Tradingsignals
GBPUSD analysis week 33Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD resumed its upward momentum and traded near 1.2750 after an earlier decline. However, as market sentiment remained cautious ahead of the weekend, the pair struggled to gather further upside momentum and is still on track to post weekly losses.
The US Dollar (USD) consolidated in a narrow range, with investors focused on the extent to which the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Looking ahead, the next trigger for the US Dollar will be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July, due on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, the Pound will be influenced by the UK Employment data for the three months ending in July and July consumer inflation data, due on Tuesday and Wednesday. Economic data will indicate whether the Bank of England (BoE) will make further rate cuts in September.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD continues to trade in a wide range with the nearest support resistance in the price range of 1.281 and 1.261. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 is below the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is tilted to the downside with the lowest retracement around the support zone of 1.262. On the other hand, any daily close above the resistance level of 1.281 and a candle close above both EMAs would confirm a bullish trend with the resistance level of the week at 1.286, which is also the price range before the NFP announcement.
Resistance: 1.281-1.286
Support:1.267-1.262
Trading Signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.286-1.288 SL 1.290
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.262-1.260 SL 1.258
BTC/USDT RED LOW TIME FRAMEThis is a low time frame update which shows that BTC has the chance to have a correction in the coming time frame, the weekend trend.
We will follow the trend and see if these red signals are confirmed in the coming time frame.
We followed the BTC before, from a 54K to 62K trend. as this below update shows
About the side where BTC is going, we can't know, since we only follow data.
we never hope for a trend where BTC can go since we always check all 2 sides and where data shows a high chance.
our statics show that we are the best of all coins with data in BTC long term.
Knowing this is BTC there can be always manipulation in trends that can make fake liquidity before it will enter the real liquidity, we have seen before at 56650 before increasing to 62K, in a different way can always happen. make always plan..
data shows there is a chance that 70% BTC will make first a correction
GROKUSDT: At ITS SUPPORT, IMMINENT BOUNCE within DAYSHello All,
Welcome to the quick update of GROKUSDT.
Unfortunately, The last setup I posted for GROK didn't work and hit our STOPLOSS.
We saw GROK in a downtrend since last 1 week.
As of now, it is trading at its weekly support of around 0.0041 to 0.0044. This point may be a major support and can pump anytime soon.
Possible entry-exit points:
Entry: 0.00421 to 0.00462
Target: 0.00503, 0.00617 until 0.00711 in the long run.
STOPLOSS: 0.00367
Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES!!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
ScramblerG is always there to help and trade with caution but DYOR.
Gold price analysis September 8Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices eased from a three-day high near $2,430 but held above the key support level of $2,400. The near-term outlook for the precious metal remains solid amid speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates in September.
However, investors remain divided on whether the Fed will demonstrate its aggressiveness in its policy normalization by announcing a 50 basis point (bp) rate cut or a 25 bps cut.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices are in a strong bullish range with a narrow range around 2,418 and 2,434. Prices are trading strongly above the EMA and are poised to make further gains. The resistance levels of 2,454 and 2,404 act as key support and resistance, keeping gold prices steady over the weekend.
Resistance: 2432 - 2448 - 2454
Support: 2412 - 2407 - 2396 - 2388
Price ranges to note:
SELL scalp price range 2441 - 2443 stoploss 2447
SELL price range 2453 - 2455 stoploss 2459
BUY price range 2407 - 2405 stoploss 2400
BUY price range 2397 - 2395 stoploss 2391
75: Disney Stock Analysis and Outlook with Levels and ScenariosDisney has been experiencing mixed results in its recent earnings, reflecting both strong progress in streaming profitability and ongoing challenges in its theme park operations. The stock is now approaching a crucial zone between $80 to $90, which is a point of interest for potential reversal. Here's a breakdown of possible scenarios:
Bullish Scenario :
If Disney can hold and reverse in the $80-$90 zone, we could see a rebound driven by continued strength in streaming, especially if fundamentals improve further. The company’s recent milestone of achieving profitability in streaming earlier than expected is a positive indicator. If Disney can sustain and build on this, combined with strategic investments in new content and attractions, the stock may attract buyers and see a move back towards higher resistance levels.
