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Gold analysis september 11Fundamental Analysis The steady rise continued throughout the early part of the European session and took the commodity to a fresh weekly high, with buyers now looking to build on the upside momentum beyond the $2,525-2,526 supply zone. The US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on the gains recorded over the past three days and retreated from the monthly top amid dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, a weaker risk-on sentiment in general has prompted some safe-haven flows and lifted Gold closer to its all-time high in the last hour. However, bulls may refrain from positioning for any further upside moves and prefer to pause ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. The key US CPI report will play a key role in influencing market expectations on the size of the Fed’s September rate cut and determine the next leg of the directional move for the precious metal. Technical Analysis Gold’s push to 2529 in European trading promises a breakout of all-time highs early today. The current key zone around 2529 in European trading could push prices back to 2540. The top is a push to the psychological port zone which is also the Fibonacci level of 2555. Conversely, if 2029 fails to break, prices could soon push to the 2517 zone before the CPI data and also the US session. and revisit the 2495 support zone and 2555 resistance when the news is released. because if the news pushes up, there will be no good entry to sell until the 2540 and 2555 areas. Resistance above: 2535 - 2540 - 2550-2555… Support: 2512 - 2506 - 2499 - 2493 - 2485 SELL 2537 - 2529 Stoploss 2442 SELL 2554 - 2556 Stoploss 2559 BUY 2508 - 2506 Stoploss 2503 BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 2491
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
AUDCHF Potential Channel breakoutAUDCHF is consolidating after breaking and closing below the key psychological level of 0.5700. The overall trend remains bearish, and the market recently bounced off a resistance zone. On the daily chart, there was a sell-off followed by a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The price consolidated around this level before moving lower, breaking through last week's lows. The market now appears ready to break through the channel's border, which could signal a continuation of the bearish trend. The target is the support level at 0.56400
Short
by RTED_Investing
The possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis At the beginning of the trading session in the US market, world gold prices increased, and consultants strongly bought gold. The US August jobs report was bullish, giving the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) main currency comfort expectations increasingly high. Experts say that the number of new jobs in August reached 142,000, lower than the 160,000 jobs previously expected. This has important implications for the Fed's monetary policy. Furthermore, the unemployment rate decreased slightly from 4.3% to 4.2% but remained high compared to the 3.8% rate recorded a year earlier. The total number of failures has increased from 6.3 million to 7.1 million in the past year, a radical index over the past 3 years, which is building up the Fed's impending interest rate cut. Experts say that the direction of gold in the near future still depends mainly on the Fed's interest rate policy. If the next US economic data is still good, it will cause the Fed to cut more. This helps gold prices reach new heights.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold price analysis September 10Fundamental Analysis Gold prices struggled to capitalize on yesterday’s rebound from the $2,485 support zone and attracted some selling on Tuesday. However, the commodity held above the psychological $2,500 mark during the early part of the European session as traders appeared reluctant to place directional bets ahead of this week’s US inflation figures. The key US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is scheduled for release on Wednesday, followed by the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. The data will influence market expectations on the size of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut later this month and provide fresh directional impetus to the non-yielding yellow metal. Heading into the key data risk, the US Dollar (USD) edged closer to the monthly high reached last week amid bearish bets for a larger Fed rate cut in September. This, coupled with a solid performance in global equity markets, is seen undermining safe-haven Gold. Despite the decline, XAU/USD remains confined within a familiar range that has been maintained for about the past three weeks, indicating hesitation among traders about the short-term trajectory. This makes it more prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to follow before positioning for the recent pullback from the vicinity of the all-time high tested after the release of the mixed US jobs report last Friday. Technical Analysis Gold is still approaching the key 2507 price zone. The European session is trying to push above this level to resume the uptrend. SELL signal in this area can be when the price pushes up in the middle of the European session and cannot break it, we SELL and hold until the US session. If the 2495 area is broken, we hold until the US session at the 2483 area. In case gold increases to 2507, we do not BUY and wait to SELL in the 2515-2517 area. The destination is the 2507-2505 area. SELL 2516 - 2518. Stoploss 2522 BUY 2485 - 2483. Stoploss 2479 BUY 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Waiting for US economic dataThe gold market continues to be in a very strong position, delaying 23.6% of its price decline. This retracement level was held recently on 4/23/24, 5/6/24 and again on 7/25/24. You can also find support and resistance fields in the main Gann boxes at high and low levels. Use the main Gann square 2514.00 as the swing point for the week. Above that, the long term limit of the entry is 2775.00. The short target is the next largest Gann square at 2578.40. Below it, there is a 23.6% return to the October 2022 low of 2422.00. Any rally that holds the 38.2% back to the 6/10/24 low maintains an extremely positive trend and could quickly reach new highs. The dollar index (DXY00) rose +0.37% on Monday. Stronger-than-expected US economic news on Monday gave the dollar a boost. The dollar also rose on reduced expectations that the Fed will cut rates aggressively as markets are discounting the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at next week's FOMC meeting at 31%, down the line at 50%. following the release of the US payrolls report last Friday. The strength of Monday's vote reduced settlement demand for the dollar. Monday's US economic news was supportive of the dollar. July wholesale revenue increased +1.1% over the previous month, stronger than expectations of +0.3% over the previous month and the largest increase in 5 months. In addition, consumer credit in July increased by +$25,452 billion, stronger than expectations of +$10.4 billion and the maximum increase in 1-1/2 years. The current economic situation is waiting for the final CPI data to make the Fed's decision whether it is 25 points or 50 points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
