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EUR/USD Soars to 2024 Highs as Fed Rate Cut Speculation GrowsThe EUR/USD pair extended its rally for the fourth consecutive day, reaching new 2024 highs around 1.1170. This surge has been fueled by continued weakness in the US Dollar (USD), which has been under pressure as market sentiment shifts. The US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the USD’s strength against a basket of major currencies, fell below the critical 101.00 level for the first time since December 2023. This decline was exacerbated by the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, which hinted at the possibility of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair bypassed its first supply area without a significant rebound and is now approaching the second supply zone, a key area where a potential sell reversal is being closely monitored. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals an interesting divergence: retail traders remain bullish on the pair, while commercial traders and large funds appear to be positioning themselves for a move in the opposite direction. The likelihood of a rate cut has been a focal point for traders. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool currently shows nearly a 60% chance of a 25 basis point reduction at the Fed's September 18 meeting, a slight decrease from around 70% the previous day. Despite the FOMC Minutes supporting the possibility of lower rates as early as next month, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman urged caution, suggesting that rate reductions should be gradual if inflation aligns with the Fed’s 2% target. Her comments indicate a desire to avoid an overly restrictive monetary policy that could stifle economic growth. Should the Fed opt for more substantial rate cuts, the policy gap between the Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) could narrow in the medium to long term. This convergence may further support the EUR/USD pair, particularly as market participants expect the ECB to implement two additional rate cuts this year. Such a scenario could provide additional upward momentum for the EUR/USD, pushing it even higher in the coming months.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern breakout in DALBHART🔍 Technical Analysis on DALBHARAT (1-Hour Timeframe): Pattern Formation: An Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern has recently formed and broken out on the 1-hour chart of DALBHARAT. This bullish reversal pattern is often a strong indicator of a potential upward movement, particularly after the breakout from the neckline. Breakout and Entry Point: The breakout occurred as the price crossed above the neckline, which was near the 1795 level. This breakout is a key signal for a potential long entry. Traders can consider going long above 1795, anticipating further upward movement. Projected Target: Based on the head height of the pattern, the projected target for this breakout is around 1865+. This target is derived by measuring the distance from the head (the lowest point) to the neckline and adding it to the breakout point. The 1865 level serves as the potential upside target, representing the full price move expected from this pattern. Stop Loss Consideration: To manage risk, a small stop loss can be placed at 1751, which is safely below the neckline and the recent low, allowing some room for market fluctuations without prematurely exiting the trade. Summary: Entry: Above 1795 Target: 1865+ Stop Loss: 1751 This trade setup aligns with the technical structure of the inverted head and shoulders pattern, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for those looking to capitalize on the potential bullish momentum in DALBHARAT.
NSE:DALBHARATLong
by TradZoo
Gold Price Analysis August 21☘️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices extended their bullish consolidation above the psychological $2,500 level heading into the European session on Wednesday and remained within striking distance of the record high hit the previous day. Investors appeared to be betting that the Federal Reserve would begin its policy easing cycle and announce 25 basis points (bps) in September. This continued to weigh on US Treasury yields and became a key support for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, geopolitical risks, China’s economic woes and a slight decline in global risk sentiment served as a boost for the safe-haven commodity. Investors also appeared reluctant and preferred to wait on the sidelines ahead of the release of the July FOMC meeting minutes. In addition, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday will be closely watched for clues on the US central bank's policy path. ☘️Technical Analysis Gold is trading in a narrow range of 2500 and 2532. That is the wide range we can trade when gold breaks out of the sideways range in the Asian session around 2519-2510. Today's key support resistance zone around 2550 and 2476 to ensure that gold's price range does not increase or decrease too much. RSI corrected in the US session yesterday but is still at a relatively high level. If gold fails to close below 2500, it is very likely to create a new ATH in the following days. Resistance: 2527 - 2531 - 2540 - 2552 Support: 2500 - 2495 - 2488 - 2475 - 2470 SELL scalp zone 2528 - 2530 stoploss 2533 SELL zone 2550 - 2552 stoploss 2556 BUY zone 2477 - 2375 stoploss 2471