Bearish Scenario :
However, if Disney fails to hold this key $80-$90 support zone, we could see the price move lower, with the next areas of interest at $65 and potentially $50. The theme parks’ underperformance and increasing operational costs are key risks. If these challenges persist without a significant recovery in fundamentals, particularly in visitor numbers or cost management, further downside pressure on the stock is likely.
Technical Outlook:
- Support Levels: $80-$90 (Key zone), $65, $50
- Resistance Levels: $111, $145
The upcoming price action in the $80-$90 zone will be critical in determining the next major move for $DIS. Keeping an eye on both the technical levels and fundamental developments will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
ETH scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 5Late night session not over yet. Want to bid this FVG on ETH. Looking for the demand or the FVG to hold. Target is yet to be announced but MDay-H range is a good target. Let's see what we get.
Analysis of the Chart:
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a key zone of interest. This area represents a price imbalance that the market may revisit to fill, providing a potential entry point.
Demand Zone:
Just below the FVG, a 30-minute demand zone is identified. This area signifies strong buying interest that could act as support and push the price higher.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) are highlighted, indicating critical points where the market trend shifted from bearish to bullish. These BOS levels provide additional confirmation of the market's directional bias.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP):
VWAPs are used in the chart instead of moving averages. VWAPs help to identify the average price weighted by volume, providing dynamic support and resistance levels.
The target is yet to be announced, but the MDay-H (Midday High) range is considered a good initial target. This level represents a previous significant high, providing a logical area for the price to aim for.
BEAM scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 6Another setup from the livestream is coming into play. Shorting some BEAM here at the retest of this range. Looking for the imbalances to be filled on the downside. Maybe even going under MDay-Mid but let's see. Important news later on so keep that in mind.
Analysis of the Chart:
Retest of the Range:
The chart shows BEAMUSDT retesting a previously established range. This level acts as a potential resistance where the price might reverse.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Several Breaks of Structure (BOS) indicate where the market sentiment has shifted. These points are crucial in identifying the potential continuation or reversal of the trend.
Imbalances and Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
The price has created imbalances or Fair Value Gaps (FVG) on the way up. These gaps represent areas where the price moved quickly without much trading, often revisited by the price to achieve equilibrium.
Hey SPY Lovers! We are on a slow recoveringThe price touched our area of interest and has started to bounce back upwards. As you can see in the indicator, the SPY is beginning its slow strength. If you Compare the structure with the oscillator on the bottom, you will see there will be a bull run soon .
The question is: will this be the bull run we've been looking for, to reach our area of interest or even higher?
No one knows for sure, but for now, I want to show you that the SPY is starting the recovery process.
HERE IS THE KEY: We need to pay much attention to Nvidia's report because, if you remember, the last time they reported, it practically pushed all the markets to new highs!
Let's see what happens."
LONG X 50 HIGH PRECISION ODER FLOW TRADINGBTC futures leverage x 50 LONG
Entry Point : USD 53250
Target : USD 69700
Stop Loss : USD 52750
Stall Brake : ??? USD
Leverage is extremely risky and must be executed with money that we are willing to lose or hit the stop loss.
Trading is the only profession in which the only person responsible for our actions is ourselves, our worst enemy is ourselves, here there is no one to blame, this is not a collective work, the only one who presses the sell button buy and know how much you invest and where to put a stop to losses, it is you, and only you, so always remember that.
Important note: THE LEVEL OF LEVERAGE OR LEVERAGE, the alert for taking early profits, loss stop adjustment and forced operation closure are not made by this means.
And also remember to always have control over your losses, focus on this and you will last.
Comment: WARNING!!!!
I AM NOT A FUTUROLOGIST, I DO NOT MAKE PREDICTIONS, I DO NOT DO ANALYSIS,
I AM 100% A MARKET OPERATOR, I WORK BASED ON MY EXPERIENCE, CONSISTENCY AND MY PLANNING IN TRADING.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Together we can dominate the markets.
Gold slightly increased on August 8☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices gained some positive momentum on Thursday and snapped a four-day losing streak, despite a lack of follow-through and remaining below the $2,400 mark heading into the European session. Meanwhile, the lack of bullish sentiment warrants some caution before positioning for any meaningful upside move, although the fundamental backdrop appears to be tilted heavily in favor of bullish traders.
