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Key Points: Intraday BTC Price Movement Context: Options Expiry: $7.8 billion in Bitcoin options expire on January 31, with a significant portion out of the money. Max Pain Price: Key options price level is $98,000. Institutional Influence: Positive developments like rescission of SAB 121 (allowing banks to custody Bitcoin) could boost sentiment. Implied Volatility: High (DVOL ~60), indicating potential for significant price swings. Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario Catalyst: Institutional buying or positive announcements. Price Movement: Breakout above $106,850 with potential to test $110,000. Supporting Factors: Strong futures/options participation (open interest). Positive spot netflows (accumulation). Overbought technical indicators (RSI > 70). Confidence Level: Medium (60%). Resistance at $110,000 requires strong momentum. 2. Bearish Scenario Catalyst: Market gravitation toward the max pain level ($98,000). Price Movement: Rejection at $105,000-$106,000, retracing to $100,000-$98,000. Supporting Factors: Historical tendency for prices to move toward max pain before options expiry. Increased selling pressure in spot netflows. Neutral/negative funding rates (bearish leveraged sentiment). Confidence Level: High (75%). Options expiry dynamics favor the max pain theory. 3. Neutral Scenario Catalyst: Absence of significant market-moving news. Price Movement: Consolidation between $104,000-$106,000. Supporting Factors: Lower volatility as expiry approaches. Balanced long/short positioning (neutral funding rates). Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%). Key Indicators to Monitor: Netflow Data: Increased spot inflows → Bearish. Increased spot outflows → Bullish. Funding Rates: Negative → Bearish. Positive → Bullish. Volume & Open Interest: High activity near key levels confirms breakout or breakdown. News Impact: Institutional or macroeconomic announcements can override technicals. Trading Strategies: Bullish Setup: Entry: Above $106,000. Stop-loss: $105,000. Targets: $108,000 and $110,000. Bearish Setup: Entry: Below $104,000. Stop-loss: $105,500. Targets: $100,000 and $98,000. Neutral Setup: Focus on range trading between $104,000-$106,000. This structured thesis accounts for options expiry dynamics, technical factors, and market sentiment.
by titankarma
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position: Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours. Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000. Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts. 2. Technical Indicators: RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum. VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal. 3. On-Chain Insights: Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity. Open Interest: Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B. Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias. Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment. 4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis: Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation. Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm. Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment. 5. Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%) Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure. Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum. Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%) Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions). Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal. Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%) Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts. Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction. 6. Trading Strategies: Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management. Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000. 7. Conclusion: BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
by titankarma
HYPE Intraday Highlights (Thesis Prediction) Market Position: Current Price: $25.57, up +9.8% from recent lows. Resistance: $27.00 | Support: $25.00. Trend: Bullish recovery, breaking previous resistance levels, with potential for continuation or consolidation. Key Technical Indicators: RSI: 56.44, neutral with room for further price action. MACD (30-min): Positive crossover, indicating building bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, signaling potential short-term overbought conditions or continued bullish tests. On-Chain Insights: Trading Volume: Up +59.34% to $622.47M, signaling heightened market interest. Funding Rate (Bitget): 0.0288%, slightly bullish, reflecting market optimism. Open Interest: Increased by +10.23% to $581.85M, suggesting accumulation by large traders or institutions. Market Sentiment: Sentiment: Strongly positive, fueled by the "HYPE Frenzy" event in December 2024. Long/Short Ratio: 1.0396, indicating more long positions, aligning with bullish sentiment. Scenarios: Bullish (60%): Continuation above $27.00, potentially reaching $28.00+, driven by FOMO and sustained buying pressure. Bearish (30%): Profit-taking or sentiment shift could pull prices back to $25.00 or $24.00 if support fails. Sideways (10%): Consolidation between $25.00–$27.00 if sentiment cools or traders lock in profits. Note: Keep an eye on resistance at $27.00 for a breakout or rejection, and monitor funding rates and volume for signs of momentum shifts. Always apply disciplined risk management.