September begins with weak US jobs market reportSeptember began with a weak US jobs report and news that Japan had raised interest rates from zero to 0.25%. This sent the CBOE Volatility Index (the “fear index”) soaring from 16 to 38, and crowd favorites like the yen carry trade and the world’s most important stock, Nvidia (NVDA), down double digits. In his speech at Jackson Hole in late August, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at future rate cuts. “The time has come for policy to be recalibrated,” he said. “The path is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on the data, the outlook, and the balance of risks.” So they got the message. Rates are falling and the data is weak. The latest US jobs reports show fewer people being hired, fewer new jobs being created, and layoffs are happening more frequently.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
GBPAUD What Next? SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GBPAUD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.9644 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.9542 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold Analysis September 9☘️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices witnessed an intraday reversal from an all-time high and fell below the psychological $2,500 level after the release of key US monthly employment data on Friday. The mixed US employment report reduced the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, which prompted some cover in the US dollar (USD) prices and weighed on the precious metal. That said, concerns about a US recession dampened investors’ appetite for riskier assets and acted as a driver for safe-haven Gold prices. Additionally, the lack of progress in ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas became another factor supporting XAU/USD during the Asian session on Monday. This warrants caution for bearish traders amid the prospect of an impending Fed rate cut cycle. ☘️Technical Analysis Gold is below the 2500 round port level, in fact this port area is no longer strong enough to push gold prices lower. The area of ​​interest in today's European session is around the 2507 Fibonacci 0.5 retracement zone and the 2512 Fibonacci final extension zone. These are two areas of interest for a SELL plan. When 2512 is broken, the downtrend on Friday is reversed. The main candle h4 is broken and ATH comes early this week, the expected level is 255x. The 2331 area is no longer valuable when gold pushes up. In the opposite direction, the 2470-2460 2433 area plays an important support role. 🌸Trading signal SELL zone 2505 - 2507 Stoploss 2511 BUY zone 2484 - 2482 Stoploss 2479 BUY zone 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold prices are more unpredictable than everThe first week of September culminated in the US jobs report for August. Non-farm payrolls for the US economy increased by 142,000 jobs, up from 114,000 in July, although weaker than the market median estimate of 160,000 (Reuters). US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) fell on the news; markets also priced in a 120 basis point cut by the end of the year and nearly 40 basis points for this month's meeting. Average hourly earnings also rose sharply in August, up +0.4% (MoM), improving on the market period (+0.3%) and the +0.2% increase from the previous release in July. YoY, average hourly earnings rose +3.8% YoY in August, also improving on both the favorable data (+3.7%) and the previous data (+3.6%). With the economy now balanced and on track to grow at 2%, it is now time to ease the policy setting regime by reducing the target range for the federal funds rate,' he said, but did not comment on whether he would support a 25 or 50 basis point cut.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
HEY INVESTOR! Nvidia below $100 is an absolute buy! check it outLet's welcome NVDA to our weekend analysis! In this analysis, we're primarily focusing on two resistances that the price formed several months ago, which consequently created a gap later on, the price came back to test our blue area, which we'll call our "gap zone." The price has been fluctuating in a bearish sequence; however, it has not yet reached our point #4 to complete the sequence we've been observing for the past few days. If the price complete the sequence and reaches our point #4, we're looking an excellent buying opportunity below 100 dollars. The trend is still bearish, but there are two factors that may suggest a short-term trend reversal: First , the price has already touched our gap zone, and second , the dividend date is approaching, during which many accumulate shares to receive the dividend and then sell, leading to increased volatility for Nvidia in the coming days. Just remember, Nvidia's intrinsic value may be positioned below 98 dollars, but if you're looking at it for the long term, this price shouldn't concern you at all. Best wishes for success in your trading and investment! Thankyou for supporting my analysis Best Regards
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by RocketMike111