Investors remain concerned about the economic slowdown in China and the possibility of a recession in the United States. This, coupled with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, will act as a bullish driver for Gold prices. Furthermore, expectations of more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) put US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive and confirmed the positive outlook for gold prices.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold continues to trade within the price range of 2380 and 2415. Gold needs more catalysts to break out of this price range. On the chart, we can see that the price is clinging to the EMA 34 in a downtrend. To achieve the bullish condition, gold first needs to close the candle above the 2400 area. Pay attention to the price reaction zones to have the best trading strategy.
Breakout upper band: 2391 - 2400 - 2406
Breakout lower band: 2381 - 2375 - 2365
Resistance: 2397 - 2400 - 2406 - 2420
Support: 2381 - 2375 - 2370 - 2365 - 2352 - 2345
SELL zone 2405 - 2407 stoploss 2411
SELL zone 2420 - 2422 stoploss 2426
BUY zone 2373 - 2371 stoploss 2367
BUY zone 2347 - 2345 stoploss 2341
MEW scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 4No loss so far in this month, lets try to continue with this streak. ⚡
Late night session for me today and I am possibly holding this one over the night if it gets filled. I am trying this bid on MEW as I told you just slightly different. I am going to bid the 4H Supply Breaker with a smaller stop loss. I may be updating it later in the night so if you don't like to hold it over the night, don't do it. Risky setup because it's going to run during the night so manage accordingly.
4-Hour Supply Breaker:
The 4-hour supply breaker is identified on the chart. This zone indicates a previous area where selling pressure was significant, but now it could act as a strong support area, hence termed a "breaker."
Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) are marked on the chart, showing key levels where the market has shifted from a downtrend to an uptrend, confirming the change in market sentiment.
4-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 4-hour Fair Value Gap is another critical zone. This gap often attracts the price to fill it, providing a potential area for entry.
12-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Additionally, there is a 12-hour FVG, which can serve as a further confirmation of the support level and the potential for price to rebound from this zone.
Holding the position overnight adds to the risk since the market can experience volatility during non-active hours. It is crucial to be comfortable with this aspect of the trade.
GBPUSD Analysis Week 32Fundamental Analysis
GBP/USD ended the trading week with a last-minute win after the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) missed expectations, sending the greenback lower across the board.
The pound fell this week after the Bank of England (BoE) delivered a 25 basis point interest rate cut on Thursday morning, while US jobs data provided further warning signs that the US economy may be contracting faster than investors initially expected.
The US will see the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July on Monday. On the UK side, BRC Retail Sales for the year ending July are expected to rebound to 0.3% after a -0.5% decline in the previous period.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD forms a wide range after the NF announcement with the nearest support resistance in the range of 1.286 and 1.270. On the H4 timeframe, EMA 34 is below EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is leaning towards a bearish trend with the lowest retracement around the support zone of 1.262. On the other hand, any daily close above the resistance level of 1.286 and candle close above both EMAs confirms an uptrend with the weekly resistance peak at 1.294
Resistance: 1.286-1.294
Support: 1.270-1.262
Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.262-1.260 Stoploss 1.258
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.294-1.296 Stoploss 1.298
Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USDThe charge of gold can also additionally try and retrace the decline from the month-to-month high ($2478) need to it preserve to shut above the 50-Day SMA ($2369).
Gold Price to Eye Monthly High on Failure to Close Below 50-Day SMA
Keep in mind, the latest pullback withinside the charge of gold emerged following the failed strive to check the July high ($2484) and bullion can also additionally face a bigger correction if it struggles to preserve above the July low ($2319).
Join David Song for the Weekly Fundamental Market Outlook webinar. David offers a marketplace evaluation and takes questions in real-time. Register Here
Nevertheless, gold can also additionally preserve to function an opportunity to fiat-currencies as primary imperative banks begin to transfer gears, and bullion re-set up the bullish fashion rom in advance this 12 months amid the risk of a coverage error.
SOL scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 3The only setup from the livestream that I will be playing is this setup on SOL. You already know the plan, 30m FVG + demand should hold and target new highs.
