GBPUSD analysis week 28GBP/USD drops to new multi-week lows below 1.2650
GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest since mid-May below 1.2650. Stronger-than-expected Manufacturing and Services PMI data from the US helped the USD maintain its position and sent the pair lower.
The Bank of England (BoE) announced on Thursday that it is not changing its monetary policy settings. “The June decision is reasonably balanced as higher-than-expected services inflation reflects factors that will not push up medium-term inflation,” the BoE said. The BoE's upbeat tone on the inflation outlook has seen the Pound weaken against its major rivals.
GBP/USD fell below the lower bound of the ascending regression channel and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-day chart fell below 40, reflecting a bearish bias in the short-term outlook.
After breaking the important support level of 1,266, the GBPUSD pair may retreat to the 1,259 area before encountering recovery support. The main support level of the pair is at the 1,252 area. If GBP/USD drops below 1.259 and starts to use it as resistance, an extended slide towards 1.252 could be seen
Support: 1,259-1,252
Resistance: 1,266-1,272
Trading signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.272-1.274 SL 1.276
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.252-1.250 SL 1.248
Tradingsignals
GOLD : Gold is looking forward to today's dataMarket analysts forecast positive numbers for the May report. Expect the cost of goods and services to increase at an annual rate of 2.6%, down slightly from April's 2.7%. More importantly, core PCE is expected to fall to 2.6% (on an annual basis) in May, from 2.8% in April. If these forecasts come true, it would signal a further reduction in inflationary pressures. , bringing the economy closer to the Fed's 2% inflation target.
Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have repeatedly emphasized the need for a sustained positive economic data trend before considering a change in monetary policy. In the recent press conference of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Mr. Powell reaffirmed this view: "We have stated that reducing the federal funds rate target range will not be appropriate until when we have greater confidence that inflation is moving towards 2% sustainably."
The market's growing confidence in the Fed's ability to change policy is reflected in the probability of cutting interest rates. CME's FedWatch tool currently shows that there is only a 35.9% chance that the Fed will keep current interest rates unchanged (from 5.25% to 5.50%) through September. This is a significant change in market sentiment, down from 37.7% just one day ago and 50.2% a month ago. This trend shows growing optimism about when the Fed will move toward normalizing interest rates.
On Thursday afternoon, 6:00 pm ET, the August gold futures contract was trading actively, soaring 28.90 USD (equivalent to 1.25%) to 2,338.70 USD/oz. Although a weaker USD provided some support, the main driver of the rally was bullish market sentiment centered on expectations for Friday's PCE report.
XAUUSD : Gold increased slightly after two days of declineUS economic data on June 27 was not very positive: the number of applications for unemployment benefits reached the highest level since November 2021, the number of durable goods orders showed a bad signal for Q2 GDP, sales Pending home sales hit a record low, and finally, the Kansas Fed's manufacturing activity stagnated for the 21st straight month.
World gold prices are slightly decreasing, fluctuating around 2,320 USD/ounce.
XAU/USD had a positive trading session, rising more than $30 to $2,329 an ounce on Thursday. World gold prices have recovered from their lowest level in 2 weeks thanks to the weakening of the USD, after a series of data showed that the US economy is slowing down, reinforcing expectations of lowering interest rates by the Fed.
The market is currently paying attention to important US inflation data today for more clues about the Fed's interest rate path.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted level range. We have 2332 and 2339 Goldturn resistance levels and 2321 and 2312 as Goldturn support levels with 2339 as weighted resistance and 2312 as weighted support. We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We have 2332 open gap and will need ema5 to lock above 2339 to confirm the range above. We also have 2321 and 2312 as the retracement area and will need ema5 lock below this to open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2332
2339
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2339 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2349
POTENTIALLY 2354
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2364
BEARISH TARGETS
2321
2312
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2306 - 2298
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2337 Goldturn resistance and 2325 and 2316 as Goldturn support levels with 2337 as weighted resistance and 2316 as weighted support. We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range.
We have 2337 open gap and will need ema5 to lock above 2337 to confirm the range above. We also have 2316 as the retracement area and will need ema5 lock below this level to open the range below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2337
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2337 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2346
2353
POTENTIALLY 2360
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2360 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2376
BEARISH TARGETS
2325
2316
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2316 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS
BEARISH TARGETS
2309
2302
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2302 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2290- 2284
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure.
Last week we completed the gap to 2359 perfectly, as analysed. No ema5 lock above this level and therefore a rejection gave the drop.