GBPUSD week 37 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis GBPUSD fell sharply after hitting a fresh weekly high above the 1.3200 round-figure resistance against the US Dollar (USD) during Friday's North American session. The GBP/USD pair fell as the US Dollar rebounded strongly following the US (US) Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for August. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the Greenback against six major currencies, recovered strongly to near 101.40 after falling to near 100.60. The short-term outlook for the British currency remains upbeat recently as investors expect the BoE's policy easing cycle to be shallower than that of other central banks. The main reason behind the strong speculation of a gradual BoE easing cycle is that the economy is performing better than previously expected and the fact that inflation in the services sector remains high. In the UK economic calendar next week, investors will focus on the Employment data for the quarter ending in July and the monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for July. Both of these figures could be key to determining what the BoE will decide to do with interest rates when it meets later this month. 📊Technical Analysis The NFP pullback is approaching the 1.308 support zone. The uptrend is still strong with a possible retracement to the 1.0 Fibonacci around the 1.301 zone to bounce back to wave 5 and complete the bullish wave pattern. 1.334 would be a nice Fibonacci resistance zone where we can look at the reaction to execute the SELL signals. In the opposite direction, the Dow breakout of wave 1 formed a strong support level around 1.288. The EMA 34 is gradually decreasing in slope compared to the EMA 89, showing that the market structure is leaning towards the upside but not as strong as last week. Support: 1.301-1.299 Resistance: 1.322- 1.334 🕯Trading Signals BUY GBPUSD: 1.301-1.299 Stoploss 1.297 BUY GBPUSD: 1.288-1.286 Stoploss 1.284 SELL GBPUSD 1.334-1.336 Stoploss 1.338
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks. Technical Analysis Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold. Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x. Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555 Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440 SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536 BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492 BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold is overhyped ? Nonfarm 9/6/2024Gold's risks this week will be the ADP jobs and unemployment claims report and the nonfarm payrolls report. StoneX analyst Rhona O'Connell said bullion was also under pressure from weak global equities. However, O'Connell believes that the precious metal price trend is still upward and these losses are only corrective. This year, gold has had an impressive performance and is up more than 20%. On August 20, this precious metal reached an all-time high of 2,531.6 USD/ounce. Kinesis Money market analyst Mike Ingram has raised his forecast for the yellow metal's resistance above $2,510 an ounce, and he expects the price to break the $2,543 an ounce mark soon. Talking about gold fluctuations in the near future, Natixis precious metals analyst Bernard Dahdah predicts that gold prices will average about 2,600 USD/ounce by 2025. With stable domestic gold prices and world gold prices listed at Kitco at 2,496.4 USD/ounce (equivalent to nearly 75.2 million VND/tael if converted at VCB exchange rate, excluding taxes and fees) , the difference between domestic gold and world gold is huge. Price is about 5.8 million VND/tael.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold possible up correctionXAUUSD continues its downward movement, closing below the 2500 level and confirming a break out of the consolidation zone. With this momentum, the market is likely to head to lower levels. Although the major trend remains bullish, this correction might find support around the 2450 level. If the market retests this area and shows rejection signs, like a bullish long-tailed bar, it could offer a good buying opportunity. A strong rebound from the 2450 support could pave the way for a continuation of the bullish trend toward the all-time highs. The target is the resistance zone at 2505
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
AUDUSD potential Breakout and RetestAUDCAD has broken and closed below its consolidation zone and is currently testing the resistance level around 0.91200. It seems to be pulling back for a retest at this level. The market is showing lower lows and lower closes, signalling bearish dominance. A break-and-retest scenario is expected, where the price might pull back to test the resistance before potentially continuing downward. This is a key level to monitor, as holding here could confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. The target is the support level at 0.90775
Short
by RTED_Investing
Gold Analysis September 5☘️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices edged up in Asian trade on Thursday. A US jobs report showed on Wednesday that employment fell to a three-and-a-half-year low in July, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further in September, which in turn acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. Moreover, concerns about the health of the US economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further supporting the safe-haven precious metal. However, gold prices lacked strong buying interest as traders appeared reluctant to place strong bullish bets, preferring to wait for key details on the US monthly employment report - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report - due on Friday. Meanwhile, the US economic agenda on Thursday - including the ADP report on private sector employment, the weekly jobless claims and the ISM services PMI - will be looked at for short-term opportunities. However, expectations of the imminent start of the Fed's policy easing cycle could continue to support Gold. ☘️Technical Analysis Gold is moving back in the sideways range of 2490-2505. After an old liquidity sweep to 2472. The Asian session's upside momentum is not strong enough to break the technical level of 2508. When the European session pushes up to 2508 without breaking through, we can set up a SELL signal at this area. The sell trend may extend further than there is still a way to move up to ATH. Today, when the US session enters, pay attention to the resistance zone of 2512-2514 for a SELL strategy. And the push to the low zone this week and next week could create momentum for the FOMC to push gold to a new ATH. Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535 Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440 SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518 BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456 BUY price zone 2480 - 2478 stoploss 2475Gold Analysis September 5
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader