Tradingsignals
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we said we'd stick with the plan and continue to move with the market upside suggesting traders hold their longs from below and then add level to level trades. This has worked well for us again today, completing our Excalibur target upside and the hotspot in Camelot as well as the one we had shared with you all in the wider community. Although a little choppy, it's a clean structure.
Now we are here we have support below at the 2395 region, which could be a target level for the pullback. This level however is now on the flip and will need to hold the price up for us to continue higher into the regions 2415-20 initially and on the break we'll be looking at 2450 as the extension of the move. The problem we have now is the whipsaw that is expected during FOMC, and with it being the last trading day of the month tomorrow.
For now, a slight tap and bounce from the region, if you're in lets see if we get the pullback and where we close.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU awaits Fed decision for fresh impetusGold (XAU/USD) struggled to stay above $2,400 and attracted some selling pressure during Monday’s trading session due to strong demand for the US dollar. Risk sentiment was also seen as a factor weighing on the safe-haven precious metal. However, geopolitical risks from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East provided some support for gold.
Meanwhile, growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will start cutting interest rates in September, reinforced by Friday’s US inflation report, limited the USD’s gains and helped limit the decline in gold. Moreover, traders opted to wait for the outcome of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ending on Wednesday.
Investors will continue to monitor the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decision on Wednesday, the Bank of England (BoE) meeting on Thursday and key US macro releases, including the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, this week. In addition, other economic data scheduled early in the new month will provide more information on the health of the global economy and determine the next direction for gold prices.
EURUSD ( STABILIZING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) (4H)EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below 1.084 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 1.084 , as long as the price trading below this level reach a support level (1) , but if breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1)
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.088 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.094 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.079, for reach this support level the price need stabilizing below turning level
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.076 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1)
PRICE MOVEMENT : currently price 1.083 , as long as the price trading below this level reach a support level (1) , but by breaking this level by open 4h candle above this reach a resistance level (1) ,
MY GOAL : support level (1) at 1.079 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.088 , 1.094 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.079 , 1.076 .
GBPUSD analysis week 31Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD plunged on Friday, as the pound was weighed down by broad market expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) next week. This sent GBPUSD further lower to above 1.286.
The UK’s benchmark interest rate is expected to be cut by 25 basis points to 5.0% from the current 5.25%. The Federal Reserve (Fed) will next deliver its rate call in July, and investors are generally expecting the US central bank to leave rates unchanged at one more meeting before starting its rate-cutting cycle in September. In addition, short-term PCE inflation accelerated month-on-month in June, rising to 0.2% versus forecasts of 0.1%.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD remains in an uptrend, The decline last week is the perfect catalyst for the uptrend to continue in the coming period. The momentum shows that buyers are still in control, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) which is still holding above 50.
GBPUSD is supported at the 34 EMA and has responded at 1.285. The next support zone is around the EMA89 with the gap filling at 1.278. These are two important price zones that GBPUSD needs to hold to maintain the uptrend in the price channel. The bullish momentum will be reduced and could be ready for a reversal if sellers push the price to the 1.262 support zone.
On the other side of the bullish trend, GBPUSD could push back to the old high of two weeks ago around 1.305 and at the highest it could touch the upper border of the rising channel around the resistance level of 1.315.
Resistance: 1.305-1.314
Support: 1.285-1.278
Trading Signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.305-1.307 Stoploss 1.308
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.314-1.316 Stoploss 1.317
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.278-1.276 Stoploss 1.275
USDCAD trading signalsSELL USDCAD signal at the Fibonacci 1.618 resistance zone around 1.38500 to catch the recovery of wave 4 according to the Elliot wave model. The recovery point can be at the Fibonacci 1.0 zone, which coincides with the critical point of EMA 34.
Wishing you a successful trading day
XAUUSD : Gold is down but that is bullish momentumA drop below $2,380 could continue to attract buyers near the 50-day SMA, around $2,360-2,359. A break-down of the 50-day SMA would push the price towards the $2,350 support. The price could then continue to decline towards the 100-day SMA, around the $2,325-2,324 region. Further downside could see XAU/USD test the sub-$2,300 levels or the June 2024 low.
On the contrary, the bulls are struggling to capitalize on the upside momentum above $2,400. Meanwhile, if XAU/USD breaks out of the $2,400 pivot, it could face some resistance around $2,412. Gold prices could then climb to the intermediate resistance level of $2,469-2,470 and challenge the record high, around $2,483-2,484.
JTOUSDT TRADE SETUPHello Folks,
Welcome to the quick update of a new coin name JTOUSDT.
Today we saw JTO dump around 10% from the immediate resistance of 3.275.
Within few hours, buyers kicked in and pushed the price back to the same resistance. As of now, it is trading around 3.28. We can see JTOUSDT pump until 4.76 in a span of 5 to 10 days.