by titankarma
BTC Price & Market Overview 1. Price & Market Overview BTC Price: Trading between $108,550 and $108,600, up +3.5% in the past 24 hours. Intraday high: ~$109,588, reflecting strong upward momentum from ~$100k earlier this week. Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index: 76 (still in "Greed," slightly down by -1.3% from the previous day). Bitcoin Dominance: 57.54% (+0.05%), maintaining a strong position in the crypto market. Macro Context: Gold Futures: +0.29% ($2709.31), indicating slight risk-hedge interest. USD Index (DXY): -0.28% (108.900), a weaker USD favors risk-on assets like BTC. 2. On-Chain & Spot Flows Exchange Balances: ~1.81M BTC on exchanges, down -0.06%, consistent with long-term outflows but no dramatic changes. Spot Flows: Moderate net outflows over the last 8–12 hours suggest potential accumulation off-exchange. Implication: Reduced exchange balances decrease immediate selling pressure, supporting price increases if demand holds steady. 3. Derivatives Overview Open Interest (OI): $153.81B (+2.14%), indicating strong trader interest as prices climb. Futures Volume (24h): $550.56B (+77.71%), a sharp increase, often linked to significant price movements like short squeezes. 24h Liquidations: $1.05B (+83.93%), reflecting a wave of short liquidations above $105k–$107k. Funding Rates: Generally positive (e.g., Binance BTC/USDT ~0.0308%), reflecting a net-long bias. Extremely high funding could signal an overheated market and precede a correction. CME Futures: OI: $20.79B (+3.82%), highlighting institutional trader interest. Watch for weekend-related gaps causing volatility upon reopening. 4. Technical Indicators Price Action: BTC broke above $105k resistance, surging toward ~$109k. Consolidating near $108.5k, with next key resistance at $110k. MACD: Bullish crossover with a positive histogram (~706.79 on 1h), signaling strong upward momentum. RSI: In the 66–68 range, nearing overbought levels but not extreme. Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, suggesting a possible short-term pullback or consolidation after rapid gains. 5. Notable Events & Highlights Short Squeeze: Massive liquidations of short positions (10x–25x leverage) above $105k–$107k fueled the rally. CME Futures Risk: Weekend gaps may lead to volatility when traditional markets reopen on Monday. Regulatory News: No immediate developments, but speculation around favorable policies or interventions continues to influence sentiment. 6. Likely Scenarios (Next ~12–24 Hours) Continuation to $110k+ (~40% Probability): Sustained bullish momentum and high volume could drive BTC to test or break $110k. Sideways Consolidation (~35% Probability): BTC consolidates between $106k and $109k, digesting recent gains. Pullback/Correction (~25% Probability): Profit-taking or market cooling pushes BTC toward $105k or $103k. Watch for negative funding or large exchange inflows as warning signs. 7. Overall Confidence Level Market Bias: Moderately Bullish (~60% confidence). Upside Drivers: Positive funding rates, high volume, and continued short liquidations. Risks: Overbought RSI, CME gap risk, potential profit-taking near $110k. Final Note Monitor $110k resistance closely for a breakout or rejection. Pay attention to liquidation clusters, funding rate spikes, and any significant exchange inflows. A decisive move above $110k could trigger another wave of liquidations, while a failure could lead to a pullback. Maintain disciplined risk management practices.