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold prices are standing still and waiting for results from FEDAfter completing the new history, gold easily becomes a time-limited investor. Not only that, gold prices at such a high level are difficult to attract new buyers to the market, also causing this commodity to decrease in price. Sharing the same opinion, Anuj Gupta - Head of Commodities and Currency at HDFC Securities - determined that the upward trend in gold prices is still there and the direction of the precious metal will depend on the main direction of the US Federal Reserve. (Fed). He believes that the speech of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the upcoming Jackson Hole congress will find a clearer picture of the monetary policy presentation of the Bank of America. Accordingly, if Mr. Powell shows concern about the balance between economic growth and deflation, this will strengthen the possibility of cutting interest rates. Conversely, if he is optimistic and does not offer a commitment instrument, the school may have to adjust its current expectations.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Price Analysis August 19Fundamental Analysis Gold prices remained on the defensive in early European trading on Monday, although they held above $2,500 and remained within striking distance of their record highs. Growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin lowering borrowing costs in September triggered a fresh decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, dragged the US Dollar (USD) to its lowest level since January and acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the protracted Russia-Ukraine war contributed to limiting the decline in the safe-haven commodity. However, traders appeared reluctant to place fresh bets on Gold prices, preferring to wait for further signals on the Fed’s rate cut path. Therefore, the focus remains on the release of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, Friday’s breakout above the $2,470-2,472 horizontal barrier and subsequent strength above the previous all-time high is seen as a fresh impetus for bullish traders. Furthermore, the oscillators on the daily chart are holding in positive territory and are still far from overbought territory, suggesting that the path of least resistance for Gold prices is to the upside. That said, the failure to build momentum above the psychological $2,500 mark warrants some caution for the bulls. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying above Friday’s time-allowed top, around the $2,509-2,510 region, before positioning for any further gains. On the other hand, the $2,472-2,470 resistance level currently seems to protect the immediate decline. Any further decline is likely to attract fresh buyers and remain limited in the $2,448-2,446 zone. The latter will act as a key pivot for short-term traders, a decisive break of which will open the way for deeper losses. Resistance: 2509 - 2519 - 2533 Support: 2495 - 2488 - 2475 - 2470 SELL scalp price zone 2508 - 2510 stoploss 2514 SELL price zone 2532 - 2534 stoploss 2538 BUY price zone 2477 - 2375 stoploss 2471
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our 1h chart idea playing out perfectly, as analysed. We got the cross and lock below 2500 opening the retracement range, which was hit perfectly. This followed with the perfect bounce for a nice catch and now heading for 2509. We currently have a gap above at 2509 and will need a cross and lock above this level to open the range above. Failure to test and break 2509 level will follow with a rejection for another retracement test to the full retracement. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2509 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2519 2533 BEARISH TARGETS 2500 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2500 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2488 (DONE) - 2472 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2472 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2458 - 2446 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
16
Gold price remained steady at 2500Gold costs have surged beyond report highs as a aggregate of upbeat US monetary reports, expectancies of Fed hobby charge cuts and growing tensions withinside the Middle East boosted demand. secure haven assets. Fears that Iran should retaliate towards Israel for current conflicts have heightened geopolitical tensions, and not using a enormous development in ceasefire negotiations. This uncertainty keeps to underpin gold`s rally, making it a key attention for traders looking for shelter amid worldwide uncertainty. Gold costs are buying and selling better whilst presently checking out resistance. MACD has illustrated growing bullish momentum. However, the RSI is at 68, suggesting the commodity should face a technical correction because the RSI enters oversold territory. Resistance levels: 2500.00, 2535.00 Support levels: 2465.00, 2445.00
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold may trade sideways at the end of the week☘️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on the previous day's positive move and are hovering between modest gains heading into Friday's European session. Upbeat US macro data on Thursday eased fears of a sharp slowdown in the world's largest economy and boosted investor confidence, undermining demand for the safe-haven metal. However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, coupled with bets on the imminent start of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy easing cycle, supported XAU/USD. In fact, the market has fully priced in a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut at the upcoming FOMC policy meeting in September. This prospect, in turn, triggered a fresh decline in US Treasury yields and attracted fresh sellers around the US Dollar (USD), which turned out to be another factor acting as a bullish driver for Gold ☘️Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, the overnight failure near the $2,470 resistance level makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further gains. With the daily chart oscillators holding in positive territory, Gold could then aim to break above the all-time highs, around the $2,483-$2,484 zone hit in July, and conquer the psychological $2,500 mark. A sustained strength above the latter would confirm a breakout above a month-old trading range and could be viewed as a fresh trigger for bullish traders, setting the stage for a further near-term upside move. On the downside, the $2,447-2,445 horizontal zone now looks to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,430-2,429 zone and the weekly low, around $2,424. Some follow-through selling could leave Gold vulnerable to further weakness below $2,400. Resistance: 2475 - 2488 - 2500 -2509 Support: 2438 - 2333 - 2426 - 2421 Price ranges to note: SELL zone 2473 - 2475 stoploss 2479 SELL zone 2498 - 2500 stoploss 2504 BUY zone 2438 - 2436 stoploss 2432 BUY zone 2426 - 2324 stoploss 2420
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GBPUSD analysis week 34Fundamental Analysis The British pound (GBP) outperformed its major peers in New York trading on Friday. The British currency gained significantly as the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that retail sales rebounded in July, as expected, after a sharp decline in June. Retail sales are a key gauge of consumer spending. Strong consumer demand tends to drive inflationary pressures in the economy, so the data could dampen expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will opt to cut interest rates again in September. The BoE's next monetary policy meeting in September could also be a tough call. UK service sector inflation fell sharply in July as wage growth slowed. However, the latest labor market data also showed a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate and the economy is clearly on the path of expansion. Technical Analysis GBPUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.286 and 1.300 after posting a strong gain on Friday. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards last month’s high resistance around 1.304. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.286 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair needs to break the support level of 1.280 to really break the bullish structure on the current chart. RSI reaches the overbought level, indicating that the bullish momentum will continue in the early days of next week Resistance: 1.300-1.304 Support: 1.286-1.280 Trading signal SELL GBPUSD 1.303-1.305 SL 1.307 BUY GBPUSD 1.287-1.285 SL 1.283
by TVS-Trader
EURUSD analysis week 33Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD regained momentum and rose to 1.1020 in the American session on Friday after snapping a three-day winning streak. Upbeat macroeconomic data from the United States boosted the US dollar (USD) and sent EUR/USD lower. The US Department of Labor reported that initial weekly jobless claims fell by 7,000. Improved risk sentiment on Friday morning made it difficult for the USD to continue Thursday's gains and sent EUR/USD higher. The US economic calendar will feature data on Housing Starts and Building Permits for July. Additionally, the University of Michigan will release preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index data for August. The market reaction to these data may not last long. Technical Analysis EURUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.106 and 1.091 after gaining ground above 1.100. On the D1 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards the most important resistance around 1.113. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.1091 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair would need to break the 1.081 support to truly break the bullish structure on the current chart. Resistance: 1.106-1.113 Support: 1.092-1.081 Trading Signals SELL EURUSD 1.112-1.114 SL 1.116 BUY EURUSD 1.092-1.090 SL 1.088
by TVS-Trader
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, We had a PIPTASTIC finish to the week with all our Bullish targets complete!!! After completing our targets yesterday we got the correction back into the range below and we stated that we will now need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2459 to open 2475 once again. - We got the cross and lock above 2459 once again and then followed with the 2475 retest hit, just like we said. We then got the ema5 cross and lock above 2475 opening 2488 and 2500, which were both hit perfectly completing this range - BOOOOOM!!! We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
Expect a 25-point cut from the Fed's interest ratesWorld gold fees persevered to say no with spot gold down 17 USD to 2,448.2 USD/ounce. Gold futures final traded at $2,486 an ounce, up $18.eighty from the intense spot. A sharp growth in after-income interest at the start of the week persevered to place stress on gold, inflicting the valuable metallic to lose any other 1%. Besides, the document capitalized at the cutting-edge improvement that dampened marketplace optimism approximately a first-rate pivot at the following coverage assembly which additionally contributed to the decline in gold fees. According to a document with the aid of using the United States Department of Labor`s Bureau of Labor Statistics, the United States client fee index expanded 0.2% final month, after falling 0.1% in June. So, over the equal length final year, CPI rose 2.9%, then rose 3% in June. According to the FedWatch CME tool, after the CPI document turned into released, the chance that the Fed will reduce hobby costs with the aid of using 50 foundation factors on the September assembly has reduced to 41% from 50% previously.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
USDJPY trading signalsJapanese Yen remains stronger as US Dollar remains tepid ahead of key economic data The Japanese Yen edges higher due to rising odds of the BoJ adopting a hawkish stance amid upbeat GDP data. Japan's Gross Domestic Product increased by 0.8% in Q2, marking the strongest quarterly growth since Q1 of 2023. The US Dollar advanced due to improved Treasury yields despite a dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed. BUY USDJPY now zone 147.300-147.100  ↠ Stoploss 146.900 →Take Profit 1 147.600 →Take Profit 2 148.300
by TVS-Trader
2