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Gold Price Analysis Ahead of FOMC September 18Fundamental Analysis On the day of the Fed's announcement, markets continued to price in a 65% chance of a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut, CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed, reviving selling interest around the US dollar (USD), as US Treasury yields also turned defensive amid cautious markets. As such. Gold prices are attempting to reclaim all-time highs just shy of $2,600, as attention turns to the Fed's decision, Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference and the Dot Plot, all of which will help gauge the US central bank's future policy actions. If the Fed delivers a 25 basis point rate cut later this Wednesday, it could send the US dollar soaring. However, the immediate reaction to the Fed's announcements could be overshadowed by the implications of the Fed's projections and Powell's words. Therefore, gold prices are still subject to strong fluctuations in the Fed event. Conversely, if the Fed acknowledges the potential risks to inflation and maintains a cautious tone, this could bring the hawks back into the game, negatively affecting the non-interest-bearing gold price. Technical analysis Gold is breaking the downside price band and approaching the resistance level around 2575. If it fails to break this zone before the US session, we can SELL and hold to 255x and 2545 when the FOMC announces to BUY back up and hold to 262x. In case of breaking the 2575 zone, we will not SELL and wait for the candle to close above 258x and BUY when the 2575 zone is retested. Hold until the FOMC does not break the new ATH, then we exit the order. Breakout upper limit: 2582 - 2591 - 2603 Upper resistance: 2581 - 2590 - 2600 - 2605 - 2615 - 2626 - 2645 Breakout lower limit: 2570 - 2563 - 2550 - 2538 Support: 2572 - 2564 - 2552 - 2545 - 2539 - 2525 - 2516 Pay attention to the trend zone around 2580 above. Sell the price zone 2603-2605. Stoploss 2609 Watch for BUY 2564 - 2562. Stoploss 2558 Watch for BUY 2545 - 2547. Stoploss 2541
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
Investors are worried that the Fed only reduced it by 25 pointsWorld gold charges became down with spot gold down thirteen USD to 2,570 USD/ounce. Gold futures closing traded at $2,596.30 an oz, down $12.60 from the brilliant spot. Pressured with the aid of using a rebound withinside the greenback and a moderate upward thrust in Treasury bonds, the yellow metallic misplaced 0.5% after conquering an all-time excessive of $2,589.50 an oz early withinside the day. week. Currently, buyers are nevertheless awaiting facts on whether or not the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) could have a coverage pivot at this assembly as expected. After a chain of membership facts, monetary markets are forecasting a more potent Fed in its first hobby price reduce for the reason that 2020. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the marketplace is already assured withinside the opportunity of a tapping fundamental foreign money with a 63% mission discount might be 50 foundation points. 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2558 - 2556💎 ✔️TP1: 2570 ✔️TP2: 2580 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2548 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2585 - 2587💎 ✔️TP1: 2570 ✔️TP2: 2560 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2595
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold price analysis September 17Fundamental Analysis Gold prices steadied at $2,580 on Tuesday, ahead of potentially market-moving US data later in the day and a Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on Wednesday. Gold surges as Fed rate cut expectations rise Gold prices surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $2,589 on Monday after market bets that the Fed will cut interest rates by a further 0.50% at its meeting on Wednesday surged, according to market-based gauges. Expectations of a Fed rate cut are positive for Gold as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal, a non-interest-paying asset, thus making it more attractive to investors. On the other hand, if the Retail Sales misses expectations, this will add to speculation of a half percent cut on Wednesday and positively impact Gold, which could rise to a new high. Technical Analysis Gold prices are close to the all-time high resistance around 2589 combined with important US news released. The scenario for US gold when Gold prices break the all-time high we will BUY fomo. and on the other hand when Gold prices correct, pay attention to the 2560 and 2545 zones for long-term BUY. Breakout upper: 2591 - 2603 Upper resistance: 2578- 2590 - 2600 - 2605 - 2615 - 2626 - 2645 Breakout lower: 2570 - 2564 - 2538 Support: 2572 - 2565 - 2552 - 2545 - 2539 - 2525 - 2516 SELL zone 2600 Stoploss 2606 SELL zone 2610 Stoploss 2615 BUY 2555 - 2553. Stoploss 2550 BUY 2545 - 2547. Stoploss 2541
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
“The EUR/USD target is 1.11500”Last week, the ECB cut its interest rate by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. ECB President Lagarde did not make any commitments for October but indicated that rates are on a downward path. As a result, pricing in favor of the Euro strengthened, with the EUR/USD pair reaching the 1.1130 level. As the new week began, the pair faced mild selling pressure but maintained prices above the 1.11 level. From a technical perspective, if the upward trend continues and the 1.1150 resistance is broken, the next resistance levels to watch are 1.1190 and 1.1275. On the downside, if pricing drops below the 1.1115 level, 1.1045 and 1.10 could act as important support levels for further declines.
by primequotes
It's all about the FedWorld gold price trades weekly at 2,577 USD/ounce. Gold futures price in December 2024 is trading at 2,606 USD/ounce. The US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision will be the main focus of the market this week. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Conference at the end of August confirmed that the Fed will make a decision on interest rates at its next meeting on September 18. The US Central Bank kept the main lending interest rate unchanged at the highest level in two decades, from 5.25-5.5% over the past 14 months. Major commentators, the labor market is hot and the US economy continues to grow, policymakers have determined it is time to cut interest rates. The market is pricing 55% interest rates in the US will decrease by 25 basis points and 45% interest rates will decrease by 50 basis points in the next few days. 💎 TVC:GOLD Buy 2544 - 2546💎 ✔️TP1: 2560 ✔️TP2: 2580 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2536 💎 TVC:GOLD Sell 2595 - 2597💎 ✔️TP1: 2580 ✔️TP2: 2560 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2605
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold price analysis September 16Fundamental Analysis Gold prices edged lower from fresh record highs around the $2,589-$2,590 region hit on Monday. The intraday decline could be attributed to some profit-taking amid generally positive risk sentiment, which tends to weigh on the safe-haven precious metal. However, any meaningful declines appear to be limited amid expectations of a more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) easing. In fact, markets have begun to price in an over-the-top 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this week after data released last week provided further evidence of subdued US inflation. This has kept US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) near 2024 lows, which in turn will continue to act as a driver of non-yielding gold prices. Traders may also refrain from placing heavy bets ahead of the FOMC’s two-day policy meeting starting on Tuesday. This is followed by monetary policy updates from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Thursday and Friday, respectively, which could inject some volatility into the markets and provide fresh impetus to Gold prices. Hence, any meaningful corrective pullback could still be seen as a buying opportunity. Technical Analysis Gold is at an all-time high, so any bullish momentum will only be met with resistance at the psychological levels of 2600 and 2610. Support areas to place confidence in further buying are around 2570-2545. In today's European session, if gold breaks 2590, it is possible to execute SELL signals around 2600 and 2690. In case it does not break until the middle of the European session, SELL gold to 2570 before the US. If it breaks 2570 before the US session, hold until 2560-2545. Resistance: 2590 - 2600 - 2608 - 2612 - 2626 - 2645 Support: 2580 - 2571 - 2560 - 2545 SELL 2599 - 2601 Stoploss 2605 BUY 2567 - 2565. Stoploss 2561 BUY 2555 - 2553. Stoploss 2549
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GBPUSD Analysis Week 38🌐Fundamental Analysis The GBP/USD pair attracted some dip buying on the first day of the new week amid relatively weak trading conditions due to holidays in China and Japan. The spot price is currently trading around the 1.3135-1.3140 region, up more than 0.10% on the day and still near a one-week high hit on Friday amid prevailing US dollar (USD) selling. The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of six currencies, is hovering near its yearly low set in August amid expectations of a more aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed). In addition, a generally positive risk tone further undermines the greenback’s relative safe-haven status. On the other hand, the British Pound (GBP) benefits from expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will ease policy less than the Fed next year. However, the market is still betting on more BoE rate cuts, especially after data released last week showed a slowdown in UK wage growth and flat GDP for the second month in a row in July. This could deter bulls from placing strong bets on GBP/USD. 🕯Technical Analysis GBPUSD is approaching last week's peak resistance around 1.322. The early Asian session moves pushed the 1.311 support level into a solid session support as the price pushed back. Deeper Fibonacci retracement levels or the key Dow breakout have created two solid support zones for GBPUSD in the uptrend, namely the 1.299 and 1.290 support zones. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL GBPUSD 1.321-1.323 Stoploss 1.324 BUY GBPUSD 1.299 -1.297 Stoloss 1.295
by TVS-Trader