by titankarma
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed. Previously we stated that the channel top was continuing to provide support like we stated for the past few weeks. We also stated that, as long as we see no ema5 cross and lock below into the channel, we can safely continue with our plans to buy dips in this range. - This is continuing to play out perfectly. You can see although we had many breaks into the channel with candle over the last few weeks, ema5 failed to break inside, confirming the rejection and providing support above the channel like we stated. This followed with the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips and now heading towards our 2729 AXIS gap target above. This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. Ema5 is still playing above the channel top and has not broken into the channel providing support above the channel. We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
Price & Market overview current of BTCKey Insights from the Data: 1. Price & Market Overview BTC Price: Trading between $102,900 and $103,000, down ~1.1% from recent highs ($104k+). Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index at 77 (+2.67%), reflecting a strong "Greed" sentiment. Bitcoin Dominance at 57.04% (+1.15%), indicating BTC's growing market share. Macro Environment: Gold Futures: Down -0.48% ($2701.55), showing minor weakness. USD Index (DXY): +0.35% (109.200), a mild headwind for risk assets like BTC. 2. On-Chain Metrics Exchange BTC Balances: ~1.81M BTC on exchanges, slightly down (-0.06%), indicating ongoing outflows. BTC Spot Inflows/Outflows: Recent net outflows totaling ~$221M over 4–6 hours suggest reduced selling pressure. Implication: Fewer BTC on exchanges reduces immediate sell pressure but doesn't guarantee price increases if sentiment weakens. 3. Derivatives Overview Open Interest (OI): $147.74B (+1.41%), showing new positions are being opened. Funding Rates: Binance BTC/USDT: ~0.0100% (mildly positive, bullish tilt). OKX BTC/USDT: ~0.0114% (similar trend). Liquidations: 24h Liquidations: $484.49M (+45.89%), reflecting increased volatility. Long/Short Ratios: Binance Traders: 1.64 (net-long), but sentiment is weakening. OKX Accounts: 0.66 (net-short), showing mixed market views across platforms. 4. Technical Indicators Price Action: BTC corrected from $104.6k to ~$102.3k and struggles to reclaim $103.5k. Moving Averages: 1h 50 MA ($103.6k): BTC below this level; bearish pressure persists. 1h 200 MA ($101.8k): Key support if downward pressure intensifies. Momentum Oscillators: MACD: Strongly negative histogram (-333), indicating bearish momentum. RSI: ~48–50, teetering around neutral, with potential bearish confirmation below 45. Volatility Indicators: Bollinger Bands: Price in the lower half, signaling a slight downward bias. 5. Likely Scenarios (Next 12–24 Hours) Bearish Continuation (~40% Probability): BTC fails to reclaim $103.5k, falling toward $101.8k–$102k (200 MA). Potential for further downside to $100k if selling accelerates. Neutral Range (~35% Probability): BTC consolidates between $102k and $103.5k with subdued volume. Bullish Recovery (~25% Probability): Buyers push BTC above $103.5k, potentially retesting $104.5k–$105k. 6. Confidence Level Moderately Bearish (~55%) due to: Negative MACD, struggles to break above short-term MAs, and rising liquidation volumes. Macro bullish factors (high greed index, long-term outflows) provide a supportive backdrop, but immediate technical signals remain weak. Final Recommendations Monitor $103.5k for potential recovery or rejection. Watch for high-volume breaks below $101.8k, which could trigger further downside. Stay cautious of sudden volatility spikes due to increased liquidations and mixed sentiment across derivatives platforms.
by titankarma
Surviving the Crazy Market: Two Tricks That Saved My TradingI've had those moments where watching my trades feels like being on a wild roller coaster, my stomach all twisty with excitement and fear. Here's my story and two tricks that have helped me when the market goes nuts: Trick 1: My Chill-Out Break There was this one time when the market just fell like a rock right after I made a trade. My heart was racing, and my first thought was to sell everything before I lost more money. But instead, I did something different. I set a timer for 15 minutes, went outside, and just watched the sky. When I came back, I wasn't panicking anymore. The market had calmed down a bit too. With a clear head, I looked at my trade again, adjusted my stop-loss, and held on until it got better. What I Did: I took a break from my computer. How I Felt: I went from super scared to pretty relaxed. What Happened: I made better choices and didn't lose as much money. Trick 2: My Crazy Meter I used to dive into trading without thinking about how wild the market was. After this one day when I lost a lot because I was trading like crazy, I made up something I call my "Crazy Meter." Before I trade, I check if the market's calm or wild, giving it a number from 1 to 10. If it's really wild, over a 7, I only use a tiny bit of my money and make sure I can stop the trade if things go too bad. What I Did: I check how wild the market is before I trade. How I Felt: I felt prepared, not scared of what the market might do. What Happened: I didn't lose a lot, and sometimes I even made money when others were freaking out. Have you ever had your trades go all over the place and felt just as scared as I did? These tricks might help you too! If you want to learn more about handling when the market goes nuts, come to my webinar this Sunday. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:DJTEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
Wave Analysis Cheat Sheet: Master Technical Analysis Wave Analysis Cheat Sheet: 🌊 Master the Market with Ease What is Wave Analysis? Wave Analysis, developed in the 1930s by Ralph Nelson Elliott, breaks market cycles into predictable patterns 📊. These 13 recurring waves move prices in repetitive cycles but vary in size and timing. How It Works: 🔄 Market moves are cyclical: 5 waves 📈 follow the main trend (Motive Waves). 3 waves 📉 move against the trend (Corrective Waves). This framework helps traders forecast price movements and sharpen their entry and exit points 🎯. Key Wave Types 1. Motive Waves 🚀 Action waves that align with the dominant trend. 🔥 Impulse Waves: Strong price push, always in 5 sub-waves. 🌀 Diagonal Waves: A twist on Motive Waves, forming patterns like Leading or Ending Diagonals. 2. Corrective Waves 🔄 Reaction waves moving against the trend. 🛑 Cannot be divided into 5 waves (unlike Motive Waves). Common Types: Zigzag Waves ⚡: Sharp corrections that mimic an impulse. Flat Waves ➡️: Sideways corrections with sub-waves A-B-C. Triangle Waves 🔺: Consolidation patterns signaling continuation. Common Patterns in Wave Analysis Impulse Waves: Push prices 📈 in the trend direction. Rules: Wave 4 must NOT overlap Wave 1—strictly 5 sub-waves. Diagonal Waves: Motive Waves with unique structures 🌐, like Leading or Ending Diagonals. Corrective Waves: Push against trends 📉 with patterns like: Zigzags ⚡ (single, double, or triple). Flats ➡️ (regular, expanded, or running). Triangles 🔺 (contracting or expanding). Trading Insights 💡 Wave 3: The Trader’s Favorite Wave 3 often packs the most momentum 🔥—the perfect time to ride the breakout! Why Use Wave Analysis? 🌊 Wave Analysis isn’t just theory—it’s your key 🔑 to decoding market psychology and making smarter moves. By spotting patterns early, you can: Anticipate price moves 🎯. Maximize gains 📈. Minimize losses 📉. Use this cheat sheet as your go-to guide for riding the market waves 🌊🚀!
Education
by DCAChampion
Ascending Triangle in Nikkei/Yen Futures: A 2025 Bullish Setup?1. Introduction The Nikkei/Yen Futures, a crucial instrument for traders aiming to capture movements in Japan’s equity index and its currency dynamics, presents an intriguing setup as we step into 2025. An ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish formation, is emerging on the chart, signaling a potential breakout to the upside. Adding to the technical allure is the depletion of sell unfilled orders (UFOs) within a significant price zone between 40,420 and 39,685. This critical area, revisited six times since late July 2024, has seen a steady reduction of unfilled sell orders, opening the possibility for bullish momentum to dominate. With the price currently hovering near the 39,685 level, the stage appears set for a breakout opportunity. 2. The Technical Setup The ascending triangle, characterized by a series of higher lows converging toward a horizontal resistance level, often signifies bullish pressure. In the case of the Nikkei/Yen Futures, the horizontal resistance resides near 39,685, the lower boundary of a key sell UFO zone. This resistance has been tested repeatedly since July 2024, with each revisit chipping away at the sell orders within the zone. Such behavior suggests diminishing selling pressure, setting the foundation for a breakout. The anticipated target for this breakout, calculated using Fibonacci projection, is set at 41,380—aligning with historical price action and technical projections. Key Contract Specifications: o Regular Nikkei/Yen Futures (NIY1!) Contract Size: ¥500 x Nikkei 225 index Tick Size: ¥5 Point Value: ¥2,500 Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 1,500,000 JPY o Micro Nikkei/Yen Futures (MNI) Contract Size: ¥50 x Nikkei 225 index Tick Size: ¥5 Point Value: ¥250 Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 150,000 JPY These details ensure accessibility for both institutional and retail traders, with the micro contract enabling smaller capital commitments while maintaining exposure to the same underlying asset. 