Entry-Exit levels:
Entry: 3.05 to 3.16
Target: 3.81 to 4.76
STOPLOSS: Below $3
Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES!!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
NZDCHF: Time For Pullback 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF may bounce from a key daily historic support.
After its test, the price formed a cup & handle pattern on a 4H time frame
and broke its neckline with a bullish imbalance.
I expect a bullish move to a falling trend line.
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EURUSD trading signals✨EUR/USD is trading highs near 1.0850 during the European session on Thursday. The pair ignored risk-on market sentiment and dismal German IFO data, finding support from US dollar weakness. Traders are now looking to US Q2 GDP data for fresh guidance.
✨Technically EURUSD is in an uptrend. Our BUY signal is in the critical zone of the EMA combined with the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level. The starting point of wave 5 of the Elliot wave model with the expectation that the currency pair will reach the resistance level at 1.1000 coincides with Fibonacci 1.272.
BUY EURUSD now zone 1.08500-1.08300
↠ Stoploss 1.08000
→ Take Profit 1 1.08800
→ Take Profit 2 1.09500
Gold Analysis July 26Fundamental Analysis:
Gold prices gained some positive momentum during the European session on Friday, seemingly snapping a two-day losing streak.
Better-than-expected US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data released on Thursday reinforced the view that the economy is holding up well.
Gold has shown resilience below the 34-day simple moving average (EMA) on the H1, amid expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September. However, upside momentum appears to be limited as traders await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index later on Friday for further clues on the Fed's policy path.
Technical Analysis
Gold is trading in a narrow range ahead of the PCE data. Initial resistance is at 2373-2375, created by the trendline and the falling channel formed in the morning. If this price channel is broken, the SELL zone at 2385 and 2400 is formed at strong resistance. In the opposite direction, the support zone may sweep and the liquidity zone at 2353 and we can scalp around the 2350 zone. The support zone is stronger at 2333. Pay attention to the strong ports to have a suitable news trading strategy.
SELL zone 2400-2398 Stoploss 2404
SELL zone 2384-2386 Stoploss 2390
BUY zone 2335 - 2333 Stoploss 2330
BUY zone 2350-2348 Stoploss 2345
Eurusd trading analysis for this weak For this week, the EUR/USD pair is showing mixed signals. The pair experienced upward momentum due to recent data indicating stronger-than-expected economic performance in the Eurozone. However, the Federal Reserve's concerns about potential interest rate hikes are putting downward pressure on the pair. Traders should watch for key economic announcements, such as GDP and employment reports, which could influence the pair's movement. Support is around 1.1000, while resistance is near 1.1150. Monitoring market sentiment and global events that could impact the currency pair is crucial.
AUDUSD: Shorting After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is retesting a recently broken horizontal support.
The price formed a rising wedge pattern after a breakout
and a double top formation after a retest.
Neckline and a trend line of both patterns are broken.
We can expect a bearish movement at least to 0.6537
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XAU/USD attracts some buyers near $2,400 as US PCE data Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher to $2,395 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The yellow metal gains ground on the hope of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September after cooling US inflation data. Investors will closely watch the Fed Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday, with no change in rate expected.
The recent evidence of progress on inflation has triggered expectations that the Fed would start easing monetary policy in September, which boosts the price of precious metals as lower interest rates generally reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Market analyst at forex.com, Fawad Razaqzada, said that the mixed-to-weaker US data on Friday indicated inflationary pressures and economic activity are waning, paving the way for the Fed to cut rates twice this year.
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index increased 0.1% MoM and was up 2.5% YoY in June, in line with the market consensus, according to the Commerce Department. The year-over-year gain in May was 2.6%, while the monthly figure was unchanged.
Meanwhile, core PCE inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose to 0.2% MoM from 0.1% in May. The annual core PCE rose to 2.6% in the same period, compared to 2.5% in May. Both figures matched expectations. Investors are now pricing in nearly 90% odds of a Fed rate cut in September, followed by another cut in November and December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook For Next Week 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD broke and closed below a key daily structure support.
After its violation, the pair started to recover steadily within
a rising wedge pattern.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a double top pattern.
After that, the market violated both the neckline of a double top and a trend line
of a rising wedge, giving us a strong bearish confirmation.
We can expect a bearish movement on Monday.
Goals: 0.6537 / 0.652
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XRP Road MAPPrice Levels and Resistance Lines: The chart shows several horizontal resistance lines at different price levels such as $0.6025, $0.6135, $0.7915, $1.0260, $1.3437, $1.9716, and $4.1853.
These lines are likely previous support and resistance levels where the price had significant interactions.
Trend Lines:There are yellow downward and upward-sloping trend lines indicating bearish and bullish trends, respectively.
The price has broken out of these trend lines multiple times, indicating shifts in the market sentiment.
Pattern Formation: The chart shows a large triangle pattern with converging trend lines, suggesting a potential breakout.
Smaller triangular patterns within the larger trend indicate periods of consolidation before the breakout.