We then stated that we will continue to see price play between 2355 and 2309 until we see a lock confirmation for the next range.
- This is still playing out with no cross and lock on either 2355 and 2309 and therefore playing between the range.
We have marked the charts with the weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our algo generated levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
MR GOLD
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our mid to longer term weekly chart idea.
After completing our 2356 target week before last, we saw price test support at 2310 last week followed with the rejection with the gap to 2356 now left open again for a re-test.
The channel half line is a crucial level of support on this chart and as long as ema5 remains above the channel half line, we should be able to continue to buy dips. A break and lock below the channel half line will open the range test for the channel bottom.
The levels within the channel will provide the bounces inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
MR GOLD
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
Beta Finance — Aiming For $0.16 — Massive Buy Signal BETA is up more than 100% since the beginning of the week. Therefore, I wouldn't consider a long trade following the rule, "Don't chase green candles!"
However, violating the rule might be a good idea in this case.
Here's why 👇
BETA printed a so-called Power Scalper signal on the daily chart. The strategy is a rather complex approach that uses some lesser-known indicators (SSL, TDFI) and the RSI uncommonly, specifically tailored to realizing gains after a pump.
Signal Details 🧐
The signal flashed on the daily chart and had extraordinary backtest results. Based on 22 historical signals, BETA gained over 10% after signals flashed in 86% of their occurrence.
Other Technical Indicators 💹
All trend indicators (short, medium, and long term) show a bullish trend! Momentum indicators provide a mixed picture, which is logical after a 100% pump. As a result, the RSI, for example, is overbought. Additionally, the ADX shows a super strong trend and should help realize the signal gains.
What about the chart 📊
Currently, BETA trades at $0.095. The next resistance is ~0.12. This level can serve as a first take-profit target. The next resistance is $0.15-0.16, which correlates with this signal's profit target of 73%.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Awesome finish to the week today with our final target at 2339 complete with the perfect exit before the rejection.
We were able to track the movement down all the way into the swing range with cross and lock confirmation below 2312. We also had ema5 cross and lock above 2330 leaving the gap to 2339 open, giving us the confidence to buy dips throughout the week into our final target today.
2349 was a potential momentum target and not one to chase now.
BULLISH TARGETS
2323 - DONE
2330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2339 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2312 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2302 - 2294 - DONE
As always, we will now come back Sunday with our multi timeframe analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Have a smashing weekend all!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GBPUSD: Time For Pullback 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD leaves clear bullish clues after a test of a key intraday support:
the price formed a bearish trap that was followed by a bullish breakout
of a minor resistance and a confirmed local change of character.
I think that the pair may bounce to 1.266 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Investors eagerly await US PCE data✔️Gold prices attracted some selling during the Asian session on Friday and partially reversed the previous day's nice recovery from more than two-week lows. The US dollar (USD) spiked to a new two-month high in the final hour and became the main factor weakening commodities.
✔️That said, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates later this year provide some support for the precious metal. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and lingering tensions between Russia and Ukraine act as drivers for the safe-haven XAU/USD.
✔️Investors also appear reluctant to bet on the upside and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Price Index (PCE) at the end of the first North American trading session. Important inflation data will influence market expectations of the Fed's future policy decisions, which, in turn, will help determine the next leg of the directional move for Gold prices. profit.
✔️From a technical perspective, gold's positive move has been resisted at the price range of 2,330 points, EMA 89 of the h4 frame and EMA 34 in the long-term uptrend of frame D. The above barrier is currently anchored near the 2,336- 2,338, will now serve as an important pivotal point. Sustained strength beyond that is likely to push Gold prices back into the $2,360-$2,365 supply zone. Some follow-through buying should negate any near-term negative trend and allow bulls to reclaim the $2,400 round mark.
✔️On the downside, the 2300 and 2295 round harbor support marks are likely to protect the decline just ahead of the $2,285 horizontal support. A convincing break below the 2285 handle would be seen as a fresh trigger for traders to bearish on gold to the deeper 2268 zone.
Support: 2310 - 2300 - 2295 - 2285 - 2268
Resistance: 2328 - 2336 - 2344 - 2355
BUY price range 2312 - 2310 stoploss 2307
SELL price range 2335 - 2337 stoploss 2340
BUY price range 2286 - 2384 stoploss 2281
SELL price range 2354-2356 stoploss 2359
Injective Protocol Flashes Buy Signal On The Daily Chart — 16% 👉 Here's What Has Happened
printed a bullish MACD crossover on the daily chart. Simplified speaking, this happens when a shorter-term moving average moves above a longer-term average. Practically, it tells you that the token is getting some upward momentum, which likely leads to a further price increase.
ℹ️ Signal Details
The signal flashed on the daily chart and had extraordinary backtest results. Based on 30 historical signals, INJ gained more than 10% after signals has flashed in 80%. Moreover, the MACD is usually a good indicator on the daily chart — when specific aspects apply 👇
💹 Other Technical Indicators
Most momentum indicators are in the neutral zone and, therefore, support the signal. Many trend indicators have turned bullish or are about to turn bullish. The weak ADX should be monitored closely since we want to have the signal backed by a strong trend.
📉 What about the chart
INJ's 1D chart perfectly supports the signal. INJ has found strong support at $20 and bounced nicely. The profit potential of the signal aligns with the next resistance at 27-28.
AUDUSD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupAUDUSD is moving in a descending channel under the trend lines.
The price has fallen under the dynamic support, which now acts as resistance.
We expect the decline to continue after testing the lower boundary of the channel.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Gold analysis (June 24) How is GOLD after the sharp decline ?📌On Friday, when data released by S&P Global showed that the US PMI data for June was generally better than expected, the US Dollar strengthened and spot gold plummeted more than 38 USD. U.S. business activity hit a 26-month high in June amid a recovery in employment and a significant reduction in price pressures. The FED emphasized that more evidence of cooling inflation is needed before cutting interest rates. These statements supported the trend of the US Dollar during the week.
📌Notable economic data and events next week
Tuesday: US consumer confidence index
Wednesday: US new home sales index
Thursday: Final Q1 GDP, weekly jobless claims, core durable goods, US pending home sales index
Friday: PCE price index, personal income and spending
📌On the h2 chart, after gold could not break the 2370 resistance zone to reach 2385, gold fell to 2320 after positive economic data from the US. Strong selling pressure brought gold prices back to a very important position. The important thing for the uptrend is that the rising trendline continues to be maintained.
📌In terms of closing position, gold has conditions to continue to decline with a target level that could target the original price point of 2,300 USD in the short term if gold has a nice recovery to the important fibonacci areas around 2336 or 2343. In the opposite direction, gold can still maintain an uptrend if this support level of 2320 still holds and supports gold prices trading above 2343.
📌The overall technical picture is constantly changing with very large price movements occurring regularly, and currently technical conditions are more supportive of the bearish possibility although there is still support in the pipeline. short term mentioned above.
Support: 2316 - 2311- 2300
Resistance: 2323 - 2337 - 2346
SELL zone 2335 - 2337 stoploss 2340
SELL zone 2346 - 2348 stoploss 2351
BUY zone 2311 - 2309 stoploss 2306
BUY zone 2302 - 2300 stoploss 2297
Bears are dominating the entire market☘️Gold prices hovered in a range just below the $2,300 mark during Thursday's Asian session and consolidated recent declines to a near two-week low touched the previous day. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has adopted a more hawkish stance and expects just one rate cut in 2024 at the end of its June policy meeting. Hawkish outlook for bond rate hike US Treasuries to a two-week high and the US Dollar (USD) to its highest since early May, are therefore seen as a drag on the unyielding yellow metal . Persistent geopolitical tensions and political instability, however, have provided some support for XAU/USD. The bears also seem reluctant to bet aggressively and prefer to wait for the release of the key US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Friday. Meanwhile, Thursday's US economic data could create short-term opportunities later in the US session.
☘️From a technical perspective, the recent failure to build momentum above the 2334 resistance zone has caused sellers to push gold prices lower than 2300. Furthermore, the break of the uptrend line support Short-term decline near the $2,314 area has confirmed the negative short-term outlook. The downward pull on gold prices is strong, some subsequent selling below the horizontal support level of 2,285 USD is likely to drag Gold prices back to 2265.
☘️On the downside, any recovery attempt now appears to face resistance near the $2,312-2,314 support stop. Today the main resistance and price range of gold is around 2320-2322 with the resistance of the moving average EMA 34 and EMA 89 converging with gold's sharply falling break out point. The next upward move could lift the Gold price back to the 2,365 supply zone or back to the peak of 2,400. Gold first needs to close the daily candle above 2,334.
