Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks.
Technical Analysis
Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold.
Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x.
Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555
Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536
BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
Tradingsignals
Gold is overhyped ? Nonfarm 9/6/2024Gold's risks this week will be the ADP jobs and unemployment claims report and the nonfarm payrolls report. StoneX analyst Rhona O'Connell said bullion was also under pressure from weak global equities. However, O'Connell believes that the precious metal price trend is still upward and these losses are only corrective.
This year, gold has had an impressive performance and is up more than 20%. On August 20, this precious metal reached an all-time high of 2,531.6 USD/ounce.
Kinesis Money market analyst Mike Ingram has raised his forecast for the yellow metal's resistance above $2,510 an ounce, and he expects the price to break the $2,543 an ounce mark soon.
Talking about gold fluctuations in the near future, Natixis precious metals analyst Bernard Dahdah predicts that gold prices will average about 2,600 USD/ounce by 2025.
With stable domestic gold prices and world gold prices listed at Kitco at 2,496.4 USD/ounce (equivalent to nearly 75.2 million VND/tael if converted at VCB exchange rate, excluding taxes and fees) , the difference between domestic gold and world gold is huge. Price is about 5.8 million VND/tael.
EURGBP ASCENDING TRIANGLE TRADERight then, can see we have come to a major level of significant resistance and we are seeing bearish pressure as a reaction to it (has been of significance for a while so other people will look to trade this level aswell). If i see alot of bearish pressure i will be entering as other traders will do the same and bring down price in favour
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE IN THE DAILY CHART - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELO TRADERS
The overall trend is uptrend , until trading above demand zone in the daily chart .
Current Position Prices are above the demand zone, which is a strong support area. This indicates that the current support level is holding and may lead to a price increase , For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices need to break and stabilize above turning level at 71.82 . Successfully doing so suggests that the bullish momentum is strong enough to push prices towards the next resistance levels at 74.24 and then 76.21.
If prices fall below 71.82 and stabilize, it indicates that the support level is no longer effective, potentially leading to a decline , If prices reach 69.18 and a 4-hour or 1-hour candle closes below this level, it suggests a continuation of the downtrend. A further break and stabilization below 68.28 would confirm a sustained bearish trend, indicating further price decreases.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 71.82 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.18 , 68.28 .
Gold possible up correctionXAUUSD continues its downward movement, closing below the 2500 level and confirming a break out of the consolidation zone. With this momentum, the market is likely to head to lower levels. Although the major trend remains bullish, this correction might find support around the 2450 level. If the market retests this area and shows rejection signs, like a bullish long-tailed bar, it could offer a good buying opportunity. A strong rebound from the 2450 support could pave the way for a continuation of the bullish trend toward the all-time highs. The target is the resistance zone at 2505
AUDUSD potential Breakout and RetestAUDCAD has broken and closed below its consolidation zone and is currently testing the resistance level around 0.91200. It seems to be pulling back for a retest at this level. The market is showing lower lows and lower closes, signalling bearish dominance. A break-and-retest scenario is expected, where the price might pull back to test the resistance before potentially continuing downward. This is a key level to monitor, as holding here could confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. The target is the support level at 0.90775
Gold Analysis September 5☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices edged up in Asian trade on Thursday. A US jobs report showed on Wednesday that employment fell to a three-and-a-half-year low in July, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further in September, which in turn acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. Moreover, concerns about the health of the US economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further supporting the safe-haven precious metal.
However, gold prices lacked strong buying interest as traders appeared reluctant to place strong bullish bets, preferring to wait for key details on the US monthly employment report - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report - due on Friday. Meanwhile, the US economic agenda on Thursday - including the ADP report on private sector employment, the weekly jobless claims and the ISM services PMI - will be looked at for short-term opportunities. However, expectations of the imminent start of the Fed's policy easing cycle could continue to support Gold.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold is moving back in the sideways range of 2490-2505. After an old liquidity sweep to 2472. The Asian session's upside momentum is not strong enough to break the technical level of 2508. When the European session pushes up to 2508 without breaking through, we can set up a SELL signal at this area. The sell trend may extend further than there is still a way to move up to ATH. Today, when the US session enters, pay attention to the resistance zone of 2512-2514 for a SELL strategy. And the push to the low zone this week and next week could create momentum for the FOMC to push gold to a new ATH.
Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535
Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
BUY price zone 2480 - 2478 stoploss 2475Gold Analysis September 5
NAS100USD / UNDER BEARISH MOMENTUM - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 19,105 .
The expectation of a decline when prices remain below 19,105 is based on technical analysis principles, where key support and resistance levels play a crucial role in predicting price movements. When prices fail to break above a resistance level like 19,105, it often indicates a lack of bullish momentum, leading to a potential drop towards the next support level, which is identified as 18,699.
If the price falls below 18,699, this would likely trigger further selling pressure, pushing the price down to 18,351. This is because breaking a key support level often leads to an acceleration of the downward trend as traders and investors react to the breach.
On the other hand, if the price manages to close above 19,105, especially on a 4-hour or 1-hour chart, it suggests a possible shift in market sentiment. This close above resistance would signal that the bulls are regaining control, and the price could then move upward towards the next resistance levels at 19,538 and 19,906. This scenario reflects the importance of monitoring key levels and timeframes to anticipate potential trend reversals.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 19,105 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 19,538 , 19,906 .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 18,699 , 18,351 .
GOLD / REMAIN BELOW TURNING LEVEL AT 2,507$ - 4H XAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 2,507$ .
As mentioned yesterday, if prices remain below the pivot point at 2,507$, a decline towards 2,474$ is anticipated, which could yield a profit.
Currently, prices are again trading below 2,507$, with an expected range between 2,491$ and 2,507$. A break on either side will determine the direction. As long as prices stay below 2,507$, they are likely to revisit 2,474$ and 2,472$ . If these levels are broken and prices remain below, further declines toward 2,459$ are expected.
However, if the price breaks above 2,507$ and a 4-hour candle closes above this level, it suggests a potential rise toward 2,519$ .
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 2,507$ .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 2,519$ , 2,531$ .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 2,472$ , 2,459$ .
USOIL / STILL CONTINUES A DOWNTREND - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 71.85 .
The significant decline in USOIL prices yesterday suggests a bearish momentum, which aligns with the observed price action falling below the critical level of 71.85. This indicates a continuation of the downward trend, making the next support level at 69.81 a logical target. If prices break this support, it would likely trigger further selling pressure, leading to declines toward 68.46 and 66.85, which are key levels of interest based on previous market behavior.
On the other hand, for a reversal to the upside, the price needs to break back above 71.85, which currently serves as a turning point. Breaching this level would signal a potential shift in market sentiment, opening the way to test the resistance at 74.24. If the price stabilizes above this resistance, it would reinforce the bullish case, paving the way for further gains toward 76.21 and eventually 77.51.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 71.85 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 , 77.51 .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.81 , 68.46 , 66.85 .
BTCUSDT / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HBTCUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
The overall trend remains downward as long as trading stays below the turning level of 60.838 .
Currently, prices are below this level, suggesting a potential decline towards the first support level at 57.147 . If a 4-hour candle closes below this support, further declines are expected, targeting the second support level at 54.727 .
For prices to increase, the turning level must be broken and stabilized above, which could lead to a rise towards the first resistance level at 63.586 , and potentially further to 65.727 .
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 60.838 .
Resistance Levels : 63.586 , 65.760
Support Levels : 57.147 , 54.727
TRXUSDT CorrectionTRXUSDT is currently pulling back after forming a double top at a resistance zone. The price is now testing a previous support level, and there is a chance it could dip below this support, given the liquidity below this level and near the February highs. The market has already seen a pullback of around 12%, with the potential to extend to a 15% pullback. This price action might develop into a trend continuation pattern, possibly forming a triangle as it consolidates. If the market finds sufficient buying pressure at these lower levels, it could set the stage for a future upward move. The target is the resistance zone around 0.1618
Gold price analysis September 4☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices bounced from multi-day lows but remained below the $2,500 mark amid renewed buying in the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday. However, ongoing geopolitical risks and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) impending rate cut could support the yellow metal in the near term. Later on Wednesday, JOLTS Job Openings and the Fed Beige Book will be released. Investors will be closely watching Friday’s highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) for August, which could determine the size and pace of a potential rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. If the report shows a weaker-than-expected reading, it could fuel speculation of a US recession and a faster rate cut by the Fed. This in turn could boost the precious metal further as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding Gold.
☘️Technical Analysis
At the end of the trading session, gold was booked by investors as it was pushed up from the beginning of the session, causing gold to fall from 2497 to 2487. The 2485 price zone became an important zone when the European session jumped in. The price is approaching this zone for those who can execute the BUY scalp signal. This week's trend will continue to decrease in price until the Nonfarm data is released to shape the current gold trend. A deep pullback to the lows is seen as an opportunity to buy long term when interest rates fall. Today, pay attention to the 2461 and 2472 zones for a BUY strategy.
Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535
Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518
SELL price zone 2505 - 2507 stoploss 2511
BUY price zone 2474 - 2472 stoploss 2469
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
Banks buying gold slows down gold price declineWorld gold prices move sideways amid strong USD index. Recorded at 9:20 a.m. on September 4, the US Dollar Index measuring the greenback's fluctuations against 6 major currencies was at 101,607 points.
According to Kitco, in the first sessions of the week, world gold prices fell sharply, causing investors to panic right before a busy week with US economic reports.
Central financial institution gold purchases doubled in July. Global valuable banks delivered 37 tonnes to their reputable reserves, a 206% increase.
"In total, seven valuable banks delivered extra gold (a tonne or extra) to their reserves in July. Only one valuable financial institution decreased its holdings"
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2481 - 2479💎
🔰TP1: 2490
🔰TP2: 2500
🔰TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2471
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2498 - 2500💎
🔰TP1: 2490
🔰TP2: 2480
🔰TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2508
USOIL / TRADING BELOW FVG AREA - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
The overall trend is downward , until trading below FVG .
As long as prices stay below the turning level of 74.78, a decline is expected, potentially reaching the support level (1) at 73.03, and then 71.51.
However, if prices break above the turning level and close a 4-hour candle above it, the trend may shift upward, with potential to reach the resistance level at 76.18. Breaking this resistance could lead to further gains, targeting 77.52.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 74.78
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 76.18 , 77.52
SUPPORT LEVELS :73.03 , 71.51
XAUUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
in the last chart reached full target .
Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 2,509$
Downward Condition : With the price holding steady at the current turning level at 2,509$ , it is likely to decline towards the support level of 2,491$. If it stabilizes below this level, it could then reach the next target level of 2,474$ .
Upward Condition : for an upward , a potential is expected if the price breaks the turning level at 2,509$ , leading to a rise toward the resistance level (1) at 2,519$ . For a sustained increase, the price must breaking the resistance level (1) to reach the next resistance at 2,526$ .
XAUUSD / buy above 2.509$
SL: 2,503$
TP: 2,516$
TP: 2,519$
TP:2,526$
XAUUSD / sell below 2,509$
SL : 2,512$
TP : 2,500$
TP : 2,491$
TP : 2,474$
USDJPY - UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSDJPY - 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The general trend continues to be upward as long as trading remains above the turning level of 145.495 .
Currently, prices are above this threshold, indicating a possible rise towards the initial resistance level at 147.891. If a 4-hour candle closes above this resistance, further increases are anticipated, with the next target being the second resistance level at 150.800.
For a downward trend to develop, the turning level needs to be breached and maintained below. This could lead to a decline towards the first support level at 143.749, and possibly even lower to 141.832.
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 145.495
Resistance Levels : 147.891 , 150.800
Support Levels : 143.749 , 141.832
XAGUSD / TRADING BELOW FVG - 4HXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
The market trend is largely bearish, with the price staying below the turning level of 29.98, indicating a potential drop to the support level (1) at 28.11, and possibly further to the next target at 27.18. However, if the price breaks through the bounce level, it may shift upward toward the resistance level (1) at 29.51. To confirm a bullish trend, the price must break through this resistance and stabilize above it, aiming for 30.48 .
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 29.98
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 29.51 , 30.48
SUPPORT LEVELS : 28.11 , 27.18
Trading signals GOLD september 3Support: 2485 – 2,471 USD
Resistance: 2,513 – 2,531 - 2550 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2551 - 2549⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2555
→Take Profit 1 2544
↨
→Take Profit 2 2539
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2512 - 2514⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2517
→Take Profit 1 2505
↨
→Take Profit 2 2495
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2484 - 2486⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2479
→Take Profit 1 2489
↨
→Take Profit 2 2494
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2470 - 2472⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2467
→Take Profit 1 2475
↨
→Take Profit 2 2494
⚡️Psychology, discipline and capital management are the three factors that make victory possible.⚡️
EUR/USD Rebounds in Quiet Markets, But Bearish Outlook PrevailsThe EUR/USD pair experienced a modest recovery on Monday, with the price currently hovering around the 1.1068 mark as I write this article. This upward movement comes after the pair reversed within our designated Demand Area, highlighted by the red rectangle on our charts. However, this recovery is happening against the backdrop of limited market activity, as both the United States and Canada observe Labor Day, leading to a quiet trading session until the next Asian market opening.
The US holiday means that the macroeconomic calendar will be relatively barren in the coming hours. However, the calm will be short-lived as the US is set to release several employment-related reports later this week, culminating in the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
Despite the slight recovery seen today, our outlook for the EUR/USD remains bearish. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is also regaining strength, signaling potential downward pressure on the Euro. From a technical perspective, the price has recently touched a Supply Area, which has been confirmed as a significant resistance zone. What is particularly telling is the behavior of different market participants: retail traders are increasingly taking long positions on the Euro, while smart money—larger institutional traders—are reducing their long exposure. This divergence between retail and institutional sentiment is often a strong indicator of an impending reversal.
Moreover, this shift in sentiment is notable as it marks the highest point in 2024 where retail traders have gone long on the Euro. Such a scenario typically signals a potential short opportunity, as history often shows that retail traders tend to be on the wrong side of the market during such divergences.
In summary, while the EUR/USD pair has shown some strength today due to the subdued trading environment brought on by Labor Day, the overall picture remains bearish. The combination of a strengthening DXY, confirmed technical resistance, and a significant divergence between retail and institutional traders suggests that a short position on the Euro may be the more prudent strategy moving forward.
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