The first threshold surpassed 2,600 USD/ounce.Market are pivoting their interest to subsequent week`s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. This collecting is poised to be one of the year's maximum consequential, with full-size anticipation of the primary hobby price reduce on account that 2020. The consensus amongst analysts, economists, and marketplace observers is that a price discount is all however certain. markets are presently pricing in a 73% danger of a 25 bps reduce and a 27% danger of a 50 bps reduce, consistent with CME FedWatch. Early this week AngloGold Ashanti introduced it's far obtaining Egypt-targeted Centamin for $2.five billion in coins and stock. Anglogold dropped at the news, however recovered via way of means of the stop of the week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
INJ: Scalping Long Setup | 13.09Hello Friends 😀 One of my favorite coins to scalp and definitely one I am eyeing to bid. Currently, we're seeing a bearish divergence on the RSI, which indicates a potential reversal. What makes this setup particularly interesting is the presence of an untapped daily POC (Point of Control) right at the level of the Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone offers an attractive level to enter a position as it could serve as a solid support area. Additionally, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) could provide further support, potentially stabilizing the price around this level. The combination of the bearish divergence, the untapped POC, and the support from the VWAP makes this setup particularly compelling for a short-term trade.
Long
by stromm
Scalp $SEI: Long Setup | 13.09Hello Friends, I am back with another scalp. I will try to share as most of them in here as I can 🤝 -------------------- Entry: 0.29822 🎯 DCA: 0.29005 SL: 0.27974 Note: Got this long idea here on SEI which I want to bid with 2 entrys so I am DCAing this scalp. It is on the 2H chart with a little wider stop loss than the latest scalps but also a higher target so the RR isn't bad. We have build higher highs since 7 days on BITGET:SEIUSDT.P and it seems at if it would continue to do so and for the possibility of a wick lower I am placing the DCA bid. Please remember, the weekend is about to start and sometimes the prica action can become a little weird over the weekend.
Long
by stromm
EURUSD Analysis Week 38🌐Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD returned to the 1.1100 level on Friday, before market forces once again weighed on the Euro and sent Fiber back to its opening price. The pair failed to make a near-term technical recovery as traders turned their attention to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate call next week. The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its benchmark interest rate, the deposit facility, by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.5% as expected. The ECB also cut the rate on its marginal lending facility and main refinancing operations by 60 bps. In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from hinting at the timing of the next rate cut. While the ECB event failed to boost the Euro, renewed selling pressure around the US Dollar (USD) helped the EUR/USD pair gain. On an annual basis, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7% in August, down from 2.1% in July and below market expectations of 1.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose above 40% following the data, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, triggering a sell-off in the USD. 🕯Technical Analysis After peaking around 1.110, a short-term downtrend channel has formed, the support of the downtrend channel remains at around 1.099 and 1.093. These two key support levels will keep the pair stable in the trend. On the other hand, if this short-term downtrend is broken, the 1.115 area will be a key resistance before looking to last month's high around 1.119. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD zone 1.114-1.116 Stoploss 1.118 BUY EURUSD zone 1.099-1.097 Stoploss 1.095
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis September 13Fundamental Analysis Gold prices maintained modest intraday gains heading into the European session on Friday and are currently hovering near the $2,565-2,570 region, or record highs. A softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report released on Thursday provided further evidence of easing inflation and raised expectations of a larger rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week. This was reinforced by a fresh drop in US Treasury yields, which dragged the US dollar (USD) to its lowest in more than a week and continued to act as a bullish driver for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, persistent geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the protracted war between Russia and Ukraine also provided additional support for safe-haven gold. This, in turn, confirms the overnight breakout through a multi-week trading range and supports the outlook for a short-term bullish move. Technical Analysis Profit-taking by some investors at the end of the Asian session pushed the price to 2563 and continued to push it up when the European session entered. Today's scenario is that gold retreats to the 2560 zone and does not break this zone until the middle of the European session, so we can buy back to the target zone of 2574-2580. In the direction of breaking through the 2560 zone, we will not sell retest but wait for the BUY zones of 2555 and 2545. BUY signals can hold TP far away at the present time because gold can completely create ATH in the near future Price zones to pay attention to according to the scenario: 2555-2545-2560-2575-2580.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Analysis September 12Fundamental Analysis Gold prices rose on an overnight rebound from the psychological $2,500 mark and gained some positive momentum on Thursday. Growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its policy easing cycle and lower borrowing costs next week turned out to be a major factor acting as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. That said, bearish bets on a larger Fed rate cut at the end of the September 17-18 policy meeting have pushed the US Dollar (USD) closer to its monthly peak and should limit gains for the commodity. In addition, a generally positive tone around the equity markets is likely to undermine traditional safe-haven assets and deter traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around Gold prices. Furthermore, the recent range-bound price action and repeated failures to find acceptance above the $2,530-2,532 zone or the all-time high reached in August, make it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for further gains. Traders are now looking forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for fresh impetus. Technical Analysis Gold prices pushed up to 2521 in the late Asian session and as the European session began, prices are being pushed back down. The area of ​​interest is the 2512 zone as prices failed to break through until mid-European session, then BUYing back up to 2528 before the US. Breaking 2528 holds until the 2555.xx peak. In the opposite direction when the 2512 zone is broken, wait for retest to sell to 2500 and 2595. In case gold does not push to 12 but flies away, sell again in the 2528-2530 zone. SELL 2543 - 2545 Stoploss 2549 BUY 2503 - 2501. Stoploss 2498 BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 249
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Forecasts suggest that the Fed will decrease by 25 pointsTaking advantage of the opportunity is still there, says RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn. If the Fed decides to reduce it by 50 points, it would mean that the Central Bank of America is surrendering its ability to play. The results of the Reuters visit showed that most participating economists think the Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the remaining main meetings in 2024. The poll showed that only 9 of the 101 economists expect a half-percent cut next week. Independent metals trader Tai Wong said that the rise in core CPI has more or less reinforced the possibility that the Fed will proceed with a 25 basis point cut next week. Gold prices may have to wait a little longer to reach new record highs. 💎 TVC:GOLD Buy 2485 - 2487💎 ✔️TP1: 2500 ✔️TP2: 2510 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2480 💎 TVC:GOLD Sell 2525 - 2527💎 ✔️TP1: 2510 ✔️TP2: 2490 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2535
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The market is now paying attention to some US producer pricesWorld gold prices reversed and decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.9 USD to 2,511.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,540.30 an ounce, down $5.60 from the bright spot. Expectations for an interest rate cut at next week's main meeting decreased somewhat after the consumer price report put upward pressure on gold, causing the precious metal to lose 0.2% on the day. Accordingly, the latest report found that consumer prices in the US increased slightly in August, but underlying utilization remained stable, which may make the US Federal Reserve (Fed) unable to decided to reduce 50 basis points next week. 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2485 - 2487💎 ✔️TP1: 2500 ✔️TP2: 2510 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2480 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2522 - 2525💎 ✔️TP1: 2510 ✔️TP2: 2500 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2533