Measured Moves: Two measured moves are highlighted with blue rectangles, both showing a substantial 932.15% increase. These moves are indicative of significant upward momentum.
The first move shows a price increase from approximately $0.19 to $1.97.
The second projected move indicates a potential price increase from around $0.60 to the $4.18 target.
Volume: The volume bar at the bottom indicates trading activity. Higher volume during breakouts and significant moves suggest stronger momentum.
Current Price Action: The current price is around $0.6026, and it recently broke out of a consolidation pattern.
The breakout suggests a bullish trend with potential targets at higher resistance levels.
Key Observations:
Support Levels: Around $0.59, $0.53, and $0.43.
Resistance Levels: $0.6135, $0.7915, $1.0260, $1.3437, $1.9716, and $4.1853.
Trend: The recent breakout suggests a bullish trend, with potential significant upward movement if momentum continues.
Conclusion:
The XRP/USDT pair appears to be in a bullish phase, with potential targets at higher resistance levels. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakout and volume to gauge the strength of the move. Monitoring support and resistance levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
GBPJPY ( BELOW FVG ) (4H)GBPJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 199.493 & 197.879 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 199.493 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 197.879 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 201.419 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 203.814 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 195.223 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 191.917 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 1.286 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 201.419 , 203.814 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 195.223, 191.917.
GOLD ( INSIDE TWO TURNING LEVEL )XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , after breakout channel .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 2,391$, so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : yesterday this level worked a support level , as mentioned breakout 2,391$ reach this level ,the price of this level at 2,365$ , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,420$ , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 2,440$ , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 2,340$, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 2,320$ , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 2,374$ , have two scenario , first corrective 2,391 before dropping to touch a 2,365$ , then 2,340$ , second corrective 2,365$ to reach a 2,391$ , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,420$ , 2,440$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,340$ , 2,320$ .
Gold price analysis July 24Fundamental analysis:
Gold prices attracted some buying activity on Wednesday and recovered further from a more than one-week low touched on Monday. The momentum lifted the precious metal to fresh weekly highs around the $2,418 region during the Asian session and was backed by a combination of supportive factors.
Growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September, along with US political developments, prompted some intraday selling around USD and acts as a driving force for Gold prices. However, traders may refrain from positive bets and prefer to wait for further signals on the Fed's policy path. As a result, the focus remains on US Q2 GDP data and the US Personal Consumption Price Index (PCE), expected on Thursday and Friday. Meanwhile, global PMIs will be looked at for short-term momentum.
Technical analysis:
From a technical perspective, this week's recovery from the $2,385 resistance level signals the end of the downtrend of recent days as wave 5 has ended and the abc wave of the elliot wave pattern has also ended. around 2411. The aforementioned 2385 area will now act as an important pivotal point, which if broken decisively will pave the way for deeper losses. Gold prices could then slide to the 61.8% Fibo level, around the $2,366-$2,365 area.
On the other hand, any further upside move is likely to face some resistance near the $2,420-2,422 zone above which a fresh short squeeze could lift Gold prices to the $2,430-2,432 zone. Momentum could extend again to retest all-time highs, around the $2,482 region.
Resistance: 2420 - 2431 - 2436 - 2450
Support: 2385 - 2375 - 2368 - 2360
SELL 2422 - 2420 stoploss 2425
SELL 2431 - 2433 stoploss 2437
BUY 2386 - 2384 stoploss 2380
BUY 2373 - 2375 stoploss 2369
#Thl 1D chartGETTEX:THL 1D chart;
It is back to the listed level.
The $0.433 level is critical, if it falls below it, it is not known where the new bottom will be. It is in the cheapness zone for now.
There is also a movement towards compression. We can say that the direction afterwards depends on the stance of bitcoin.
NZDCAD: Classic Trend-Line Trade 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD tested a major rising trend line on a daily.
After its test, the price formed a narrow range on an hourly time frame.
The resistance of the range was broken.
It is an important sign of strength of the buyers.
I bought the pair with 0.8156 target
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$TNSR looks like a strong long opportunity!🚨 $TNSR is forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 4H chart, which is typically a continuation pattern.
📈 Entry Point: CMP and Accumulating up to $0.45
🎯 Targets:
Midterm Goal: $0.664
Long Term Goal: $1.088
Trading Options: NASDAQ:INSR
is available for trading in both spot and futures markets. You can purchase it on the spot market, or if you prefer to go long on futures, consider setting a stop-loss at $0.425.
📊 About $TNSR:
INSR is a promising project in the crypto space, aiming to revolutionize transactions with its innovative technology. Their mission is to provide seamless and secure transactions across different networks.
📢 DYOR, NFA
#Crypto
AUDJPY: Time For Pullback
AUDJPY may bounce from a key daily structure support.
After its false violation, the price formed a double bottom pattern
on an hourly time frame and broke its neckline.
Looks like the market is too oversold and it may bounce to 101.35 resistance.
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