Support: 2290 - 2286 - 2270
Resistance: 2311 - 2321 - 2334
SELL price range 23011 - 2303 Stoploss 2316
BUY price range 2291 - 2289 Stoploss 2286
BUY price range 2271 - 2269 stoploss 2265
SELL price range 2320 - 2322 stoploss 2325
Adobe - Preparing a multi year breakout!NASDAQ:ADBE has been consolidating for some time and is definitely ready for a breakout.
Adobe is a stock, which is clearly heading higher on a macro perspective. Just two months ago, Adobe actually retested an important horizontal structure and managed to create bullish confirmation, followed by a reversal towards the upside. Eventually, Adobe will also break out of the ascending triangle formation, which has been forming over the past 5 years.
Levels to watch: $650
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC day on the chart today buying dips in style form our swing range.
Yesterday we had the swing range activate and hit perfectly and it did exactly what it says on the tin, by giving the swing bounce into the next Goldturn and we were looking for the complete movement into 2312.
- The full swing was completed today and now a continuation into 2330 weighted Goldturn. We are seeing a rejection here currently and will need to see ema5 cross and lock to re-confirm the 2339 outstanding target from previous gap.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2323 - DONE
2330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2339
POTENTIALLY 2349
BEARISH TARGETS
2312 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2302 - 2294 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
ETHBTC Set for 3X Gain: Strong Support Levels & Bull Run InsightETHBTC is showing strong support at the 0.0477 to 0.045 level, presenting a significant opportunity for traders. This level could provide an excellent entry point, with the potential for substantial gains. If ETHBTC breaks below 0.046, the next confirmed support level is 0.0355, where there is an 80% chance of a bounce, especially with the upcoming bull run projected to extend until November or December 2025.
ETHBTC is a crucial indicator for identifying alt season. If ETHBTC flip the 0.06 level, we could see a robust rally in altcoins. Historically, the targets for ETHBTC during a bull run have been a minimum of 0.09 and a maximum of 0.126 by late 2025.
For more insightful analysis, follow us on TradingView to stay updated with our latest trading ideas.
DXY fluctuations lead to gold falling sharplyGold dropped sharply withinside the context of traders being careful earlier than americaA introduced crucial records approximately the monetary situation. Money flows making a bet at the USD as US Federal Reserve (Fed) officers stay hawkish, decided to step up the combat towards inflation.
After every announcement with the aid of using a Fed official, the USD strengthens, thereby placing downward stress on gold prices.
The USD is likewise supported with the aid of using efforts to reduce hobby quotes early with the aid of using many essential important banks withinside the world, along with the ECB of Europe and Canada...
Recently, the USD isn't most effective strong at a excessive stage however additionally has a tendency to boom in price.
Trading opportunity for BONEUSDT (Long term)Based on technical factors there is a Buy position in :
📊 BONEUSDT
🔵 Buy Now
🪫Stop loss 0.440000
🔋Target 1 0.711000
🔋Target 2 0.953000
🔋Target 3 1.418000
💸RISK : 1%
We hope it is profitable for you ❤️
Please support our activity with your likes👍 and comments📝
GOLD : Is gold preparing to test a breakout?The downward pressure on gold prices increased further due to rising US government bond yields. This yield has increased from 5-7 bps across all bond terms. A recent five-year US Treasury bond auction showed positive results, with bids from non-dealer investors exceeding the average.
Recent statements by Fed officials have also further influenced market sentiment. Fed Governor Lisa Cook acknowledged progress in curbing inflation and the labor market is gradually cooling, but she did not give a specific time to reduce interest rates. Meanwhile, Fed Board of Governors Member Michelle Bowman stated that now is not the time to start cutting interest rates, even suggesting the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation persists.
These developments come just ahead of the important PCE index report, scheduled for release on Friday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires and the Wall Street Journal predicted consumer prices would fall last month. The core PCE index, which excludes food and energy costs, is expected to hit its lowest level since March 2021.
If the PCE report matches forecasts, this could suggest inflation is on track toward the Fed's goals. This could encourage the Fed to consider reducing its benchmark interest rate as early as September, despite recent hawkish statements from some Fed officials.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell previously emphasized the need for greater confidence in economic data before making policy adjustments. The positive PCE report could mark the start of the "string of positive economic data" the Fed is looking for, potentially paving the way for an earlier rate cut than Cook and Bowman suggested. recently released.
The combination of a strong USD, rising yields and mixed signals from Fed officials continue to create a difficult environment for gold prices in the short term. However, the upcoming PCE report could significantly influence the Fed's future policy decisions, and therefore market sentiment towards gold.