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold analysis september 11Fundamental Analysis The steady rise continued throughout the early part of the European session and took the commodity to a fresh weekly high, with buyers now looking to build on the upside momentum beyond the $2,525-2,526 supply zone. The US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on the gains recorded over the past three days and retreated from the monthly top amid dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, a weaker risk-on sentiment in general has prompted some safe-haven flows and lifted Gold closer to its all-time high in the last hour. However, bulls may refrain from positioning for any further upside moves and prefer to pause ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. The key US CPI report will play a key role in influencing market expectations on the size of the Fed’s September rate cut and determine the next leg of the directional move for the precious metal. Technical Analysis Gold’s push to 2529 in European trading promises a breakout of all-time highs early today. The current key zone around 2529 in European trading could push prices back to 2540. The top is a push to the psychological port zone which is also the Fibonacci level of 2555. Conversely, if 2029 fails to break, prices could soon push to the 2517 zone before the CPI data and also the US session. and revisit the 2495 support zone and 2555 resistance when the news is released. because if the news pushes up, there will be no good entry to sell until the 2540 and 2555 areas. Resistance above: 2535 - 2540 - 2550-2555… Support: 2512 - 2506 - 2499 - 2493 - 2485 SELL 2537 - 2529 Stoploss 2442 SELL 2554 - 2556 Stoploss 2559 BUY 2508 - 2506 Stoploss 2503 BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 2491
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
AUDCHF Potential Channel breakoutAUDCHF is consolidating after breaking and closing below the key psychological level of 0.5700. The overall trend remains bearish, and the market recently bounced off a resistance zone. On the daily chart, there was a sell-off followed by a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The price consolidated around this level before moving lower, breaking through last week's lows. The market now appears ready to break through the channel's border, which could signal a continuation of the bearish trend. The target is the support level at 0.56400
Short
by RTED_Investing
The possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis At the beginning of the trading session in the US market, world gold prices increased, and consultants strongly bought gold. The US August jobs report was bullish, giving the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) main currency comfort expectations increasingly high. Experts say that the number of new jobs in August reached 142,000, lower than the 160,000 jobs previously expected. This has important implications for the Fed's monetary policy. Furthermore, the unemployment rate decreased slightly from 4.3% to 4.2% but remained high compared to the 3.8% rate recorded a year earlier. The total number of failures has increased from 6.3 million to 7.1 million in the past year, a radical index over the past 3 years, which is building up the Fed's impending interest rate cut. Experts say that the direction of gold in the near future still depends mainly on the Fed's interest rate policy. If the next US economic data is still good, it will cause the Fed to cut more. This helps gold prices reach new heights.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold price analysis September 10Fundamental Analysis Gold prices struggled to capitalize on yesterday’s rebound from the $2,485 support zone and attracted some selling on Tuesday. However, the commodity held above the psychological $2,500 mark during the early part of the European session as traders appeared reluctant to place directional bets ahead of this week’s US inflation figures. The key US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is scheduled for release on Wednesday, followed by the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. The data will influence market expectations on the size of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut later this month and provide fresh directional impetus to the non-yielding yellow metal. Heading into the key data risk, the US Dollar (USD) edged closer to the monthly high reached last week amid bearish bets for a larger Fed rate cut in September. This, coupled with a solid performance in global equity markets, is seen undermining safe-haven Gold. Despite the decline, XAU/USD remains confined within a familiar range that has been maintained for about the past three weeks, indicating hesitation among traders about the short-term trajectory. This makes it more prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to follow before positioning for the recent pullback from the vicinity of the all-time high tested after the release of the mixed US jobs report last Friday. Technical Analysis Gold is still approaching the key 2507 price zone. The European session is trying to push above this level to resume the uptrend. SELL signal in this area can be when the price pushes up in the middle of the European session and cannot break it, we SELL and hold until the US session. If the 2495 area is broken, we hold until the US session at the 2483 area. In case gold increases to 2507, we do not BUY and wait to SELL in the 2515-2517 area. The destination is the 2507-2505 area. SELL 2516 - 2518. Stoploss 2522 BUY 2485 - 2483. Stoploss 2479 BUY 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader