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XAUUSD: BofA: Fed funds rate forecast to be higher for longerWe have decided to adjust our forecast for the end of the U.S. Treasury yield curve so that the 10-year yield is 4.25% by the end of 2024. Our forecasts are below market expectations, but in particular he is ahead of public forecasts through the end of 2024. Our two-year forecast reflects a smaller decline in interest rates than consensus forecasts due to market expectations for higher nominal neutral rates and the risk of increased economic resilience. Strong growth will lead to higher interest rates, which will be higher than expected An increase in the supply of U.S. Treasuries could cause U.S. long-term interest rates to rise and the yield curve to become steeper than expected. A deepening US recession and further crisis in the banking sector could raise the possibility of rate cuts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chart_MasterPro
XAGUSD (SILVER) ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Traders, I trust you are doing great and getting reading for the new trading week. Here is my view on Silver. To begin with, I will draw your attention to the monthly chart. Based on where I plotted my monthly OB, go and look at your monthly chart. Price mitigated the manipulation. Hence the rally. If you measure that bullish candle that price mitigated on the monthly chart, note where it ends. Now come back to the daily chart and look at the kind of structure we have. It is an inverse heads and shoulders pattern. My speculation is that price will continue to rally to the weekly supply orderblock. You will also notice that whilst other USD pairs made massive moves last trading week, Silver didn't. Which means that we might get an explosion this week. There is just one suspicious thing... price formed a trendline liquidity, but I am still interested in taking the long as there are more confluences for a long than short. What do you think? Follow for more updates like this. Cheers, Jabari
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by jabariofafrica
AUDUSD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Guys, I do hope the trading week has been fair to you. Now the breakdown of this pair. Let's start from the weekly, we have a bullish CHOCH on the weekly timeframe. Dropping to the daily timeframe, you will notice that we have buy-side liquidity (relatively equal highs) to hunt and the actual demand orderblock is below a swing low. (see annotations) You will notice that I marked my daily demand orderblock on the wick of the candle. That is because the wick embodies the manipulation that ran the sell-side liquidity (relatively equal lows). Follow for more updates. Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
2
RUNE SCALP SHORT, STILL BULISH FOR LONGin the analysis below I have shown two scenarios that I see (the link will be in the description) rejection from 2.2 or continuation of filling all levels up to 3.35. Since the second scenario happened, I expect a slight cooling to at least 2.7, and if it is risky to short the upward trend, Daily divergence on RSI is displayed and at 4H it is already taking place. I remain bullish on this coin, but I will certainly try to hedge position
Short
by learnfromfailure
Parallel Universe: Expert's Guide to the Art of Losing MoneyDisclaimer: Warning! The given tips are born from the minds of financial disasters and for entertainment purposes only. These are the results of the imagination of unsuccessful traders with a knack for making impressive losses. These master traders are known to make their financial mistakes by making huge losses. Unsuccessful traders are honored members of FRBF - Financial Ruins of Big Fortune with lifetime achievement of negative portfolios and returns. We do not recommend following the suggestions from the unsuccessful traders otherwise we have to add you to FRBF club. Well, well, if it isn't the tired soul tired of seeing green numbers in their trading account. Can you believe it? I always have seen a dream of world's biggest loser trader. Apparently, 99% of traders out there are making money, and we're stuck in the miserable 1% who might be losing. But hey, if you're sick and tired of making money, you've stumbled upon the perfect spot. Get ready for a wild ride as I unveil the secrets to drain your hard-earned cash and proudly join the prestigious FRBF - the Financial Ruins of Big Fortune. Buckle up, my friend! 1) Borrowing Money: You should borrow money from every possible resource. Remember that Saving money and working hard for financial stability is just for cowardly people. Debt is the only key to get success in the trading world. If you have bad luck, you can get your creditors good luck by borrowing their money. Imagine when your creditor will knock on your door, and you will be running and hiding from them! How thrilling is this! It's a surefire way to reach new heights of financial ruin. 2) Avoid Using Stop-loss: We should totally ignore those stop-loss orders. There's this fascinating study that suggests traders who actually use stop-loss orders tend to have lower losses compared to those who don't. who needs that kind of useful information? Not us! We're not beginners here, are we? If you use stop-loss, it will exit the trade when market sentiments are changed. You will never be able to make huge losses. Let's just toss those stop-loss orders right out the window and dive headfirst into the exhilarating world of uncertainty. Because what's more exciting than watching our trades go haywire with no safety net? So let's embrace the thrill, ignore risk management, and revel in the rollercoaster ride of potential financial ruin. 3) Hold Losing Positions & Never cut losses: Who needs to admit defeat when we can simply cling to hope and pray that the market will miraculously turn in our favor? It's such a fantastic strategy to hold onto those sinking ships, watching our losses pile up like trophies of our unwavering determination. Cutting our losing positions? Pfft, that's for amateurs who actually care about preserving their capital and minimizing losses. We, on the other hand, choose to ride the wave of delusion and hold onto our sinking investments with unwavering faith. After all, why learn from mistakes when we can repeat them endlessly? So let's keep clutching those losing positions tightly, and maybe, just maybe, the market will eventually bend to our will. 4) Avoid Managing Risk: Risk management will not let you become an unsuccessful trader. Forget about preserving your capital and protecting yourself from substantial losses. Let's just dive headfirst into the deep end and throw caution to the wind! So, according to your brilliant logic, let's ignore risk management and trade in five stocks with a 1:3 risk-reward ratio. We'll lose $3 in three stocks and $6 in the remaining two trades. Brilliant strategy, right? Who needs profits when we can lose money consistently? 5) Never Pay Attention to News & Events: Who needs to stay informed about current events and news when it comes to trading? Ignorance is truly bliss, especially when it comes to making informed decisions and understanding market dynamics. Let's just close our eyes and ears to all those pesky news articles, economic reports, and major events that could potentially impact the market. Who needs to know about interest rate changes, geopolitical tensions, or corporate earnings releases? They're just distractions, right? Instead, let's rely on our sheer intuition and gut feelings to guide our trading decisions. (6) Overtrade Consistently: Overtrading is the key to financial prosperity in the trading world. Forget about patience, strategy, and carefully planned execution. Instead, let's indulge in a frenzy of excessive trading and drown ourselves in a sea of transactions. Who needs quality over quantity when it comes to trades? Let's throw caution to the wind and execute as many trades as possible, disregarding any semblance of rational decision-making. Because, clearly, more trades automatically translate into more profits, right? Why bother with analyzing market trends, studying charts, or conducting thorough research when we can just click that "Buy" or "Sell" button incessantly? After all, trading is just a game of chance, and blind luck is definitely on our side. 7) Never Use Technical Analysis: Technical analysis? Nah, it's all smoke and mirrors, right? Who needs those fancy charts, indicators, and patterns to make smart trading decisions? I mean, who has time for that? Sure, by using technical analysis, you could potentially have a better sense of when to enter or exit trades and where to set stop-loss levels. You might even be able to forecast market movements using theories like Elliott wave, price action, chart pattern analysis, or volume analysis. But who needs all that when you can just wing it and tap the buy and sell buttons without any plan or analysis? Who needs strategies or insights anyway? Forget about those losers who waste their time studying charts and analyzing market trends. Real traders, the ones who consistently lose money, don't bother with technical analysis or any other form of analysis for that matter. They rely solely on their gut feelings and blind luck. That's the way to go! 8) Emotional Trading: emotional trading Is a brilliant strategy! Who needs logical decision-making when you can base all your trades on impulsive emotions? Forget about analyzing charts, patterns, or market trends. Just let your feelings guide you like a compass in a hurricane. Why bother with calm and rational thinking when you can succumb to the rollercoaster ride of fear, greed, and impulsiveness? It's truly a magnificent way to sabotage your trading success and ensure that your portfolio becomes an emotional wreck. So go ahead, throw logic out the window, and embrace the chaos of emotional trading. Because nothing says financial stability like making impulsive decisions based on fleeting emotions! Good luck on your wild emotional trading adventure! 9) Always Trust Unregulated Brokers: Unregulated brokers are the epitome of trustworthiness and reliability. Who needs regulatory oversight and investor protection when it comes to handling our hard-earned money? Why bother with ensuring the safety of our funds or verifying the legitimacy of a broker? It's so much more exciting to entrust our financial well-being to anonymous individuals operating in the shadows. Who needs transparency, accountability, or adherence to industry standards? Unregulated brokers provide the perfect opportunity to navigate the treacherous waters of the financial world without any safety nets. It's like playing a high-stakes game of roulette with our life savings! 10) Always trade on others' advice Trading on others' advice is the secret recipe for success in the trading world. Who needs to develop their own knowledge, skills, and expertise when we can rely solely on the wisdom of others? Let's throw out our own analysis, research, and intuition, and blindly follow the advice of random strangers on the internet or that "hot tip" from a friend's cousin's neighbor's dog. After all, they must be financial geniuses with impeccable track records, right? Who needs to understand the underlying fundamentals or technical aspects of a trade when we can just mimic the actions of others without question? It's so liberating to surrender our autonomy and decision-making abilities to the masses. It's a foolproof strategy that guarantees confusion, frustration, and, of course, financial ruin. 11) Never Ever Take Profit It's such an intelligent strategy to watch our gains evaporate right before our eyes. Why bother with securing our profits and protecting our capital when we can hold on to winning positions indefinitely? It's so much more thrilling to experience the roller coaster ride of market fluctuations and see our unrealized gains dwindle away. Let's ignore those pesky market indicators, trailing stops, and profit targets. After all, who needs a concrete plan when we can simply rely on greed and the hope that our winning trades will magically keep going up forever? And let's not forget the joy of regret when a once-profitable trade eventually turns into a massive loss. Who needs financial stability and consistent growth when we can embrace the unpredictable nature of the market and bask in the glory of missed opportunities? 12) Learning From Mistakes Learning from our mistakes and evolving as a trader is overrated. Who needs personal growth and improvement when we can stay firmly planted in our cycle of financial self-destruction? Let's ignore those pesky lessons that losses teach us. Why bother reflecting on our trading errors, analyzing our strategies, or seeking ways to improve? It's so much more exciting to repeat the same mistakes over and over again, expecting different results each time. Who needs progress and development when we can remain comfortably stagnant in our trading endeavors? Let's embrace the thrill of consistent failure and pretend that we're on the cusp of a breakthrough while repeating the same ineffective tactics. And why stop repeating mistakes? Let's add a touch of delusion and convince ourselves that this time, things will magically turn around. Because, clearly, doing the same thing repeatedly without learning from it is the secret to unbounded success. 13) Fall for "Get-Rich-Quick Schemes" "Get-rich-quick schemes" are the epitome of financial wisdom and stability. Who needs a long-term, sustainable approach to wealth when we can chase after elusive shortcuts to instant riches? Why bother with hard work, patience, and diligence when we can throw caution to the wind and blindly trust those promising overnight success? Let's believe in the magic of "secret formulas," "guaranteed profits," and "hidden strategies" that are conveniently packaged in flashy marketing campaigns. Let's not forget the joy of handing over our hard-earned money to these self-proclaimed experts, who undoubtedly have our best interests at heart. After all, it's not like they're preying on our gullibility and desperation for a quick financial fix, right? 14) Trade Based on Rumors Baseless rumors and gossip are the most reliable sources of information for successful trading. Who needs verified facts, data, or market analysis when we can simply rely on hearsay and unfounded speculation? Why bother with conducting thorough research or verifying the authenticity of information? Let's just blindly believe every rumor that comes our way and make trading decisions based on pure gossip. It's so much more thrilling to embrace uncertainty and place our trust in unverified whispers. Who needs to understand the impact of real market drivers or economic indicators when we can make impulsive decisions based on the latest unfounded chatter? It's like playing a game of financial Russian roulette with our hard-earned money. To be continued... :D Idea by @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
SKILLING:US30Education
by Money_Dictators
8
AUDCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guy, It's another trading week and I want to share my view on AUDCHF with you. Legggoooo!!! If you take a look at the monthly timeframe, you will notice that price just reacted from a monthly orderblock. If you drop down to the weekly timeframe, you will notice that price had created a bearish CHOCH and has retraced to the weekly supply OB from which we can expect a bearish continuation. You may also notice that we are currently at the neckline of the M pattern on the weekly chart. On the daily chart, you will notice how price just took out a strong supply zone which caused a strong drop in price. You can also notice the W pattern and we should expect a retracement. Now, I am monitoring price movement in the 1-hour timeframe to see if I can get my trade setup to go short. Endeavor to keep this pair on your radar. Follow for more updates like this. Cheers. Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
#CADCHF buying opportunityAs depicted in the chart, the price successfully broke above a range-bound area yesterday. This pattern, known as the "line formation" in Charles Dow's trading strategy, represents the only tradable Daily time frame pattern based on Dow's principles. We are currently waiting for the price to retest the previously broken resistance, with the expectation that it will now act as support. To maintain our position and adjust our stop loss in line with this bullish trendline, it is essential for the price to remain above our short-term trend. In order to manage our Risk-to-Reward ratio effectively, we have decided not to initiate a position until the price reaches our designated support level. At that point, we will be on the lookout for bullish price confirmations. by the way If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
Long
by mohemati
2
The USD fell, extending the decline from last week. Will the EURThe U.S. dollar edged lower in early European trading Monday, falling to a six-week low and extending last week's decline on a less hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. At 03:20 ET (08:20 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, fell 0.1% to 104.782, after falling more than 1% last week, the sharpest decrease since the middle of last year. The dollar has weakened since the Federal Reserve's policy-setting meeting last week, when the central bank offered dovish signals about more interest rate hikes. EUR/USD rose 0.1% to 1.0743, with the euro rising to levels last seen in September on dollar weakness, rather than any form of regional economic strength. Which area? This tone was reinforced by Friday's official jobs report, which showed that US nonfarm payrolls grew less than expected in October. The data suggests the US labor market is cooling. more, which has been the main driver of the Fed's hawkish stance this year.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD: The USD fell, extending the decline from last weekA less aggressive stance from the Federal Reserve caused the U.S. dollar to weaken somewhat in early European trading on Monday, reaching a six-week low and prolonging the previous week's slide. The Dollar Index, which measures the US dollar against a basket of six other currencies, dropped 0.1% to 104.782 at 03:20 ET (08:20 GMT) this morning. Last week, it fell more than 1%, marking the biggest decline since the middle of last year. Following the Federal Reserve's dovish indications regarding additional interest rate hikes during last week's policy-setting meeting, the dollar has declined. The official jobs report released on Friday, which revealed that US nonfarm payrolls rose less than anticipated in October, supported this tone. According to the data, the US labor market is contracting. added to, which has GBP/USD rose 0.1% to 1.2384, continuing last week's strong gains ahead of the release of UK GDP data for the fourth quarter later this week.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
NZDCAD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVE (RISKY)Hello Guys, I would just point out briefly why I will take this trade if my setup appears despite it being risky and I will also share why I think it is risky. Why is it RISKY? If you go on the weekly chart, you will notice there was a W pattern and price retraced and printed the continuation of the W pattern which should likely make us reach for higher prices. Which means that price could break above my daily OB. Why will is still take the trade? This is because we also have a W pattern on the daily that needs retracement and also we just retraced to the supply orderblock which caused a bearish CHOCH on the daily chart. I will take the short trade if I see a clear bearish CHOCH on the 1hour chart. Do you think it is a risky trade? Follow for more updates like this. Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
2
Swing Trading BitcoinBitcoin has formed an ascending triangle within a rising channel on the hourly charts. The rising channel on its own gives me reason to expect a breakdown to the 61.8% or 50% retracement levels but the presence of the established ascending triangle has made this consolidation interesting. The development of this bullish signal leads me to believe that their is a sliver of hope for another breakout but this will depend entirely on a large influx of trading volume when the alleged breakout occurs. A false breakout has already taken place on 1 November which makes identifying the ascending triangle that much more difficult to properly recognize. If a low-volume breakout occurs then I believe Bitcoin's value will meet significant resistance at the 100% retracement level -- forming a double top "M" -- and potentially see a shift back to prior retracement levels as suggested in the first paragraph. However, if a high-volume breakout occurs and Bitcoin's value is able to break through the $36,000 USD ceiling, and out of the rising channel altogether, then we could see massive gains as high as the $40,000 level before any significant resistance is met. As always, traders should be weary of any micro or macroeconomic factors that may come into play as this can both fuel and steal momentum. I am very interested in seeing how this plays out but I am not so optimistic that I would trade without an established stop-loss in place nor insert myself in the trade prematurely. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Shepherd_Investor