3. Forward-Looking Trade Plan The technical evidence supports a bullish trade plan for Nikkei/Yen Futures: Trade Direction: Long Entry Price: Above 39,685, confirming a breakout from the resistance level. Target Price: 41,380, based on Fibonacci projections. Stop Loss: 39,120, targeting a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio to manage risk effectively. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1 (Calculated: 41,380 - 39,685 = 1,695 reward; 39,685 - 39,120 = 565 risk). The trade parameters apply to both the standard and micro contracts, offering flexibility in position sizing. Traders with smaller accounts may opt for the micro contract to manage margin requirements while engaging in this high-potential setup. 4. Importance of Risk Management Risk management remains the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, particularly when trading leveraged instruments like futures. Here are key considerations for managing risk in the Nikkei/Yen Futures trade setup: Stop-Loss Orders: Placing a stop-loss at 39,120 ensures a predefined risk level, protecting traders from unexpected market reversals. It’s vital to adhere to this level to maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making. Position Sizing: The availability of micro contracts (MNIY1!) allows traders to tailor their position size according to their account size and risk tolerance. For example, trading one micro contract involves a significantly smaller margin commitment compared to the regular contract, making it suitable for retail traders. Defined Risk Exposure: Leveraged products like futures can lead to substantial losses if risk is not clearly defined. Using stop-loss orders and trading within calculated risk parameters prevents the potential for undefined losses. Precise Entries and Exits: Setting the entry above 39,685 ensures a systematic approach to triggering the trade based on the expected breakout. Similarly, targeting 41,380 using Fibonacci projections ensures that profit objectives align with technical analysis rather than arbitrary levels. By prioritizing these aspects, traders can mitigate risks while maximizing the potential reward from this bullish setup. 5. Closing Remarks The Nikkei/Yen Futures seem to be poised for a potential breakout as we enter 2025, driven by a combination of technical factors and diminishing sell-side unfilled orders. The ascending triangle formation strengthens the bullish bias, with the calculated Fibonacci projection of 41,380 offering an attractive target. Both the standard and micro contracts cater to different trader profiles, allowing participation regardless of account size. As the price approaches the critical 39,685 level, traders are encouraged to stay vigilant, using real-time CME data to track developments and validate entry triggers. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:NIY1!Education
by traddictiv
"Analyzing Dogecoin's Path to $10: Potential for the 25 BullRunAt the time of writing, Dogecoin sits at 0.0255. When applying the RSI with Dogecoin at 65.72, this means Dogecoin is overbought and some correction needs to happen before realistic projected gains in 2025 can occur. Final thoughts are: Investment Assessment and Conclusion: Dogecoin can go to $10 in 2025—just not anytime soon, but eventually. But it needs project developments to be effectively completed and the price floor most crucially, around $2.00. Thus, for a $10 Dogecoin to happen, some investors need to HODL and some investors need to take profits during the bull run for price support. The RSI is currently at 40.92, which means it's teetering on the edge of oversold but also stabilizing, which points toward a bit of consolidation before a breakout on these ranges. Key Resistance Levels: $0.39 to $0.47: Short-term resistances that need to be breached in order for upward momentum to continue. $0.59: Major psychological/technical resistance that will need to be maintained to render any subsequent significant/exponential growth. $0.73: Resistance against previous all-time highs; breaching this will allow for exponential growth. Macro Considerations: Market Sentiment: Bull run in 2025 reliant on macroeconomic factors and overarching crypto adoption. DOGE CATALYSTS: Musk's ongoing involvement and potential application on X down the line, additional application with other sites or as a payment method, community buy-in and meme use. DOGE GROWTH REQUIREMENTS: In order for DOGE to grow naturally in value to the $10 price target, it needs a market cap over such price, which means billions, if not trillions of dollars need to be infused into the crypto world with Dogecoin having the same market cap or larger. FINAL THOUGHTS: The $10 price target requires so much bullish sentiment even based on Dogecoin trading in millionths of cents. It requires an ongoing bullish trend for the foreseeable future. Unheard of bullish derivatives season and retail/institutional participation macro market/fundamentals monitor. Bullish progression: Entire resistance lines on the chart have been breached. Because for something like this to occur, it has to be an extraordinarily bullish, extremely engaged retail and institutional lineup plus macro market/fundamentals. People need to be in the know and paying attention to breakout levels and macro developments in the months to come.
Long
by PROFITPULSE10X
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Markets ranging sideways today before Christmas and our plan of action remains the same with our levels and targets still valid for the week for the days that are open. We continue to play between both weighted levels, 2629 Goldturn resistance and 2600 Goldturn support and will need ema5 cross and lock on either Goldturn to confirm determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2629 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2655 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2694 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2726 BEARISH TARGETS 2600 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2561 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2518 - 2486 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
Scalping ETH thesis investment Ethereum (ETH) Trading Thesis – Summary Objective: Take Profit (TP): $3,500 Stop Loss (SL): $3,440 Overview: Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, remains a leading platform for decentralized applications and smart contracts. As of December 24, 2024, ETH shows strong growth potential driven by technological advancements and increased adoption. Technical Analysis: Take Profit at $3,500: Identified as a key resistance level based on historical data and Fibonacci retracement, indicating potential bullish momentum. Stop Loss at $3,440: Placed just below recent support to minimize losses if the price declines. Indicators: Moving averages (50-day and 200-day) suggest upward momentum. RSI nearing overbought levels signals strong buying interest. Increasing trading volumes support the current trend towards the TP target. Risk Management: Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1, balancing potential gains and losses. Position Sizing: Limit risk to a small percentage of the portfolio (e.g., 2%) to manage exposure. Diversification: Maintain a varied portfolio to mitigate overall risk. Fundamental Catalysts: Ethereum 2.0 Upgrades: Enhancements in scalability and efficiency bolster ETH’s value. Growth in DeFi and NFTs: Increased demand from decentralized finance and non-fungible tokens sectors. Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors supports price stability and growth. Potential Risks: Regulatory Changes: New regulations could negatively impact ETH’s price and adoption. Market Volatility: High volatility may trigger stop losses or limit profit potential. Technological Delays: Setbacks in Ethereum’s development could affect investor confidence. Conclusion: Ethereum presents a promising trading opportunity with a clear strategy to take profit at $3,500 and limit losses at $3,440. Effective risk management and ongoing monitoring of market and technical indicators are essential for capitalizing on ETH’s potential upward movement. Disclaimer: This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making investment decisions.
Long
by titankarma
AAVE Scalping Strategy Recommendation Amid High 1. Restate the Key Data Points Action: HOLD_BUY (indicating a bullish stance). Stop Loss: $320.00. Take Profit: $350.00. Entry Price: $328.07. Current Price: $336.64. Exit Point: $336.64. BTC Correlation: -0.85 (strong negative correlation). Confidence Level: 75%. 2. Short-Term Forecast Price Momentum: Since the current price is above $336, the market appears to be trending in favor of the long position. The thesis suggests holding the position (HOLD_BUY), expecting the price to continue rising toward $350. Risk Analysis: Downside is capped at the stop-loss of $320. If price volatility remains moderate, the chance of being stopped out near $320 is reduced. Impact of Negative Correlation with BTC: If Bitcoin falls, this asset might rise (given the negative correlation). If Bitcoin rallies, watch for potential downward pressure on the current position. 3. Medium-Term Outlook Possible Consolidation Around $336–$340: Price may hover in a narrow range before breaking toward $350 or dipping back to the $328–$330 region. Adjusting Stop-Loss: If the price stabilizes above $336.64, a slight upward adjustment of the stop-loss (to slightly above $328) could secure more of the unrealized profit. Confidence Level at 75%: Overall prospects favor continued upward movement. Reassess rapidly if there is a major shift in market sentiment or BTC correlation. 4. Conclusion & Prediction Likely Outcome: Continued bullish movement toward the $350 take-profit target. If the market remains stable and BTC correlation continues as is, reaching $350 is plausible. Main Risk: A sudden BTC price surge (inverse correlation could trigger negative movement for this asset). Maintain vigilance around key market announcements or unexpected volatility. Actionable Summary: Hold the current long position with a view toward $350. Monitor correlation events closely—sharp BTC moves can flip the trade’s direction. Protect profits by adjusting stop-loss if the price solidifies above $336.64. Final Predictive Note Based on the data and the 75% confidence, the short-to-medium term prediction is a gradual climb toward the $350 level, barring any sudden volatility spikes or drastic BTC movements.
by titankarma
Another Buying Opportunity on $HIMS! 60% UpsideNYSE:HIMS 💊 We are only half way through the week and this is me telling you that THIS IS ANOTHER BUYING OPPORTUNITY! I said the same thing when we had the Short Attack and flush to $19. What you don't realize is that the Wr% at the top of the chart ran up into the barrier of the Williams Consolidation Box and now needs to create it's support and bounce in order to form the BOX. I still believe that's $30 (meaning we wick back above it before weeks end). Whether we do or don't doesn't really matter in the longer term (weeks/months). The downside on the Wr% is limited as well due to the rising trendline (Arrow) we are on since September. If we fall to that I strongly believe we get a bounce off of it, thus creating the box there or where we currently are at. The reason this is a buying opportunity and shouldn't matter to the majority of you is because IMO it will be at $40+ before EOY! Do what you want but I'm cashing in on my Covered Call Premium and Buying more! Not Financial Advice.
NYSE:HIMSLong
by RonnieV29
8
$NVTS - The Next High Five Trade! 300% UPSIDE!!!🚀 The Next H5 Trade 🚀 Navitas Semiconductor - NASDAQ:NVTS 💾 -Falling Wedge Currently Breaking Out! -H5 Indicator is Green and Giving a BUY Signal -Williams R% needs to create support and it's Williams Consolidation Box. I'm thinking we get a big push up to $3.50 - $4 before pulling back to retest the falling wedge breakout and continue higher. -Launching off of a massive Volume Shelf with a large GAP to $4.65 -500M Mkt Cap Name (High Risk / High Reward) -Any partnerships or big news out of this name with Semi's spinning back up the Gain Train then this name won't be hard to EXPLODE higher with it being a small cap. 🎯$4.65 🎯 $8.47 📏 $11.17 ⏳ Before APR 2026 Thank you for all the love 50 was tough for a Monday morning, I really appreciate all of you! Not Financial Advice
NASDAQ:NVTSLong
by RonnieV29
36
Zscaler Earnings BREAKOUT Inbound? 67% UpsideEarnings Monday: Zscaler - NASDAQ:ZS 💻 A huge name within the cybersecurity space, this growth beast is reporting earnings on Monday and has beaten earning projections over 24x in a row! They clearly know how to play the game that is Wall Street. Will the streak continue? -Cup with handle forming as we speak. $265 is the BO area. 📏$445 - 67% Upside -Bull Flag breakout with successful retest.📏$300 -H5 Indicator is Green -Williams Consolidation Box is thriving -Launching off AVP Shelf The sector is red hot with MEH quarters from the Cybersecurity leaders in NASDAQ:CRWD NASDAQ:PANW so if Zscaler can come in and knock some socks off then they will fly to $300 faster than you can say "What is a Zscaler?" NFA #CyberSecurity
NASDAQ:ZSLong
by RonnieV29
1