watch for confirmation before entering short positions targeting the demand zone and lower support. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above $2,950, it could signal further upside momentum, invalidating the bearish setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zarascalper
#TAIUSDT – Bearish Scenario, Expecting a Downward Breakout📉 SHORT BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P from $0.11880 🛡 Stop Loss: $0.12155 ⏱ 15M Timeframe ⚡ Trade Plan: ✅ The BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P price is in a downtrend, continuing to decline after testing the POC (Point of Control) at $0.13002. ✅ The asset is currently near the $0.11887–$0.12155 support zone, and a breakdown could trigger further selling pressure. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.11550 🔥 TP 2: $0.11305 📢 A close below $0.11880 would confirm the downward move. 📢 POC at $0.13002 acted as a major resistance where buyers were active. 📢 Increasing volume on the decline supports the bearish momentum. 📢 The first TP at $0.11550 is a level where partial profit-taking is recommended. 🚨 BYBIT:TAIUSDT.P remains under pressure – monitoring for a confirmed breakdown and securing profits at TP levels.
Short
by MoriartyTrading
EURUSD road map (4h)The expected targets are marked on the chart and I think in the coming days, the trend will be bullish. After reaching the desired targets, it can drop to 1.04. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
The EURCAD currency pair has reached a critical resistance levelThe EURCAD currency pair has reached a critical resistance level at 1.505, signaling an opportunity for selling. From technical side This pair has recently encountered strong resistance near the 1.500-1.505 area, where it has failed to break above these levels multiple times. RSI has consistently been overbought territory above the 70 level. Euro is now overextended and due for a pullback. From fundamental side Recent economic data from the Eurozone has shown signs of slowing growth, with inflationary pressures remaining above the European Central Bank's target, potentially leading to a more dovish stance in future monetary policy. On the other hand, Canada's economic outlook has been more resilient, with solid GDP growth, rising oil prices, and an increasingly hawkish tone from the Bank of Canada. First Target: 1.498 area being 0.382 retracement level Second Target: 1.493 area being 0.618 retracement level in conjunction with previous top
Short
by SWTCapitalTrading
1
Gold Analysis May 25⭐️Fundamental Analysis Market sentiment remained cautious on Tuesday due to concerns over Trump tariffs and Nvidia's upcoming earnings report. The US dollar continued to hold its strength on risk-off sentiment, limiting gold's gains. However, gold prices remained supported by falling US Treasury yields and rising trade war risks. Bond yields fell on a strong auction and weak PMI data, raising expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year. Meanwhile, trade tensions escalated as the Trump administration considered tightening controls on chip exports to China. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold prices are still operating in a wedge of 2928 and 2952. The 2958 zone is also quite easy to create a false ATH. 2968-2970 acts as the most important resistance for Gold at the moment, which is considered the weekly resistance level. Watch out for gold falling, there could be a deep drop to 2906-2900.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Bitcoin’s Collapse from 109K Was Predicted Now the Regret BeginsWe warned at 109K , and now Bitcoin has dropped to 87K! 📉🔥 💔 Fear led to hesitation—now it’s regret for not exiting in time! ✅ Those who followed our advice avoided the crash. ❌ Those who ignored it are paying the price. 📉 First support level at 81,643 – what's next? Stay updated! 🚀 Follow us for accurate market analysis before it’s too late! ⏳🔥 #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinCrash #TradingSignals #MarketUpdate #FearAndGreed #CryptoNews #BTC #BitcoinPrice #Trading #CryptoMarket #BitcoinPrediction #CryptoAlerts #TechnicalAnalysis
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by stocksfox
Bitcoin is Bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!As you can see, in the previous Correction of Bitcoin, Bitcoin dropped by about $25,000 and then experienced a potential growth. Now, the price has fallen by about $25,000 from its all-time high (ATH) until now. If we consider the previous correction of Bitcoin, this could be a very strong signal for an increase in Bitcoin's price. What do you think about it ? _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Give me some energy !! ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!! Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Long
by CobraVanguard
7
XAUUSD (GOLD) TRADE PLAN 25/2/2025 1. XAU/USD presents a compelling sell opportunity as price action suggests a potential downside move. 2. Technical indicators signal bearish momentum, with resistance levels holding firm. 3. Macroeconomic factors favor a stronger USD, pressuring gold prices lower. 4. A downward trajectory could target the 2900 level, aligning with historical support zones. 5. Rising bond yields and hawkish Fed policies add to gold’s downside risk. 6. Failure to breach key resistance zones reinforces the bearish outlook. 7. Market sentiment leans risk-on, reducing gold’s safe-haven appeal. 8. A break below critical support levels may accelerate selling pressure. 9. Short positions may benefit from volatility, with disciplined risk management. 10. Traders eye 2900 as a strategic target, capitalizing on gold’s potential correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
5
GBPUSD - now current support? HOLDS OR NOT?#GBPUSD.. perfect move from final bottom as we discussed in our last idea, and market continue holding his immediate bottoms. now market made his current supporting region that is from 1.2590 to 1.2630 around that 40 pips region will be our most important supporting region for current week. keep close that region and only holds your buying positions above that and keep in mind. we will go for CUT N REVERSE below that region on confirmation. good luck trade wisely
by AdilHussain731333