The chart highlights multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), indicating key levels where the price has shifted its market structure, moving from a bearish to a bullish trend.
30-Minute Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap is a crucial zone where the price is expected to find support. This gap represents an imbalance in the market that the price may revisit to achieve equilibrium.
30-Minute Demand Zone:
The 30-minute demand zone, located just below the FVG, is another significant area of interest. This zone is where strong buying activity previously occurred, providing a potential support level for the price.
BTC Short using ICT Market Maker Sell Model (Explained)ICT Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) for Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Key Components:
1. Original Consolidation:
- This is the initial phase where the price consolidates within a range, indicating accumulation by smart money.
2. Smart Money Reversal:
- This area marks the point where smart money starts to take profit or reverse their positions, leading to a reversal in the market trend.
3. Market Structure Shift:
- This indicates a significant change in market direction with a displacement
4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- They are marked as potential areas of interest where price might return to fill these gaps.
5. Sellside Liquidity:
- This is the area where liquidity is collected, often below the market structure where stop-losses and other sell orders are triggered.
6. Re-Distribution:
- After the initial move down, the market redistributes, often retesting previous support areas or fair value gaps before continuing the trend.
Chart Analysis:
1. Consolidation Phase:
- The price starts with an original consolidation phase where accumulation occurs.
2. Upward Move:
- After consolidation, there's an upward move indicating bullish market conditions.
3. Smart Money Reversal and Low Risk Sell:
- The price reaches a peak where smart money starts to reverse their positions. The chart highlights a 'Low Risk Sell Inside FVG' which is an optimal selling point within a fair value gap, suggesting a high probability sell zone.
4. Market Structure Shift:
- After the peak, the market experiences a shift in structure, breaking previous support levels and signaling a bearish trend.
5. Downtrend and Redistribution:
- The price moves down sharply, redistributing within fair value gaps. The chart highlights these gaps (fvg) where price might retrace to fill before continuing downward.
6. Sellsides Liquidity Targeted:
- The market targets sellside liquidity, triggering sell orders and stop-losses, leading to further downward pressure.
Practical Use:
- Identifying Entry and Exit Points:
- Traders use this model to identify optimal entry (sell) points within fair value gaps and exit points where liquidity might be targeted.
- Understanding Market Phases:
- Recognizing different market phases (accumulation, distribution, and redistribution) helps in anticipating market moves.
By understanding these components and their interplay, traders can better anticipate market movements and make informed trading decisions.
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BTC scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 2 Trying this risky setup on BTC after 30min FVG got tagged and we are at the 3D VAH. Aiming for the 3D VWAP but please recognise the risk here.
Break up of the setup 👇
30-Minute Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a key level identified on the chart. This gap indicates an area where the price moved rapidly without much trading in between, creating a potential zone for price to revisit and balance out the prior inefficiency.
3-Day Value Area High (3D VAH):
The current price is at the 3-Day Value Area High (3D VAH). This is a significant point derived from volume profile analysis over a three-day period, indicating the upper boundary of the price range where the majority of trading volume occurred.
Price Action and RSI:
The price has shown a recovery from a recent low, moving upwards to tag the 30-minute FVG. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is displayed at the bottom, providing insight into potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point:
The entry is based on the price revisiting the 30-minute FVG, an area often revisited for price correction and liquidity purposes.
Target:
The primary target for this setup is the 3-Day VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price). The 3D VWAP is a dynamic indicator representing the average price of the asset over the last three days, adjusted by volume. It is a key level where the price is likely to find support or resistance.
Going to take profits on the way down and moving my stop loss to break even.
Considering the high-risk nature of this trade, appropriate position sizing is essential. Avoid over-leveraging and ensure that the potential loss is within your risk tolerance.
Gold (08/07) Wide trading range in a week without important news☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some dip buyers near the $2,379-$2,378 region on Wednesday and rose to fresh daily highs heading into the European session. Weaker economic data from the United States in the coming weeks suggested that the world’s largest economy is slowing faster than initially expected. This, in turn, fueled speculations of more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), acting as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, concerns over an economic slowdown in China and the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also provided additional support for safe-haven gold. However, strong demand for the US dollar (USD), fueled by a further recovery in US Treasury yields, coupled with a generally positive risk sentiment, could keep a lid on any meaningful upside move for XAU/USD.
☘️Technical Analysis
There is not much important news this week so gold is trading in a wide sideway range. The two EMA lines are still showing that the sellers are dominating the market. The RSI in the short-term frame also wants to show that the recovery of gold is being limited by the RSI 50 level. In short-term time frames such as h1 h4, gold is in a downtrend and is ready for deeper pullbacks to the support zone of 2370-2355. The important level in the sideway range will be around 2415, the peak that gold reached yesterday. Breaking the level will form a new structure for the market.
On days when there is no news that has a big impact on the market, we can identify price range zones to trade.
Support: 2386 - 2381 - 2375 - 2366
Resistance: 2405 - 2415 - 2426 - 2430
☘️Trading signals
SELL zone 2414 - 2416 stoploss 2420
SELL zone 2428 - 2430 stoploss 2434
BUY zone 2365 - 2367 stoploss 2361
BUY zone 2347 - 2345 stoploss 2341
Gold (08/06) recovers after sharp correction☘️Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on the previous day’s nice bounce from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support around the $2,365-2,364 region. The decline was supported by some buying in the US Dollar (USD), fueled by rising US Treasury yields and risk-on sentiment, dragging the safe-haven precious metal below the $2,400 level.
Expectations of more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep a lid on US bond yields and the greenback. Moreover, geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East could further limit the downside in Gold prices. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for an extension of last week’s pullback from near all-time highs amid the absence of relevant US economic releases.
☘️Technical Analysis
After retesting the important resistance zone around 2416, gold formed a bearish wave structure. The recovery of gold at 2416 has an important meaning when touching the fibonacci zone 0.5, which is also a retest of the two EMA lines 34 and EMA 89. When the candlestick force is not strong enough to break the two EMA lines to reverse the trend, the bearish structure will continue strongly. The support zone 2365 will only act as a small barrier before gold retreats to deeper support zones around 2350 and 2337.
When all 5 waves are completed, the recovery can completely surpass the all-time high when new economic cycles are formed at the end of this year.
Support: 2396 -2385 - 2365-2350
Resistance: 2412 -2418 - 2426 - 2433 - 2440
SELL zone 2426 - 2428 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2386 - 2384 stoploss 2380
BUY zone 2375 - 2373 stoploss 2369
Gold is in a free stateWorld gold price is at 2,415 USD/ounce, down sharply by 20 USD/ounce compared to the same morning. Yesterday, gold was sold on a large scale, causing the price of this precious metal to drop sharply to only 2,364 USD/ounce. However, gold regained its speed quickly and recovered to the price range above the important level of 2,400 USD.
Although considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty, experts said gold was not immune to reselling on Monday as advisors sold assets on a large scale. According to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wycoff, investors are scared and they are selling what they can, including gold and silver.
Although it has dropped sharply, according to experts, in the short term, factors supporting gold prices such as persistent economic and political instability as well as expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut Interest rates will help get back up to speed faster.
AUDUSD trading scalpingAustralian Dollar declines due to increased risk aversion, awaits US Services PMI
The Australian Dollar declines following the soft Purchasing Managers Index data release on Monday. Australia Composite PMI fell to 49.9 in July from 50.2 in June, with Services PMI decreasing to 50.4 from 51.8. The US Dollar lost ground as recent downbeat employment data boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
BUY AUDUSD now zone 0.64300-0.64100
↠ Stoploss 0.63900
→ Take Profit 1 0.64600
→ Take Profit 2 0.65300
EURGBP: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇬🇧
I think that EURGBP may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
After its test, the pair broke and closed below a support line
of a rising parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
The market may reach 0.8544 level soon.
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USDCAD Scalping signalsUSD/CAD holds below 1.3900 on dovish Fed bets, eyes on US PMI data
USD/CAD trades with mild gains 1.3880 in Monday’s early European session. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the risk-off sentiment. Traders expect one more 25 bps rate cut by the BoC in its September meeting.
BUY USDCAD now zone 0.38700-0.38500
↠ Stoploss 0.38300
→ Take Profit 1 0.39000
→ Take Profit 2 0.39700